# Post x_667440398948810753

- Post ID: `x_667440398948810753`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2015-11-19T20:32:46.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_667440398948810753
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_667440398948810753/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_667440398948810753.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Just the beginning &amp; it is going to get worse. Rates &amp; deductibles are so high nobody is going to be able to use it. https://t.co/iwqLODke50

## Engagement

- Likes: 2,417
- Reposts: 1,455
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.340Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-08T08:22:13.922Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: ACA/Obamacare Criticism (Nov 19, 2015)

This post continues a same-day thread criticizing the Affordable Care Act, linking to what appears to be a news article about rising premiums/deductibles. It follows an earlier post on the same topic ("I told you! Premiums are soaring!").

### Authorship
Posted at 3:32 PM ET (Trump based in NYC). Business hours, relatively polished but retains Trump's characteristic style—ampersand usage, fragmented sentences, predictive framing. Likely authentic but possibly aide-assisted in timing/link selection.

### Psychological Pattern
Classic "I told you so" validation-seeking. The post frames ACA failure as inevitable and worsening ("just the beginning"), positioning Trump as prescient critic. This is routine supply-seeking through vindication rather than reactive rage.

### Rhetorical Techniques
- Catastrophizing ("going to get worse," "nobody is going to be able to use it")
- Appeal to fear about healthcare costs
- Implicit "I alone can fix it" framing through predictive authority

### Context
This is one of several posts this day cycling between Paris attacks/immigration and domestic policy criticism—standard campaign-period multi-topic posting. Low clinical significance.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Rates and deductibles are so high nobody is going to be able to use it" | **Half True** | ACA premiums did increase significantly for 2016 (average 7.5% for benchmark plans), and deductibles were rising. However, subsidies offset costs for most enrollees and enrollment continued to grow, contradicting 'nobody can use it'. |

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 60%)

### Indicators

- business hours posting (3:32 PM ET)
- includes link (aide-typical)
- but retains fragmented style and ampersand usage

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (ACA premium increases)

Sentiment: -0.50

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 40%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 5%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- rationalization (neurotic)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 30%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- predictive authority
- shared grievance

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-08._

> Rates and deductibles are so high nobody is going to be able to use it

**HALF TRUE**

ACA premiums did increase significantly for 2016 (average 7.5% for benchmark plans), and deductibles were rising. However, subsidies offset costs for most enrollees and enrollment continued to grow, contradicting 'nobody can use it'.

Sources: CMS/HHS premium data; KFF ACA tracking

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Tags

- healthcare (80%)
- vindication (60%)
- campaign_rhetoric (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Prophet of Fear: Paris Tragedy Becomes Personal Vindication as Trump Instrumentalizes Terror for Border Policy**

On November 19, 2015—six days after the Paris attacks killed 130 people and on the same day Trump's Muslim database comments sparked national controversy—the subject's social media output reveals a uniformly grandiose psychological state organized around a single core narrative: "I told you so." Across 11 posts spanning from 11:53 PM ET the previous night to 4:34 PM ET, Trump processes the deadliest terrorist attack on French soil, a humanitarian refugee crisis, and rising Obamacare premiums through an identical narcissistic lens: each event exists solely as proof of his prophetic insight. The complete absence of empathic content regarding Paris victims—even as he praises Paris police—suggests empathy is deployed instrumentally rather than authentically.

The day's most psychologically and socially significant pattern is the systematic association of Syrian refugees with ISIS terrorism, repeated in near-duplicate posts broadcast at different times for maximum reach (posts x_667329429912338432 at 8:11 AM ET and x_667329429912338400 at 1:11 PM ET). The speculative "ISIS maybe?" formulation is a textbook fear-amplification technique: it plants the terrorism-refugee association while the question mark provides rhetorical deniability. Combined with the same day's Muslim database controversy and the logical non-sequitur of connecting European-executed Paris attacks to US-Mexico border security, the day represents a coherent strategic effort to convert collective grief and fear into exclusionary policy momentum. Three of eleven posts earned elevated danger ratings—not for direct incitement, but for the cumulative ethnic scapegoating effect during a period of acute national anxiety.

Cognitively, the day shows no signs of deterioration or disorganization. Post frequency is moderate, sleep appears adequate, and the messaging—while factually distorted—is rhetorically disciplined. The near-duplicate posts suggest deliberate strategic amplification rather than cognitive repetition. The authorship scores vary widely (0.10 to 0.85), indicating a mix of personal composition and staff-assisted posting, with the highest-authorship posts being the most psychologically charged immigration content.

Full digest for 2015-11-19: https://trump.fm/date/2015-11-19/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2015, November 19). Just the beginning &amp; it is going to get... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_667440398948810753
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Just the beginning &amp; it is going to get worse. Rates..." X (Twitter), 19 Nov. 2015. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_667440398948810753. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Just the beginning &amp; it is going to get worse. Rates...," X (Twitter), November 19, 2015, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_667440398948810753.

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