# Post x_598587170249670656

- Post ID: `x_598587170249670656`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2015-05-13T20:34:37.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_598587170249670656
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_598587170249670656/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_598587170249670656.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Who ever heard of a legal conviction statement “more probable than not” against Tom Brady? Sue them, Tom, and make lots of $. @nfl

## Engagement

- Likes: 491
- Reposts: 388
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.353Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-07T04:29:30.376Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Tom Brady / Deflategate Post (3 of 3)

This is the third in a rapid series of posts defending Tom Brady against the NFL's Deflategate findings. Trump seizes on the evidentiary standard "more probable than not" used in the Wells Report, framing it as legally absurd and encouraging litigation.

**Context:** The NFL suspended Brady four games on May 11, 2015, based on the Wells Report's conclusion that it was "more probable than not" Brady was "generally aware" of ball deflation. Trump, a known Brady friend, posted three times in quick succession attacking the NFL.

**Authorship:** Posted at 4:34 PM ET (Trump likely in NYC pre-NH trip). Business hours but the informal tone, rhetorical question opener, and direct address to Brady suggest authentic Trump. The three-post volley on a single topic is characteristic of his reactive style.

**Psychological Notes:** Trump positions himself as legal advisor to a celebrity friend, displaying status signaling (I know Brady, I understand law better than NFL). The phrase "make lots of $" reveals his transactional worldview—justice = monetary outcome. This is parasocial alliance-building with a popular sports figure, useful for someone exploring a presidential run.

The "more probable than not" critique is rhetorically effective but misleading—this is the standard civil/preponderance standard used in most non-criminal proceedings, including NFL arbitration.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "The legal standard used was 'more probable than not'" | **True** | The Wells Report concluded it was 'more probable than not' that Brady was generally aware of ball deflation. This is the preponderance of evidence standard, standard for civil/arbitration proceedings. |

Overall Veracity: 100%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 80%)

### Indicators

- Business hours but informal tone
- Rhetorical question opener
- Direct address to public figure
- Part of rapid multi-post volley on same topic
- Colloquial phrasing ('make lots of $')

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Brady/Deflategate controversy)

Sentiment: -0.30

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 40%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 10%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- idealization (immature)
- devaluation (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 40%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct address to celebrity as peer
- Positioning self as advisor/helper

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-07._

> The legal standard used was 'more probable than not'

**TRUE**

The Wells Report concluded it was 'more probable than not' that Brady was generally aware of ball deflation. This is the preponderance of evidence standard, standard for civil/arbitration proceedings.

Sources: Wells Report (2015)

Overall Veracity: 100%

## Tags

- deflategate (100%)
- celebrity_alliance (80%)
- anti_institutional (60%)
- status_display (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Pre-Campaign Trump Seizes on Amtrak Crash to Audition as America's Builder-in-Chief**

On May 13, 2015 — roughly five weeks before his official presidential campaign announcement — Donald Trump produced a high-volume day of 30 posts (approximately 26 unique, with 4 apparent duplicates) dominated by a single, unwavering psychological state: grandiosity. The day's central narrative thread was infrastructure decay, triggered by the Amtrak Train 188 derailment in Philadelphia the previous evening. Trump seized on the tragedy with remarkable speed, pivoting within two hours of the crash to a sustained campaign of self-promotion as the uniquely qualified "builder" who could repair America's crumbling roads, bridges, airports, and electric grid. Only one post across the entire day registered any rage (0.50), and no posts reached elevated danger levels, making this a strategically disciplined — if relentlessly self-aggrandizing — day of messaging.

The day's architecture reveals a disciplined three-act structure: an evening session (8:12–11:27 PM EDT on May 12) establishing the crisis narrative and attacking Jeb Bush; a morning burst (8:18–9:41 AM EDT) escalating the builder-identity claims to peak grandiosity; and an afternoon block (12:18–6:18 PM EDT) shifting to campaign logistics for an upcoming New Hampshire trip and a three-post burst defending Tom Brady against the NFL's Deflategate suspension. The consistency of tone and theme, combined with the opportunistic exploitation of a national tragedy, suggests either careful strategic planning or deeply internalized campaign instincts operating on autopilot. Notably, Trump did not engage with any of the day's most significant international events — the Karachi bus massacre, the Manila factory fire, or the Obama-Gulf summit — focusing exclusively on domestic themes that served his emerging candidacy.

The posting pattern shows no evidence of sleep deprivation (approximately 9-hour gap between last evening post and first morning post), no hypomanic indicators, and no escalation into rage spirals. The day's most striking psychological feature is the sheer volume and consistency of narcissistic supply-seeking: 17 of 30 posts were coded as supply-seeking triggers, including five retweets of supporter praise and multiple self-referential claims of unique competence. This represents a textbook pre-campaign narcissistic maintenance day — harvesting affirmation while stress-testing campaign themes against real-world events.

Full digest for 2015-05-13: https://trump.fm/date/2015-05-13/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2015, May 13). Who ever heard of a legal conviction statement... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_598587170249670656
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Who ever heard of a legal conviction statement “more..." X (Twitter), 13 May. 2015. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_598587170249670656. Accessed 10 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Who ever heard of a legal conviction statement “more...," X (Twitter), May 13, 2015, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_598587170249670656.

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