# Post x_1318549645992300500

- Post ID: `x_1318549645992300500`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2020-10-20T17:48:27.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_1318549645992300500
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_1318549645992300500/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_1318549645992300500.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> To the great people of New York, California, and Illinois, your states are way too highly taxed, big crime, people fleeing, and just about every other problem you can have. VOTE TRUMP, I will turn them around for you, FAST!

## Engagement

- Likes: 0
- Reposts: 64,288
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:33:24.787Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-19T16:44:30.249Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

A textbook late-campaign grandiosity display consistent with supply-seeking and base-expansion motives fourteen days before the 2020 election. Targeting blue-state voters in New York, California, and Illinois, the post deploys splitting (Democratic governance = total failure), rationalization (real grievances leveraged for an implausible conclusion), and grandiose self-idealization (omnipotent presidential remedy, delivered "FAST!"). The Savior/Rescuer archetype is prominent; Trump positions himself as an external agent capable of transforming complex state-level conditions through singular will and competence. Three factual anchors — high taxes, elevated crime, population outflow — are selectively true (strongest for NY and IL) and function as emotional hooks rather than policy arguments. The president does not control state tax policy or local law enforcement, rendering the core promise structurally implausible. Danger level is none; no dehumanization, no mobilizing rhetoric, no targets identified. Authorship is assessed as likely authentic or minimally aide-assisted given the stylistic fingerprints (VOTE TRUMP, FAST!, paratactic listing), despite business-hours timing during an active Arizona campaign travel day. Cognitively unremarkable against the period baseline. Clinically notable primarily for the grandiosity scale of the promise and the clean splitting structure, both consistent with the broader longitudinal pattern.

# Analysis: x_1318549645992300500 — October 20, 2020

## Overview

This is a targeted campaign appeal directed at voters in three reliably Democratic states (New York, California, Illinois) fourteen days before the 2020 general election. Trump was actively campaigning in Arizona on this date, with documented Prescott and Tucson rally stops. The post represents a strategic flanking maneuver — neither state is competitive, but the message serves dual purposes: (1) activating low-propensity Trump-sympathetic voters in blue states who may feel disenfranchised, and (2) establishing a nationwide frame that Democratic governance equals failure.

---

## Authorship Attribution

**UTC timestamp:** 2020-10-20T17:48:27Z  
**Trump's location:** Arizona (campaign trail — Prescott and Tucson rally day, confirmed by adjacent posts)  
**Arizona timezone:** MST/UTC-7 (Arizona does not observe DST)  
**Local time:** ~10:48 AM — solidly within business hours

Authorship signals are mixed. Against authentic-Trump: (1) mid-morning local timing, (2) relatively clean grammatical structure, (3) strategically coherent targeting of blue-state voters (requires political calculation), (4) comma usage is controlled. For authentic-Trump: (1) "VOTE TRUMP" and "FAST!" — characteristic caps bursts, (2) the paratactic list structure ("big crime, people fleeing, and just about every other problem you can have") mirrors his stump-speech cadence, (3) the direct address "I will" without hedging is consistent with his voice, (4) the adjacent posts that day are clearly in his own voice (rally thank-yous, travel updates). Most likely this is either authentic Trump composing from a device during travel between Prescott and Tucson, or lightly polished by an aide who preserved his stylistic tics. Confidence: **medium**.

---

## Multi-Level Personality Analysis

### Level 1: Dispositional Traits (Big Five)

- **Extraversion (high):** Direct address, assertive tone, positive framing toward target audience ("great people"), confident first-person promise
- **Agreeableness (low):** The appeal to "great people" is instrumentalized rather than genuinely communal; the message exploits grievance rather than offering solidarity
- **Conscientiousness (low):** The promise to "turn them around... FAST!" lacks any specificity; no mechanism, timeline, or policy is offered beyond raw assertion
- **Neuroticism (moderate):** The urgency and ALL CAPS signal emotional arousal, but the post is not dysregulated by baseline standards for this period
- **Openness (low):** The worldview is simple and rigid — Democratic governance = failure, Trump = salvation, with no acknowledgment of complexity

### Level 2: Characteristic Adaptations

**Agency motives dominate.** The post is structured around power and control: *I* will fix what they cannot. The implicit claim is that Trump possesses unique sovereign agency over state-level conditions (taxation, crime, migration) that a president does not constitutionally control. This grandiose self-attribution of executive omnipotence is characteristic.

**Communion motives are strategic, not genuine.** The opening "great people" is a rhetorical flattery device rather than an expression of care; it functions to establish rapport before pivoting immediately to grievance.

**Schema:** The world divides into suffering people (potential Trump voters) and incompetent/malevolent rulers (Democratic state governments, unnamed). Trump is neither suffering nor incompetent — he is the redemptive external agent.

### Level 3: Narrative Identity

- **Protagonist role:** Savior/Rescuer. Trump positions himself as an agent who operates *on* these states from outside, implying that his election alone would change the governance of states with Democratic governors and legislatures — a structurally implausible claim that the narrative logic does not interrogate.
- **Redemption sequence:** Current suffering (taxes, crime, flight) → Trump elected → swift transformation ("FAST!"). The arc is maximally compressed with no intermediate steps, relying on magical causation.
- **Contrasting other:** Democratic governance is the unnamed villain. No specific governor or policy is attacked — the enemy is the party itself, which widens the projected failure to the broadest possible canvas.
- **Identity claims:** "I will turn them around for you" — the claim is omnipotence, competence, and singular agency.

---

## Psychological Analysis

### Narcissistic Dynamics

**Trigger type:** *Supply-seeking + maintenance.* With two weeks to Election Day and the campaign in overdrive, this post is a supply-amplification attempt — extending the base of potential admirers by reaching into blue states. There is no acute narcissistic injury visible here; this is not a reactive post.

**Narcissistic state:** **Grandiose.** The post is expansive, not wounded. The claim to fix New York, California, and Illinois — three of the nation's most populous and economically complex states — from the presidency, swiftly, reflects the grandiose pole of narcissistic self-presentation.

**Malignant narcissism quadrant:**
- *Narcissistic features:* Prominent (grandiosity, entitlement to transform states, self-as-uniquely-capable)
- *Antisocial features:* Mild (implicit contempt for Democratic officeholders, but no overt rule-breaking framing here)
- *Paranoid features:* Absent in this specific post
- *Sadism:* Absent — no pleasure in humiliation; this is a pitch, not an attack

### Defense Mechanisms

- **Rationalization (neurotic):** The listing of problems (taxes, crime, population flight) functions as pseudo-logical justification for a conclusion (Vote Trump) that does not follow from the premises — a president cannot directly lower state taxes or reverse municipal crime trends
- **Splitting (immature):** Blue-state governance = catastrophic failure; Trump = complete solution. No middle ground, no partial credit
- **Idealization (self-directed):** The compressed promise ("FAST!") idealizes his own potential performance without evidence

---

## Rhetorical Analysis

- **Direct address:** "To the great people of..." — creates parasocial intimacy, casts the audience as exceptional before asking for their vote
- **Anaphoric listing:** "way too highly taxed, big crime, people fleeing, and just about every other problem you can have" — the final clause ("just about every other problem") is a rhetorical sponge that absorbs any counterexample; unfalsifiable
- **Urgency compression:** "FAST!" as a terminal one-word sentence creates momentum and forecloses scrutiny of mechanism
- **Appeals to grievance:** Taxation, crime, outmigration — three empirically grounded anxieties (particularly for NY and IL; CA less so in 2020) leveraged as emotional hooks
- **False causation implied:** The post never claims he *can* control state taxes or local crime policy; it merely places them adjacently with "VOTE TRUMP," allowing the audience to make the inferential leap
- **Hyperbole:** "just about every other problem you can have" — maximalist framing characteristic of Trump's rhetorical style

**Dehumanizing language:** None present  
**Violent imagery:** None present  
**Stochastic terrorism indicators:** None present

---

## Danger Assessment

**Level: None.** This is standard campaign rhetoric — grievance-listing combined with personal promise. No targets are dehumanized, no enemies are identified for action, and no mobilizing language is present. The post is psychologically notable for its grandiosity but poses no danger indicators.

---

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "New York, California, and Illinois are 'way too highly taxed'" | **Mostly True** | All three states rank among the highest in combined state and local tax burden by most measures. New York and Illinois consistently rank 1st–3rd; California's top marginal income and capital gains rates are the nation's highest. The normative qualifier 'way too' is opinion. |
| "'big crime' in New York, California, and Illinois" | **Half True** | Crime rates vary enormously within these large states. Chicago's homicide rate was elevated in 2020. NYC crime was at near-historic lows in 2019–2020 by most metrics, though saw modest 2020 increases. California is heterogeneous. Applying 'big crime' to entire states is a blunt generalization with selective validity. |
| "'people fleeing' these states" | **Mostly True** | New York and Illinois had documented net domestic out-migration in the years preceding and including 2020, confirmed by IRS and Census data. California showed early net outflow signs in 2020, though magnitude was debated. The broad trend is factually grounded for NY and IL. |
| "'I will turn them around for you, FAST!'" | **Mostly False** | The president lacks constitutional authority to set state income or property tax rates (10th Amendment), directly control municipal law enforcement staffing or policy, or reverse internal domestic migration patterns through executive action. The claim implies presidential omnipotence over state-level conditions the federal executive does not control. |

Overall Veracity: 58%

## Cognitive Status

No markers of concern in this post. Sentence construction is coherent. Word retrieval appears intact. List generation is organized. The logical structure, while propagandistically reductive, is internally consistent. No tangentiality, perseveration, or name/temporal confusion observed. No deviation from period baseline.

---

## Summary

A textbook late-campaign grandiosity display consistent with supply-seeking and base-expansion motives two weeks before Election Day. Targeting blue-state voters in NY, CA, and IL, this post deploys splitting (Democratic governance = total failure), rationalization (listing real grievances to justify an implausible conclusion), and grandiose self-idealization (omnipotent presidential remedy, delivered "FAST!"). The Savior/Rescuer archetype is prominent; the post positions Trump as an external agent capable of transforming complex state-level conditions through sheer force of personality and will. The three factual anchors (high taxes, elevated crime, population outflow) are selectively true — strongest for NY and IL — and serve as emotional hooks rather than policy arguments. Danger level is none; no dehumanization, no mobilizing rhetoric, no targets identified for action. Authorship is assessed as likely authentic or minimally aide-assisted, given the stylistic fingerprints (VOTE TRUMP, FAST!, paratactic list structure) despite the business-hours timestamp during an active travel day. Cognitively unremarkable against period baseline.

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 62%)

### Indicators

- ALL CAPS 'VOTE TRUMP' and terminal 'FAST!' are characteristic Trump stylistic tics
- Paratactic listing mirrors his stump-speech cadence
- 10:48 AM local time (MST) is business hours, suggesting possible aide involvement
- Grammatical structure is relatively clean for authentic Trump
- Adjacent posts that day (rally thank-yous, travel updates) are in clearly authentic Trump voice

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Election Day 14 days out; campaign in final stretch)

Sentiment: -0.15

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- ALL CAPS emphasis bursts ('VOTE TRUMP')
- Compressed urgency signaling ('FAST!')
- Grandiose promise without qualification or mechanism
- Active campaign schedule — multiple states, multiple rallies per day at age 74

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 72%
- Antisocial: 18%
- Paranoid: 5%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- rationalization (neurotic)
- splitting (immature)
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 31%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct address 'To the great people of...' establishes intimacy before extracting vote commitment
- Flattery ('great people') instrumentalized to lower audience resistance
- First-person singular promise creates personal bond with mass audience

## Fact Checks (4)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-19._

> New York, California, and Illinois are 'way too highly taxed'

**MOSTLY TRUE**

All three states rank among the highest in combined state and local tax burden by most measures. New York and Illinois consistently rank 1st–3rd; California's top marginal income and capital gains rates are the nation's highest. The normative qualifier 'way too' is opinion.

Sources: Tax Foundation state-local tax burden rankings; WalletHub state tax burden analyses

> 'big crime' in New York, California, and Illinois

**HALF TRUE**

Crime rates vary enormously within these large states. Chicago's homicide rate was elevated in 2020. NYC crime was at near-historic lows in 2019–2020 by most metrics, though saw modest 2020 increases. California is heterogeneous. Applying 'big crime' to entire states is a blunt generalization with selective validity.

Sources: FBI Uniform Crime Reports 2019–2020; NYC NYPD CompStat data

> 'people fleeing' these states

**MOSTLY TRUE**

New York and Illinois had documented net domestic out-migration in the years preceding and including 2020, confirmed by IRS and Census data. California showed early net outflow signs in 2020, though magnitude was debated. The broad trend is factually grounded for NY and IL.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau domestic migration estimates; IRS migration data

> 'I will turn them around for you, FAST!'

**MOSTLY FALSE**

The president lacks constitutional authority to set state income or property tax rates (10th Amendment), directly control municipal law enforcement staffing or policy, or reverse internal domestic migration patterns through executive action. The claim implies presidential omnipotence over state-level conditions the federal executive does not control.

Sources: U.S. Constitution Article II; 10th Amendment federalism doctrine

Overall Veracity: 58%

## Tags

- campaign_rhetoric (95%)
- grandiosity (82%)
- savior_archetype (85%)
- splitting (78%)
- grievance_appeal (88%)
- blue_state_targeting (75%)
- supply_seeking (72%)
- false_causation (80%)
- election_2020 (90%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**A Quiet Campaign Day: Arizona Rally Afterglow and Staff-Driven Messaging**

Trump spent October 20 in standard campaign mode two weeks before the election, posting just eight times — well below his usual volume. Most of the day's content was staff-generated rally recaps and voter mobilization messages targeting Arizona and Wisconsin. The most notable feature was what was absent: no mention of the Hunter Biden laptop controversy dominating the news cycle, no attacks on Biden, and no reference to his walkout of a 60 Minutes interview that reportedly occurred the same day.

Full digest for 2020-10-20: https://trump.fm/date/2020-10-20/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2020, October 20). To the great people of New York, California, and... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_1318549645992300500
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "To the great people of New York, California, and Illinois,..." X (Twitter), 20 Oct. 2020. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_1318549645992300500. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "To the great people of New York, California, and Illinois,...," X (Twitter), October 20, 2020, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_1318549645992300500.

## For agents

- Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt
- API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json
- MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth)
- This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/x_1318549645992300500
- Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/x_1318549645992300500
- All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/x_1318549645992300500
- Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2020-10-20
- The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/x_1318549645992300500.md?analysis=false

_Markdown view of a trump.fm page. Post, analysis, date, feed, contradictions, search and about pages answer in markdown at their URL with `.md` appended (`/index.md` for the home page), or when sent `Accept: text/markdown`._