# Post x_790534428942622721

- Post ID: `x_790534428942622721`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2016-10-24T12:44:29.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_790534428942622721
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_790534428942622721/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_790534428942622721.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Major story that the Dems are making up phony polls in order to suppress the the Trump . We are going to WIN!

## Engagement

- Likes: 44,833
- Reposts: 18,966
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.372Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-11T05:33:15.054Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

This post, composed 15 days before the 2016 election, demonstrates a psychologically significant pattern: preemptive delegitimization of electoral measurement. By framing unfavorable polls as Democratic fabrications designed to "suppress" his support, Trump employs pathological denial and distortion to preserve his grandiose self-concept against the narcissistic injury of potential defeat. The incomplete sentence ("suppress the the Trump") suggests hasty, emotionally-driven composition. The conspiracy-to-reassurance arc (fake polls → "We are going to WIN!") reflects a mixed narcissistic state oscillating between vulnerability (persecuted by rigged polls) and grandiosity (inevitable victory). This post is historically significant as an early instance of the institutional delegitimization pattern that would intensify dramatically post-2020, establishing the epistemic framework that polling, media, and electoral systems are conspiratorial tools rather than legitimate democratic infrastructure.

## Analysis: "Phony Polls" Suppression Claim (Oct 24, 2016)

This post, written ~15 days before Election Day, advances a conspiracy narrative that Democrats are fabricating polls to discourage Trump supporters from voting. Notable features include an incomplete sentence ("suppress the the Trump" — likely meant "Trump vote"), suggesting hasty composition.

### Authorship
Posted at 12:44 UTC = 8:44 AM ET. Trump was campaigning in Florida (Naples rally referenced in prior posts). The typo/incomplete thought ("the the Trump") and emotional tone suggest authentic composition, though the timing is borderline for aide territory.

### Psychological Dynamics
The post reflects a preemptive defense against potential electoral defeat. By framing unfavorable polls as fabricated, Trump constructs an alternative reality where his support is being hidden rather than measured. The closing "We are going to WIN!" serves as a grandiose counterpoint to the anxiety implied by the conspiracy claim.

### Rhetorical Function
This is a classic example of epistemic closure construction — training followers to distrust external information sources (polls) and rely solely on in-group narratives. It also functions as voter motivation through persecution framing.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Democrats are making up phony polls to suppress the Trump vote" | **False** | No evidence of systematic poll fabrication. Major polls in October 2016 showed Clinton ahead by varying margins, consistent with her winning the popular vote by 2.1%. Polls were conducted by independent organizations, not Democratic operatives. |

Overall Veracity: 0%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 75%)

### Indicators

- Typo/incomplete thought ('suppress the the Trump')
- Emotional exclamatory closing
- Stream-of-consciousness quality
- 8:44 AM ET - early but not definitive

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Mixed State**

**Trigger:** Narcissistic Injury — Defeat (Unfavorable polling numbers)

Sentiment: -0.20

Baseline Deviation: slight

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- Grandiose certainty of victory despite contrary evidence

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 30%
- Paranoid: 60%
- Sadism: 10%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- denial (pathological)
- projection (immature)
- distortion (pathological)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 25%

Cognitive Markers:
- perseveration

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- inclusive 'We'
- rally cry solidarity

## Danger Assessment

**NONE**

### Gaslighting

- Attacks on polling institutions as fabricated
- Frames legitimate data as conspiracy to suppress

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-11._

> Democrats are making up phony polls to suppress the Trump vote

**FALSE**

No evidence of systematic poll fabrication. Major polls in October 2016 showed Clinton ahead by varying margins, consistent with her winning the popular vote by 2.1%. Polls were conducted by independent organizations, not Democratic operatives.

Sources: RealClearPolitics polling averages Oct 2016; FiveThirtyEight 2016 election forecast

Overall Veracity: 0%

## Tags

- poll_delegitimization (90%)
- preemptive_loss_framing (80%)
- conspiracy_claim (70%)
- campaign_2016 (50%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Campaign Machine on Autopilot: A Disciplined Florida Barnstorm With Selective Poll Reality**

Trump spent the day barnstorming through Florida -- Naples, Boynton Beach, West Palm Beach, St. Augustine, and Tampa -- with a tightly scheduled rally tour two weeks before Election Day. The mood was upbeat and confident throughout, dominated by rally promotions, attacks on the Clinton Foundation, and repeated use of the new "Drain the Swamp" slogan. The one notable moment came in the morning when he dismissed unfavorable polls as Democratic fabrications, then minutes later touted a Rasmussen poll showing him ahead -- a contradiction that would become a defining pattern in years to come. Overall, a low-intensity, staff-managed campaign day with very little personal emotional investment visible in the posts.

Full digest for 2016-10-24: https://trump.fm/date/2016-10-24/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2016, October 24). Major story that the Dems are making up phony... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_790534428942622721
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Major story that the Dems are making up phony polls in..." X (Twitter), 24 Oct. 2016. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_790534428942622721. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Major story that the Dems are making up phony polls in...," X (Twitter), October 24, 2016, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_790534428942622721.

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