# Post ts_117536920218712868

- Post ID: `ts_117536920218712868`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2026-10-31T18:24:32.673Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117536920218712868
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117536920218712868/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_117536920218712868.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate for Ohio's 15th Congressional District!
>
> As a Member of the POWERFUL House Ways & Means Committee, Mike understands the America First Policies required to Create GREAT Jobs, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., and Champion our Nation's Golden Age. A Brave U.S. Army Veteran, Mike knows the Wisdom and Courage required to Defend our Country, Support our Military/Veterans, and Ensure PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH. He is also working hard to Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, and Protect our always under siege Second Amendment.
>
> Mike's opponent, Don Leonard, is a Radical Left Dumocrat who is opposed to NO TAX ON TIPS, NO TAX ON OVERTIME, and NO TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY and, if he and the Dumocrats ever got in, all of these things will be terminated. He wants massive Tax Increases, Open Borders, Men playing in Women's Sports, and Transgender Mutilization of your Children. Don Leonard is Reckless, Radical, and Dangerous!
>
> Mike Carey has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR MIKE — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
> https://swampthevoteusa.com/ohio/

## Engagement

- Likes: 917
- Reposts: 263
- Replies: 21
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-10-31T20:01:12.555Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-10-31T20:57:01.608Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## A form letter, filled in for Ohio's 15th

This is one of at least five near-identical endorsements posted on 31 October. Four went to Pennsylvania incumbents (Joyce, Reschenthaler, Thompson, Kelly) and this one went to Mike Carey. The Carey text takes its second paragraph almost word for word from the Mike Kelly endorsement: "As a ... Member of the POWERFUL House Ways & Means Committee, Mike understands the America First Policies required to Create GREAT Jobs, Cut Taxes and Regulations, ... Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., and Champion our Nation's Golden Age." Both men are named Mike and both sit on Ways & Means, so the paragraph moved over with "Senior" dropped and "Advance" swapped for "Unleash." The opponent paragraph is fill-in-the-blank. "[Name]'s opponent, [Name], is a Radical Left Dumocrat who is opposed to NO TAX ON TIPS..." also appears in the Joyce post, with only the name and pronoun changed.

18:24 UTC is 2:24 pm Eastern (daylight time runs until 1 November). That is 21 minutes before the Ohio TeleRally he had announced for 2:45 pm ET, where Carey is one of five named candidates. The post looks like the campaign loading the written endorsement just ahead of the call.

## Who typed it

The evidence points to staff:
- the text reuses a template
- it went up mid-afternoon, timed to a scheduled event
- it signs off "President DONALD J. TRUMP"
- it links a campaign site
- its policy lists are parallel and complete

The Trump-voice features ("Dumocrat," capitalized slogans, Capitalized Nouns) are now the house style of these templates and appear the same way across the batch. They can't tell one author from another.

Two phrasings depart from the template and could be a second hand. One is "Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE." The sibling posts read "Keep our Border SECURE," and the inserted "now very Secure" turns a goal into a boast and leaves the sentence circular. The other is "Transgender Mutilization," a nonstandard blend of "mutilation" with an "-ization" ending. Neither puts Trump at the keyboard. Because the text was assembled from a template, "Mutilization" can't be scored as a spontaneous production error. Whoever introduced it, it is carried here as a stock phrase, and I give it no cognitive weight.

## Two men, one adjective set each

The psychological content belongs to the political persona and works by splitting. Carey is "Fantastic," "Brave," and has "Wisdom and Courage." Leonard is "Reckless, Radical, and Dangerous." The only details specific to either man are Carey's committee seat and his Army service. Leonard gets the same policy bundle every opponent in the batch gets: "massive Tax Increases, Open Borders, Men playing in Women's Sports, and Transgender Mutilization of your Children." The contrasting other is a category, interchangeable across districts.

Trump's self shows up once, as the one conferring approval: "Mike Carey has my Complete and Total Endorsement." The agency motive lies in the endorsement itself, and the currency is loyalty: "HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN." He collects credit indirectly. The policies are "America First," and the moment is "our Nation's Golden Age," both of which point back to him without naming him. Nothing in the text reacts to a slight or a defeat. This is routine campaign output.

## A sunset blamed on the other side

The sharpest move is a conditional threat: "if he and the Dumocrats ever got in, all of these things will be terminated." The tips and overtime provisions in the July 2025 reconciliation law are capped deductions that end after tax year 2028 under the law as written, so their end is already scheduled whoever wins. "NO TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY" describes something the law didn't do. It added a temporary $6,000 deduction for filers 65 and older, which reduces tax on benefits but leaves many retirees still paying some. Blaming the opposition for a built-in expiration is a modest distortion of the kind campaigns routinely use. It doesn't deny any documented event.

"Transgender Mutilization of your Children" is the most inflammatory line. It attributes to one named candidate support for harming children, and "your" aims it at the reader's own family. It works as a fear appeal. The only action requested is "GET OUT AND VOTE FOR MIKE," and the target is a ballot opponent named in an electoral context, with no eliminationist wording around him.

"Dumocrat" is a deliberate pejorative coinage that runs through this period's endorsements. It is name-calling, so it doesn't count as a neologism in the clinical sense.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Mike Carey is a member of the House Ways & Means Committee" | **True** | Carey has served on the Ways and Means Committee since the 118th Congress began in 2023. |
| "Mike Carey is a U.S. Army veteran" | **True** | Carey's House biography describes his Army service, which included time in the Army National Guard. |
| "If Democrats win, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime and no tax on Social Security will be terminated" | **Mostly False** | The July 2025 reconciliation law made the tips and overtime breaks capped deductions that expire after tax year 2028 under current law, whoever holds Congress. It did not eliminate tax on Social Security. It added a temporary $6,000 deduction for filers 65 and over, also expiring after 2028. The provisions are scheduled to end on their own, and one of them was never enacted as described. |
| "The border is now very secure" | **Mostly True** | Southwest border apprehensions fell to multi-decade monthly lows through 2025 and into 2026 under expanded enforcement. 'Secure' is an evaluative term, but the crossing figures support a large decline. |
| "Don Leonard opposes no tax on tips, no tax on overtime and no tax on Social Security" | **Mostly False** | Nothing in the record backs this. Leonard, a former Ohio State professor who narrowly won the 15th District Democratic primary on 5 May 2026, has never held federal office, so he cast no vote on the 2025 reconciliation law (the One Big Beautiful Bill Act) that carries these provisions. His campaign site (donforohio.com, home and values pages) says nothing about tips, overtime or the taxation of Social Security. The voter-guide profiles that read his site (Smarter.vote, The Ballot Brief, Ohio Citizen) and the local coverage (WOSU, ABC6, Spectrum News, Dayton Daily News, the Columbus Dispatch via AOL, Hoodline) record no such position either. On iVoterGuide he left the tax questions unanswered.

What he does say on taxes points elsewhere. He complains that 'corporations and billionaires get government deals, bailouts and tax breaks' while schools and the safety net get cut (Dayton Daily News, donforohio.com). He says data centers aren't 'paying their fair share' (ABC6). He says Ohio residents and small businesses pay the highest property taxes while corporations pay the lowest (WOSU). Campaign-linked material attacks Carey over the 2025 law's roughly $1 trillion in Medicaid cuts. Opposing that bill is not the same as opposing its tip and overtime deductions: the Senate passed a standalone No Tax on Tips Act unanimously, and many Democrats backed the idea while voting against the package.

The 'no tax on Social Security' label also overstates the policy. The 2025 law added a temporary extra deduction for seniors, and benefits stay taxable for many recipients. The tip and overtime breaks are capped deductions that expire after 2028.

The sentence itself is a template. As the first-pass analysis noted, the same wording, with only the name swapped, went to opponents in other districts that day. With no statement or vote behind it, and his stated tax views aimed at corporations and billionaires, the claim is unsupported and probably wrong, though no document shows him explicitly endorsing these deductions. |
| "Don Leonard wants massive tax increases, open borders, men in women's sports and transgender mutilation of children" | **Mostly False** | The four parts check out differently, and none is supported as written.

Open borders: his own words contradict this. His campaign values page says: 'Reject the culture wars. Secure the border. Respect immigrants.' WOSU's 5 October 2026 profile quotes him: 'We've got to enforce our laws. We've gotta secure the southern border.' He has said 'we have got to replace ICE completely' and called it 'the president's secret police' (WOSU, Washington Free Beacon). That is a call to rebuild one enforcement agency, not a call to open the border.

Massive tax increases: there's a grain of truth, but the wording inflates it. The Free Beacon reports he praised the Working Families Party's December 2025 call to tax billionaires ('Working Families Party is on point here') and gave the party $100. His platform attacks tax breaks for corporations and billionaires, and he says data centers and corporations underpay. No source shows him proposing broad or 'massive' tax increases on ordinary taxpayers. He argues residents and small businesses already pay too much in property tax.

Men in women's sports and transgender care for minors: no statement found. His values page has a 'Dignity for Everyone' section saying everyone deserves the freedom 'to be who they were born to be' and to live free from discrimination or government harassment. That points to general support for LGBTQ rights but names no position on sports or medical care for minors. He left iVoterGuide's questions on 'biological males in women's sports' and on transitioning children unanswered. Neither the Free Beacon's opposition-style piece nor local coverage mentions any stance from him on these issues.

The tilt of his record is broadly progressive (universal health care, billionaire taxes, replacing ICE), so the attack isn't invented from nothing. But its one concrete, checkable charge, open borders, contradicts his stated platform, the tax charge exaggerates a billionaire-tax position, and the transgender charges cite nothing he has said. Like the first claim, this is template wording that went to several opponents the same day. |

Overall Veracity: 57%

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 15%)

### Indicators

- Paragraph two duplicates the same-day Mike Kelly endorsement nearly verbatim
- Opponent paragraph is a fill-in template shared with the John Joyce post
- Posted 2:24 pm ET, 21 minutes before the announced 2:45 pm Ohio TeleRally that names Carey
- Formal sign-off 'President DONALD J. TRUMP' plus campaign URL
- Parallel, complete policy lists with consistent capitalization

## Psychological Profile

### Traits

**Big Five:**
- Extraversion: 70%
- Agreeableness: 25%
- Conscientiousness: 50%
- Neuroticism: 35%
- Openness: 20%

Strongest facet: assertiveness (endorsement conferred as an act of patronage)

**Motives:**
- Agency: 75%
- Communion: 30%

Primary drive: power

### Narrative

- **Role:** patron and kingmaker conferring endorsement
- **Arc:** neutral
- **Contrasting:** Don Leonard as a generic 'Radical Left Dumocrat'

**Identity Claims:**
- Author of 'America First Policies'
- Steward of 'our Nation's Golden Age'
- Guarantor of candidate loyalty

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Maintenance (Scheduled Ohio TeleRally at 2:45 pm ET and a same-day batch of House endorsements)

Sentiment: +0.10

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 30%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 15%
- Sadism: 5%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- splitting (immature)
- idealization (immature)
- devaluation (immature)
- distortion (pathological)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 45%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct second-person address to the voter's family ('your Children')
- Personal guarantee of loyalty ('HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN')
- Endorsement framed as a personal gift ('my Complete and Total Endorsement')

## Fact Checks (6)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-10-31._

> Mike Carey is a member of the House Ways & Means Committee

**TRUE**

Carey has served on the Ways and Means Committee since the 118th Congress began in 2023.

Sources: https://carey.house.gov/about

> Mike Carey is a U.S. Army veteran

**TRUE**

Carey's House biography describes his Army service, which included time in the Army National Guard.

Sources: https://carey.house.gov/about

> If Democrats win, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime and no tax on Social Security will be terminated

**MOSTLY FALSE**

The July 2025 reconciliation law made the tips and overtime breaks capped deductions that expire after tax year 2028 under current law, whoever holds Congress. It did not eliminate tax on Social Security. It added a temporary $6,000 deduction for filers 65 and over, also expiring after 2028. The provisions are scheduled to end on their own, and one of them was never enacted as described.

Sources: https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1; https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/one-big-beautiful-bill-provisions

> The border is now very secure

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Southwest border apprehensions fell to multi-decade monthly lows through 2025 and into 2026 under expanded enforcement. 'Secure' is an evaluative term, but the crossing figures support a large decline.

Sources: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters

> Don Leonard opposes no tax on tips, no tax on overtime and no tax on Social Security

**MOSTLY FALSE**

Nothing in the record backs this. Leonard, a former Ohio State professor who narrowly won the 15th District Democratic primary on 5 May 2026, has never held federal office, so he cast no vote on the 2025 reconciliation law (the One Big Beautiful Bill Act) that carries these provisions. His campaign site (donforohio.com, home and values pages) says nothing about tips, overtime or the taxation of Social Security. The voter-guide profiles that read his site (Smarter.vote, The Ballot Brief, Ohio Citizen) and the local coverage (WOSU, ABC6, Spectrum News, Dayton Daily News, the Columbus Dispatch via AOL, Hoodline) record no such position either. On iVoterGuide he left the tax questions unanswered.

What he does say on taxes points elsewhere. He complains that 'corporations and billionaires get government deals, bailouts and tax breaks' while schools and the safety net get cut (Dayton Daily News, donforohio.com). He says data centers aren't 'paying their fair share' (ABC6). He says Ohio residents and small businesses pay the highest property taxes while corporations pay the lowest (WOSU). Campaign-linked material attacks Carey over the 2025 law's roughly $1 trillion in Medicaid cuts. Opposing that bill is not the same as opposing its tip and overtime deductions: the Senate passed a standalone No Tax on Tips Act unanimously, and many Democrats backed the idea while voting against the package.

The 'no tax on Social Security' label also overstates the policy. The 2025 law added a temporary extra deduction for seniors, and benefits stay taxable for many recipients. The tip and overtime breaks are capped deductions that expire after 2028.

The sentence itself is a template. As the first-pass analysis noted, the same wording, with only the name swapped, went to opponents in other districts that day. With no statement or vote behind it, and his stated tax views aimed at corporations and billionaires, the claim is unsupported and probably wrong, though no document shows him explicitly endorsing these deductions.

Sources: https://donforohio.com/; https://donforohio.com/values; https://smarter.vote/races/oh-house-15-2026/don-leonard/; https://theballotbrief.com/candidate/don-leonard-oh; https://ohiocitizen.org/team/don-leonard/; https://ivoterguide.com/candidate/93274; https://www.wosu.org/politics-government/2026-10-05/do-something-democrat-don-leonard-hopes-to-flip-the-script-in-ohios-15th-congressional-district; https://abc6onyourside.com/news/election/district-15-candidates-explain-to-abc6-why-they-should-be-voted-into-office-mike-carey-don-leonard-franklin-madison-fayette-clark-miami-shelby-congress; https://www.daytondailynews.com/tncms/asset/editorial/efa08e3e-56f0-51d5-b92c-8c65ee350ce5; https://www.aol.com/articles/democrats-adam-miller-don-leonard-230115000.html; https://hoodline.com/2026/05/columbus-dems-duke-it-out-for-shot-at-mike-carey-s-seat/; https://spectrumnews1.com/oh/columbus/Capital-This-Week/2026/07/15/breaking-down-the-race-for-ohio-s-15th-congressional-district; https://www.2026election.com/race/2026-house-oh-15; https://www.yahoo.com/news/senate-unexpectedly-passes-no-tax-210830373.html; https://legilist.com/bill/119/hr/482; https://policymattersohio.org/research/no-tax-on-overtime-is-misleading/; https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/43002

> Don Leonard wants massive tax increases, open borders, men in women's sports and transgender mutilation of children

**MOSTLY FALSE**

The four parts check out differently, and none is supported as written.

Open borders: his own words contradict this. His campaign values page says: 'Reject the culture wars. Secure the border. Respect immigrants.' WOSU's 5 October 2026 profile quotes him: 'We've got to enforce our laws. We've gotta secure the southern border.' He has said 'we have got to replace ICE completely' and called it 'the president's secret police' (WOSU, Washington Free Beacon). That is a call to rebuild one enforcement agency, not a call to open the border.

Massive tax increases: there's a grain of truth, but the wording inflates it. The Free Beacon reports he praised the Working Families Party's December 2025 call to tax billionaires ('Working Families Party is on point here') and gave the party $100. His platform attacks tax breaks for corporations and billionaires, and he says data centers and corporations underpay. No source shows him proposing broad or 'massive' tax increases on ordinary taxpayers. He argues residents and small businesses already pay too much in property tax.

Men in women's sports and transgender care for minors: no statement found. His values page has a 'Dignity for Everyone' section saying everyone deserves the freedom 'to be who they were born to be' and to live free from discrimination or government harassment. That points to general support for LGBTQ rights but names no position on sports or medical care for minors. He left iVoterGuide's questions on 'biological males in women's sports' and on transitioning children unanswered. Neither the Free Beacon's opposition-style piece nor local coverage mentions any stance from him on these issues.

The tilt of his record is broadly progressive (universal health care, billionaire taxes, replacing ICE), so the attack isn't invented from nothing. But its one concrete, checkable charge, open borders, contradicts his stated platform, the tax charge exaggerates a billionaire-tax position, and the transgender charges cite nothing he has said. Like the first claim, this is template wording that went to several opponents the same day.

Sources: https://donforohio.com/values; https://donforohio.com/; https://www.wosu.org/politics-government/2026-10-05/do-something-democrat-don-leonard-hopes-to-flip-the-script-in-ohios-15th-congressional-district; https://freebeacon.com/democrats/ohio-dem-running-in-swing-district-says-hes-not-a-socialist-but-would-lie-to-the-people-to-get-their-votes-if-he-was/; https://ivoterguide.com/candidate/93274; https://smarter.vote/races/oh-house-15-2026/don-leonard/; https://abc6onyourside.com/news/election/district-15-candidates-explain-to-abc6-why-they-should-be-voted-into-office-mike-carey-don-leonard-franklin-madison-fayette-clark-miami-shelby-congress; https://www.daytondailynews.com/tncms/asset/editorial/efa08e3e-56f0-51d5-b92c-8c65ee350ce5; https://ohiocitizen.org/team/don-leonard/; https://theballotbrief.com/candidate/don-leonard-oh; https://www.aol.com/articles/congressional-candidate-arrested-central-ohio-125027952.html; https://ballotpedia.org/Don_Leonard; https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/43002

Overall Veracity: 57%

## Tags

- endorsement (100%)
- midterms-2026 (90%)
- ohio (70%)
- tax-policy (60%)
- transgender (40%)
- splitting (60%)
- fear-appeal (50%)
- dumocrat (50%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**A cartoon of 'Islam' torching America's door, posted between batches of midterm endorsements**

Three days before the midterms, almost the whole day was a campaign machine. Wave after wave of near-identical endorsement posts for Republicans in five states went out, each batch timed to one of his phone rallies and plainly written by staff, typos and a duplicate included. His own voice came through mainly in grievance. He insisted that losing a court fight over Los Angeles ballots proved "maybe even Millions" of illegal votes, mocked a Reuters reporter's weight, and wedged an attack on New York's attorney general into one of the endorsements. In a lull between the Florida and New York batches, a cartoon went up showing "Islam" setting fire to America's door after burning down European countries, the ugliest post of the day, which ended quietly with a black-tie group photo on Halloween evening.

Full digest for 2026-10-31: https://trump.fm/date/2026-10-31/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, October 31). Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_117536920218712868
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate for Ohio's..." Truth Social, 31 Oct. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117536920218712868. Accessed 1 Nov. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate for Ohio's...," Truth Social, October 31, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117536920218712868.

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