Analysis: The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016...

9y ago Jun 18, 2017 at 11:02 AM

The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016 Election, just out with a Trump 50% Approval Rating.That's higher than O's #'s!

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AI Analysis

Machine-generated analysis of the post above on 2026-03-11. Not written by the author of the post.

Danger Level

None

Narcissistic State

Grandiose

Authorship

Self-Written

Intensity

35%

Authorship Analysis

Self-Written

Indicators:

Early Sunday morning posting (~7 AM ET)
Missing space typo ('Rating.That's')
Informal abbreviation 'O's #'s'
Boastful reactive tone
Self-referential third person 'Trump 50%'

Psychological Profile

▶ State

Grandiose State

Trigger: Supply Seeking (Rasmussen poll showing 50% approval)

Sentiment

+0.70

▶ Clinical

Malignant Narcissism:

Narcissistic

60%

Antisocial

10%

Paranoid

10%

Sadism

Defense Mechanisms:

rationalizationidealization

Cognitive Complexity:

Complexity

30%

Parasocial Techniques:

sharing validation metrics to invite audience celebrationframing self as winning/succeeding

Fact Checks (3)

"Rasmussen was one of the most accurate polls in the 2016 Election"

Half True

Rasmussen's final 2016 poll showed Clinton +2, closer to the actual popular vote margin than many pollsters, but multiple other pollsters were equally or more accurate. 'One of the most accurate' is a stretch that serves the narrative.

"Trump had a 50% Approval Rating from Rasmussen"

Mostly True

Rasmussen did show Trump at or near 50% around this date. However, Rasmussen consistently skews 5-7 points more favorable to Republicans than polling averages. RealClearPolitics average was closer to 39-40% at this time.

"That's higher than Obama's numbers"

Half True

Obama's Rasmussen approval at the equivalent point in his presidency was in the high 40s, so Trump may have been slightly higher on Rasmussen specifically. However, Obama's overall polling average was higher than Trump's at equivalent points.

Receipts

No contradictions with other posts detected yet.

Analysis: Rasmussen Poll Approval Rating Tweet (2017-06-18)

Post Content

"The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016 Election, just out with a Trump 50% Approval Rating.That's higher than O's #'s!"

Authorship

Sunday morning, ~7:02 AM ET (Trump likely in DC/White House). Early morning weekend posting is consistent with authentic Trump — he frequently consumed morning news and tweeted reactively. The missing space after the period ("Rating.That's"), the informal "O's #'s" abbreviation for Obama's numbers, and the boastful tone all point to authentic composition.

Psychological Analysis

This is a textbook supply-seeking post. Trump cherry-picks Rasmussen (consistently the most favorable pollster for Republicans) and frames it as "one of the most accurate" to preemptively legitimize the favorable number. The core psychological move is the comparison to Obama — the contrasting other against whom Trump perpetually measures himself.

The post arrives amid intensifying Mueller investigation pressure and the expanding obstruction probe. The pivot to approval ratings serves as a narcissistic defense — countering existential legal threat with evidence of public validation.

Rhetorical Devices

Appeal to authority (Rasmussen's claimed accuracy)
Cherry-picking (selecting the most favorable pollster)
Implicit comparison/one-upmanship over Obama
Abbreviation "O" subtly diminishes Obama

Cognitive Notes

The missing space is a typo consistent with hasty thumb-typing, not a cognitive marker. Language is simple but coherent and goal-directed.

Fact Verification

Claim	Verdict	Evidence
"Rasmussen was one of the most accurate polls in the 2016 Election"	Half True	Rasmussen's final 2016 poll showed Clinton +2, closer to the actual popular vote margin than many pollsters, but multiple other pollsters were equally or more accurate. 'One of the most accurate' is a stretch that serves the narrative.
"Trump had a 50% Approval Rating from Rasmussen"	Mostly True	Rasmussen did show Trump at or near 50% around this date. However, Rasmussen consistently skews 5-7 points more favorable to Republicans than polling averages. RealClearPolitics average was closer to 39-40% at this time.
"That's higher than Obama's numbers"	Half True	Obama's Rasmussen approval at the equivalent point in his presidency was in the high 40s, so Trump may have been slightly higher on Rasmussen specifically. However, Obama's overall polling average was higher than Trump's at equivalent points.

Overall Veracity: 60%