# Post x_856481786938916865

- Post ID: `x_856481786938916865`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2017-04-24T12:15:45.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_856481786938916865
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_856481786938916865/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_856481786938916865.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> The two fake news polls released yesterday, ABC & NBC, while containing some very positive info, were totally wrong in General E. Watch!

## Engagement

- Likes: 46,670
- Reposts: 9,043
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.390Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-11T11:46:51.471Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Psychological Analysis: Post x_856481786938916865

### Context
Posted 2017-04-24 at 12:15 UTC (8:15 AM ET). Trump was likely at the White House. This is a morning post continuing the previous day's thread about ABC/Washington Post and NBC polls. "General E." almost certainly abbreviates "General Election" — he's arguing the polls were wrong in predicting the 2016 general election outcome.

### Authorship
8:15 AM ET falls in early morning territory — consistent with Trump's personal posting habits. The fragmented syntax ("totally wrong in General E."), the abbreviation style, and emotional reactivity all point to authentic Trump. The "Watch!" imperative is a signature Trump flourish.

### Psychological Dynamics
This is a continuation of the previous day's poll commentary — a pattern of returning to grievance after sleeping on it. The structure is notable: he concedes "some very positive info" before attacking. This partial acknowledgment serves to appear reasonable while still delegitimizing unfavorable data. The core dynamic is narcissistic supply maintenance — selectively accepting favorable data while discrediting the source of unfavorable data.

The invocation of the 2016 election victory ("General E.") five months into his presidency represents perseveration on a validating event, used as an unfalsifiable trump card against any current criticism.

### Defense Mechanisms
- **Splitting**: Polls contain "very positive info" (good) but are "fake news" and "totally wrong" (bad) — simultaneously
- **Denial**: Dismissing unfavorable polling data by referencing past polling errors
- **Rationalization**: Using 2016 polling misses to justify blanket dismissal of current polls

### Rhetorical Techniques
- Labeling ("fake news") — pre-emptive delegitimization
- Selective validation — cherry-picking favorable data from sources he simultaneously attacks
- Appeal to past vindication — "they were wrong before, so they're wrong now"
- Imperative command ("Watch!") — positioning himself as prophet who will be proven right

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "ABC and NBC polls were totally wrong in the general election" | **Half True** | National polls in 2016 were within normal margins of error for the popular vote (Clinton won by ~2 points, most polls predicted ~3-4 point lead). However, state-level polling in key swing states did underestimate Trump's support. |

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 85%)

### Indicators

- 8:15 AM ET early morning posting
- fragmented syntax with abbreviation 'General E.'
- emotional reactivity pattern
- signature 'Watch!' imperative
- continuation of previous day's grievance thread

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Narcissistic Injury — Criticism (ABC and NBC polls showing unfavorable numbers)

**Rage:** Intensity 40% targeting ABC and NBC polls/media
- Proportionality: 30%

Sentiment: -0.40

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 30%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- splitting (immature)
- denial (pathological)
- rationalization (neurotic)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 30%

Cognitive Markers:
- tangentiality
- perseveration

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- prophetic positioning with 'Watch!'
- inviting audience to share in vindication narrative

## Danger Assessment

**NONE**

### Gaslighting

- Delegitimizing polling institutions as 'fake news' to preemptively discredit unfavorable data
- Selectively accepting favorable data from sources simultaneously labeled as fake

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-11._

> ABC and NBC polls were totally wrong in the general election

**HALF TRUE**

National polls in 2016 were within normal margins of error for the popular vote (Clinton won by ~2 points, most polls predicted ~3-4 point lead). However, state-level polling in key swing states did underestimate Trump's support.

Sources: AAPOR 2016 post-election analysis

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Tags

- media-attack (80%)
- poll-grievance (70%)
- 2016-election-perseveration (60%)
- fake-news-labeling (80%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**A Quiet Day of Policy Maintenance and Ceremonial Duty, Punctuated by a Brief Jab at Polls**

A low-key day dominated by staff-produced content — congratulating astronaut Peggy Whitson, promoting the border wall and healthcare plan, and signing a Holocaust Remembrance Proclamation. The only real flash of personal voice came in an early-morning gripe about ABC and NBC polls, which he called "fake news" while conceding they contained "some very positive info." The overall mood was calm and on-message, with little of the combative energy seen on more volatile days.

Full digest for 2017-04-24: https://trump.fm/date/2017-04-24/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2017, April 24). The two fake news polls released yesterday, ABC... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_856481786938916865
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "The two fake news polls released yesterday, ABC & NBC,..." X (Twitter), 24 Apr. 2017. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_856481786938916865. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "The two fake news polls released yesterday, ABC & NBC,...," X (Twitter), April 24, 2017, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_856481786938916865.

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