# Post x_263750452477321200

- Post ID: `x_263750452477321200`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2012-11-01T01:13:02.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_263750452477321200
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_263750452477321200/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_263750452477321200.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> ""The successful man will profit from his mistakes and try again in a different way."" -- Dale Carnegie

## Engagement

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- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:33:24.864Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-02-13T06:25:01.339Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

This November 1, 2012 post captures Trump in a narcissistic injury recovery cycle following his failed  million publicity stunt. Posted at 8:13 PM EST as part of an active tweeting sequence, the Dale Carnegie quote serves as rationalization defense—reframing public humiliation as a "learning experience" for a "successful man."  The temporal context is crucial: Obama was receiving widespread praise for his Hurricane Sandy leadership, while Trump's "birther" demand was ridiculed. Trump's contemptuous tweet—"Obama is now standing in a puddle acting like a President"—reveals the narcissistic wound: Obama commands presidential gravitas that Trump desperately craves but cannot achieve.  The post demonstrates splitting (Obama = fraudulent performer; Trump = persistent success), displacement (rage at own failure redirected at Obama's legitimate duties), and gaslighting (Obama's presidential role reframed as "acting"). The phrase "standing in a puddle" pathologically minimizes catastrophic hurricane devastation affecting millions, erasing human suffering to serve narcissistic needs.  Personality assessment shows very low agreeableness (zero empathy for disaster victims), high neuroticism/angry hostility (contemptuous rage at being ignored), and agency/power motives (compulsion to force presidential compliance). The malignant narcissism constellation is evident: grandiose entitlement (president must respond to private citizen's demands), paranoid projection (everyone is deceived except Trump), and antisocial features (persistent promotion of known falsehoods).  The Dale Carnegie quote represents a narrative identity redemption sequence—Trump recasts himself as the protagonist who "learns from mistakes and tries again in a different way," implicitly threatening continued harassment. This is not genuine reflection but grandiosity restoration after narcissistic injury, with the quote serving as cognitive buffer against acknowledging failure.  Most concerning is the epistemic infrastructure being built: followers must accept that objective reality (devastating hurricane + federal response = presidential duty) is actually political theater. This reality-distortion framework, while not immediately dangerous, establishes epistemic closure that can enable future radicalization by normalizing the rejection of observable facts.

# Psychological Analysis: Dale Carnegie Quote (November 1, 2012)  ## Historical & Political Context  On November 1, 2012, the United States was five days before a closely contested presidential election between Obama and Romney. [Polling showed the race dead even](https://news.gallup.com/poll/158519/romney-obama-gallup-final-election-survey.aspx), with Romney at 49% and Obama at 48% among likely voters.   Hurricane Sandy had struck the East Coast on October 29, 2012, and President Obama received widespread praise for his federal disaster response. Obama's [highly visible visit to New Jersey](https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2012/10/31/president-obama-new-jersey-we-are-here-you) to survey damage with Governor Chris Christie was seen as [politically beneficial, with polling showing a six-point increase in the East](https://news.gallup.com/poll/158519/romney-obama-gallup-final-election-survey.aspx) between October 22-28 and November 1-4.  On October 24, 2012, Trump had made a ["major announcement"](https://www.cnbc.com/2012/10/24/trump-offers-5-million-if-obama-releases-records.html) offering  million to charity if Obama released his college records and passport applications—part of his ongoing "birther" conspiracy campaign. The offer was [largely ridiculed](https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/donald-trump-fails-drop-bombshell-offers-cash-obama/story?id=17553670) and Obama mocked it on The Tonight Show.  ## Authorship Attribution  **Assessment: Authentic Trump (High Confidence)**  **Timestamp Analysis:** - UTC: 1:13 AM (November 1, 2012) - Trump was almost certainly in New York during this period (his primary residence) - EST conversion: **8:13 PM** (October 31, 2012, evening - prime Trump tweeting hours)  **Stylistic Indicators:** - Quotation format is somewhat polished BUT: - The placement in a rage sequence (see previous posts same day) - The psychological function (deflection/rationalization) - The timing (evening, active tweeting period) - The manual selection of this particular quote  **Confidence: 75% authentic Trump** - The quote itself may have been found by an aide, but Trump selected and posted it himself as part of his active rage-posting session on November 1st.  ## Temporal Sequence & Psychological Trigger  This post must be understood within its **temporal context**—it appears in a sequence:  1. Earlier Nov 1: "President Obama, please take the M check..." (pleading) 2. Earlier Nov 1: "...I will substantially increase the M offer!" (upping the ante) 3. Earlier Nov 1: "A lot of people are concerned about which charity..." (defensiveness) 4. Earlier Nov 1: **"Obama is now standing in a puddle acting like a President--give me a break."** (contemptuous rage) 5. **8:13 PM Nov 1: Dale Carnegie quote about learning from mistakes** (THIS POST)  ## Narcissistic Dynamics  ### Trigger: Narcissistic Injury (Severe)  **Type: Exposure + Defeat**  Trump experienced a **double narcissistic injury**:  1. **Public Humiliation**: His [ million offer was widely mocked](https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/donald-trump-fails-drop-bombshell-offers-cash-obama/story?id=17553670) as a publicity stunt that failed 2. **Displacement**: Obama's Hurricane Sandy response was garnering universal praise and likely improving his electoral prospects, while Trump's "bombshell" landed with a thud 3. **Upstaged**: Obama was being called "presidential" for disaster response while Trump looked petty and desperate  **Source of Injury:** Obama ignored Trump's demand entirely, instead appearing "presidential" during Hurricane Sandy response, receiving praise that Trump craves but cannot command.  ### Narcissistic State: Transitional (Vulnerable → Grandiose Restoration)  The earlier posts show **vulnerable narcissism** (pleading, increasing offers, defensiveness, rage). This quote represents an **attempt to shift back to grandiose state** through rationalization.  ### Rage Assessment  **Present:** Yes (earlier in sequence)   **Intensity:** 6/10   **Target:** Obama   **Proportionality:** 0.2/10 (Obama simply ignored Trump while doing his job)  The "standing in a puddle acting like a President" tweet reveals Trump's contemptuous fury that Obama is receiving praise for hurricane response.  ## Defense Mechanisms (Vaillant's Hierarchy)  ### Primary Defense: Rationalization (Neurotic Level 3)  The Dale Carnegie quote serves as **post-hoc rationalization** for Trump's failed  million publicity stunt. The quote reframes failure as: - Not failure, but "mistakes" that successful men learn from - Part of a journey toward success - Evidence of persistence and resilience  **Evidence:** The quote is deployed after a sequence of escalating, unsuccessful attempts to get Obama's attention. Rather than acknowledge the stunt failed, Trump reframes it as a learning experience.  ### Secondary Defense: Displacement (Neurotic Level 3)  **Evidence:** The "standing in a puddle" comment displaces Trump's rage about his own failure onto contempt for Obama's disaster response. Obama's genuine presidential responsibilities (hurricane relief) are mocked because they highlight Trump's inability to command similar gravitas or attention.  ### Tertiary Defense: Splitting (Immature Level 2)  **Evidence in sequence:** - Obama = Bad ("acting like a President"—implying he isn't one) - Trump/Self = Good (the persistent, successful man who learns from mistakes)  The phrase "acting like a President" employs splitting—Obama cannot be genuinely presidential; he must be fraudulent, performing, "acting."  ## Archetypal Analysis  ### Primary Archetype: The Trickster (Wounded)  The Dale Carnegie quote represents the **Trickster attempting to recover from a failed trick**. When a trickster's scheme backfires, there's a moment of vulnerability before the next scheme begins.  This quote is the **inter-scheme recovery moment**—Trump signals he's not defeated, just learning for the next attempt.  ### Contrasting Archetype: The False King  "Standing in a puddle acting like a President" reveals Trump's core projection: **Obama's legitimacy as President is fraudulent** (acting), while Trump's authenticity is suppressed.  The "puddle" diminishment is telling—even massive hurricane destruction requiring federal response is reduced to a "puddle" to minimize Obama's legitimate presidential role.  ## Personality Analysis (Multi-Level Framework)  ### Level 1: Big Five Traits  **Neuroticism (Angry Hostility facet): High** - "Give me a break" drips with contempt - Unable to regulate irritation at being ignored  **Agreeableness: Very Low** - Zero empathy for hurricane victims - Mocks disaster response as political theater - Trust/Modesty reversed: sees performance where others see leadership  **Extraversion (Assertiveness): High** - Relentless demand for Obama's attention - Multiple posts escalating pressure - Cannot accept being ignored  **Openness (Values rigidity): Low** - Obama must be fraudulent; no alternative interpretation considered - Success defined narrowly (attention, winning, dominance)  ### Level 2: Characteristic Adaptations  **Dominant Motive: Power (Agency)** - The entire M sequence is about **forcing compliance** - Obama's refusal to comply is intolerable - The demand itself is the point (not the records)  **Schema of Self:** The persistent dealmaker who doesn't give up   **Schema of Other (Obama):** Fraudulent performer who must be exposed   **Schema of World:** Transactional; everything is negotiable if you apply enough pressure  ### Level 3: Narrative Identity  **Protagonist Role:** The Relentless Pursuer of Truth (grandiose framing of birther conspiracy)  **Narrative Sequence:** Attempted **redemption sequence** (setback → learning → comeback) - Setback: M offer ignored/mocked - Learning: "Successful man will profit from mistakes" - [Implied] Comeback: "Try again in a different way"  **Identity Claim (implicit):** "I am a successful man (like Dale Carnegie describes), and this is just a temporary setback."  **Contrasting Other:** Obama, the fake president who gets praise for "acting"  ## Rhetorical & Propaganda Techniques  ### In the Dale Carnegie Quote:  1. **Authority Borrowing**: Citing Dale Carnegie lends legitimacy/wisdom to Trump's position 2. **Inspirational Framing**: Reframes failure as part of success journey 3. **Implicit Threat**: "try again in a different way" suggests persistence, not surrender  ### In the "Puddle" Tweet:  1. **Diminishment**: "puddle" trivializes Hurricane Sandy devastation 2. **Delegitimization**: "acting like a President" implies fraudulence 3. **Contemptuous Dismissal**: "give me a break" signals superiority, exasperation 4. **Dehumanizing Minimization**: No acknowledgment of human suffering, only political performance  ## Malignant Narcissism Assessment  ### A. Narcissistic Features (8/9 indicators present in broader context)  **In this sequence:** - Grandiosity: Belief his M offer deserves presidential response - Fantasies of power: Ability to force president to comply with demands - Sense of entitlement: Obama owes him compliance - Interpersonal exploitation: Using charity as leverage for political attack - Lack of empathy: Hurricane victims invisible; only political theater matters - Envy: Obama receives presidential praise; Trump's bid for attention failed - Arrogant behavior: "give me a break"—contemptuous superiority  ### B. Antisocial Features  - Contempt for norms: Presidents don't comply with private citizen demands - Persistent lying: Birther conspiracy known to be false  ### C. Paranoid Features  - Implicit in "acting like a President"—Obama is deceiving everyone - Trump alone sees through the performance  ### D. Ego-Syntonic Sadism  - **Not present in this particular post**, though pleasure in attacking appears elsewhere  **Overall Malignant Narcissism Score: 3.5/4 components prominent** (sadism minimal here)  ## Cognitive Status  **Baseline Comparison Required:** To assess cognitive markers, we need Trump's 2012 baseline. In 2012, Trump was 66 years old.  **This post assessment:** - **No markers** of cognitive difficulty in the Carnegie quote itself (it's a verbatim quote) - **Coherent** in the "puddle" tweet (crisp, contemptuous, purposeful) - **Semantically appropriate** word choice ("puddle" is strategic diminishment, not confusion)  **Complexity Score: 7/10** (relative to typical Trump—this is a mix of a sophisticated quote and a crude insult)  **Baseline Deviation: None**—This is consistent with Trump's 2012 communication patterns.  ## Gaslighting & Reality Distortion  ### Gaslighting Present: Moderate  **"Acting like a President"** is gaslighting language. It attempts to:  1. **Deny Obama's legitimate role**: He *is* the President, but Trump frames this as performance 2. **Attack perception**: Those who see Obama as presidential are being deceived 3. **Reality substitution**: Obama's disaster response = political theater, not governance  This is **epistemic warfare**—Trump offers an alternative reality where Obama is fraudulent and Trump's conspiracies are legitimate concerns.  ### Reality Distortion  **Major distortion:** Hurricane Sandy caused [massive devastation requiring federal disaster response](https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/issues/hurricane/sandy). Trump reduces this to "standing in a puddle acting like a President."  The distortion serves narcissistic needs (minimize Obama's legitimate presidential duties) but requires followers to accept a bizarre minimization of objective reality.  ## Danger Assessment  **Danger Level: None** (for this specific post)  This post contains: - No violent imagery - No eliminationist language - No target identification beyond political figure - No call to action  **However, contextual note:** The birther conspiracy Trump promoted has **epistemic closure** properties that can enable later radicalization by establishing that mainstream institutions lie about basic facts.  ## Fact Verification  ### Claim: [Implicit] Obama's Hurricane Sandy response is performative/"acting"  **Verdict: FALSE**  **Evidence:**  - Obama provided [Emergency Declarations for states up and down the East Coast before the storm](https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/issues/hurricane/sandy) - FEMA pre-deployed teams and resources - Obama visited New Jersey two days after landfall - New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg [endorsed Obama citing his storm response](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_impact_of_Hurricane_Sandy)  **Sources:** - [Obama White House Hurricane Sandy Response Archive](https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/issues/hurricane/sandy) - [Political Impact of Hurricane Sandy - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_impact_of_Hurricane_Sandy)  ### Claim: [Implicit] The M offer is a serious, legitimate request  **Verdict: FALSE (documented publicity stunt)**  **Evidence:** - Trump's offer was [widely recognized as a publicity stunt](https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/donald-trump-fails-drop-bombshell-offers-cash-obama/story?id=17553670) - Obama had already released his long-form birth certificate in 2011 - College records are not public information for any president - The "major announcement" framing was theatrical  **Sources:** - [ABC News: "Donald 'Bombshell' Fails to Blow Up"](https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/donald-trump-fails-drop-bombshell-offers-cash-obama/story?id=17553670) - [CNBC: Trump offers  million if Obama releases records](https://www.cnbc.com/2012/10/24/trump-offers-5-million-if-obama-releases-records.html)  ## Summary (Clinical Significance: Moderate)  This November 1, 2012 post captures Trump in a **narcissistic injury recovery cycle** following his failed  million publicity stunt. Posted at 8:13 PM EST as part of an active tweeting sequence, the Dale Carnegie quote serves as **rationalization defense**—reframing public humiliation as a "learning experience" for a "successful man."  The temporal context is crucial: Obama was receiving widespread praise for his Hurricane Sandy leadership, while Trump's "birther" demand was ridiculed. Trump's contemptuous tweet—"Obama is now standing in a puddle acting like a President"—reveals the narcissistic wound: Obama commands presidential gravitas that Trump desperately craves but cannot achieve.  The post demonstrates **splitting** (Obama = fraudulent performer; Trump = persistent success), **displacement** (rage at own failure redirected at Obama's legitimate duties), and **gaslighting** (Obama's presidential role reframed as "acting"). The phrase "standing in a puddle" pathologically minimizes catastrophic hurricane devastation affecting millions, erasing human suffering to serve narcissistic needs.  Personality assessment shows **very low agreeableness** (zero empathy for disaster victims), **high neuroticism/angry hostility** (contemptuous rage at being ignored), and **agency/power motives** (compulsion to force presidential compliance). The malignant narcissism constellation is evident: grandiose entitlement (president must respond to private citizen's demands), paranoid projection (everyone is deceived except Trump), and antisocial features (persistent promotion of known falsehoods).  The Dale Carnegie quote represents a **narrative identity redemption sequence**—Trump recasts himself as the protagonist who "learns from mistakes and tries again in a different way," implicitly threatening continued harassment. This is not genuine reflection but **grandiosity restoration** after narcissistic injury, with the quote serving as cognitive buffer against acknowledging failure.  Most concerning is the **epistemic infrastructure** being built: followers must accept that objective reality (devastating hurricane + federal response = presidential duty) is actually political theater. This reality-distortion framework, while not immediately dangerous, establishes **epistemic closure** that can enable future radicalization by normalizing the rejection of observable facts.  ---  ## Sources  - [ABC News: Donald 'Bombshell' Fails to Blow Up](https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/donald-trump-fails-drop-bombshell-offers-cash-obama/story?id=17553670) - [CNBC: Trump offers  million if Obama releases records](https://www.cnbc.com/2012/10/24/trump-offers-5-million-if-obama-releases-records.html) - [Gallup: Romney 49%, Obama 48% in Final Election Survey](https://news.gallup.com/poll/158519/romney-obama-gallup-final-election-survey.aspx) - [Obama White House: Hurricane Sandy Response](https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/issues/hurricane/sandy) - [Obama White House: President in New Jersey "We Are Here for You"](https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2012/10/31/president-obama-new-jersey-we-are-here-you) - [Wikipedia: Political Impact of Hurricane Sandy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_impact_of_Hurricane_Sandy) - [Lipstick Alley: Discussion of "puddle" tweet](https://www.lipstickalley.com/threads/vintage-trump-2012-obama-is-now-standing-in-a-puddle-acting-like-a-president-give-me-a-break.1238483/)

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Obama's Hurricane Sandy response is performative/'acting like a President' rather than genuine leadership" | **False** | Obama provided Emergency Declarations for East Coast states before the storm, FEMA pre-deployed teams and resources, Obama visited New Jersey two days after landfall, and NYC Mayor Bloomberg endorsed Obama specifically citing his storm response. The federal response was substantive and praised across party lines initially. |
| "The  million offer is a serious, legitimate request deserving presidential response" | **False** | Trump's offer was widely recognized as a publicity stunt. Obama had already released his long-form birth certificate in 2011. College records and passport applications are not public information for any president, and Trump's demand had no legal or precedential basis. Media coverage characterized it as a failed 'bombshell' announcement. |
| "Hurricane Sandy aftermath can be accurately characterized as Obama 'standing in a puddle'" | **False** | Hurricane Sandy was a catastrophic storm that caused massive devastation across the East Coast, killed over 100 people, left millions without power, and caused billions in damage. Describing the federal disaster response as 'standing in a puddle' grossly misrepresents the scale of the humanitarian crisis. |

Overall Veracity: 0%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 75%)

### Indicators

- Evening posting time (8:13 PM EST) during active tweeting session
- Part of emotional sequence following narcissistic injury
- Quote selection serves psychological function (rationalization)
- Placed strategically after rage tweet about 'puddle'
- Timing and context suggest authentic Trump selection

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Vulnerable State**

**Trigger:** Narcissistic Injury — Exposure (Public mockery of M offer + Obama's praised Hurricane Sandy response)

**Rage:** Intensity 60% targeting Obama
- Proportionality: 20%

Sentiment: -0.65

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- High-volume posting throughout November 1st (multiple tweets in sequence)
- Escalating intensity (pleading → increasing offer → defensiveness → rage → rationalization)
- Grandiose belief in ability to force presidential compliance
- Restless persistence (cannot let go of failed publicity stunt)

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 85%
- Antisocial: 60%
- Paranoid: 70%
- Sadism: 20%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- rationalization (neurotic)
- displacement (neurotic)
- splitting (immature)
- devaluation (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 100%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Authority borrowing (Dale Carnegie lends wisdom/legitimacy)
- Inspirational framing (failure as learning journey)
- Implicit persistence promise ('try again in a different way')

## Danger Assessment

**NONE**

### Gaslighting

- 'Acting like a President' denies Obama's legitimate presidential role
- Attacks others' perception (those who see Obama as presidential are deceived)
- Reality substitution (disaster response reframed as political theater)
- Epistemic warfare (offering alternative reality where birther concerns are legitimate)

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-02-13._

> Obama's Hurricane Sandy response is performative/'acting like a President' rather than genuine leadership

**FALSE**

Obama provided Emergency Declarations for East Coast states before the storm, FEMA pre-deployed teams and resources, Obama visited New Jersey two days after landfall, and NYC Mayor Bloomberg endorsed Obama specifically citing his storm response. The federal response was substantive and praised across party lines initially.

Sources: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/issues/hurricane/sandy; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_impact_of_Hurricane_Sandy; https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2012/10/31/president-obama-new-jersey-we-are-here-you

> The  million offer is a serious, legitimate request deserving presidential response

**FALSE**

Trump's offer was widely recognized as a publicity stunt. Obama had already released his long-form birth certificate in 2011. College records and passport applications are not public information for any president, and Trump's demand had no legal or precedential basis. Media coverage characterized it as a failed 'bombshell' announcement.

Sources: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/donald-trump-fails-drop-bombshell-offers-cash-obama/story?id=17553670; https://www.cnbc.com/2012/10/24/trump-offers-5-million-if-obama-releases-records.html

> Hurricane Sandy aftermath can be accurately characterized as Obama 'standing in a puddle'

**FALSE**

Hurricane Sandy was a catastrophic storm that caused massive devastation across the East Coast, killed over 100 people, left millions without power, and caused billions in damage. Describing the federal disaster response as 'standing in a puddle' grossly misrepresents the scale of the humanitarian crisis.

Sources: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/issues/hurricane/sandy; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_impact_of_Hurricane_Sandy

Overall Veracity: 0%

## Tags

- narcissistic_injury (100%)
- rationalization_defense (90%)
- displacement (80%)
- splitting (75%)
- reality_distortion (90%)
- gaslighting (70%)
- delegitimization (85%)
- birther_conspiracy (80%)
- anti_obama (100%)
- malignant_narcissism (85%)
- empathy_deficit (95%)
- injury_recovery_cycle (100%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Ignored by a President: Trump's $5M Stunt Collapses as Obama Gets the Spotlight**

Trump spent the day cycling between two fixations: his failed $5 million "birther" challenge to Obama and an extended riff denying climate change in the wake of Hurricane Sandy. The evening before started with self-congratulation for opening Trump Tower's atrium during the storm, then turned bitter when he realized Obama was getting all the praise for actual disaster leadership. By midday he was releasing press statements and video responses to Obama's non-compliance with his arbitrary deadline -- the kind of escalating attention-bid that signals he knows he's being ignored. The mood was mostly puffed-up bravado punctuated by flashes of wounded pride, with a side helping of debunked claims about Jeep manufacturing moving to China.

Full digest for 2012-11-01: https://trump.fm/date/2012-11-01/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2012, November 1). ""The successful man will profit from his... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_263750452477321200
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. """The successful man will profit from his mistakes and try..." X (Twitter), 1 Nov. 2012. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_263750452477321200. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, """The successful man will profit from his mistakes and try...," X (Twitter), November 1, 2012, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_263750452477321200.

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