# Post ts_117524036771625091

- Post ID: `ts_117524036771625091`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2026-10-29T11:48:06.871Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117524036771625091
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117524036771625091/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_117524036771625091.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> We are drawing the BIGGEST CROWDS at Trump Rallies in the history of Midterm Elections, by a factor of five times. There has never been anything like it! My Approval Rating in the Republican Party is now at 99%. Thank you, such an honor!!! Big Rally in South Carolina for the wonderful Darline Graham, today. She is fantastic. Lindsey is watching, and very proud of her!!! President DJT

## Engagement

- Likes: 4,371
- Reposts: 1,128
- Replies: 617
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-10-29T13:01:00.503Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-10-29T11:57:56.493Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

Trump's post presents itself as a rally notice for South Carolina Senate nominee Darline Graham, but three claims about Trump come first. The central one is "My Approval Rating in the Republican Party is now at 99%." October 2026 polls put his approval among Republicans at 73–78%, and overall approval hit record lows of 31–32% on October 19 and 26. So the figure is about twenty points too high, and "now" suggests a rise while every published poll series was falling. Posted five days before the midterms, this reads as compensatory grandiosity: a specific, checkable number reshaped to fit his self-image. The crowd claim ("by a factor of five times") gives a precise-sounding multiplier to a quantity nobody counts. "Lindsey is watching, and very proud of her" refers to the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, who died in July and whose sister now holds the nomination. It is not name confusion. Trump vouches for the dead senator's approval and passes it to his sister. The opponent he called "crazy" at the October 21 rally goes unnamed here, so the post stays in a celebratory register with no target. The post went up at 7:48 a.m. Eastern, it is loosely organized, and it differs from the same morning's templated endorsements. All of that points to him writing or dictating it himself.

## The rally comes fourth

The post is billed as a rally notice, but the rally doesn't show up until the fourth sentence. Three claims about Trump come first: crowds that are the "BIGGEST... in the history of Midterm Elections, by a factor of five times," "There has never been anything like it!", and "My Approval Rating in the Republican Party is now at 99%." Then comes "Thank you, such an honor!!!", which thanks the audience for the number he has just announced himself. That ordering is the clearest sign of supply-seeking in the post: the candidate's event is the occasion, and his own standing is the content. The same morning's other posts are four identical endorsement templates ("Complete and Total Endorsement... HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!"), so this is the only post of the day in which he talks about himself.

## Claiming 99% in the month of his lowest polls

The approval figure carries the post's main distortion. Polls from October 2026 put his approval among Republicans between 73% and 78% (Washington Post/ABC at 74%, a mid-October report at 76%, Reuters/Ipsos in the low-to-mid 70s by September). Overall approval hit record lows of 31% and 32% in Reuters/Ipsos on October 19 and 26. Cook Political Report moved the South Carolina Senate race from likely to lean Republican the day before his October 21 rally there. Set against that, "now at 99%" reads as compensatory grandiosity. The word "now" implies a rising trend at a moment when every published series shows a falling one. This is distortion in Vaillant's sense, reshaping an external fact to fit the self-image, and not routine puffery: the number is specific, checkable, and about twenty points off. The crowd claim does the same thing through magnitude, putting a precise-sounding multiplier ("factor of five") on a quantity nobody officially counts.

The trigger has to be inferred, because the post never mentions polls. The case for a wound being managed rests on timing: a fabricated party-loyalty figure goes up a week after his worst national numbers of the term and five days before Election Day (medium confidence). The state is grandiose throughout, with no persecution language.

Idealization appears alongside it: Graham is "wonderful" and "She is fantastic." The opponent is left out entirely. At the October 21 rally he called Democratic nominee Annie Andrews "one of the most crazy people in the entire country." Here she goes unnamed, which keeps the post in a celebratory register and gives it nobody to attack.

## "Lindsey is watching" refers to a dead senator

Read without context, "the wonderful Darline Graham... Lindsey is watching" looks like name confusion. It isn't. Lindsey Graham died unexpectedly on July 11, 2026. His sister, Darline Graham Nordone, was appointed interim senator and is now the Republican nominee. "Lindsey is watching, and very proud of her!!!" refers to the late senator watching from the afterlife. It continues Trump's August Myrtle Beach appeal to vote for her as a tribute to her late brother. It is the post's one note of communion, and it also does campaign work: Trump vouches for what the dead senator would think and hands that approval to his sister. That is why the cognitive marker list is empty. The one linguistic oddity is the redundant "by a factor of five times," a doubled construction that shows up in his unscripted speech and is not a word-substitution error.

## Who wrote it

11:48 UTC is 7:48 a.m. Eastern (daylight time runs through November 1). The provided events don't fix his location, but any likely base that week was on Eastern time, and early morning has long been one of his personal posting windows. Several features point to him personally:
- the redundant "factor of five times"
- two triple exclamation marks
- a sequence that drifts from crowds to approval to thanks to the rally to the dead senator
- self-reference placed ahead of the stated purpose

Against that, the "President DJT" sign-off also appears on staff posts, and a rally announcement is the kind of item aides schedule. The same morning's endorsement templates are uniform and plainly staff-produced, and this post shares none of their uniformity. Most likely he wrote or dictated it.

## Rhetoric

The persuasion devices are:
- superlative hyperbole ("BIGGEST," "never been anything like it")
- numbers made to sound measured ("factor of five," "99%")
- bandwagon appeal, with crowd size and near-unanimous party support offered as proof of legitimacy
- authority borrowed from a dead man

The archetype is the King claiming acclamation. The crowd and the 99% function as a coronation, not as arguments for the candidate. Because no enemy is named, nothing in the post gives followers a target. That separates it from the Alaska lawsuit threat earlier in the week, which did name an adversary.

Sources: [SC Daily Gazette, Oct 22](https://scdailygazette.com/2026/10/22/trump-rallies-support-for-republicans-in-pre-election-visit-to-deeply-red-upstate/?channel=brytalocals); [WRDW, Oct 21](https://www.wrdw.com/2026/10/21/trump-brings-last-minute-rally-boost-darline-graham-south-carolina/?outputType=amp); [WTOC, Aug 21](https://wtoc.com/2026/08/21/trump-heads-south-carolina-rally-sen-darline-graham-ahead-runoff); [Al Jazeera, Oct 19](https://aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/19/trump-approval-hits-record-low-31-percent-polls-show-republican-struggles); [GV Wire, Oct 26](https://gvwire.com/2026/10/26/trump-approval-rises-from-record-low-to-32-ahead-of-midterm-election/); [Courthouse News](https://www.courthousenews.com/trump-approval-rating-from-republicans-dips-to-lowest-level/); [Charter 97, Oct 16](https://charter97.org/en/news/2026/10/16/702066/).

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Trump rallies are drawing the biggest crowds in the history of midterm elections, by a factor of five" | **Mostly False** | No official body counts rally crowds. The reported 2026 figures are modest: Graham cited over 5,000 at the August Myrtle Beach rally, and the October 21 event was held in a livestock arena at T. Ed Garrison in Pendleton. Trump's own 2018 midterm rallies routinely drew crowds in the same range, so a five-fold margin over all prior midterm history would require crowds that no coverage reports. |
| "Trump's approval rating in the Republican Party is now at 99%" | **False** | October 2026 polling put Republican approval of Trump at 74% (Washington Post/ABC, an eight-point drop from September) and 76% (mid-October report). Reuters/Ipsos had Republicans at 73% in September, and Marquette had 78%. Overall approval was at record lows of 31% (Oct 19) and 32% (Oct 26) in Reuters/Ipsos. No poll shows anything near 99%. |
| "Big Rally in South Carolina for Darline Graham today (October 29)" | **True** | Several independent outlets confirm that Trump had an in-person rally in South Carolina for Sen. Darline Graham scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026, the day of the post. The first pass searched for a rally on that date and missed it, partly because it took place in Rock Hill (York County), not the upstate area of the October 21 Pendleton/Clemson event.

What the sources say:
- South Carolina Public Radio (Oct. 26): the Republican National Committee announced on Monday, Oct. 26 that "the president will return to the state Oct. 29" for a rally in Rock Hill, with doors around 9 a.m. and Trump's remarks at 12:30 p.m. It describes an in-person rally with attendees, not a phone event.
- WBTV (Oct. 28): the subhead reads "President Trump to host rally in South Carolina on Thursday, Oct. 29." The rally "at the Rock Hill Sports and Event Center will again feature Sen. Darline Graham and other prominent Republican speakers," with Trump due to speak at 12:30 p.m. WBTV calls it his third visit to the state since August.
- Gray TV stations (KEYC/WAFF/WITN, Oct. 28): the rally, "the latest stop on Trump's 'midterm blitz,'" is at the Rock Hill Sports and Event Center, with doors at 9 a.m. and remarks at 12:30 p.m. Eastern. Its purpose is to "encourage voters to vote for Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.)," who faces Democrat Annie Andrews.
- WCCB Charlotte (Oct. 29): Trump "returns to our area Thursday" at the Rock Hill Sports and Events Center, speaking at 12:30 p.m., in the Graham–Andrews race.
- BPR (Oct. 26), The Hill, Newsweek ("one day before Trump rally") and Yahoo/The Herald (venue at 326 Technology Center Way) all report the same event. The Hill and BPR add that Rock Hill sits near the North Carolina line, so the stop was also expected to help NC Senate candidate Michael Whatley. That doesn't change that the rally was billed for Graham.

Timing: the post went up at 7:48 a.m. Eastern, before doors opened (9 a.m.) and before Trump's 12:30 p.m. remarks, so "today" was accurate. On the analysis date no post-event coverage (crowd size, what was said) had appeared yet, so this verdict rests on the published schedule from the RNC and local press, not on reports that the rally happened. Nothing suggests it was canceled. The word "Big" is promotional and can't be checked before the event. The checkable parts (a rally, in South Carolina, for Darline Graham, on October 29) are all confirmed. The first pass's other events (the Aug. 10 and Aug. 24 tele-rallies, the October 15 tele-rally, the Myrtle Beach rally and the Oct. 21 Pendleton/Clemson rally) are earlier events and don't conflict with this one. |

Overall Veracity: 40%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 75%)

### Indicators

- Posted 7:48 a.m. Eastern, inside his long-standing early-morning personal window
- Redundant construction 'by a factor of five times'
- Triple exclamation marks used twice
- Drift from crowds to approval to thanks to rally to the late senator
- Self-referential claims placed before the stated purpose (the rally)

## Psychological Profile

### Traits

**Big Five:**
- Extraversion: 85%
- Agreeableness: 40%
- Conscientiousness: 30%
- Neuroticism: 35%
- Openness: 25%

Strongest facet: Extraversion: assertiveness and positive affect directed at self-acclaim

**Motives:**
- Agency: 85%
- Communion: 30%

Primary drive: validation

### Narrative

- **Role:** Acclaimed king and kingmaker whose crowds and party unanimity confer legitimacy on his candidates
- **Arc:** redemption
- **Contrasting:** Implicit: every prior midterm campaigner; no named opponent

**Identity Claims:**
- Draws the largest crowds in midterm history
- Commands near-unanimous loyalty within his party
- Carries a dead senator's blessing to his successor

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Likely compensatory: record-low approval polling (Reuters/Ipsos 31% on Oct 19, 32% on Oct 26) and a tightening South Carolina Senate race days before the Nov. 3 election; inferred from timing, not stated)

Sentiment: +0.75

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- Expansive claims of unprecedented scale ('never been anything like it')
- Inflated self-assessment against contrary evidence (99%)
- Rapid topic sequencing across five beats in seven sentences

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 75%
- Antisocial: 20%
- Paranoid: 5%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- distortion (pathological)
- idealization (immature)
- denial (pathological)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 30%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct thanks to followers for acclaim ('Thank you, such an honor!!!')
- Crowd size offered as shared triumph
- Invoking a beloved dead figure's approval ('Lindsey is watching')

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-10-29._

> Trump rallies are drawing the biggest crowds in the history of midterm elections, by a factor of five

**MOSTLY FALSE**

No official body counts rally crowds. The reported 2026 figures are modest: Graham cited over 5,000 at the August Myrtle Beach rally, and the October 21 event was held in a livestock arena at T. Ed Garrison in Pendleton. Trump's own 2018 midterm rallies routinely drew crowds in the same range, so a five-fold margin over all prior midterm history would require crowds that no coverage reports.

Sources: https://wtoc.com/2026/08/21/trump-heads-south-carolina-rally-sen-darline-graham-ahead-runoff; https://scdailygazette.com/2026/10/22/trump-rallies-support-for-republicans-in-pre-election-visit-to-deeply-red-upstate/?channel=brytalocals

> Trump's approval rating in the Republican Party is now at 99%

**FALSE**

October 2026 polling put Republican approval of Trump at 74% (Washington Post/ABC, an eight-point drop from September) and 76% (mid-October report). Reuters/Ipsos had Republicans at 73% in September, and Marquette had 78%. Overall approval was at record lows of 31% (Oct 19) and 32% (Oct 26) in Reuters/Ipsos. No poll shows anything near 99%.

Sources: https://www.courthousenews.com/trump-approval-rating-from-republicans-dips-to-lowest-level/; https://charter97.org/en/news/2026/10/16/702066/; https://aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/19/trump-approval-hits-record-low-31-percent-polls-show-republican-struggles; https://gvwire.com/2026/10/26/trump-approval-rises-from-record-low-to-32-ahead-of-midterm-election/

> Big Rally in South Carolina for Darline Graham today (October 29)

**TRUE**

Several independent outlets confirm that Trump had an in-person rally in South Carolina for Sen. Darline Graham scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026, the day of the post. The first pass searched for a rally on that date and missed it, partly because it took place in Rock Hill (York County), not the upstate area of the October 21 Pendleton/Clemson event.

What the sources say:
- South Carolina Public Radio (Oct. 26): the Republican National Committee announced on Monday, Oct. 26 that "the president will return to the state Oct. 29" for a rally in Rock Hill, with doors around 9 a.m. and Trump's remarks at 12:30 p.m. It describes an in-person rally with attendees, not a phone event.
- WBTV (Oct. 28): the subhead reads "President Trump to host rally in South Carolina on Thursday, Oct. 29." The rally "at the Rock Hill Sports and Event Center will again feature Sen. Darline Graham and other prominent Republican speakers," with Trump due to speak at 12:30 p.m. WBTV calls it his third visit to the state since August.
- Gray TV stations (KEYC/WAFF/WITN, Oct. 28): the rally, "the latest stop on Trump's 'midterm blitz,'" is at the Rock Hill Sports and Event Center, with doors at 9 a.m. and remarks at 12:30 p.m. Eastern. Its purpose is to "encourage voters to vote for Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.)," who faces Democrat Annie Andrews.
- WCCB Charlotte (Oct. 29): Trump "returns to our area Thursday" at the Rock Hill Sports and Events Center, speaking at 12:30 p.m., in the Graham–Andrews race.
- BPR (Oct. 26), The Hill, Newsweek ("one day before Trump rally") and Yahoo/The Herald (venue at 326 Technology Center Way) all report the same event. The Hill and BPR add that Rock Hill sits near the North Carolina line, so the stop was also expected to help NC Senate candidate Michael Whatley. That doesn't change that the rally was billed for Graham.

Timing: the post went up at 7:48 a.m. Eastern, before doors opened (9 a.m.) and before Trump's 12:30 p.m. remarks, so "today" was accurate. On the analysis date no post-event coverage (crowd size, what was said) had appeared yet, so this verdict rests on the published schedule from the RNC and local press, not on reports that the rally happened. Nothing suggests it was canceled. The word "Big" is promotional and can't be checked before the event. The checkable parts (a rally, in South Carolina, for Darline Graham, on October 29) are all confirmed. The first pass's other events (the Aug. 10 and Aug. 24 tele-rallies, the October 15 tele-rally, the Myrtle Beach rally and the Oct. 21 Pendleton/Clemson rally) are earlier events and don't conflict with this one.

Sources: https://www.southcarolinapublicradio.org/sc-news/2026-10-26/president-trump-to-rally-in-rock-hill-in-return-to-south-carolina-before-election-day; https://wbtv.com/2026/10/28/dead-heat-us-senate-race-south-carolina-ahead-trumps-rock-hill-visit; https://www.keyc.com/2026/10/28/pres-trump-returns-south-carolina/; https://www.waff.com/2026/10/28/pres-trump-returns-south-carolina/; https://www.witn.com/2026/10/28/pres-trump-returns-south-carolina/; https://www.wccbcharlotte.com/2026/10/29/trump-to-hold-rally-at-rock-hill-sports-and-events-center-on-thursday/; https://www.bpr.org/2026-10-26/trump-to-return-to-rock-hill-as-graham-faces-tight-senate-race; https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/6172625-trump-rock-hill-sc-rnc-graham-whatley; https://www.newsweek.com/darline-graham-hit-with-troubling-poll-one-day-before-trump-rally-12632372; https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/location-set-trump-rally-rock-151728013.html; https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/where-president-trump-rally-held-135500299.html; https://scdailygazette.com/2026/10/26/president-trump-to-return-to-sc-days-ahead-of-midterms/; https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/live-blog/trump-south-carolina-rally-senate-debate-2026-midterm-live-updates-rcna604651; https://www.foxcarolina.com/2026/10/15/sen-darline-graham-pres-trump-hold-tele-rally-how-you-can-dial/; https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates

Overall Veracity: 40%

## Tags

- approval-rating-inflation (90%)
- crowd-size (80%)
- south-carolina-senate (70%)
- darline-graham (60%)
- lindsey-graham (50%)
- supply-seeking (70%)
- midterms-2026 (60%)

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, October 29). We are drawing the BIGGEST CROWDS at Trump... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_117524036771625091
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "We are drawing the BIGGEST CROWDS at Trump Rallies in the..." Truth Social, 29 Oct. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117524036771625091. Accessed 29 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "We are drawing the BIGGEST CROWDS at Trump Rallies in the...," Truth Social, October 29, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117524036771625091.

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