# Post x_674330315373084672

- Post ID: `x_674330315373084672`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2015-12-08T20:50:50.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_674330315373084672
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_674330315373084672/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_674330315373084672.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> A very big poll is coming out at 6 PM in New Hampshire. Will be very interested in the results.

## Engagement

- Likes: 3,922
- Reposts: 1,142
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.338Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-09T06:01:24.447Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

# Post Analysis: x_674330315373084672 | 2015-12-08

## Overview
A functionally routine, clinically unremarkable post. Two sentences telegraphing an anticipated poll release in New Hampshire. No danger indicators, no cognitive markers, no rhetorical aggression.

## Authorship
**Leaning authentic (medium confidence).** The 3:50 PM ET timestamp introduces mild aide probability, but the terse, anticipatory voice and the day's broader pattern of high-volume personal posting (Iowa poll crowing, book promotion, independent-run poll sharing) suggest active personal Twitter use. The post's false-neutrality framing ("Will be very interested") is a recognizable Trump verbal tic — performing curiosity about an outcome he has already internalized as favorable.

## Psychological State
Low-arousal supply-seeking. Trump is in grandiose mode this day (Iowa CNN poll: 33% vs Cruz 20%), and this post functions as anticipatory priming — creating audience investment before delivering expected validation. By publicly flagging the poll, he amplifies its eventual impact and pulls followers into shared spectatorship. No rage, no paranoia, no antisocial features.

## Narrative Identity
Protagonist is "winner-in-waiting." The post performs confidence through understatement, a notable contrast to the same day's more exuberant Iowa poll celebrations. Identity claim: serious frontrunner whose poll numbers merit audience attention.

## Rhetorical Profile
Minimal. Mild hyperbole ("very big"), anticipation framing, parasocial inclusion. No propaganda techniques of significance.

## Longitudinal Note
This post is baseline-consistent with Trump's 2015 Twitter register. No deviation warranting clinical flagging.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "A very big poll is coming out at 6 PM in New Hampshire" | **Unverifiable** | Specific New Hampshire poll on this date and time cannot be confirmed from available knowledge, though New Hampshire primary polls were frequent during the December 2015 primary season. |

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 65%)

### Indicators

- Terse, conversational phrasing consistent with Trump's authentic style
- Anticipatory, suspense-building tone matches his known poll obsession
- 3:50 PM ET posting time (business hours) introduces mild aide possibility
- Lack of typos or ALL CAPS slightly tempers authenticity signal
- Day's other posts show high-volume personal engagement suggesting active Twitter use

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Anticipated favorable New Hampshire poll result)

Sentiment: +0.15

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 30%
- Antisocial: 0%
- Paranoid: 0%
- Sadism: 0%

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 20%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Audience inclusion — 'Will be very interested in the results' invites followers into shared anticipation

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-09._

> A very big poll is coming out at 6 PM in New Hampshire

**UNVERIFIABLE**

Specific New Hampshire poll on this date and time cannot be confirmed from available knowledge, though New Hampshire primary polls were frequent during the December 2015 primary season.

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Tags

- poll_obsession (70%)
- supply_seeking (60%)
- anticipatory_priming (50%)
- grandiose_state (40%)
- routine_engagement (90%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Muslim Ban Aftermath: Grandiose Deflection Through Selective Reality Curation**

December 8, 2015 represents one of the most psychologically revealing days in the early Trump campaign. Less than 24 hours after proposing a "total and complete shutdown" of Muslim entry into the United States — a proposal that drew immediate, bipartisan condemnation from nearly every Republican presidential rival — Trump's social media output contained zero direct references to the proposal or any engagement with its critics. Instead, the day was consumed by an intensive narcissistic supply-acquisition operation: 12 posts in a two-hour late-evening session (9:43–11:38 PM EST on Dec 7) consisting almost entirely of supporter retweets and poll celebrations, followed by a morning grievance cycle targeting the Wall Street Journal for insufficient recognition of his Iowa poll lead, and an afternoon of strategic dominance displays including an independent candidacy threat and high-profile media appearance promotions.

The psychological architecture is unmistakable: confronted with the most significant political backlash of his campaign to date, Trump constructed an alternative informational reality in which the Muslim ban simply did not exist as a controversy. The only oblique references — a crowd reaction video labeled "my latest proposal" (x_674066628754210816) and a closing "keep this country safe" (x_674370442908577796) — functioned to normalize rather than defend the policy. The day's dominant defense mechanisms were denial (pathological level: complete exclusion of bipartisan condemnation from his reality), splitting (CNN credible when favorable, NYT "failing," WSJ inaccurate), and rationalization (crowd enthusiasm as superior democratic validation). The independent candidacy poll (x_674317248803307520) was the day's most strategically sophisticated post — converting GOP condemnation into leverage by reminding the party that 68% of his supporters would follow him out the door. Cognitively, all posts are consistent with Trump's 2015 baseline. No hypomanic indicators are present despite elevated post volume; adequate sleep was obtained between the late-evening cluster and morning resumption.

Full digest for 2015-12-08: https://trump.fm/date/2015-12-08/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2015, December 8). A very big poll is coming out at 6 PM in New... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_674330315373084672
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "A very big poll is coming out at 6 PM in New Hampshire...." X (Twitter), 8 Dec. 2015. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_674330315373084672. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "A very big poll is coming out at 6 PM in New Hampshire....," X (Twitter), December 8, 2015, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_674330315373084672.

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