# Post x_384780213990613000 - Post ID: `x_384780213990613000` - Platform: X (Twitter) - Posted: 2013-10-01T00:42:06.000Z (UTC) - Deleted: no - Repost: no - Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_384780213990613000 - Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_384780213990613000/analysis - Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_384780213990613000.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording) ## Post text > Since stop &, frisk was struck down, gun shootings &, victims have spiked-- while gun seizures have decreased. http://t.co/aIUe2dSaNf ## Engagement - Likes: 0 - Reposts: 65 - Replies: 0 - Views: unknown - Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:33:24.897Z (UTC) # Analysis _Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-02-26T17:02:28.153Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._ ## Summary Late-evening EDT post responding to the August 2013 *Floyd v. NYC* stop-and-frisk ruling. Trump leverages short-window crime data — a 2.3% increase in shootings characterized as a "spike" — to argue the constitutional ruling created a public safety catastrophe, omitting long-term data showing crime continued to decline afterward. The near-duplicate encoding variant of an earlier same-day tweet (comma for semicolon in HTML entity) strongly supports authentic authorship: an aide would not produce an encoding regression on a deliberate re-post. The post represents maintenance/supply-seeking behavior — early brand-building as a law-and-order political commentator. Psychologically, it exhibits low-level antisocial schema (civil rights concerns dismissed as obstacles to safety), splitting (frisk-enabled order vs. frisk-removed chaos), and rationalization via cherry-picked statistics. No acute narcissistic injury, no rage, no cognitive markers of concern. Danger level is elevated due to promotion of racially discriminatory policing through misleading statistics. Historically notable as an early documented instance of the rhetorical pattern Trump would amplify into explicit national policy advocacy during the 2016 campaign. ## Post Analysis: October 1, 2013 (UTC) / September 30, 2013 — 8:42 PM EDT ### Authorship & Timing UTC 2013-10-01T00:42:06Z converts to **8:42 PM EDT on September 30, 2013** — squarely in Trump's characteristic late-evening posting window. The encoding artifact `&,` (comma substituting for semicolon in the HTML entity) is a hallmark of unmediated direct composition. Critically, this is a near-duplicate of an earlier September 30 tweet with correct `&` encoding, strongly suggesting Trump manually re-typed or re-sent the message and introduced an incidental typo — a behavioral signature consistent with impulsive, unmediated posting. No aide would produce an encoding regression on a deliberate re-post. Authenticity confidence: **high**. ### Content & Context The post responds to *Floyd v. City of New York* (decided August 12, 2013), in which Judge Scheindlin ruled the NYPD's stop-and-frisk program unconstitutional under the Fourth Amendment (unreasonable searches) and Fourteenth Amendment (systematic racial discrimination). Seven weeks after the ruling, Trump frames the decision as a public safety catastrophe, using short-window crime data to claim causation. ### Rhetorical Architecture The post employs a compressed *post hoc ergo propter hoc* construction — the causal link between the ruling and crime increase is asserted as self-evident rather than argued. The word **"spiked"** hyperbolizes what fact-checking reveals to be a 2.3% short-term uptick in shootings (312 vs. 305 in a comparable 3-month window) — within normal variance, not a spike. Long-term data (Brennan Center) shows crime continued to decline after stop-and-frisk ended, directly contradicting the narrative. The linked article appears to source sympathetic short-window reporting. Three-beat rhetorical structure: 1. **Causal premise**: "Since stop & frisk was struck down..." 2. **Negative consequence**: "gun shootings & victims have spiked" 3. **Contrasting loss**: "gun seizures have decreased" 4. **External validation**: linked article ### Multi-Level Personality Analysis **Level 1 (Traits):** Low agreeableness is most salient — civil liberties and documented racial discrimination are entirely absent from the framing. High assertiveness (extraversion facet). Low openness to alternative interpretations of the data or the ruling's constitutional rationale. **Level 2 (Motives):** Dominant agency motive — specifically *power* expressed as advocacy for expansive state coercive authority. Security-through-domination schema: policing as control mechanism; legal constraints as obstacles to that control. Communion motives nominally invoked (public safety) but instrumentally, not empathically. **Level 3 (Narrative):** Trump positions himself as a clear-eyed realist who sees what credentialed institutions (courts, civil rights advocates) cannot or will not see. Contamination sequence: *good policing order (stop-and-frisk) dismantled by ideological judiciary → safety deteriorates*. Contrasting other: the liberal judicial and civil liberties establishment. **Level 4 (Clinical):** Not clinically remarkable in isolation. This is **maintenance/supply-seeking** posting — political brand-building as an astute commentator. Selective use of statistics to justify support for a program found unconstitutional on racial grounds is consistent with subdued antisocial features (civil rights as competing values to be dismissed), but intensity is low. ### Narcissistic Dynamics No narcissistic injury trigger is evident. This is primarily **maintenance and supply-seeking** — positioning as politically informed ahead of any official candidacy. Narcissistic state is **mildly grandiose**: implicit claim to superior vision compared to the courts. No rage indicators. Proportionality normal for political commentary. ### Cognitive Assessment No language production markers of concern. The `&,` is a mechanical/platform error, not a linguistic production error. Argument structure is clear. Syntactic complexity is appropriately constrained by Twitter's 140-character format. Consistent with Trump's established circa-2013 baseline. No deviation noted. ### Fact Verification | Claim | Verdict | Evidence | |-------|---------|----------| | "Since stop & frisk was struck down" | **True** | Floyd v. City of New York was decided August 12, 2013. Judge Scheindlin ruled the NYPD's stop-and-frisk program violated the Fourth Amendment (unreasonable searches) and Fourteenth Amendment (systematic racial discrimination). | | "Gun shootings & victims have spiked" | **Mostly False** | In the three months following the ruling, shootings increased by approximately 2.3% (312 vs. 305 in a comparable period) — a modest fluctuation within normal variance, not a spike. Long-term Brennan Center data shows crime, including murder rates, continued to decline after stop-and-frisk ended, directly contradicting the causal narrative. | | "Gun seizures have decreased" | **Half True** | Reports indicated approximately a 12% drop in gun confiscations in three months post-ruling. However, stop-and-frisk had an extremely low yield — weapons recovered in only 1.5% of frisks out of 4.4 million stops over 8 years — and long-term crime trends contradict the implied safety relationship. | Overall Veracity: 57% ## Authorship Analysis **Self-Written** (score: 74%) ### Indicators - Timestamp converts to 8:42 PM EDT — late-evening window consistent with authentic Trump posting - Encoding error &, (comma instead of semicolon) — mechanical typo inconsistent with aide preparation - Near-duplicate of September 30 tweet with correct encoding, suggesting impulsive manual re-post - Double-dash (--) stylistic marker characteristic of Trump's direct Twitter composition - Content aligns with Trump's vocal personal position on stop-and-frisk ## Psychological Profile ### State **Grandiose State** **Trigger:** Maintenance (Floyd v. City of New York ruling (August 12, 2013) and subsequent short-term crime reporting) Sentiment: -0.35 ### Clinical **Malignant Narcissism:** - Narcissistic: 25% - Antisocial: 30% - Paranoid: 10% - Sadism: 5% **Defense Mechanisms:** - rationalization (neurotic) - splitting (immature) - denial (pathological) **Cognitive Complexity:** - Complexity: 32% **Parasocial Techniques:** - Positioning as informed political commentator with access to data the audience may lack - Implicit invitation to share outrage over the ruling's consequences - External article link creates appearance of evidence-based authority and serious engagement ## Danger Assessment **ELEVATED** ### Indicators - Advocates for reinstatement of policing program ruled unconstitutional on racial discrimination grounds, using misleading statistics to delegitimize the ruling - Rhetorical pattern — leveraging short-term data to discredit civil rights legal outcomes — would be amplified at national scale in 2016 campaign - Normalizes dismissal of constitutional civil rights protections as secondary to security preferences ## Fact Checks (3) _The model's verdicts from 2026-02-26._ > Since stop & frisk was struck down **TRUE** Floyd v. City of New York was decided August 12, 2013. Judge Scheindlin ruled the NYPD's stop-and-frisk program violated the Fourth Amendment (unreasonable searches) and Fourteenth Amendment (systematic racial discrimination). Sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Floyd_v._City_of_New_York; https://ccrjustice.org/home/what-we-do/our-cases/floyd-et-al-v-city-new-york-et-al > Gun shootings & victims have spiked **MOSTLY FALSE** In the three months following the ruling, shootings increased by approximately 2.3% (312 vs. 305 in a comparable period) — a modest fluctuation within normal variance, not a spike. Long-term Brennan Center data shows crime, including murder rates, continued to decline after stop-and-frisk ended, directly contradicting the causal narrative. Sources: https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/ending-new-yorks-stop-and-frisk-did-not-increase-crime; https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/nov/18/nypd-banned-stop-and-frisk-warns-12-percent-drop-g/ > Gun seizures have decreased **HALF TRUE** Reports indicated approximately a 12% drop in gun confiscations in three months post-ruling. However, stop-and-frisk had an extremely low yield — weapons recovered in only 1.5% of frisks out of 4.4 million stops over 8 years — and long-term crime trends contradict the implied safety relationship. Sources: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/nov/18/nypd-banned-stop-and-frisk-warns-12-percent-drop-g/; https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/fact-sheet-stop-and-frisks-effect-crime-new-york-city Overall Veracity: 57% ## Tags - stop-and-frisk (92%) - law-and-order (88%) - misleading-statistics (82%) - cherry-picked-data (78%) - NYC-policing (80%) - pre-presidential-positioning (72%) - civil-liberties-dismissal (68%) - contamination-narrative (65%) ## That day _From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._ **Shutdown Savior in Prototype: Trump Harvests Day-One Government Crisis to Assemble "I Alone Can Fix It" Identity Three Years Early** October 1, 2013 — the first day of the 16-day federal government shutdown — functioned as a catalyst event that concentrated Trump's nascent political identity with unusual clarity across 26 posts spanning 8:38 PM EDT (September 30) through 7:01 PM EDT (October 1). The day's dominant operations were twofold: authenticated political commentary attacking the shutdown through projection and factual distortion, and systematic narcissistic supply collection in which followers provided the "I alone can fix it" grandiose claim while Trump validated and re-broadcast it. Five fans who called for his presidential candidacy were retweeted or quote-affirmed within a single morning, with authorship scores of 0.70–0.92 confirming authentic Trump engagement. The result is the clearest documented early prototype of the 2016 campaign's central identity claim, assembled spontaneously three years before its formal RNC deployment. The psychological state was uniformly grandiose throughout, with a single brief rage excursion at 6:27 AM EDT (x_384987984342581248) triggered by John McCain's public defeatism about the shutdown fight — a defeat-by-proxy narcissistic injury producing mild splitting and projection before rapid return to baseline. Most clinically significant is the 3:20–3:21 AM EDT posting window (x_384940804042932224, x_384941124626173953): Trump amplified fan pleas for his presidential candidacy at his highest authorship-confidence scores of the day, at an hour when normal adult sleep should be occurring. This late-night supply collection on the night the shutdown began constitutes the clearest hypomanic-adjacent behavioral indicator of the day, though full hypomanic episode criteria are not met given the brevity of the burst and the measured, non-expansive content throughout. The day's factual record is poor: three claims are false or significantly misleading, yielding a composite veracity score of approximately 0.41. Notable patterns include textbook projection in the shutdown blame attribution (x_385106796500635648), constitutional misdirection in the Obama budget claim (x_385107274357694464), and misleading statistical framing in the stop-and-frisk post (x_384780213990613000). Two near-duplicate posts appear with encoding variants (x_385106796500635650 mirroring x_385106796500635648; x_385117307975905300 mirroring x_385117307975905280), likely technical re-posts rather than intentional repetition. The maximum danger level is elevated, driven by promotion of racially discriminatory policing through cherry-picked statistics and the institutional trust erosion embedded in the proto-campaign supply-collection framing. Full digest for 2013-10-01: https://trump.fm/date/2013-10-01/analysis ## Citation - APA: Trump, D. J. (2013, October 1). Since stop &, frisk was struck down, gun... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_384780213990613000 - MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Since stop &, frisk was struck down, gun shootings &,..." X (Twitter), 1 Oct. 2013. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_384780213990613000. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026. - Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Since stop &, frisk was struck down, gun shootings &,...," X (Twitter), October 1, 2013, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_384780213990613000. ## For agents - Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt - API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json - MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth) - This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/x_384780213990613000 - Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/x_384780213990613000 - All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/x_384780213990613000 - Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2013-10-01 - The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/x_384780213990613000.md?analysis=false _Markdown view of a trump.fm page. Post, analysis, date, feed, contradictions, search and about pages answer in markdown at their URL with `.md` appended (`/index.md` for the home page), or when sent `Accept: text/markdown`._