# Post x_598007240847728640

- Post ID: `x_598007240847728640`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2015-05-12T06:10:11.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no, but it quotes a tweet by @ByronYork
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_598007240847728640
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_598007240847728640/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_598007240847728640.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

_Quotes @ByronYork, pasted in quotation marks the way early X retweets were made by hand. The words in quotation marks are @ByronYork's, not his; a reply of his, if any, follows the closing mark._

> "@ByronYork: Donald Trump is rising in NH, IA. What's going on? http://t.co/MsPEKCaIML"

## Engagement

- Likes: 33
- Reposts: 15
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.353Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-07T04:26:34.668Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Retweet of Byron York on Rising Poll Numbers

This post is a quote-retweet of Washington Examiner columnist Byron York reporting on Trump's rising poll numbers in New Hampshire and Iowa — key early primary states. This is part of a cluster of poll-related retweets on the same day (see also the Bloomberg poll retweet), occurring roughly one month before Trump's June 16, 2015 presidential announcement.

### Authorship
Posted at 2:10 AM ET (Trump based in New York). Classic late-night/early-morning posting window. The format is a simple quote-retweet with no added commentary, consistent with Trump's habitual late-night scrolling and amplifying favorable coverage.

### Psychological State
This is straightforward narcissistic supply-seeking — curating and amplifying third-party validation of his political viability. The selection of a credible conservative journalist (York) rather than a random supporter adds authority-borrowing. Paired with the same-day devaluation of Chris Cillizza ("dumber and least respected... Moron"), this reveals classic splitting: journalists who validate him are signal-boosted; those who don't are attacked.

### Rhetorical Function
The implied question "What's going on?" serves as a teaser — it frames Trump's rise as a phenomenon requiring explanation, generating curiosity and positioning him as a force of nature rather than a conventional candidate.

### Context
This is pre-announcement exploratory phase behavior — testing the waters, building narrative momentum, establishing poll credibility before formally entering the race.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Trump rising in NH and IA polls" | **True** | Bloomberg Politics poll from this period showed Trump polling competitively among GOP candidates, consistent with multiple contemporaneous reports |

Overall Veracity: 100%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 85%)

### Indicators

- 2:10 AM ET posting time
- Simple retweet format consistent with late-night browsing
- No added commentary beyond quote

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Byron York column on rising poll numbers)

Sentiment: +0.60

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 20%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- authority borrowing
- third-party validation

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-07._

> Trump rising in NH and IA polls

**TRUE**

Bloomberg Politics poll from this period showed Trump polling competitively among GOP candidates, consistent with multiple contemporaneous reports

Sources: Bloomberg Politics poll May 2015

Overall Veracity: 100%

## Tags

- supply-seeking (80%)
- poll-amplification (90%)
- pre-announcement (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Pre-Campaign Runway: Late-Night Poll Celebration, Lone Media Attack, and a Day of Brand-Building in the Shadow of Unmentioned Tragedies**

On May 12, 2015 — five weeks before his formal presidential announcement — Donald Trump produced 25 posts across a 17.5-hour UTC window (1:10 AM to 6:40 PM Eastern). The day was overwhelmingly grandiose (23 of 25 posts) with only one genuine rage episode: a 1:44 AM attack on Washington Post journalist Chris Cillizza that spiked to 0.70 rage intensity but did not escalate into a spiral. The dominant psychological function was narcissistic supply-seeking, with Trump retweeting poll numbers, supporter endorsements, and flattering media coverage at a pace consistent with pre-candidacy momentum-building. The single rage post appears triggered by Cillizza's coverage of Trump's rising poll numbers — paradoxically, the very data Trump was celebrating in adjacent posts — suggesting the injury was not about the polls themselves but about perceived disrespect in the framing.

The day's most notable structural feature is a late-night posting cluster from 1:10 AM to 2:15 AM EDT (7 posts in 65 minutes), followed by approximately 6 hours and 45 minutes of silence presumably for sleep, before resuming at 9:00 AM. The afternoon saw a dense burst of 13 posts between 2:09 PM and 4:35 PM EDT, many with very low authorship scores (0.10–0.30), indicating heavy staff involvement in scheduling entrepreneurial platitudes, brand promotions, and campaign-positioning content. Two posts appear to be exact duplicates re-posted later in the evening (the Reagan comparison and the entrepreneur "big picture" post), suggesting either a scheduling tool error or intentional repetition for reach.

Strikingly absent from the day's output is any mention of two major events occurring on this date: the catastrophic Amtrak 188 derailment in Philadelphia (killing 8 people in a city 90 miles from Trump Tower) and a devastating 7.3 magnitude aftershock in Nepal (killing over 150). For someone positioning himself as a national leader, the complete omission of both tragedies — while finding time for three posts of generic entrepreneurial advice and multiple Tom Brady defenses — is psychologically consistent with a narcissistic framework in which external suffering holds no utility unless it can be instrumentalized for self-aggrandizement.

Full digest for 2015-05-12: https://trump.fm/date/2015-05-12/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2015, May 12). "@ByronYork: Donald Trump is rising in NH, IA.... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_598007240847728640
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. ""@ByronYork: Donald Trump is rising in NH, IA. What's going..." X (Twitter), 12 May. 2015. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_598007240847728640. Accessed 18 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, ""@ByronYork: Donald Trump is rising in NH, IA. What's going...," X (Twitter), May 12, 2015, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_598007240847728640.

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