Analysis: ...popular vote. ABC News/Washington Post Poll (wrong big on...

9y ago Apr 23, 2017 at 11:55 PM

...popular vote. ABC News/Washington Post Poll (wrong big on election) said almost all stand by their vote on me &amp, 53% said strong leader.

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AI Analysis

Machine-generated analysis of the post above on 2026-03-11. Not written by the author of the post.

Danger Level

None

Narcissistic State

Grandiose

Authorship

Self-Written

Intensity

30%

Authorship Analysis

Self-Written

Indicators:

Sunday evening timing (~7:55 PM ET)
inverted syntax 'wrong big'
stream-of-consciousness continuation from prior tweet
parenthetical asides
&amp encoding artifact suggesting rapid posting

Psychological Profile

▶ State

Grandiose State

Trigger: Supply Seeking (ABC News/Washington Post poll results)

Sentiment

+0.30

▶ Clinical

Malignant Narcissism:

Narcissistic

50%

Antisocial

15%

Paranoid

20%

Sadism

Defense Mechanisms:

rationalizationsplitting

Cognitive Complexity:

Complexity

30%

Parasocial Techniques:

selective evidence sharingimplied majority support

Fact Checks (2)

"53% said strong leader in ABC/WaPo poll"

Mostly True

The April 2017 ABC/Washington Post poll did find approximately 53% of respondents viewed Trump as a strong leader, though this was notably lower than typical figures for new presidents.

"ABC/Washington Post poll was 'wrong big on election'"

Half True

The final ABC/WaPo tracking poll showed Clinton +4 nationally. She won the popular vote by ~2 points. The poll was off but not dramatically so, and correctly predicted the popular vote winner.

Receipts

No contradictions with other posts detected yet.

Analysis: Continuation Post on Poll Numbers (2017-04-23)

This is the second half of a two-part tweet about polling data, posted at ~7:55 PM ET on a Sunday evening from likely the White House or nearby. The post continues Trump's selective citation of an ABC/Washington Post poll while simultaneously discrediting the same poll's credibility ("wrong big on election").

Key Psychological Pattern: Simultaneous Validation-Seeking and Source Discrediting

The core cognitive operation here is paradoxical: Trump cites the ABC/WaPo poll as evidence of his support ("53% said strong leader") while preemptively discrediting the same source ("wrong big on election"). This reveals a schema where information is valued purely instrumentally — useful data points are extracted while the source's authority is undermined to inoculate against unfavorable findings from the same outlet.

Authorship

The timing (Sunday evening), the "&" encoding artifact suggesting hasty typing, the parenthetical aside ("wrong big on election"), and the stream-of-consciousness continuation format all point to authentic Trump. The phrasing "wrong big" is characteristically inverted syntax.

Defense Mechanisms

Rationalization: Selective poll citation to support narrative of continued popularity
Denial: Implicit denial of low approval ratings by cherry-picking favorable metrics
Splitting: The same poll is both valid (when favorable) and invalid (when not)

Rhetorical Techniques

The parenthetical disclaimer functions as an inoculation technique — preemptively addressing the counterargument that this poll might show unfavorable numbers elsewhere.

Fact Verification

Claim	Verdict	Evidence
"53% said strong leader in ABC/WaPo poll"	Mostly True	The April 2017 ABC/Washington Post poll did find approximately 53% of respondents viewed Trump as a strong leader, though this was notably lower than typical figures for new presidents.
"ABC/Washington Post poll was 'wrong big on election'"	Half True	The final ABC/WaPo tracking poll showed Clinton +4 nationally. She won the popular vote by ~2 points. The poll was off but not dramatically so, and correctly predicted the popular vote winner.

Overall Veracity: 65%