# Post x_251750948836347906

- Post ID: `x_251750948836347906`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2012-09-28T18:31:18.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_251750948836347906
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_251750948836347906/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_251750948836347906.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> It's amazing how different all of the polling results are--not an exact science.

## Engagement

- Likes: 16
- Reposts: 55
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.265Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-22T08:33:44.072Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Polling Observation (2012-09-28)

A brief, relatively benign observation about polling inconsistency. Posted at 2:31 PM ET (Trump likely in New York), this is a business-hours post during the 2012 campaign season when Trump was actively commenting on the Obama-Romney race.

### Authorship
The post is simple enough to be either Trump or an aide. The casual tone and lack of promotional content lean slightly toward authentic Trump, but the correct grammar and unremarkable formatting are consistent with aide composition. Moderate confidence either way.

### Psychological Content
This is a low-intensity post. The observation that polling is "not an exact science" serves a subtle delegitimizing function—casting doubt on metrics that measure public opinion. This is a recurring pattern: preemptive undermining of measurement systems that could produce unfavorable results. However, in September 2012, Trump was not himself a candidate, so the motive is more likely general political commentary.

### Context
Same-day posts show heavy self-promotion (Kluge estate, Midas Touch book quotes), making this polling comment a brief departure into political punditry—consistent with Trump's pre-candidacy pattern of positioning himself as a political commentator.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Polling results vary significantly across different polls" | **True** | Polling methodology differences (sampling, weighting, likely voter screens) routinely produce varying results, especially during campaign season. |

Overall Veracity: 100%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 50%)

### Indicators

- Business hours posting (2:31 PM ET)
- Correct grammar and punctuation
- But casual/conversational tone
- No promotional content

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Maintenance

Sentiment: -0.05

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 10%
- Antisocial: 0%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 0%

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 30%

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-22._

> Polling results vary significantly across different polls

**TRUE**

Polling methodology differences (sampling, weighting, likely voter screens) routinely produce varying results, especially during campaign season.

Overall Veracity: 100%

## Tags

- polling (80%)
- epistemic_undermining (30%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**A Quiet Day of Brand Maintenance and Obama Criticism in Pre-Election Mode**

A routine day of brand promotion and political commentary with no flashes of anger or drama. Trump cycled through product plugs, motivational quotes from his book, and steady anti-Obama jabs about the economy. The only notable quirk was two posts repeated verbatim hours apart, likely a staff scheduling glitch. Overall mood was calm and transactional -- a businessman tending his public image five weeks before the 2012 election.

Full digest for 2012-09-28: https://trump.fm/date/2012-09-28/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2012, September 28). It's amazing how different all of the polling... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_251750948836347906
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "It's amazing how different all of the polling results..." X (Twitter), 28 Sep. 2012. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_251750948836347906. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "It's amazing how different all of the polling results...," X (Twitter), September 28, 2012, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_251750948836347906.

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- Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/x_251750948836347906
- All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/x_251750948836347906
- Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2012-09-28
- The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/x_251750948836347906.md?analysis=false

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