# Post x_821344302651555840

- Post ID: `x_821344302651555840`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2017-01-17T13:11:56.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_821344302651555840
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_821344302651555840/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_821344302651555840.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> The same people who did the phony election polls, and were so wrong, are now doing approval rating polls. They are rigged just like before.

## Engagement

- Likes: 106,609
- Reposts: 24,425
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.392Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-11T09:01:10.606Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Psychological Analysis: Post x_821344302651555840

### Context
Three days before inauguration (Jan 20, 2017). Trump was likely in New York (Trump Tower) preparing for transition. 13:11 UTC = 8:11 AM EST — early morning, consistent with authentic Trump tweeting patterns.

### Content Analysis
Trump attacks polling organizations, linking pre-election polls (which underestimated his support) to current approval ratings showing unfavorable numbers. The logical structure: "they were wrong before → they're wrong now → therefore rigged." This is a preemptive delegitimization of metrics that could track his popularity.

### Authorship
Early morning, informal style, emotionally reactive, no links or formatting — strongly suggests authentic Trump.

### Psychological Dynamics
This is a classic narcissistic supply-maintenance post. Incoming approval ratings threatened his self-image as overwhelmingly popular. The defense is straightforward: discredit the measuring instrument rather than accept unfavorable data. The word "rigged" imports election-season framing to create continuity between a past grievance (polls underestimating him) and a current one.

### Rhetorical Function
Establishes an epistemic framework where any unfavorable data is automatically suspect. This is early-stage reality distortion infrastructure — training the audience to dismiss empirical metrics.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "The same people who did election polls are doing approval rating polls" | **Mostly True** | Major polling firms do conduct both election and approval polls, though the specific organizations vary. |
| "Election polls were phony/so wrong" | **Half True** | National polls were within normal error margins (Clinton won popular vote as predicted). State-level polls in key swing states underestimated Trump support, but this reflects methodology limitations, not rigging. |
| "Approval rating polls are rigged just like before" | **False** | No evidence of deliberate rigging. Polling methodology is transparent and peer-reviewed. Multiple independent organizations produce consistent results. |

Overall Veracity: 43%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 90%)

### Indicators

- Early morning EST posting (8:11 AM)
- No links or professional formatting
- Emotionally reactive content
- Informal punctuation and style

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Narcissistic Injury — Criticism (Approval rating polls showing unfavorable numbers)

Sentiment: -0.50

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 60%
- Antisocial: 30%
- Paranoid: 50%
- Sadism: 10%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- denial (pathological)
- rationalization (neurotic)
- projection (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 30%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- shared grievance framing
- us-vs-them epistemic divide

## Danger Assessment

**NONE**

### Gaslighting

- Attacks legitimacy of empirical measurement tools
- Frames objective data as conspiratorial ('rigged')

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-11._

> The same people who did election polls are doing approval rating polls

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Major polling firms do conduct both election and approval polls, though the specific organizations vary.

> Election polls were phony/so wrong

**HALF TRUE**

National polls were within normal error margins (Clinton won popular vote as predicted). State-level polls in key swing states underestimated Trump support, but this reflects methodology limitations, not rigging.

> Approval rating polls are rigged just like before

**FALSE**

No evidence of deliberate rigging. Polling methodology is transparent and peer-reviewed. Multiple independent organizations produce consistent results.

Overall Veracity: 43%

## Tags

- polling_delegitimization (90%)
- media_attack (50%)
- preemptive_defense (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Pre-Inauguration Victory Lap With a Grudge Against John Lewis**

Three days before his inauguration, Trump spent the day in a buoyant, self-congratulatory mood — promoting crowd enthusiasm, claiming credit for jobs announcements from GM and Walmart, and sharing flattering coverage about his daughter Ivanka. The one sharp edge came mid-morning when he renewed his multi-day feud with Rep. John Lewis, calling the congressman a liar for saying he'd never boycotted an inauguration before. Otherwise it was a calm, low-intensity day dominated by pre-inauguration hype and media grievances.

Full digest for 2017-01-17: https://trump.fm/date/2017-01-17/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2017, January 17). The same people who did the phony election polls,... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_821344302651555840
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "The same people who did the phony election polls, and were..." X (Twitter), 17 Jan. 2017. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_821344302651555840. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "The same people who did the phony election polls, and were...," X (Twitter), January 17, 2017, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_821344302651555840.

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- Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/x_821344302651555840
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