# Post x_698977598844637185

- Post ID: `x_698977598844637185`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2016-02-14T21:10:20.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_698977598844637185
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_698977598844637185/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_698977598844637185.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Wow, in the new CBS Poll I went way up into the forties! Thank you!

## Engagement

- Likes: 12,457
- Reposts: 3,700
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.381Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-09T16:05:51.377Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

# Psychological Analysis: February 14, 2016

## Authorship Attribution
**Confidence: Medium-High (authentic Trump)**

UTC 21:10 converts to approximately 4:10 PM EST — business hours, marginally favoring aide involvement. However, the content profile strongly indicates authentic authorship: the reactive "Wow," opener, colloquial "way up," compressed celebratory brevity, and the parasocial "Thank you!" are all documented stylistic fingerprints of unmediated Trump posts. Aide-written content in this period tends toward structured event announcements and grammatically complete sentences with clear informational purpose. This post has no such architecture — it is pure emotional discharge.

## Psychological State: Grandiose Narcissistic Supply Acquisition
The post represents a textbook narcissistic supply event. The CBS poll number functions as a public mirror — a quantified, institutional endorsement of self-worth. The subject does not engage with what the number means for electability, coalition-building, or policy; the poll is processed entirely as personal validation. The "Thank you!" is psychologically significant: it attributes causality to the audience, converting followers into co-producers of his ascent and deepening parasocial attachment.

## Narrative Identity (Level 3)
Within the day's broader posting sequence, this post occupies the "winner" node in a recurring redemption narrative arc: debate contested → rivals attacked → public vindication confirmed. The contrasting others (Cruz, RNC, lobbyists) named in adjacent posts make this celebration structurally richer — triumph requires a foil, even if the foil is absent from this specific post.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "In the new CBS Poll I went way up into the forties" | **Mostly True** | February 2016 CBS/YouGov polling in South Carolina (conducted around the time of the February 13 debate) showed Trump at approximately 42%, a notable lead over competitors. His New Hampshire victory (35.6%) on February 9 likely contributed to a polling surge. The characterization 'way up into the forties' is directionally accurate, though 'way up' implies larger single-poll movement than available data precisely confirms. |

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Longitudinal Context
The mild hypomanic register — exclamatory affect, rapid multi-topic posting, elevated positive arousal — is entirely baseline-consistent for the post-New Hampshire victory period. No clinical deviation is observed. This post requires no extended summary.

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 85%)

### Indicators

- Exclamatory 'Wow,' opener is a hallmark authentic Trump affective marker
- Stream-of-consciousness brevity — no structured message, just reactive delight
- 'Thank you!' closing mirrors dozens of authenticated Trump posts
- Emotionally reactive to polling data (known personal fixation)
- No scheduled-event or logistical framing that characterizes aide posts

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (CBS poll showing Trump rising into the forties in Republican primary polling)

Sentiment: +0.82

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- Exclamatory register ('Wow,' 'Thank you!')
- Compressed, affect-saturated brevity
- Rapid consecutive posting throughout the day spanning multiple emotional registers (attack on Cruz → self-promotion → poll celebration)

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 0%
- Paranoid: 0%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 15%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct gratitude address ('Thank you!') creates intimate reciprocal bond with follower audience, positioning them as co-authors of his success

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-09._

> In the new CBS Poll I went way up into the forties

**MOSTLY TRUE**

February 2016 CBS/YouGov polling in South Carolina (conducted around the time of the February 13 debate) showed Trump at approximately 42%, a notable lead over competitors. His New Hampshire victory (35.6%) on February 9 likely contributed to a polling surge. The characterization 'way up into the forties' is directionally accurate, though 'way up' implies larger single-poll movement than available data precisely confirms.

Sources: CBS/YouGov South Carolina Republican primary polling, February 2016

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Tags

- narcissistic_supply (90%)
- poll_fixation (85%)
- grandiose_state (70%)
- parasocial_reciprocity (65%)
- campaign_2016 (80%)
- authentic_authorship (75%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Valentine's Day War Room: Post-Debate Midnight Fury Targets Cruz, Bush, and Media Before Grief Breaks Through**

Trump spent Valentine's Day relentlessly rehashing the previous night's South Carolina debate, launching attacks on Ted Cruz, Jeb Bush, Fox News, and several conservative commentators while insisting he won by a landslide. The day's most striking moment was a brief, unguarded post at half past midnight -- "I miss my father" -- sandwiched between political attacks, offering a rare glimpse of genuine emotion. By afternoon, he shifted from personal feuds to institutional grievance, accusing the RNC of stacking the debate audience with donors and lobbyists. A rising CBS poll number provided the day's closing note of self-congratulation.

Full digest for 2016-02-14: https://trump.fm/date/2016-02-14/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2016, February 14). Wow, in the new CBS Poll I went way up into the... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_698977598844637185
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Wow, in the new CBS Poll I went way up into the forties!..." X (Twitter), 14 Feb. 2016. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_698977598844637185. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Wow, in the new CBS Poll I went way up into the forties!...," X (Twitter), February 14, 2016, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_698977598844637185.

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