# Post x_876394578777174021

- Post ID: `x_876394578777174021`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2017-06-18T11:02:04.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_876394578777174021
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_876394578777174021/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_876394578777174021.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016 Election, just out with a Trump 50% Approval Rating.That's higher than O's #'s!

## Engagement

- Likes: 104,478
- Reposts: 23,060
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.389Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-11T15:03:04.596Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Rasmussen Poll Approval Rating Tweet (2017-06-18)

### Post Content
"The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016 Election, just out with a Trump 50% Approval Rating.That's higher than O's #'s!"

### Authorship
Sunday morning, ~7:02 AM ET (Trump likely in DC/White House). Early morning weekend posting is consistent with authentic Trump — he frequently consumed morning news and tweeted reactively. The missing space after the period ("Rating.That's"), the informal "O's #'s" abbreviation for Obama's numbers, and the boastful tone all point to authentic composition.

### Psychological Analysis
This is a textbook supply-seeking post. Trump cherry-picks Rasmussen (consistently the most favorable pollster for Republicans) and frames it as "one of the most accurate" to preemptively legitimize the favorable number. The core psychological move is the comparison to Obama — the contrasting other against whom Trump perpetually measures himself.

The post arrives amid intensifying Mueller investigation pressure and the expanding obstruction probe. The pivot to approval ratings serves as a narcissistic defense — countering existential legal threat with evidence of public validation.

### Rhetorical Devices
- Appeal to authority (Rasmussen's claimed accuracy)
- Cherry-picking (selecting the most favorable pollster)
- Implicit comparison/one-upmanship over Obama
- Abbreviation "O" subtly diminishes Obama

### Cognitive Notes
The missing space is a typo consistent with hasty thumb-typing, not a cognitive marker. Language is simple but coherent and goal-directed.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Rasmussen was one of the most accurate polls in the 2016 Election" | **Half True** | Rasmussen's final 2016 poll showed Clinton +2, closer to the actual popular vote margin than many pollsters, but multiple other pollsters were equally or more accurate. 'One of the most accurate' is a stretch that serves the narrative. |
| "Trump had a 50% Approval Rating from Rasmussen" | **Mostly True** | Rasmussen did show Trump at or near 50% around this date. However, Rasmussen consistently skews 5-7 points more favorable to Republicans than polling averages. RealClearPolitics average was closer to 39-40% at this time. |
| "That's higher than Obama's numbers" | **Half True** | Obama's Rasmussen approval at the equivalent point in his presidency was in the high 40s, so Trump may have been slightly higher on Rasmussen specifically. However, Obama's overall polling average was higher than Trump's at equivalent points. |

Overall Veracity: 60%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 90%)

### Indicators

- Early Sunday morning posting (~7 AM ET)
- Missing space typo ('Rating.That's')
- Informal abbreviation 'O's #'s'
- Boastful reactive tone
- Self-referential third person 'Trump 50%'

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Rasmussen poll showing 50% approval)

Sentiment: +0.70

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 60%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 5%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- rationalization (neurotic)
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 30%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- sharing validation metrics to invite audience celebration
- framing self as winning/succeeding

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-11._

> Rasmussen was one of the most accurate polls in the 2016 Election

**HALF TRUE**

Rasmussen's final 2016 poll showed Clinton +2, closer to the actual popular vote margin than many pollsters, but multiple other pollsters were equally or more accurate. 'One of the most accurate' is a stretch that serves the narrative.

Sources: FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings; RealClearPolitics 2016 final polls

> Trump had a 50% Approval Rating from Rasmussen

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Rasmussen did show Trump at or near 50% around this date. However, Rasmussen consistently skews 5-7 points more favorable to Republicans than polling averages. RealClearPolitics average was closer to 39-40% at this time.

Sources: Rasmussen Reports daily tracking; RealClearPolitics polling average

> That's higher than Obama's numbers

**HALF TRUE**

Obama's Rasmussen approval at the equivalent point in his presidency was in the high 40s, so Trump may have been slightly higher on Rasmussen specifically. However, Obama's overall polling average was higher than Trump's at equivalent points.

Sources: Rasmussen historical data; Gallup presidential approval tracker

Overall Veracity: 60%

## Tags

- supply-seeking (90%)
- obama-comparison (80%)
- polling-cherry-pick (70%)
- approval-ratings (100%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**A Quiet Sunday at Camp David: Accomplishment Lists Deflect Mueller's Shadow**

A low-volume Sunday spent at Camp David, with just four posts across the day. The morning opened with a brief nod to the Russia investigation -- dismissed as a "Witch Hunt" -- before pivoting into a rapid-fire list of claimed accomplishments. The rest of the day was calm, capping off with a warm, likely staff-written tribute to Camp David. Overall mood was upbeat and self-congratulatory, with no signs of anger or escalation.

Full digest for 2017-06-18: https://trump.fm/date/2017-06-18/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2017, June 18). The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_876394578777174021
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the..." X (Twitter), 18 Jun. 2017. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_876394578777174021. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the...," X (Twitter), June 18, 2017, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_876394578777174021.

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