# Post x_1320693376782663700

- Post ID: `x_1320693376782663700`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2020-10-26T15:46:52.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_1320693376782663700
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_1320693376782663700/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_1320693376782663700.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> New York, California, Illinois. People are FLEEING, Taxes and Crime are going through the roof. VOTE TRUMP, I will turn it around, and FAST!

## Engagement

- Likes: 0
- Reposts: 28,481
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:33:24.781Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-19T16:54:10.331Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

# Psychological Analysis: Trump Post — October 26, 2020

## Contextual Frame

Posted at 11:46 AM EDT during the final week of the 2020 presidential campaign, while Trump was reportedly en route to Pennsylvania for three rallies. Biden led by 12 points in CNN polling. COVID-19 third wave was accelerating with record daily case counts exceeding 83,000. Amy Coney Barrett's Senate confirmation vote was scheduled for this same day. The post is situated within an intensive multi-post broadcast day.

---

## Level 1: Dispositional Traits (Big Five)

The post is dominated by **high Extraversion** (assertiveness, positive affect, excitement-seeking), **low Agreeableness** (implicit contempt for Democratic governance, zero acknowledgment of others' perspectives), and **low Openness** (rigid good/bad state framing, no complexity admitted). Conscientiousness is instrumentally present — the message is disciplined and focused — but in service of self-promotion rather than truth-seeking. Neuroticism is notably *absent* here: this is not a reactive or dysregulated post. It reads as campaign-functional affect rather than emotional flooding.

---

## Level 2: Characteristic Adaptations

**Agency motives dominate completely.** The post's core claim — "I will turn it around, and FAST!" — is pure power-achievement-control expression. There is no communion content: no acknowledgment of suffering residents, no empathic connection with people who have actually fled these states. The world-schema embedded in the post is binary: Democratic governance = decline; Trump = restoration. This schema excludes the known causal factors (COVID-driven remote work migration, housing costs, pre-pandemic trends) not through explicit denial but through structural omission.

---

## Level 3: Narrative Identity

**Protagonist role:** Savior/Order-Restorer. Trump casts himself as the agent who can reverse a deteriorating trajectory — not incrementally, but rapidly ("and FAST!"). This is the archetypal return-of-the-king narrative compressed into one sentence.

**Narrative sequence:** Redemption arc — contamination (great states now failing) → promised restoration (Trump will reverse it).

**Contrasting other:** Democratic state governments (unnamed but clearly implied as causal agents of flight, taxes, and crime). The contrast is structural rather than personalized — this post attacks a system rather than an individual.

**Identity claims:** Competent rapid-action executive; capable of achieving what entrenched Democratic governance has failed to do.

---

## Level 4: Clinical Indicators

### Narcissistic Assessment
The post reflects **grandiose narcissistic functioning** in a controlled, instrumentalized register. The unqualified first-person promise ("I will turn it around") with zero policy specification is consistent with the DSM-5 narcissistic feature of **fantasies of unlimited power/success**. However, the post is not reactive or rage-driven — it represents the grandiose pole in a non-distressed form, which is actually the most persuasively effective expression of the underlying trait structure.

Narcissistic features: moderate (0.55). Antisocial, paranoid, and sadistic features are not materially present in this specific post.

### Defense Mechanisms
- **Distortion** (pathological): The complex demography of outmigration from NY, CA, and IL — driven by COVID, housing costs, remote work flexibility, and pre-existing trends — is distorted into a simple "taxes and crime" binary attributable to (implied) Democratic misgovernance.
- **Rationalization** (neurotic): The "taxes and crime" diagnosis provides a coherent-sounding causal story for a predetermined political conclusion.

### Cognitive Status
No markers of language production difficulty are present. Syntax is simple but intentionally so — this is disciplined message construction, not cognitive limitation. Vocabulary is basic but purposeful. No word-finding difficulty, paraphasia, or tangentiality. Consistent with established baseline.

---

## Archetypal Analysis (Jungian)

Primary archetypes: **Hero/Savior** and **Order-Restorer**. The post does not invoke the Trickster (no rule-breaking or chaos agent energy) or the Warrior (no combat framing). It is a pure savior-promise structure: the problem is named, the hero is identified, the resolution is guaranteed. The mythological narrative is "return from exile" — the states were once great, are now falling, will be restored by the singular competent agent.

---

## Order and Chaos Dynamics

The post positions Trump as **Order-Restorer** attacking a **corrupt existing order** (Democratic governance of these states). The asymmetry is notable: chaos (crime, flight, taxes) is attributed to Democratic cities/states; order is promised by Trump. The "forgotten Americans" who fled these states are implicitly the target audience — their grievances are named (if not precisely characterized) and Trump positions himself as their vindication.

---

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "People are FLEEING New York, California, and Illinois" | **Mostly True** | All three states documented net domestic outmigration by 2020. IRS migration data and Census estimates confirm directional trend. COVID accelerated pre-existing patterns in NY and CA particularly. 'FLEEING' overstates pace and universality but the directional claim is supported. |
| "Taxes and Crime are going through the roof in NY, CA, IL" | **Half True** | Tax claim is broadly supported — these are consistently among the highest-tax states by income and property tax measures. Crime claim is more contested: 2020 did see homicide increases in Chicago, NYC, and LA, partially driven by COVID-related disruptions and 2020 civil unrest, but 'going through the roof' overstates magnitude and the causal attribution to Democratic governance is disputed. |
| "I will turn it around, and FAST!" | **Unverifiable** | Forward-looking campaign promise with no policy specification. Cannot be assessed factually. |

Overall Veracity: 60%

## Danger Assessment

**None.** Standard campaign attack-and-promise structure. No dehumanizing language, no eliminationist rhetoric, no violence imagery, no stochastic terrorism indicators.

---

## Summary Assessment

This is a disciplined, campaign-functional post operating in grandiose maintenance mode. It is not clinically significant as an isolated data point — it represents the subject's characteristic trait expression (high agency, low empathy/communion, grandiose self-framing) deployed in a controlled, instrumentalized register. The post's rhetorical efficiency and absence of dysregulation markers suggest this is near-optimal Trump output rather than a moment of psychological exposure. Cognitively unremarkable. No longitudinal deviation from baseline detected.

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 65%)

### Indicators

- ALL CAPS emphasis on emotional keywords (FLEEING, VOTE TRUMP, FAST) is authentic Trump stylistic signature
- Exclamation-point termination on all three clauses matches authentic pattern
- Punchy staccato rhythm and first-person grandiose promise ('I will turn it around') consistent with authentic voice
- Posted 11:46 AM EDT — business hours, slight aide indicator
- No typos or incomplete thoughts — slight aide indicator

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Maintenance (Final week of 2020 campaign)

Sentiment: -0.25

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 55%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 5%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- distortion (pathological)
- rationalization (neurotic)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 20%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct imperative address ('VOTE TRUMP') collapses subject-object distance — he is simultaneously the candidate and the instruction
- Problem/solution dyad positions the audience as passive sufferers who need only act on his command to be rescued
- Specificity of three named states creates geographic resonance for audiences in those states or those who fled them

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-19._

> People are FLEEING New York, California, and Illinois

**MOSTLY TRUE**

All three states documented net domestic outmigration by 2020. IRS migration data and Census estimates confirm directional trend. COVID accelerated pre-existing patterns in NY and CA particularly. 'FLEEING' overstates pace and universality but the directional claim is supported.

Sources: Census Bureau domestic migration data 2019-2020; IRS Statistics of Income migration data

> Taxes and Crime are going through the roof in NY, CA, IL

**HALF TRUE**

Tax claim is broadly supported — these are consistently among the highest-tax states by income and property tax measures. Crime claim is more contested: 2020 did see homicide increases in Chicago, NYC, and LA, partially driven by COVID-related disruptions and 2020 civil unrest, but 'going through the roof' overstates magnitude and the causal attribution to Democratic governance is disputed.

Sources: Tax Foundation state tax rankings 2020; FBI Uniform Crime Reporting 2019-2020 preliminary data

> I will turn it around, and FAST!

**UNVERIFIABLE**

Forward-looking campaign promise with no policy specification. Cannot be assessed factually.

Overall Veracity: 60%

## Tags

- campaign-rhetoric (90%)
- grandiosity (60%)
- state-attack (80%)
- savior-narrative (75%)
- agency-motive (85%)
- distortion-defense (55%)
- hyperbole (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Eight Days Out: COVID Denial, Election Fraud Seeding, and a Three-Rally Pennsylvania Blitz**

Trump barnstormed Pennsylvania with three rallies while fighting a two-front rhetorical war against COVID coverage and election integrity concerns. The day's most notable feature was his repeated insistence that media attention to the surging pandemic was a coordinated conspiracy to influence the election, dismissing record-breaking case counts as a testing artifact. A pre-dawn post lashing out at a court ruling on poll watchers carried the day's sharpest emotional edge, while a long midday burst of grievance-laden posts punctuated an otherwise standard campaign day of thank-yous and crowd photos. Despite the frenetic pace, the day ended with disciplined aide-crafted messaging attacking Biden on energy policy.

Full digest for 2020-10-26: https://trump.fm/date/2020-10-26/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2020, October 26). New York, California, Illinois. People are... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_1320693376782663700
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "New York, California, Illinois. People are FLEEING, Taxes..." X (Twitter), 26 Oct. 2020. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_1320693376782663700. Accessed 10 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "New York, California, Illinois. People are FLEEING, Taxes...," X (Twitter), October 26, 2020, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_1320693376782663700.

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