Analysis: Louisiana, get out and vote REPUBLICAN before going to the b...

6y ago Oct 12, 2019 at 6:16 PM

Louisiana, get out and vote REPUBLICAN before going to the big game today. A runoff will be a tremendous win for your Great State - lower taxes and car insurance, and better protection of your 2nd Amendment! Fantastic being with you last night!

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AI Analysis

Machine-generated analysis of the post above on 2026-03-18. Not written by the author of the post.

Danger Level

None

Narcissistic State

Grandiose

Authorship

Aide-Written

Intensity

18%

Authorship Analysis

Aide-Written

Indicators:

Posted at 18:16 UTC = ~1:16 PM CDT (Trump was in Louisiana or traveling back — Central Daylight Time applies)
Business-hours posting squarely in aide window
Grammatically complete, no typos or misspellings
Polished GOTV message with policy bullet-points (taxes, car insurance, 2A)
Structured call-to-action typical of Scavino/campaign staff output

Psychological Profile

▶ State

Grandiose State

Trigger: Maintenance (Louisiana gubernatorial election day)

Sentiment

+0.72

▶ Clinical

Malignant Narcissism:

Narcissistic

25%

Antisocial

Paranoid

Sadism

Defense Mechanisms:

idealizationrationalization

Cognitive Complexity:

Complexity

35%

Parasocial Techniques:

Direct address ('Louisiana') creates intimate one-to-one parasocial bond with mass audiencePersonal recall of shared event ('last night') simulates friendship memoryInclusive 'your Great State' positions him as co-owner of Louisiana identity

Fact Checks (3)

"A runoff will be a tremendous win for your Great State"

Mostly False

The October 12, 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial primary did produce a runoff — Edwards fell just short of 50%+1 — so the runoff prediction was accurate. However, the implied Republican victory in that runoff was false: John Bel Edwards (D) won the November 16, 2019 runoff over Eddie Rispone 51%-49%.

"lower taxes and car insurance"

Unverifiable

Campaign promise attributed to Republican candidates; no specific legislation cited. Louisiana's car insurance rates are among the highest nationally, making it a legitimate local political issue, but the claim is a forward-looking political assertion rather than a verifiable fact.

"Fantastic being with you last night"

True

Trump held a campaign rally in Lake Charles, Louisiana on the evening of October 11, 2019, in support of Republican gubernatorial candidates Abraham and Rispone.

Receipts

No contradictions with other posts detected yet.

Psychological Analysis: Louisiana GOTV Post (2019-10-12)

Authorship Attribution

Assessment: Likely aide-authored (confidence: high)

Posted at 18:16 UTC — approximately 1:16 PM CDT on a Saturday, with Trump in or departing Louisiana after his Lake Charles rally the previous evening. This falls squarely within business hours for both Eastern and Central time zones. The post is grammatically clean, structurally complete, and task-focused in the classic GOTV mold: call to action → policy rationale → personal warmth closer. Absent are the hallmark authentic-Trump indicators — no typos, no ALL CAPS emotional surges, no stream-of-consciousness digressions. The "before going to the big game" hook (referencing LSU football on October 12) is a clever local-color touch consistent with staffed composition. Assessment: Scavino or campaign communications staff, pre-composed and scheduled.

Psychological State and Trigger

Trigger: Routine maintenance/supply-seeking

No narcissistic injury is detectable. This is instrumental crowd-activation content, not a defensive or reactive post. The narcissistic features present — superlative framing ("tremendous win," "Great State"), self-centering via rally recall ("Fantastic being with you last night!") — are consistent with dispositional baseline rather than any acute state. The grandiose mode is mild and externally directed toward the audience rather than internally protective.

Level 1: Dispositional Traits

Dominant facet: Extraversion (assertive social warmth, crowd-positive affect). Agreeableness moderate toward in-group. Conscientiousness moderately elevated (task orientation). Neuroticism near floor — no anxiety, hostility, or impulsivity. Openness low, consistent with values-conservatism appeal.

Level 2: Characteristic Adaptations

Agency motives predominate: political power and control (mobilizing votes). Communion motives are instrumentalized — "being with you last night" performs intimacy to activate reciprocal loyalty. Schemas: Louisiana voters = Great People deserving Great outcomes; Democrats = implicit obstacle to those outcomes.

Level 3: Narrative Identity

Trump casts himself as the returning champion who showed up in person (establishing credibility) and now calls allies to action. The narrative sequence is implicitly redemptive: replace the Democrat, gain better outcomes. The contrasting other — John Bel Edwards — is not named here but was named in the concurrent prior post, allowing this post to remain tonally positive while the negative contrast is pre-established.

Rhetorical Analysis

The "before going to the big game" sequencing is rhetorically efficient: it anchors civic duty (voting) to cultural ritual (LSU football), making political participation a natural prelim rather than an interruption. The 2nd Amendment mention functions as tribal identity marker rather than substantive policy argument. Three-item policy list (taxes, insurance, 2A) provides the appearance of rationality while operating as emotional/identity cues.

Fact Verification

Claim	Verdict	Evidence
"A runoff will be a tremendous win for your Great State"	Mostly False	The October 12, 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial primary did produce a runoff — Edwards fell just short of 50%+1 — so the runoff prediction was accurate. However, the implied Republican victory in that runoff was false: John Bel Edwards (D) won the November 16, 2019 runoff over Eddie Rispone 51%-49%.
"lower taxes and car insurance"	Unverifiable	Campaign promise attributed to Republican candidates; no specific legislation cited. Louisiana's car insurance rates are among the highest nationally, making it a legitimate local political issue, but the claim is a forward-looking political assertion rather than a verifiable fact.
"Fantastic being with you last night"	True	Trump held a campaign rally in Lake Charles, Louisiana on the evening of October 11, 2019, in support of Republican gubernatorial candidates Abraham and Rispone.

Overall Veracity: 57%

Cognitive Assessment

No markers of concern. Syntactic simplicity is genre-appropriate (GOTV). No deviation from documented baseline warranting notation.

Danger Assessment

None. No eliminationist language, no target identification, no violent imagery, no stochastic terrorism pattern.

Summary

Not clinically significant. Post is a routine, professionally crafted GOTV message showing no acute psychological state, no cognitive deviation, and no danger indicators. It is consistent with standard campaign-maintenance communication authored by staff rather than Trump personally.