# Post x_335240447599468544 - Post ID: `x_335240447599468544` - Platform: X (Twitter) - Posted: 2013-05-17T03:48:45.000Z (UTC) - Deleted: no - Repost: no, but it quotes a tweet by @ChrisLeahey1 - Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_335240447599468544 - Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_335240447599468544/analysis - Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_335240447599468544.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording) ## Post text _Quotes @ChrisLeahey1, pasted in quotation marks the way early X retweets were made by hand. The words in quotation marks are @ChrisLeahey1's, not his; a reply of his, if any, follows the closing mark._ > "@ChrisLeahey1: @realDonaldTrump Do you see President Obama surviving these scandals ?" Sadly yes, but he will never be the same! ## Engagement - Likes: 15 - Reposts: 25 - Replies: 0 - Views: unknown - Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.295Z (UTC) # Analysis _Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-02-23T05:00:02.782Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._ ## Summary A brief, late-night authentic post representing textbook supply-seeking: a follower solicits Trump's oracle judgment on Obama's scandal survival; Trump accepts the invitation with characteristic two-clause efficiency. The 'Sadly' construction is the most psychologically revealing element — performing reluctant objectivity while the underlying affect is quiet schadenfreude, consistent with ego-syntonic pleasure at a disliked rival's difficulties rather than reactive rage. This controlled savoring is characterologically notable. The post places Trump in a mildly grandiose 'Realist Oracle' narrative role — a proto-political commentator building credibility and audience ahead of any formal political ambitions. No rage, no dehumanization, no danger indicators. Mild narcissistic supply-seeking with status-motive dominance, consistent with the 2013 baseline. Trump's prediction proved overstated: Obama's approval dropped measurably in the scandal period but he left office in 2017 with ~60% approval, directly contradicting the 'never be the same' prophecy. ## Psychological Analysis: x_335240447599468544 ### Authorship Attribution The UTC timestamp (03:48:45, May 17 2013) converts to **11:48 PM EDT** in New York City, where Trump was almost certainly based — Trump Tower was his primary residence, and May 2013 found him in pre-campaign commentator mode with no documented travel on this date. The post falls squarely in the late-night authentic window (10 PM–6 AM local). Stylistic markers reinforce authenticity: quote-tweet reply to a named follower, punchy two-clause structure, emotional undertone that stops short of full polish — not an aide's draft. **High confidence: authentic Trump.** --- ### Contextual Frame The post occurs during a compressed multi-scandal moment for the Obama administration: the IRS Inspector General report (released May 14, confirming Tea Party targeting), the DOJ/AP phone-records revelation (broken May 13), Benghazi subcommittee activity, and Acting IRS Commissioner Steven Miller's forced resignation (May 15). Obama's approval rating was measurably softening — from ~53% in early May to ~45% by early June. Trump is responding to a direct follower solicitation, a characteristic supply-seeking dynamic. --- ### Level 1: Dispositional Traits - **Low agreeableness**: No empathy extended toward Obama; political difficulties are analyzed as spectacle. - **High extraversion (assertiveness)**: Confident political pronouncement, unhesitating. - **Moderate neuroticism (hostile affect)**: Restrained here but present as quiet relish. - **Low openness**: Rigid prior schema — Obama was always going to falter; scandals merely confirm it. - **Low conscientiousness**: Brief, reactive, undeliberated. --- ### Level 2: Characteristic Adaptations **Agency motive (status/power)** dominates. Trump is not merely commenting; he is positioning himself as a legitimate political authority whose assessments of presidential survival carry weight. The follower's question functions as an invitation to perform expertise. The implicit schema: *Obama is fundamentally overrated; only I see it clearly.* --- ### Level 3: Narrative Identity - **Protagonist role**: The Realist Oracle — outside the political game, seeing clearly what players inside cannot admit. - **Narrative sequence**: Contamination — Obama's inflated standing is now being exposed. - **Identity claims**: "I am a credible political analyst. My predictions matter." - **Contrasting other**: Obama — the seemingly powerful figure now reduced by his own failures. --- ### Level 4: Clinical Indicators **Narcissistic dynamics**: Supply-seeking trigger — follower directly solicits oracle judgment, providing a clean supply opportunity. State is mildly grandiose, expansive, unhurried. Notably, **rage is absent**; the tone is closer to quiet satisfaction — ego-syntonic pleasure in a disliked rival's difficulties rather than reactive rage. This controlled savoring is in some ways more characterologically revealing than the louder posts. **Defense mechanisms**: The word "Sadly" is doing substantial psychological work — rationalization performing reluctant objectivity as a credibility marker while masking the actual affect (schadenfreude). The immediate pivot to prophetic devaluation ("but he will never be the same!") is mild passive aggression: conceding the surface point while denying the underlying stature. --- ### Rhetorical Analysis The post's primary technique is **false reluctance**: "Sadly" signals ostensible regret while telegraphing its opposite. The prophetic close ("he will never be the same") is unfalsifiable in the short term and self-flattering if directionally correct — a low-risk oracle move. The public reply to a named follower enacts parasocial intimacy at scale: one follower is addressed, thousands overhear, all feel included. --- ### Archetypal Reading This embodies a restrained **King/commentator** posture — not yet the Warrior or Savior archetypes that will dominate from 2015 onward. The Trickster is dormant; this is measured authority rather than chaos. Trump presents as the wise observer above the fray who can read what participants cannot. --- ### Order/Chaos Dynamics Trump positions himself as **order analyst**: interpreting disruption in Obama's presidency from a calm remove. He is not causing chaos here; he is *interpreting* it for his audience — an elevation move that places him outside and above the mess. --- ### Longitudinal Note Same-day posts form a characteristic 2013 cluster: rapid follower engagement, brief validation exchanges ("Thanks Mike," "Wow, great!"), occasional combativeness ("you are soooo stupid!"). The Obama commentary is the most politically substantive entry — representative of the proto-political-commentator phase that will eventually produce the 2015 campaign announcement. This is audience-building through performed oracle credibility. --- ### Cognitive Status No markers of concern. Syntactically coherent, contextually appropriate. Complexity is low but appropriate to the Twitter reply genre. Consistent with 2013 baseline. ## Fact Verification | Claim | Verdict | Evidence | |-------|---------|----------| | "Obama will survive these scandals" | **True** | Obama served two full terms, completing his presidency in January 2017. The concurrent IRS targeting, DOJ/AP phone records, and Benghazi controversies caused measurable approval drops (53% to ~45%) but produced no lasting constitutional or electoral consequence. | | "Obama will never be the same after these scandals" | **Mostly False** | Obama's approval did drop from ~53% to ~45% in May-June 2013 and remained suppressed through parts of his second term. However, he left office in January 2017 with approximately 59-60% approval ratings and retains substantial public standing. The scandals produced temporary damage, not the permanent diminishment Trump's prophecy implied. | Overall Veracity: 60% ## Authorship Analysis **Self-Written** (score: 88%) ### Indicators - 11:48 PM EDT local time — well within the authentic late-night posting window - Quote-tweet reply to individual named follower — characteristic 2013 engagement pattern - Punchy two-clause structure consistent with authentic Trump voice - Emotionally reactive but controlled — insufficiently polished for aide drafting - No event announcement, schedule, or formal formatting — rules out Scavino template style ## Psychological Profile ### State **Grandiose State** **Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Follower ChrisLeahey1 directly soliciting Trump's political opinion on Obama's scandal survival) Sentiment: -0.35 ### Clinical **Malignant Narcissism:** - Narcissistic: 32% - Antisocial: 5% - Paranoid: 4% - Sadism: 10% **Defense Mechanisms:** - rationalization (neurotic) - passive aggression (immature) **Cognitive Complexity:** - Complexity: 32% **Parasocial Techniques:** - Named-follower public reply broadcast to thousands — simulating one-on-one intimacy at scale while performing for the crowd - Oracle invitation accepted without ceremony — reinforces follower investment and perceived special access to Trump's private views ## Fact Checks (2) _The model's verdicts from 2026-02-23._ > Obama will survive these scandals **TRUE** Obama served two full terms, completing his presidency in January 2017. The concurrent IRS targeting, DOJ/AP phone records, and Benghazi controversies caused measurable approval drops (53% to ~45%) but produced no lasting constitutional or electoral consequence. Sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IRS_targeting_controversy; https://www.cnn.com/2013/12/20/politics/obama-bad-year > Obama will never be the same after these scandals **MOSTLY FALSE** Obama's approval did drop from ~53% to ~45% in May-June 2013 and remained suppressed through parts of his second term. However, he left office in January 2017 with approximately 59-60% approval ratings and retains substantial public standing. The scandals produced temporary damage, not the permanent diminishment Trump's prophecy implied. Sources: https://dailycaller.com/2013/05/30/scandals-hammer-obamas-approval-ratings/; https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/obama-ecomomy-approval-benghazi-469645 Overall Veracity: 60% ## Tags - political-commentary (90%) - supply-seeking (82%) - oracle-positioning (78%) - schadenfreude (72%) - false-reluctance (68%) - grandiose-mild (55%) - obama-rivalry (80%) - late-night-authentic (88%) - proto-political-identity (62%) ## That day _From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._ **Late-Night Fan Court, Dawn Military Fixation, and the "Not Me of Course" Self-Portrait** Trump spent the evening engaging fans, accepting presidential encouragement, and firing off insults at critics before a short night's sleep. He woke early and fixated on the military sexual assault crisis, posting nine times on the topic while weaving in attacks on political correctness and an unprompted denial that he himself could ever be an abuser. The day's sharpest moment was a morning broadside against journalist Jonathan Chait, calling him a "no-talent illiterate hack." The rest of the afternoon was devoted to promoting the Celebrity Apprentice finale, with the tone settling into routine brand maintenance. Full digest for 2013-05-17: https://trump.fm/date/2013-05-17/analysis ## Citation - APA: Trump, D. J. (2013, May 17). "@ChrisLeahey1: @realDonaldTrump Do you see... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_335240447599468544 - MLA: Trump, Donald J. ""@ChrisLeahey1: @realDonaldTrump Do you see President Obama..." X (Twitter), 17 May. 2013. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_335240447599468544. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026. - Chicago: Donald J. Trump, ""@ChrisLeahey1: @realDonaldTrump Do you see President Obama...," X (Twitter), May 17, 2013, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_335240447599468544. ## For agents - Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt - API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json - MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth) - This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/x_335240447599468544 - Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/x_335240447599468544 - All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/x_335240447599468544 - Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2013-05-17 - The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/x_335240447599468544.md?analysis=false _Markdown view of a trump.fm page. Post, analysis, date, feed, contradictions, search and about pages answer in markdown at their URL with `.md` appended (`/index.md` for the home page), or when sent `Accept: text/markdown`._