Analysis: One of the most accurate polls last time around. But #FakeNe...

8y ago Nov 14, 2017 at 8:07 AM

One of the most accurate polls last time around. But #FakeNews likes to say we’re in the 30’s. They are wrong. Some people think numbers could be in the 50's. Together, WE will MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! https://t.co/YhrwkdObhP

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AI Analysis

Machine-generated analysis of the post above on 2026-03-12. Not written by the author of the post.

Danger Level

None

Narcissistic State

Mixed

Authorship

Uncertain

Intensity

45%

Authorship Analysis

Uncertain

Indicators:

Defensive emotional reactivity
Vague 'some people' attribution
Stream-of-consciousness hedging
Business hours in Philippines (4 PM local)
Mixed: hashtag formatting suggests possible aide polish

Psychological Profile

▶ State

Mixed State

Trigger: Narcissistic Injury — Criticism (Media reporting low approval numbers)

Sentiment

-0.15

▶ Clinical

Malignant Narcissism:

Narcissistic

60%

Antisocial

20%

Paranoid

30%

Sadism

Defense Mechanisms:

denialdistortionsplitting

Cognitive Complexity:

Complexity

40%

Parasocial Techniques:

Inclusive 'WE' language to bond with audienceShared victimhood against mediaRally cry as group identity marker

Danger Assessment

None

Gaslighting Detected:

Dismissing accurate polling data as 'Fake News'
Replacing documented numbers (high 30s) with fabricated range (50s)
Attacking credibility of information sources reporting factual data

Reality Distortions:

Approval ratings characterized as potentially in the 50s when no credible poll supported this
Accurate polls reporting ~38% dismissed as fake

Fact Checks (3)

"One of the most accurate polls last time around"

Unverifiable

Without seeing the linked poll, cannot assess which poll is referenced. Rasmussen was frequently cited by Trump and did perform relatively well in 2016 but 'most accurate' is an overstatement.

"Approval numbers are not in the 30s"

Mostly False

Trump's approval in mid-November 2017 was approximately 38% (Gallup), 39% (Reuters/Ipsos). Technically high 30s, making his denial misleading.

"Some people think numbers could be in the 50s"

Mostly False

No credible poll had Trump at or near 50% approval in November 2017. Rasmussen, his most favorable pollster, had him around 44-46%.

Receipts

No contradictions with other posts detected yet.

Psychological Analysis: Polling Numbers Defense

Context

Trump is returning from his Asia trip (Philippines/ASEAN summit). Posted at 8:07 UTC on Nov 14, 2017. He was in the Philippines at this time (UTC+8), making this approximately 4:07 PM local time — business hours, though Trump was actively tweeting throughout the day.

Authorship

The post has mixed signals. The emotional reactivity ("They are wrong"), hedging language ("Some people think"), and the characteristic vague attribution pattern are authentic Trump markers. The linked poll image and hashtag formatting suggest possible aide involvement, but the defensive tone and stream-of-consciousness quality lean authentic.

Psychological Analysis

This is a textbook supply-seeking post with defensive undertones. The core trigger is unfavorable polling coverage — a narcissistic injury via unfavorable comparison. The structure reveals the classic pattern: (1) cite favorable evidence, (2) attack unfavorable sources, (3) inflate with vague upward claim, (4) rally cry.

"Some people think numbers could be in the 50's" is a characteristic Trump construction — the anonymous "some people" attribution allows inflating claims without accountability. His actual approval was roughly 38% (Gallup) at this time, making the "50's" claim a significant distortion.

Defense Mechanisms

Denial: Dismissing accurate polling as fake
Distortion: "Some people think numbers could be in the 50's" — reshaping reality
Splitting: Good polls vs. "Fake News" polls

Rhetorical Techniques

The post follows a four-beat rhetorical structure: credential → attack → inflate → unite. The closing MAGA rallying cry transforms a defensive post into an aspirational one.

Fact Verification

Claim	Verdict	Evidence
"One of the most accurate polls last time around"	Unverifiable	Without seeing the linked poll, cannot assess which poll is referenced. Rasmussen was frequently cited by Trump and did perform relatively well in 2016 but 'most accurate' is an overstatement.
"Approval numbers are not in the 30s"	Mostly False	Trump's approval in mid-November 2017 was approximately 38% (Gallup), 39% (Reuters/Ipsos). Technically high 30s, making his denial misleading.
"Some people think numbers could be in the 50s"	Mostly False	No credible poll had Trump at or near 50% approval in November 2017. Rasmussen, his most favorable pollster, had him around 44-46%.

Overall Veracity: 30%