# Post x_792726526127067136

- Post ID: `x_792726526127067136`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2016-10-30T13:55:06.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_792726526127067136
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_792726526127067136/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_792726526127067136.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> We are now leading in many polls, and many of these were taken before the criminal investigation announcement on Friday - great in states!

## Engagement

- Likes: 64,282
- Reposts: 21,013
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.371Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-11T06:03:02.399Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Post x_792726526127067136 (2016-10-30)

### Context
Posted at 9:55 AM ET (Trump was campaigning in swing states, likely Eastern time). This follows FBI Director Comey's October 28 letter reopening the Clinton email investigation — a major boost to the Trump campaign.

### Authorship
Business hours, polished grammar, strategic messaging — consistent with aide-authored content. The phrase "criminal investigation announcement" is a deliberate framing choice (the FBI called it a review of new emails, not a "criminal investigation"). This calculated language suggests staff involvement.

### Psychological Analysis
This is a **supply-rich moment** — external validation from polls plus the FBI development. The post channels narcissistic grandiosity through a veneer of strategic restraint. The parenthetical qualifier "many of these were taken before the criminal investigation announcement" serves dual purpose: (1) implies polls will get even better, and (2) reinforces the "criminal" frame on Clinton.

### Rhetorical Techniques
- **Bandwagon effect**: "leading in many polls"
- **Strategic framing**: Calling FBI review a "criminal investigation"
- **Implied momentum**: Suggesting current polls understate true support
- **Vagueness as persuasion**: "great in states!" — no specifics needed when the feeling is the message

### Clinical Significance
Low. This is standard campaign rhetoric during a favorable news cycle. Grandiosity is situation-appropriate for a candidate with genuine momentum.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Leading in many polls" | **Half True** | RCP average on Oct 30, 2016 showed Clinton leading nationally by ~2 points, but some individual polls (LA Times/USC, IBD/TIPP, Rasmussen) showed Trump ahead. The race had tightened significantly after the Comey letter. |
| "Many polls taken before the criminal investigation announcement on Friday" | **Mostly True** | Most polls in the field on Oct 30 had begun before Comey's Oct 28 letter, so post-Comey effect was not yet fully captured. However, calling it a 'criminal investigation announcement' is a distortion — Comey said the FBI was reviewing newly discovered emails. |

Overall Veracity: 65%

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 25%)

### Indicators

- Business hours posting (9:55 AM ET)
- Clean grammar and complete sentences
- Strategic rather than reactive framing
- No typos or ALL CAPS outbursts

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Favorable polls and FBI Clinton email reopening)

Sentiment: +0.70

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 40%
- Antisocial: 20%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 5%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- distortion (pathological)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 35%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- bandwagon effect
- implied momentum

## Fact Checks (2)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-11._

> Leading in many polls

**HALF TRUE**

RCP average on Oct 30, 2016 showed Clinton leading nationally by ~2 points, but some individual polls (LA Times/USC, IBD/TIPP, Rasmussen) showed Trump ahead. The race had tightened significantly after the Comey letter.

Sources: RealClearPolitics polling average

> Many polls taken before the criminal investigation announcement on Friday

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Most polls in the field on Oct 30 had begun before Comey's Oct 28 letter, so post-Comey effect was not yet fully captured. However, calling it a 'criminal investigation announcement' is a distortion — Comey said the FBI was reviewing newly discovered emails.

Sources: FBI Director Comey letter to Congress, Oct 28, 2016

Overall Veracity: 65%

## Tags

- campaign_rhetoric (80%)
- supply_seeking (60%)
- strategic_framing (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Campaign Trail Confidence Surges as Trump Weaponizes Comey Letter**

Nine days before the election, Trump barnstormed through western swing states -- Arizona, Nevada, and Colorado -- projecting steady confidence all day. The dominant storyline was his aggressive use of the FBI's reopened Clinton email investigation, which he framed as vindication and proof of momentum. A brief morning flare accused major tech platforms of suppressing coverage of the investigation, but the day never escalated beyond routine campaign bluster. Overall, a disciplined and staff-managed day on the trail.

Full digest for 2016-10-30: https://trump.fm/date/2016-10-30/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2016, October 30). We are now leading in many polls, and many of... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_792726526127067136
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "We are now leading in many polls, and many of these were..." X (Twitter), 30 Oct. 2016. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_792726526127067136. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "We are now leading in many polls, and many of these were...," X (Twitter), October 30, 2016, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_792726526127067136.

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