Analysis: “Brazil will allow more American Ethanol to enter the countr...

7y ago Sep 3, 2019 at 6:37 AM

“Brazil will allow more American Ethanol to enter the country without Tariffs, a decision that Brazilian mills are celebrating. The seemingly counter-intuitive reaction stems from the tone of ongoing negotiations between the South American nation and the U.S. for a...

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AI Analysis

Machine-generated analysis of the post above on 2026-03-18. Not written by the author of the post.

Danger Level

None

Narcissistic State

Grandiose

Authorship

Aide-Written

Intensity

Authorship Analysis

Aide-Written

Indicators:

2:37 AM Eastern time is consistent with authentic Trump late-night posting
Content reads as journalistic prose excerpt ('counter-intuitive', 'stems from the tone', 'South American nation') — not Trump's idiolect
No first-person pronouns or self-reference
No emotional charge, ALL CAPS, or impulsive quality
Post truncates mid-sentence ('for a...'), strongly suggesting an article link/quote share managed by Scavino or staff

Psychological Profile

▶ State

Grandiose State

Trigger: Supply Seeking (Brazil ethanol trade deal news)

Sentiment

+0.25

▶ Clinical

Malignant Narcissism:

Narcissistic

10%

Antisocial

Paranoid

Sadism

Cognitive Complexity:

Complexity

55%

Parasocial Techniques:

implicit policy validation — presenting a trade win for audience consumption without direct self-praise

Fact Checks (2)

"Brazil will allow more American Ethanol to enter the country without Tariffs"

Mostly True

Brazil and the U.S. had an ongoing bilateral trade framework (the U.S.-Brazil Protocol on Trade Rules and Transparency, signed March 2020, built on prior 2019 negotiations). Tariff-rate quota expansions for U.S. ethanol into Brazil were part of these discussions and were reported in 2019.

"Brazilian mills are celebrating [the decision]"

Half True

Brazilian sugar-cane mill operators had mixed incentives. Some benefited from expanded ethanol trade with the U.S.; others competed with U.S. corn ethanol. The 'celebrating' framing is characterizable as selective but not fabricated.

Receipts

No contradictions with other posts detected yet.

Analysis: Brazil Ethanol Trade Post — September 3, 2019

Authorship Assessment

Verdict: Likely aide-curated or article excerpt; confidence medium.

Local time at posting was 02:37 AM Eastern (Trump was in Washington D.C., managing the Dorian/Alabama controversy). The early-morning timestamp is consistent with authentic Trump, but the content is not. The surrounding authentic tweets from this same session — attacking ABC's Jon Karl over Dorian coverage, mocking Sadiq Khan — exhibit Trump's characteristic register: first-person voice, emotional charge, fragmentary syntax, grievance framing. This ethanol post is categorically different: journalistic diction ("counter-intuitive," "stems from the tone of ongoing negotiations," "South American nation"), no personal pronouns, no affect. The mid-sentence truncation ("for a...") confirms an article link was included, most consistent with a staff-queued share.

Psychological Context

Low clinical significance in isolation. The post functions as supply-seeking via policy validation: amid the Sharpiegate crisis dominating the news cycle, presenting a trade win implicitly reinforces the narrative that Trump's tariff strategy produces results. Whether conscious counter-programming or routine scheduling, the effect is the same. No narcissistic injury trigger is active within this post; no rage; no defense mechanisms mobilized.

Longitudinal Note

The contrast with same-session authentic tweets is itself informative. When personally threatened (Dorian/Alabama, Khan criticism), Trump posts emotionally reactive, first-person, grievance-saturated content. When the function is policy promotion, staff handles distribution — a consistent pattern in the corpus.

Danger Level

None.

Fact Verification

Claim	Verdict	Evidence
"Brazil will allow more American Ethanol to enter the country without Tariffs"	Mostly True	Brazil and the U.S. had an ongoing bilateral trade framework (the U.S.-Brazil Protocol on Trade Rules and Transparency, signed March 2020, built on prior 2019 negotiations). Tariff-rate quota expansions for U.S. ethanol into Brazil were part of these discussions and were reported in 2019.
"Brazilian mills are celebrating [the decision]"	Half True	Brazilian sugar-cane mill operators had mixed incentives. Some benefited from expanded ethanol trade with the U.S.; others competed with U.S. corn ethanol. The 'celebrating' framing is characterizable as selective but not fabricated.

Overall Veracity: 65%