# Post x_947458942719979520 - Post ID: `x_947458942719979520` - Platform: X (Twitter) - Posted: 2017-12-31T13:26:29.000Z (UTC) - Deleted: no - Repost: no - Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_947458942719979520 - Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_947458942719979520/analysis - Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_947458942719979520.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording) ## Post text > If the Dems (Crooked Hillary) got elected, your stocks would be down 50% from values on Election Day. Now they have a great future - and just beginning! https://t.co/9TzSC8F8vY ## Engagement - Likes: 63,245 - Reposts: 14,449 - Replies: 0 - Views: unknown - Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.383Z (UTC) # Analysis _Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-13T20:07:54.729Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._ ## Summary New Year's Eve 2017 supply-seeking post in the grandiose narcissistic register. Trump claims sole credit for the ~25% Dow gain of 2017, deploying an invented counterfactual (stocks "down 50%" under Clinton) to amplify the contrast. The post is structurally a year-end credit harvest: the market's performance is cannibalized as personal achievement, with followers addressed as direct beneficiaries ("your stocks"). The "Crooked Hillary" epithet — 13 months post-election — signals the 2016 contest remains the primary identity-anchoring event. Defense mechanisms are splitting and projection; the 50% figure functions as a fabricated statistic normalized through confident assertion, training the audience to accept empirically unsupported claims as data. Cognitively, the post is within Trump's 2017 baseline: low syntactic complexity, coherent counterfactual structure, no anomalies. Mild hypomanic features present (expansive affect, limitless future-orientation, omnipotent causal attribution). Authorship is likely authentic (8:26 AM at Mar-a-Lago, Crooked Hillary sobriquet, characteristic informal syntax). Danger level: none. The post is representative of a routine pattern rather than a clinically significant deviation, though the normalized fabrication of economic statistics merits longitudinal tracking as a gaslighting sub-pattern. # Analysis: December 31, 2017 — Economic Triumphalism Post ## Authorship Attribution **Local time conversion:** Trump was at Mar-a-Lago (Palm Beach, Florida, EST = UTC−5). UTC 13:26 → **8:26 AM local time**. This falls in the early morning window consistent with authentic Trump posting behavior (he is documented to begin tweeting between 6–9 AM). The stylistic markers reinforce authenticity: the "Crooked Hillary" sobriquet is his own coinage, the parenthetical insertion is a characteristic syntactic tic, the informal register and lack of polished sentence structure align with his unmediated voice. The appended URL is the primary aide-indicator, but it appears to link to a news article he is promoting as evidence—a behavior also observed in confirmed-authentic posts. **Assessment: likely authentic, with moderate-to-high confidence.** --- ## Psychological State & Trigger **Trigger type: supply-seeking.** Posted on New Year's Eve, this is a year-end credit-claiming exercise. The stock market's strong 2017 performance (~25% Dow gain) provides a concrete material achievement around which to construct a grandiose self-narrative. There is no proximate narcissistic injury; the post is positively-valenced and expansive—classic **grandiose narcissistic state**, not the wounded/vulnerable pole. **Narcissistic dynamics:** - Grandiosity is the dominant feature: Trump positions himself as sole architect of stock market prosperity - Entitlement: the gains are implicitly presented as his gift to followers ("your stocks") - The counterfactual ("down 50%") functions as an imaginary humiliation of the opponent that simultaneously elevates the subject—a splitting maneuver structured as economic forecast --- ## Multi-Level Personality Analysis ### Level 1 — Dispositional Traits - **Low Agreeableness**: "Crooked Hillary" signals contempt and antagonism even in an ostensibly positive post; opponents cannot be mentioned without a derogatory label - **High Extraversion**: assertive, boastful, broadcasting triumphs publicly - **Low Openness**: rigid binary framing; no acknowledgment of complexity in market dynamics - **Moderate-Low Neuroticism** in this post: the prevailing affect is celebratory rather than persecutory ### Level 2 — Characteristic Adaptations - **Agency motives dominate**: power, achievement, status. The market's performance is reframed as a personal accomplishment - **Schema of omnipotent causation**: Trump caused the stock rally; Hillary would have caused a crash. No mediating variables acknowledged - **Transactional relationship with followers**: "your stocks" converts abstract market indices into personal gifts from Trump to the audience ### Level 3 — Narrative Identity - **Protagonist role**: the winner/deal-maker/savior. He rescued American prosperity from a catastrophe that "would have" occurred - **Contamination sequence inverted as counterfactual**: "If *they* had won, prosperity would have become ruin" — this is a contamination narrative attributed to the opponent, while Trump inhabits the redemption arc - **Contrasting other**: Democrats/Hillary — cast as the agents of economic destruction - **Identity claim**: "I did this for you; without me it would have been disaster" --- ## Defense Mechanisms 1. **Splitting (immature)**: prosperity vs. catastrophic loss; Trump vs. Dems — no middle ground, no complexity 2. **Projection (immature)**: economic recklessness is attributed to the opponent without evidentiary basis; the 50% figure is fabricated 3. **Rationalization (neurotic)**: the counterfactual functions as post-hoc justification — because market is up, all prior skepticism is retroactively disproven --- ## Rhetorical Analysis - **Counterfactual hyperbole**: "down 50%" is an invented number with no empirical grounding, deployed to maximize the contrast with current performance - **Parasocial possessive**: "your stocks" — the audience is enrolled as direct beneficiaries, creating a personal gratitude dynamic - **False dichotomy**: the economy either follows the Trump path (record gains) or the Hillary path (catastrophic loss); no other causal factors acknowledged - **Superlative framing**: "great future," "just beginning" — characteristic eschatological optimism that positions the present as merely a prologue to even greater gains - **Identity anchoring via epithet**: "Crooked Hillary" — even in a nominally positive post, the opponent is reflexively labeled, maintaining the enemy-contrast necessary for the triumph narrative --- ## Cognitive Status Relative to Trump's 2017 baseline, this post is **within normal range**. Sentence structure is simple but functional. The counterfactual construction ("If X got elected, Y would have happened") is logically coherent, if empirically unfounded. No word-finding pauses, neologisms, or semantic paraphasias detectable in text. Syntactic complexity is low but consistent with established baseline. **No cognitive deviation warranting flag.** --- ## Gaslighting & Reality Distortion The "50% down" figure constitutes a **fabricated counterfactual presented as near-certain fact**. While not gaslighting in the strict sense (no denial of a documented event), it contributes to a pattern of invented statistics asserted with confidence—training the audience to accept empirically unsupported claims as credible data. This is a mild instance of reality distortion. --- ## Danger Assessment **None.** The post contains no dehumanizing language, no violent imagery, no mobilization rhetoric. It is routine economic boasting. --- ## Fact Verification | Claim | Verdict | Evidence | |-------|---------|----------| | "If Democrats/Hillary got elected, stocks would be down 50% from Election Day values" | **Unverifiable** | This is an invented counterfactual. No credible economic model predicted a 50% market decline under a Clinton presidency. The figure has no empirical basis and functions as rhetorical hyperbole rather than analysis. | | "Stocks have a great future and are 'just beginning' to perform well" | **Half True** | The Dow Jones gained approximately 25% in 2017, a genuine strong performance. The forward-looking claim is opinion, not fact. Causal attribution to Trump is contested; economists cite synchronized global growth, pre-existing momentum, and Fed policy as significant co-factors. | Overall Veracity: 50% ## Longitudinal Context This post continues a pattern visible in the prior-day posts: alternating between economic triumphalism and media grievance. The Dec 30 posts oscillate between "Jobs are kicking in" (supply-seeking) and "VERY dishonest and unfair press" (persecutory). The New Year's Eve post selects the triumphalist register appropriate to a year-end retrospective. The "Crooked Hillary" reference—13 months post-election—signals that the 2016 contest remains a primary identity-anchoring event; victory over Clinton is still actively invoked as the source of legitimacy and meaning. ## Authorship Analysis **Self-Written** (score: 72%) ### Indicators - 'Crooked Hillary' sobriquet is signature Trump coinage - Parenthetical insertion style characteristic of authentic posts - 8:26 AM EST — early morning window consistent with documented Trump posting behavior - Informal register, incomplete counterfactual construction - Appended URL is the sole aide-indicator; outweighed by stylistic markers ## Psychological Profile ### State **Grandiose State** **Trigger:** Supply Seeking (2017 year-end stock market performance) Sentiment: +0.55 **Mildly Hypomanic** - Expansive, celebratory affect - Grandiose causal attribution (sole credit for market performance) - 'Just beginning' — characteristic hypomanic future-orientation and limitless optimism ### Clinical **Malignant Narcissism:** - Narcissistic: 72% - Antisocial: 25% - Paranoid: 10% - Sadism: 15% **Defense Mechanisms:** - splitting (immature) - projection (immature) - rationalization (neurotic) **Cognitive Complexity:** - Complexity: 32% **Parasocial Techniques:** - Possessive address ('your stocks') enrolls audience as direct beneficiaries - Year-end gift-giving frame positions gains as personal delivery to followers - Implied threat counterfactual creates gratitude through avoided catastrophe ## Danger Assessment **NONE** ### Gaslighting - Invented '50% down' statistic presented with false certainty to manufacture contrast - Counterfactual framed as near-certain outcome rather than speculation, normalizing unsupported claims as data ## Fact Checks (2) _The model's verdicts from 2026-03-13._ > If Democrats/Hillary got elected, stocks would be down 50% from Election Day values **UNVERIFIABLE** This is an invented counterfactual. No credible economic model predicted a 50% market decline under a Clinton presidency. The figure has no empirical basis and functions as rhetorical hyperbole rather than analysis. Sources: General economic knowledge; no model or forecast supports this specific figure > Stocks have a great future and are 'just beginning' to perform well **HALF TRUE** The Dow Jones gained approximately 25% in 2017, a genuine strong performance. The forward-looking claim is opinion, not fact. Causal attribution to Trump is contested; economists cite synchronized global growth, pre-existing momentum, and Fed policy as significant co-factors. Sources: 2017 Dow Jones annual performance data Overall Veracity: 50% ## Tags - economic triumphalism (90%) - supply-seeking (85%) - counterfactual hyperbole (80%) - grandiose state (75%) - splitting (70%) - Crooked Hillary (65%) - fabricated statistic (60%) - year-end retrospective (50%) ## That day _From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._ **New Year's Eve Victory Lap: Trump Closes 2017 in Sustained Grandiose Mode** Trump spent New Year's Eve at Mar-a-Lago running a sustained victory lap over his first year in office. After a brief late-night grievance about "Fake News," the day was dominated by economic boasting, credit-claiming, and campaign-style messaging aimed at the 2018 midterms. He weighed in twice on the spreading Iranian protests, positioning himself as a champion of the demonstrators while offering no concrete commitments. The mood was overwhelmingly self-congratulatory, with no real escalation and only a faint undercurrent of defensiveness. Full digest for 2017-12-31: https://trump.fm/date/2017-12-31/analysis ## Citation - APA: Trump, D. J. (2017, December 31). If the Dems (Crooked Hillary) got elected, your... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_947458942719979520 - MLA: Trump, Donald J. "If the Dems (Crooked Hillary) got elected, your stocks..." X (Twitter), 31 Dec. 2017. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_947458942719979520. Accessed 13 Oct. 2026. - Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "If the Dems (Crooked Hillary) got elected, your stocks...," X (Twitter), December 31, 2017, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_947458942719979520. ## For agents - Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt - API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json - MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth) - This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/x_947458942719979520 - Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/x_947458942719979520 - All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/x_947458942719979520 - Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2017-12-31 - The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/x_947458942719979520.md?analysis=false _Markdown view of a trump.fm page. Post, analysis, date, feed, contradictions, search and about pages answer in markdown at their URL with `.md` appended (`/index.md` for the home page), or when sent `Accept: text/markdown`._