# Post x_666605421751361536

- Post ID: `x_666605421751361536`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2015-11-17T13:14:52.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_666605421751361536
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_666605421751361536/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_666605421751361536.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> So many great polls like Reuters - big leads everywhere. New Hampshire really special! We will win big and MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!

## Engagement

- Likes: 4,687
- Reposts: 1,608
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.340Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-08T08:19:51.955Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Post x_666605421751361536 (2015-11-17)

### Content Summary
Standard campaign-season poll-boasting post referencing Reuters polling and New Hampshire, closing with the campaign slogan. Posted at 8:14 AM ET (Trump was traveling from Knoxville, TN based on prior posts). This is a routine narcissistic supply/maintenance post with no clinically significant features.

### Authorship
Morning post during travel. Clean grammar, professional tone, no typos. Likely aide-assisted or dictated. The exclamation marks and ALL CAPS slogan are consistent with Trump's voice but the polish suggests Scavino involvement.

### Psychological State
Grandiose narcissistic state — expansive, self-congratulatory. Pure supply-seeking behavior: citing polls as external validation. "Really special" applied to New Hampshire suggests strategic flattery of a key primary state. No injury, no rage, no defensiveness.

### Rhetorical Devices
Hyperbole ("so many great polls," "big leads everywhere," "win big"), superlatives, and the slogan functioning as a ritualistic call-and-response with followers.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Reuters polls show big leads everywhere" | **Half True** | Trump led in many national polls in mid-November 2015 but did not lead 'everywhere' — he trailed in some state polls, particularly Iowa where Carson was competitive. |

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 40%)

### Indicators

- Clean grammar
- Professional structure
- Morning post during travel
- But characteristic exclamation style and ALL CAPS

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (polling data)

Sentiment: +0.85

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- elevated mood
- grandiose self-assessment

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 0%
- Paranoid: 0%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 20%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- inclusive 'we'
- flattery of audience/location

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-08._

> Reuters polls show big leads everywhere

**HALF TRUE**

Trump led in many national polls in mid-November 2015 but did not lead 'everywhere' — he trailed in some state polls, particularly Iowa where Carson was competitive.

Sources: RealClearPolitics polling averages November 2015

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Tags

- supply-seeking (80%)
- campaign-boasting (90%)
- poll-citing (90%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Post-Paris Attacks: Strategic Fear Rhetoric and Steady-State Grandiosity on the Campaign Trail**

On November 17, 2015 — four days after the Paris terrorist attacks — Trump maintained a remarkably consistent grandiose state across all 16 posts, strategically exploiting the security crisis to position himself as America's strongman alternative to a "resigned" and "insane" President Obama. The day's most significant post (x_666615398574530560) deployed fear rhetoric about Syrian refugees "pouring into" the country with possible ISIS infiltration, capitalizing on the 31 governors who had just announced opposition to refugee resettlement. This post earned the day's only elevated danger rating for its dehumanization of refugees as unknowable threats, though the broader pattern remained within opportunistic campaign messaging rather than stochastic terrorism.

The psychological profile was stable and strategically coherent throughout: evening rally boasting from a Knoxville event gave way to a morning barrage of security-themed attacks on Obama, followed by a brief afternoon rage flare against the Associated Press (two rapid-fire posts at identical timestamps), before settling into promotional content for upcoming Barbara Walters and Sean Hannity interviews. The 9.5-hour overnight gap (10:52 PM to 8:14 AM EST) indicates normal sleep. Low authorship scores on many posts (as low as 0.15) suggest heavy staff involvement in routine promotional content, while the higher-authorship posts — the refugee fear post (0.70), the AP attacks (0.60–0.75), and the Obama criticism (0.60) — reveal where Trump's personal psychological investment was concentrated: delegitimizing opponents and stoking security anxieties.

No significant escalation pattern emerged. The two AP rage posts represent a contained narcissistic injury response rather than a spiral, and intensity dropped immediately afterward. The day exemplifies Trump's campaign-season baseline: disciplined grandiosity punctuated by opportunistic fear rhetoric, with personal rage reserved for media outlets perceived as hostile.

Full digest for 2015-11-17: https://trump.fm/date/2015-11-17/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2015, November 17). So many great polls like Reuters - big leads... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_666605421751361536
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "So many great polls like Reuters - big leads everywhere...." X (Twitter), 17 Nov. 2015. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_666605421751361536. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "So many great polls like Reuters - big leads everywhere....," X (Twitter), November 17, 2015, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_666605421751361536.

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