# Post x_1183023558655709200

- Post ID: `x_1183023558655709200`
- Platform: X (Twitter)
- Posted: 2019-10-12T18:16:10.000Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/x_1183023558655709200
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/x_1183023558655709200/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/x_1183023558655709200.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Louisiana, get out and vote REPUBLICAN before going to the big game today. A runoff will be a tremendous win for your Great State - lower taxes and car insurance, and better protection of your 2nd Amendment! Fantastic being with you last night!

## Engagement

- Likes: 0
- Reposts: 14,851
- Replies: 0
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:33:25.053Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-18T18:49:26.966Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

# Psychological Analysis: Louisiana GOTV Post (2019-10-12)

## Authorship Attribution
**Assessment: Likely aide-authored (confidence: high)**

Posted at 18:16 UTC — approximately **1:16 PM CDT** on a Saturday, with Trump in or departing Louisiana after his Lake Charles rally the previous evening. This falls squarely within business hours for both Eastern and Central time zones. The post is grammatically clean, structurally complete, and task-focused in the classic GOTV mold: call to action → policy rationale → personal warmth closer. Absent are the hallmark authentic-Trump indicators — no typos, no ALL CAPS emotional surges, no stream-of-consciousness digressions. The "before going to the big game" hook (referencing LSU football on October 12) is a clever local-color touch consistent with staffed composition. Assessment: Scavino or campaign communications staff, pre-composed and scheduled.

## Psychological State and Trigger
**Trigger: Routine maintenance/supply-seeking**

No narcissistic injury is detectable. This is instrumental crowd-activation content, not a defensive or reactive post. The narcissistic features present — superlative framing ("tremendous win," "Great State"), self-centering via rally recall ("Fantastic being with you last night!") — are consistent with dispositional baseline rather than any acute state. The grandiose mode is mild and externally directed toward the audience rather than internally protective.

## Level 1: Dispositional Traits
Dominant facet: **Extraversion** (assertive social warmth, crowd-positive affect). Agreeableness moderate toward in-group. Conscientiousness moderately elevated (task orientation). Neuroticism near floor — no anxiety, hostility, or impulsivity. Openness low, consistent with values-conservatism appeal.

## Level 2: Characteristic Adaptations
**Agency motives** predominate: political power and control (mobilizing votes). **Communion motives** are instrumentalized — "being with you last night" performs intimacy to activate reciprocal loyalty. Schemas: Louisiana voters = Great People deserving Great outcomes; Democrats = implicit obstacle to those outcomes.

## Level 3: Narrative Identity
Trump casts himself as the **returning champion** who showed up in person (establishing credibility) and now calls allies to action. The narrative sequence is implicitly **redemptive**: replace the Democrat, gain better outcomes. The contrasting other — John Bel Edwards — is not named here but was named in the concurrent prior post, allowing this post to remain tonally positive while the negative contrast is pre-established.

## Rhetorical Analysis
The "before going to the big game" sequencing is rhetorically efficient: it anchors civic duty (voting) to cultural ritual (LSU football), making political participation a natural prelim rather than an interruption. The 2nd Amendment mention functions as tribal identity marker rather than substantive policy argument. Three-item policy list (taxes, insurance, 2A) provides the appearance of rationality while operating as emotional/identity cues.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "A runoff will be a tremendous win for your Great State" | **Mostly False** | The October 12, 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial primary did produce a runoff — Edwards fell just short of 50%+1 — so the runoff prediction was accurate. However, the implied Republican victory in that runoff was false: John Bel Edwards (D) won the November 16, 2019 runoff over Eddie Rispone 51%-49%. |
| "lower taxes and car insurance" | **Unverifiable** | Campaign promise attributed to Republican candidates; no specific legislation cited. Louisiana's car insurance rates are among the highest nationally, making it a legitimate local political issue, but the claim is a forward-looking political assertion rather than a verifiable fact. |
| "Fantastic being with you last night" | **True** | Trump held a campaign rally in Lake Charles, Louisiana on the evening of October 11, 2019, in support of Republican gubernatorial candidates Abraham and Rispone. |

Overall Veracity: 57%

## Cognitive Assessment
No markers of concern. Syntactic simplicity is genre-appropriate (GOTV). No deviation from documented baseline warranting notation.

## Danger Assessment
**None.** No eliminationist language, no target identification, no violent imagery, no stochastic terrorism pattern.

## Summary
Not clinically significant. Post is a routine, professionally crafted GOTV message showing no acute psychological state, no cognitive deviation, and no danger indicators. It is consistent with standard campaign-maintenance communication authored by staff rather than Trump personally.

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 20%)

### Indicators

- Posted at 18:16 UTC = ~1:16 PM CDT (Trump was in Louisiana or traveling back — Central Daylight Time applies)
- Business-hours posting squarely in aide window
- Grammatically complete, no typos or misspellings
- Polished GOTV message with policy bullet-points (taxes, car insurance, 2A)
- Structured call-to-action typical of Scavino/campaign staff output

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Maintenance (Louisiana gubernatorial election day)

Sentiment: +0.72

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 25%
- Antisocial: 5%
- Paranoid: 0%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- idealization (immature)
- rationalization (neurotic)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 35%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct address ('Louisiana') creates intimate one-to-one parasocial bond with mass audience
- Personal recall of shared event ('last night') simulates friendship memory
- Inclusive 'your Great State' positions him as co-owner of Louisiana identity

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-18._

> A runoff will be a tremendous win for your Great State

**MOSTLY FALSE**

The October 12, 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial primary did produce a runoff — Edwards fell just short of 50%+1 — so the runoff prediction was accurate. However, the implied Republican victory in that runoff was false: John Bel Edwards (D) won the November 16, 2019 runoff over Eddie Rispone 51%-49%.

Sources: Louisiana Secretary of State 2019 election results

> lower taxes and car insurance

**UNVERIFIABLE**

Campaign promise attributed to Republican candidates; no specific legislation cited. Louisiana's car insurance rates are among the highest nationally, making it a legitimate local political issue, but the claim is a forward-looking political assertion rather than a verifiable fact.

> Fantastic being with you last night

**TRUE**

Trump held a campaign rally in Lake Charles, Louisiana on the evening of October 11, 2019, in support of Republican gubernatorial candidates Abraham and Rispone.

Sources: Known events context — historian tier

Overall Veracity: 57%

## Tags

- GOTV (95%)
- aide-authored (80%)
- maintenance-post (90%)
- in-group-idealization (50%)
- Louisiana-2019-governor (95%)
- 2nd-amendment-signaling (60%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Besieged on All Fronts, Trump Posts Until 3 AM Then Pivots to Grandiose Deal-Making**

Trump flew into Louisiana for a campaign rally and stayed up posting until nearly 3 AM local time, cycling between attacks on impeachment investigators, jabs at critics, and rally cheerleading. The mood was combative and scattered — a late-night "WHERE'S HUNTER?" outburst stood out as the day's most intense moment, a crowd-chant slogan deployed as a deflection from his own mounting legal exposure. By afternoon he had shifted gears, touting a preliminary China trade deal as the "greatest and biggest" in American history and publicly defending Rudy Giuliani just days after Giuliani's associates were arrested. The day's arc was one of constant psychological motion — no single narrative held, just a barrage of grievances, boasts, and counter-attacks against a backdrop of converging crises.

Full digest for 2019-10-12: https://trump.fm/date/2019-10-12/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2019, October 12). Louisiana, get out and vote REPUBLICAN before... [Social media post]. X (Twitter). trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/x_1183023558655709200
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Louisiana, get out and vote REPUBLICAN before going to the..." X (Twitter), 12 Oct. 2019. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_1183023558655709200. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Louisiana, get out and vote REPUBLICAN before going to the...," X (Twitter), October 12, 2019, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/x_1183023558655709200.

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