# Post x_137225620873687041

- Post ID: `x_137225620873687041`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2011-11-17T17:48:32.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_137225620873687041
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_137225620873687041/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_137225620873687041.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Crude has skyrocketed since @BarackObama delayed the Keystone Pipeline. Not only are 20,000 jobs gone, but family budgets are tightening.

## Engagement

- Likes: 10
- Reposts: 206
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-01-31T23:43:13.255Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-22T08:06:50.250Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Psychological Analysis: Post x_137225620873687041

### Context
A policy-focused attack on Obama regarding the Keystone XL Pipeline decision. Posted at 12:48 PM EST (Trump in NYC), during business hours. This continues a thread from earlier posts about crude oil prices at $100/barrel.

### Authorship
Business hours, clean grammar, structured argument (cause → effect → consequence). Likely aide-assisted or polished, though the content aligns with Trump's known fixations on energy policy and Obama criticism.

### Psychological Observations
Standard supply-seeking and political positioning post. Links Obama to economic pain through a simple causal chain: pipeline delay → oil prices up → jobs lost → family budgets hurt. This is formulaic political rhetoric rather than emotionally charged expression.

### Rhetorical Structure
The post deploys a clean three-part argument: (1) causal claim about crude prices, (2) job loss figure, (3) appeal to family economic anxiety. The "Not only... but" construction adds rhetorical escalation. The 20,000 jobs figure was a commonly cited industry estimate that was disputed by independent analyses.

### Longitudinal Note
This is the second post in a series about crude oil prices, building on the previous day's OPEC post. Shows deliberate narrative construction—first blaming OPEC, then pivoting to blame Obama specifically. This sequencing suggests strategic communication rather than impulsive reaction.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Crude has skyrocketed since Obama delayed the Keystone Pipeline" | **Mostly False** | Crude oil prices were driven by global factors (eurozone crisis, Middle East instability, OPEC policy). The Keystone XL delay announcement came Nov 10, 2011; crude prices were already near $100/barrel before the decision. Pipeline delay had minimal short-term price impact. |
| "20,000 jobs gone due to pipeline delay" | **Half True** | TransCanada cited 20,000 jobs; independent analyses (Cornell ILR) estimated 2,500-4,650 direct construction jobs. The 20,000 figure included indirect and induced jobs with generous multipliers. Jobs were deferred, not permanently lost. |

Overall Veracity: 35%

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 30%)

### Indicators

- Business hours (12:48 PM EST)
- Clean grammar and structure
- Polished cause-effect argument
- Professional formatting with @mention

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Keystone XL Pipeline decision)

Sentiment: -0.50

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 20%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- projection (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 50%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Economic anxiety appeal
- Positioning as advocate for families

## Fact Checks (2)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-22._

> Crude has skyrocketed since Obama delayed the Keystone Pipeline

**MOSTLY FALSE**

Crude oil prices were driven by global factors (eurozone crisis, Middle East instability, OPEC policy). The Keystone XL delay announcement came Nov 10, 2011; crude prices were already near $100/barrel before the decision. Pipeline delay had minimal short-term price impact.

Sources: EIA historical oil price data; Contemporary market analysis

> 20,000 jobs gone due to pipeline delay

**HALF TRUE**

TransCanada cited 20,000 jobs; independent analyses (Cornell ILR) estimated 2,500-4,650 direct construction jobs. The 20,000 figure included indirect and induced jobs with generous multipliers. Jobs were deferred, not permanently lost.

Sources: TransCanada estimates; Cornell Global Labor Institute 2011 report

Overall Veracity: 35%

## Tags

- energy_policy (90%)
- obama_attack (80%)
- economic_anxiety (70%)
- keystone_pipeline (90%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**A Disciplined Day of Anti-Obama Brand-Building Across Six Policy Fronts**

Trump spent the day firing off a steady stream of political commentary criticizing Obama across economics, energy, foreign policy, and government spending. The tone was controlled and calculated throughout -- more like a pundit's daily column than a personal outburst. One post falsely claimed China was building military bases across Latin America, and a near-duplicate deficit post appeared hours apart, suggesting staff-managed messaging. No anger, no volatility, just methodical political positioning.

Full digest for 2011-11-17: https://trump.fm/date/2011-11-17/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2011, November 17). Crude has skyrocketed since @BarackObama delayed... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_137225620873687041
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Crude has skyrocketed since @BarackObama delayed the..." X (Twitter), 17 Nov. 2011. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_137225620873687041. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Crude has skyrocketed since @BarackObama delayed the...," X (Twitter), November 17, 2011, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_137225620873687041.

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- All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/x_137225620873687041
- Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2011-11-17
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