# Post x_665731237487714304

- Post ID: `x_665731237487714304`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2015-11-15T03:21:10.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_665731237487714304
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_665731237487714304/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_665731237487714304.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Great news out of New Hampshire! DonaldTrump is pulling away from the pack w/ 2nd is 17% behind him! #Trump2016 https://t.co/hASWradHMe"

## Engagement

- Likes: 5,333
- Reposts: 2,321
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.340Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-08T08:15:15.732Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Post x_665731237487714304 (2015-11-15)

### Overview
A straightforward supply-seeking post sharing favorable New Hampshire polling data during the Republican primary. The post highlights Trump's lead with a 17-point margin over the second-place candidate. This is consistent with a pattern of retweeting/sharing polling results as narcissistic supply.

### Timing & Authorship
Posted at 03:21 UTC = 10:21 PM ET (November 14). Trump was likely in New York or possibly traveling for campaign events. Late evening timing and the enthusiastic tone suggest authentic posting, though the relatively clean grammar is notable. The third-person reference ("DonaldTrump") suggests this may be a retweet or quote of someone else's content, which is consistent with aide curation but also with Trump's habit of sharing flattering content at night.

### Psychological State
This post sits within a cluster of 5+ consecutive posts from the same day that are all retweets of supporter praise. The pattern—serial retweeting of adulation—is classic narcissistic supply-seeking behavior. The polling data provides external validation of dominance in the competitive hierarchy.

### Context
This was posted the day after the Paris terror attacks (Nov 13). The previous posts reference "Islamic terrorist" rhetoric and border security, suggesting Trump was leveraging the attacks. This polling post is relatively benign by comparison—pure self-congratulation.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Trump leads New Hampshire polls with 2nd place 17% behind" | **Mostly True** | Multiple November 2015 polls showed Trump leading NH by double digits, though exact margins varied by poll. A 17-point lead is within the range of contemporary polling. |

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 50%)

### Indicators

- Late evening posting (10:21 PM ET)
- Third-person reference to 'DonaldTrump' suggests shared/quoted content
- Clean grammar but enthusiastic tone
- Consistent with pattern of sharing favorable polls

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (New Hampshire polling data)

Sentiment: +0.80

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 5%
- Paranoid: 5%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 20%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- sharing polling data to create bandwagon effect
- framing competition as already decided

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-08._

> Trump leads New Hampshire polls with 2nd place 17% behind

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Multiple November 2015 polls showed Trump leading NH by double digits, though exact margins varied by poll. A 17-point lead is within the range of contemporary polling.

Sources: RealClearPolitics NH polling averages Nov 2015

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Tags

- supply-seeking (80%)
- polling (90%)
- primary-campaign (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**From Paris Terror to Petty Grudges: Opportunistic Grandiosity Dominates Post-Attack Day**

On November 15, 2015 — two days after the Paris terrorist attacks that killed 130 people — Trump's 24-post day reveals a psychologically coherent but morally dissonant pattern of opportunistic crisis exploitation interspersed with narcissistic supply-gathering. The day opens with late-night live-tweeting of the CBS Democratic debate (10:21 PM–12:27 AM EST on the evening of November 14), pivots to sustained demands that Obama use the phrase "radical Islamic terrorism," and culminates in an eight-minute rage micro-spiral against Vanity Fair editor Graydon Carter — a grudge rooted in a 1980s insult. The psychological through-line is uniformly grandiose: every post, whether mocking Democratic rivals, exploiting mass-casualty terrorism for political positioning, or attacking a magazine editor, serves the function of reinforcing the subject's self-image as uniquely prescient, dominant, and victimized.

The most clinically significant feature of the day is the seamless psychological continuity between posts exploiting 130 deaths for narcissistic supply (the "right again" vindication narrative in x_666021135897653248) and posts attacking a magazine editor over a decades-old slight (x_666039755038150656). This compartmentalization — the inability to sustain gravity proportionate to events — is characteristic of narcissistic personality organization. The day's two elevated-danger posts both involve refugee scapegoating and militaristic rhetoric ("BOMB THEIR OIL") during a moment of acute public fear, contributing to systematic dehumanization rather than direct incitement. Cognitive complexity remains low but stable throughout, consistent with campaign-mode messaging rather than deterioration.

Post frequency (24 posts across ~20.5 hours UTC, or ~17 hours in local time) is elevated but within normal campaign-season parameters, particularly given the live-debate context. The 12-post burst during the Democratic debate (70 minutes) reflects strategic engagement rather than disorganized hypomanic output. Sleep appears adequate, with a plausible window of approximately 7–8 hours between 1:20 AM and 9:18 AM EST.

Full digest for 2015-11-15: https://trump.fm/date/2015-11-15/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2015, November 15). Great news out of New Hampshire! DonaldTrump is... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_665731237487714304
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Great news out of New Hampshire! DonaldTrump is pulling..." X (Twitter), 15 Nov. 2015. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_665731237487714304. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Great news out of New Hampshire! DonaldTrump is pulling...," X (Twitter), November 15, 2015, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_665731237487714304.

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