# Post ts_117552662184941822 - Post ID: `ts_117552662184941822` - Platform: Truth Social - Posted: 2026-11-03T13:07:56.015Z (UTC) - Deleted: no - Repost: no - Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117552662184941822 - Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117552662184941822/analysis ## Post text > Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate for Ohio’s 15th Congressional District! > > As a Member of the POWERFUL House Ways & Means Committee, Mike understands the America First Policies required to Create GREAT Jobs, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., and Champion our Nation’s Golden Age. A Brave U.S. Army Veteran, Mike knows the Wisdom and Courage required to Defend our Country, Support our Military/Veterans, and Ensure PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH. He is also working hard to Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, and Protect our always under siege Second Amendment. > > Mike’s opponent, Don Leonard, is a Radical Left Democrat who is opposed to NO TAX ON TIPS, NO TAX ON OVERTIME, and NO TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY and, if he and the Dumocrats ever got in, all of these things will be terminated. He wants massive Tax Increases, Open Borders, Men playing in Women’s Sports, and Transgender Mutilization of your Children. Don Leonard is Reckless, Radical, and Dangerous! > > Mike Carey has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR MIKE — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP https://swampthevoteusa.com/ohio/ ## Engagement - Likes: 1,697 - Reposts: 462 - Replies: 10 - Views: unknown - Metrics collected: 2026-11-03T20:01:34.003Z (UTC) # Analysis _Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-11-03T23:10:45.347Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._ ## An Election Day reissue of a stock endorsement The post went up at 13:07 UTC on November 3, 2026. Daylight saving time ended on November 1, so that is 8:07 a.m. Eastern. On Election Day he was most likely in Palm Beach, where he votes, after a closing weekend of tele-rallies from Mar-a-Lago. Washington would put him in the same timezone. The post sits in a run of near-identical endorsements published the same morning (Wittman, Yarbrough, Herrera, Bresnahan, Mackenzie), and each one now ends with a link to the RNC-aligned turnout site swampthevoteusa.com. That is a scheduled get-out-the-vote push, written by staff and released in bulk. The text is assembled from modules that appear word for word in the other posts that morning: - "the Wisdom and Courage required to Defend our Country, Support our Military/Veterans, and Ensure PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH" (also in the Yarbrough and Wittman posts) - "is a Radical Left Democrat who is opposed to NO TAX ON TIPS" through "if he and the Dumocrats ever got in, all of these things will be terminated" (Yarbrough, Bresnahan, Mackenzie) - "Protect our always under siege Second Amendment" (Bresnahan, Mackenzie) The district-specific details are accurate and precise: "Ohio's 15th Congressional District," the "House Ways & Means Committee" seat, "U.S. Army Veteran." Precision like that points to a staff researcher filling slots. The post also signs off in the third person ("President DONALD J. TRUMP"). Some features read as Trump's own, but they have been absorbed into the template. "Dumocrats" is his coinage, and "Mutilization," a nonstandard blend of mutilation and mutilization-as-process, has recurred in endorsement boilerplate since 2024. Because the same misspelling appears across dozens of staff-issued posts, it tells us nothing about his language production on this date. What settles authorship is that the text never leaves the template: there is no point where a tangent or a fresh grievance breaks in, which is where his own hand shows when he dictates or types a post himself. One phrase has been updated. Earlier versions of the border module read "Keep our Border SECURE." Here it becomes "Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE." The template has moved from a promise to a claim of achievement, which fits an incumbent party campaigning on its record. ## Splitting by template The post divides the world in two, and does it mechanically. Carey is "a Fantastic Advocate," "Brave," holds "the Wisdom and Courage," and "WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!" Leonard is "Reckless, Radical, and Dangerous!" and is said to favor "Open Borders, Men playing in Women's Sports, and Transgender Mutilization of your Children." This is idealization and devaluation, the immature splitting defense, but the evidence shows it running as a campaign genre. The same vices are pinned word for word on Dan Barrios, Paige Cognetti and Bob Brooks, which shows the devaluation responds to a party label rather than to anything Leonard has said or done. There is no sign of personal grievance or injury, so the trigger is routine maintenance of a coalition. Endorsing dozens of candidates on Election Day also reflects agency and power motives. Each endorsement is offered as a gift from the patron ("my Complete and Total Endorsement"), so a candidate's standing depends on his favor. The trait signals are those of the brand voice rather than of a person writing in the moment: assertive, high on positive affect toward the ally, low on agreeableness toward the opponent, and rigid on values. The narrative is a Golden Age frame ("Champion our Nation's Golden Age") under threat of contamination: what has been won ("NO TAX ON TIPS," a "now very Secure Border") would be "terminated" if the "Dumocrats ever got in." In archetypal terms he is the King conferring favor on a loyal vassal. The Shadow is projected onto a Democrat painted as a danger to children and to women's sports. ## Rhetoric and claims The devices are standard: capitals on the policy brand names ("NO TAX ON TIPS," "MADE IN THE U.S.A.," "PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH"), the slur "Dumocrats," a three-beat alliterative close ("Reckless, Radical, and Dangerous"), and an appeal to fear in "Transgender Mutilization of your Children." That phrase is the most inflammatory in the post. It targets a medical practice and is aimed at parents' fears, but it names no individual target and asks for nothing beyond a vote. The only call to action is "GET OUT AND VOTE FOR MIKE." The claims about Carey check out. He sits on Ways and Means, and he served in the Army National Guard (or Army Reserve, depending on the source) from 1989 to 1999. The claims about Leonard are attributed, not documented, and they are the same claims made about every Democratic opponent that morning. The "terminated" prediction is the weakest. The tips and overtime deductions are law through 2028, repealing them would take a bill signed by Trump himself, and no-tax-on-tips drew Democratic votes when the Senate passed it unanimously in 2025. "NO TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY" also misnames the policy, which is a temporary $6,000 senior deduction. Social Security benefits are still taxable. The prior posts give no longitudinal signal to compare: this is the fifth copy of one form in a single morning. ## Fact Verification | Claim | Verdict | Evidence | |-------|---------|----------| | "Mike Carey is a member of the House Ways and Means Committee" | **True** | Carey has served on the Ways and Means Committee since the 118th Congress. | | "Mike Carey is a U.S. Army veteran" | **True** | Ballotpedia lists Army Reserve service from 1989 to 1999, and Wikipedia lists Army National Guard service for the same years. Both are Army components. | | "Don Leonard is the Democratic opponent in Ohio's 15th District" | **True** | Leonard, a former college professor, narrowly beat Army veteran Adam Miller in the May 5, 2026 Democratic primary. | | "Leonard opposes no tax on tips, no tax on overtime and no tax on Social Security" | **Mostly False** | I found no statement, vote, questionnaire answer or interview in which Don Leonard opposes the tip, overtime or senior tax provisions. Leonard is a former Ohio State city-planning professor and a first-time candidate, so he never voted on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Sources checked for his positions: - His campaign site (donforohio.com home, values, bio, faith and additional-media pages) - WOSU/WVXU's Oct. 5, 2026 profile and WOSU's Oct. 30 race story - ABC6's Oct. 26 candidate piece - Spectrum News's July interview - Dayton Daily News coverage - BallotReady and iVoterGuide (he left every questionnaire item unanswered) - The Free Beacon's critical piece - Search results summarizing the Columbus Dispatch primary questionnaire None of them mentions tips, overtime or the tax treatment of Social Security. Civic-align's race guide also reports "no public position found" for Leonard on these items. His stated platform runs toward affordability for workers and seniors ("retire with dignity," "every full time job supports a full life"), and he criticizes tax breaks for corporations and billionaires. The only partial hook is that Leonard attacks Carey's vote for the OBBBA over its roughly $1 trillion in Medicaid cuts (C-SPAN clip, his own materials). That bill contains the tip, overtime and senior deductions, but opposing the bill over Medicaid is not the same as opposing those provisions. The claim also misdescribes the law. The OBBBA did not end tax on Social Security. It created temporary deductions for tax years 2025 through 2028: up to $25,000 for qualified tips, up to $12,500 ($25,000 joint) for overtime premium pay, and a $6,000 deduction for people 65 and older (IRS fact sheet FS-2025-03). The sentence is template text. The same morning's endorsement of Rep. Mike Lawler (NY-17) attacks Democrat Cait Conley in the same terms: she opposes the tip, overtime and Social Security exemptions, wants massive tax increases and open borders, and is "Reckless, Radical, and Dangerous!" The first-pass analysis found the same paragraph used against other Democrats in that batch. The position is assigned by template, not drawn from anything Leonard has said, and his only related stance (opposing the OBBBA over Medicaid) doesn't amount to opposing these deductions. | | "'No tax on Social Security' is an existing policy Democrats would end" | **Mostly False** | The 2025 reconciliation law created a temporary $6,000 deduction for filers 65 and older. It did not exempt Social Security benefits from income tax, and benefits remain taxable above the statutory thresholds. | | "If Democrats got in, the tip, overtime and senior tax provisions would all be terminated" | **Mostly False** | The provisions are law through 2028. Repealing them would take legislation passing both chambers and signed by Trump. No-tax-on-tips also had bipartisan support: the Senate passed the No Tax on Tips Act by unanimous consent in May 2025. | | "The border is now very secure" | **Mostly True** | Southwest border apprehensions fell to multi-decade lows in 2025 and stayed low into 2026. 'Very secure' is a characterization, but the trend it rests on is documented. | | "Leonard wants massive tax increases, open borders, men in women's sports and transgender procedures on children" | **Mostly False** | Leonard's public record contradicts or fails to support each part of this list. Open borders: his own words contradict this. His campaign values page says "Secure the border. Respect immigrants." He told WOSU (Oct. 5, 2026): "We've gotta secure the southern border," and called for comprehensive immigration reform. Critics do have a real basis on enforcement. He says "we have got to replace ICE completely" with "humane law enforcement," treats unauthorized presence as a civil rather than criminal matter (WOSU; Free Beacon), and his bio condemns masked federal agents "abducting legal residents." Wanting to replace ICE is not the same as advocating open borders. Massive tax increases: the record shows only targeted taxes on the wealthy, not broad increases. - He praised the Working Families Party's "call to tax billionaires" ("Working Families Party is on point here," per the Free Beacon) and gave the party $100. - He complains that "corporations and billionaires get government deals, bailouts and tax breaks" (Dayton Daily News). - He says Ohio residents and small businesses pay the highest property taxes while corporations pay the lowest (WOSU). - He backs universal health care and child care, which would need revenue, but I found no proposal for broad tax hikes on ordinary voters. Men in women's sports and transgender procedures on minors: I found no statement either way. - His site says only that "Everyone deserves the freedom to be who they were born to be and to live a life free from fear of discrimination." - His faith statement says every person "regardless of their race, religion, gender, or sexuality" deserves to live free from discrimination. - He left iVoterGuide's items on biological sex in sports and on minors' gender transition unanswered. - None of the news profiles (WOSU, ABC6, Spectrum, Dayton Daily News, 10TV/Yahoo) or his campaign pages raise the subject. His values page says he opposes culture wars. The list is boilerplate. The same morning's Lawler endorsement accuses NY-17 Democrat Cait Conley, word for word, of supporting "massive Tax Increases, Open Borders," transgender policies and men in women's sports. The first-pass analysis found the same paragraph applied to other Democratic challengers that day. The only sourced kernels are his support for taxing billionaires and his call to replace ICE. Neither supports the post's version, and the open-borders charge contradicts his explicit border-security statements. | Overall Veracity: 58% ## Authorship Analysis **Aide-Written** (score: 10%) ### Indicators - Posted 8:07 a.m. Eastern on Election Day inside a batch of near-identical endorsements - Sentence modules repeated word for word across the Wittman, Yarbrough, Bresnahan and Mackenzie posts - Precise committee and district details (House Ways & Means, Ohio's 15th) - Third-person signoff 'President DONALD J. TRUMP' plus a GOTV campaign URL - Trump coinages 'Dumocrats' and 'Mutilization' present but fixed in the template ## Psychological Profile ### Traits **Big Five:** - Extraversion: 70% - Agreeableness: 35% - Conscientiousness: 60% - Neuroticism: 30% - Openness: 20% Strongest facet: assertiveness **Motives:** - Agency: 75% - Communion: 35% Primary drive: power ### Narrative - **Role:** Patron-king conferring endorsement - **Arc:** contamination - **Contrasting:** Don Leonard and the 'Dumocrats' **Identity Claims:** - Architect of a national Golden Age - Author of NO TAX ON TIPS, NO TAX ON OVERTIME and a 'now very Secure Border' ### State **Grandiose State** **Trigger:** Maintenance (Election Day GOTV endorsement batch) Sentiment: +0.20 ### Clinical **Malignant Narcissism:** - Narcissistic: 30% - Antisocial: 10% - Paranoid: 20% - Sadism: 5% **Defense Mechanisms:** - splitting (immature) - idealization (immature) - devaluation (immature) **Cognitive Complexity:** - Complexity: 45% **Parasocial Techniques:** - Direct second-person address to voters ('your Children') - Personal guarantee ('HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!') - Patron's endorsement as a personal gift ('my Complete and Total Endorsement') ## Fact Checks (8) _The model's verdicts from 2026-11-03._ > Mike Carey is a member of the House Ways and Means Committee **TRUE** Carey has served on the Ways and Means Committee since the 118th Congress. Sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Carey_(politician) > Mike Carey is a U.S. Army veteran **TRUE** Ballotpedia lists Army Reserve service from 1989 to 1999, and Wikipedia lists Army National Guard service for the same years. Both are Army components. Sources: https://ballotpedia.org/Mike Carey (Ohio); https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Carey_(politician) > Don Leonard is the Democratic opponent in Ohio's 15th District **TRUE** Leonard, a former college professor, narrowly beat Army veteran Adam Miller in the May 5, 2026 Democratic primary. Sources: https://ballotpedia.org/Ohio's_15th_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(May_5_Democratic_primary); https://www.nbc4i.com/news/your-local-election-hq/one-of-central-ohios-closest-races-was-to-see-who-will-challenge-mike-carey-for-u-s-house-seat/amp/ > Leonard opposes no tax on tips, no tax on overtime and no tax on Social Security **MOSTLY FALSE** I found no statement, vote, questionnaire answer or interview in which Don Leonard opposes the tip, overtime or senior tax provisions. Leonard is a former Ohio State city-planning professor and a first-time candidate, so he never voted on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Sources checked for his positions: - His campaign site (donforohio.com home, values, bio, faith and additional-media pages) - WOSU/WVXU's Oct. 5, 2026 profile and WOSU's Oct. 30 race story - ABC6's Oct. 26 candidate piece - Spectrum News's July interview - Dayton Daily News coverage - BallotReady and iVoterGuide (he left every questionnaire item unanswered) - The Free Beacon's critical piece - Search results summarizing the Columbus Dispatch primary questionnaire None of them mentions tips, overtime or the tax treatment of Social Security. Civic-align's race guide also reports "no public position found" for Leonard on these items. His stated platform runs toward affordability for workers and seniors ("retire with dignity," "every full time job supports a full life"), and he criticizes tax breaks for corporations and billionaires. The only partial hook is that Leonard attacks Carey's vote for the OBBBA over its roughly $1 trillion in Medicaid cuts (C-SPAN clip, his own materials). That bill contains the tip, overtime and senior deductions, but opposing the bill over Medicaid is not the same as opposing those provisions. The claim also misdescribes the law. The OBBBA did not end tax on Social Security. It created temporary deductions for tax years 2025 through 2028: up to $25,000 for qualified tips, up to $12,500 ($25,000 joint) for overtime premium pay, and a $6,000 deduction for people 65 and older (IRS fact sheet FS-2025-03). The sentence is template text. The same morning's endorsement of Rep. Mike Lawler (NY-17) attacks Democrat Cait Conley in the same terms: she opposes the tip, overtime and Social Security exemptions, wants massive tax increases and open borders, and is "Reckless, Radical, and Dangerous!" The first-pass analysis found the same paragraph used against other Democrats in that batch. The position is assigned by template, not drawn from anything Leonard has said, and his only related stance (opposing the OBBBA over Medicaid) doesn't amount to opposing these deductions. Sources: https://www.wyso.org/2026-10-05/do-something-democrat-don-leonard-hopes-to-flip-the-script-in-ohios-15th-congressional-district; https://www.wosu.org/politics-government/2026-10-30/ohios-15th-congressional-district-sees-flood-of-money-ahead-of-closer-than-expected-race; https://donforohio.com; https://donforohio.com/values; https://donforohio.com/bio; https://donforohio.com/faith; https://donforohio.com/additional-media; https://ivoterguide.com/candidate/93274; https://www.ballotready.org/people/don-leonard; https://www.civic-align.com/races/ohio/15th-congressional-district/2026; https://abc6onyourside.com/news/local/district-15-candidates-explain-to-abc6-why-they-should-be-voted-into-office-mike-carey-don-leonard-franklin-madison-fayette-clark-miami-shelby-congress; https://spectrumnews1.com/oh/columbus/Capital-This-Week/2026/07/15/breaking-down-the-race-for-ohio-s-15th-congressional-district; https://www.daytondailynews.com/tncms/asset/editorial/efa08e3e-56f0-51d5-b92c-8c65ee350ce5; https://freebeacon.com/democrats/ohio-dem-running-in-swing-district-says-hes-not-a-socialist-but-would-lie-to-the-people-to-get-their-votes-if-he-was/; https://www.c-span.org/clip/campaign-2026/us-house-candidate-don-leonard-on-childhood-struggles-and-support-for-medicaid/5205056; https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2026/08/20/ohioans-criticize-ohio-u-s-rep-mike-carey-for-cuts-to-snap-medicaid-and-education/; https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/43399; https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/43403; https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USIRS/bulletins/3e9934f; https://www.irs.gov/node/154921 > 'No tax on Social Security' is an existing policy Democrats would end **MOSTLY FALSE** The 2025 reconciliation law created a temporary $6,000 deduction for filers 65 and older. It did not exempt Social Security benefits from income tax, and benefits remain taxable above the statutory thresholds. > If Democrats got in, the tip, overtime and senior tax provisions would all be terminated **MOSTLY FALSE** The provisions are law through 2028. Repealing them would take legislation passing both chambers and signed by Trump. No-tax-on-tips also had bipartisan support: the Senate passed the No Tax on Tips Act by unanimous consent in May 2025. > The border is now very secure **MOSTLY TRUE** Southwest border apprehensions fell to multi-decade lows in 2025 and stayed low into 2026. 'Very secure' is a characterization, but the trend it rests on is documented. > Leonard wants massive tax increases, open borders, men in women's sports and transgender procedures on children **MOSTLY FALSE** Leonard's public record contradicts or fails to support each part of this list. Open borders: his own words contradict this. His campaign values page says "Secure the border. Respect immigrants." He told WOSU (Oct. 5, 2026): "We've gotta secure the southern border," and called for comprehensive immigration reform. Critics do have a real basis on enforcement. He says "we have got to replace ICE completely" with "humane law enforcement," treats unauthorized presence as a civil rather than criminal matter (WOSU; Free Beacon), and his bio condemns masked federal agents "abducting legal residents." Wanting to replace ICE is not the same as advocating open borders. Massive tax increases: the record shows only targeted taxes on the wealthy, not broad increases. - He praised the Working Families Party's "call to tax billionaires" ("Working Families Party is on point here," per the Free Beacon) and gave the party $100. - He complains that "corporations and billionaires get government deals, bailouts and tax breaks" (Dayton Daily News). - He says Ohio residents and small businesses pay the highest property taxes while corporations pay the lowest (WOSU). - He backs universal health care and child care, which would need revenue, but I found no proposal for broad tax hikes on ordinary voters. Men in women's sports and transgender procedures on minors: I found no statement either way. - His site says only that "Everyone deserves the freedom to be who they were born to be and to live a life free from fear of discrimination." - His faith statement says every person "regardless of their race, religion, gender, or sexuality" deserves to live free from discrimination. - He left iVoterGuide's items on biological sex in sports and on minors' gender transition unanswered. - None of the news profiles (WOSU, ABC6, Spectrum, Dayton Daily News, 10TV/Yahoo) or his campaign pages raise the subject. His values page says he opposes culture wars. The list is boilerplate. The same morning's Lawler endorsement accuses NY-17 Democrat Cait Conley, word for word, of supporting "massive Tax Increases, Open Borders," transgender policies and men in women's sports. The first-pass analysis found the same paragraph applied to other Democratic challengers that day. The only sourced kernels are his support for taxing billionaires and his call to replace ICE. Neither supports the post's version, and the open-borders charge contradicts his explicit border-security statements. Sources: https://www.wyso.org/2026-10-05/do-something-democrat-don-leonard-hopes-to-flip-the-script-in-ohios-15th-congressional-district; https://www.wvxu.org/2026-10-05/do-something-democrat-don-leonard-hopes-to-flip-the-script-in-ohios-15th-congressional-district; https://donforohio.com/values; https://donforohio.com/faith; https://donforohio.com/bio; https://donforohio.com; https://freebeacon.com/democrats/ohio-dem-running-in-swing-district-says-hes-not-a-socialist-but-would-lie-to-the-people-to-get-their-votes-if-he-was/; https://www.daytondailynews.com/tncms/asset/editorial/efa08e3e-56f0-51d5-b92c-8c65ee350ce5; https://ivoterguide.com/candidate/93274; https://www.civic-align.com/races/ohio/15th-congressional-district/2026; https://abc6onyourside.com/news/local/district-15-candidates-explain-to-abc6-why-they-should-be-voted-into-office-mike-carey-don-leonard-franklin-madison-fayette-clark-miami-shelby-congress; https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/know-candidates-running-ohio-15th-104427532.html; https://www.buzzsprout.com/2519032/episodes/18464806-don-leonard-on-ice-raids-dark-money-why-democracy-is-at-risk-the-culture-codex-podcast-010; https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/43399; https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/43403 Overall Veracity: 58% ## Tags - endorsement (100%) - 2026 midterms (90%) - Ohio OH-15 (70%) - splitting (60%) - no tax on tips (60%) - transgender issues (40%) - aide-written (90%) ## Citation - APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, November 3). Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_117552662184941822 - MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate for Ohio’s..." Truth Social, 3 Nov. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117552662184941822. Accessed 4 Nov. 2026. - Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate for Ohio’s...," Truth Social, November 3, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117552662184941822. ## For agents - Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt - API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json - MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth) - This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/ts_117552662184941822 - Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/ts_117552662184941822 - All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/ts_117552662184941822 - Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2026-11-03 - The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117552662184941822.md?analysis=false _Markdown view of a trump.fm page. Post, analysis, date, feed, contradictions, search and about pages answer in markdown at their URL with `.md` appended (`/index.md` for the home page), or when sent `Accept: text/markdown`._