# Post ts_117499714815544938

- Post ID: `ts_117499714815544938`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2026-10-25T04:42:43.274Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117499714815544938
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117499714815544938/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_117499714815544938.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Obama was a grossly incompetent President! He paid off Iran with $Billions, and gave them a road to a Nuclear Weapon. He said that Crooked Hillary Clinton was going to WIN, he campaigned hard for her, and she lost in all directions and ways. He then campaigned full out for Kamala, and likewise, she lost.  Now he’s campaigning for a Muslim Brotherhood Jihadist, who hates Jews and Blacks and AMERICANS and TRUMP, and he is going to lose, also. He’s a Fake Doctor, who runs what is considered to be the WORST CLINIC IN AMERICA. I won Michigan, BIG, have brought back the Car Industry, the Air Force Base, and everything else. Also, more jobs than ever before. Michigan doesn’t want an arrogant, Open Borders, Fake Doctor, Jihadist, whose reputation will only get worse as more information is revealed - And there’s plenty. VOTE FOR MIKE ROGERS! He will never let you down! President DONALD J. TRUMP

## Engagement

- Likes: 6,145
- Reposts: 2,026
- Replies: 1,127
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-10-25T10:00:30.855Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-10-25T04:59:14.854Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

Trump posted at 12:42 a.m. Eastern, hours after Obama's scheduled Detroit rally for Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed. He framed Obama's endorsements as a string of losses and endorsed Mike Rogers. He called El-Sayed a "Muslim Brotherhood Jihadist, who hates Jews and Blacks and AMERICANS and TRUMP" without offering any evidence, which pins a terrorism label on a major-party candidate's religion. He repeated "Jihadist" as an epithet and hinted at more damaging material ("And there's plenty"). Putting "TRUMP" in a list of peoples treats hostility to him as hostility to the nation. "Fake Doctor" exaggerates a real licensing dispute. "Runs what is considered to be the WORST CLINIC IN AMERICA" has no basis that could be found and may garble El-Sayed's own joke about being "the worst doctor on the team." The 2016 result is pushed into a total loss, and the Michigan record into "BIG." The post's only call to action is a vote, but the religious-terrorism framing of a named candidate raises the risk of hostility toward him personally.

## A midnight answer to Obama's Detroit rally

Barack Obama was scheduled to appear with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in Detroit on October 24, eleven days before the election. The post went up at 04:42 UTC, which is 12:42 a.m. Eastern. That is the zone he would be in whether he was at the White House or Mar-a-Lago, and it is a few hours after the rally's evening slot. The post reads as a reply to that event. It opens on Obama ("grossly incompetent President!") before it says a word about Michigan, so the first target is the man campaigning, and the candidate comes second. It belongs to a late-night run of midterm posts that also covers Lisa Murkowski and Jon Husted. Each one follows the same plan: a list of the other side's failures, his own record, then an endorsement.

The way the post is built suggests he wrote it himself. It drifts in three stages: Obama's record, then El-Sayed, then "I won Michigan, BIG". The middle of that last stage brags about Trump himself, and only after it does the endorsement arrive. The clauses are loose ("and he is going to lose, also"; "lost in all directions and ways"). The base is left unnamed as "the Air Force Base". Capitals rise with the emotion ("WORST CLINIC IN AMERICA", "VOTE FOR MIKE ROGERS!"), and there is a stray double space after "she lost." A staffer would have named Selfridge and probably cut the claim that El-Sayed hates "TRUMP".

## Obama as the recurring rival

The first half lists Obama's defeats: Clinton "lost in all directions and ways", Harris "likewise, she lost", and El-Sayed "is going to lose, also." Here Trump measures himself against Obama by counting Obama's surrogate losses. The outcomes Trump himself won are recast as Obama's failures. It is a contamination sequence told about someone else, and Trump's own story stays a redemption arc ("have brought back the Car Industry"). In "all directions and ways" he pushes the 2016 result further than it went: Clinton lost the Electoral College and won the popular vote. That is distortion in the defensive sense. A partial win is restated as a total loss because the total version fits the story better. Trump is also preempting the comparison. Obama drawing crowds in Detroit days before the election gives a rival a chance to claim credit, and the post denies that chance before the result exists.

## The smear against El-Sayed

The attack on the candidate is the most intense passage, and the most dangerous one. "A Muslim Brotherhood Jihadist, who hates Jews and Blacks and AMERICANS and TRUMP" attaches a terrorism label to the religious identity of a major-party Senate nominee. It offers no evidence and nothing he has said. "Jihadist" is the anchor word, and it comes back near the end ("arrogant, Open Borders, Fake Doctor, Jihadist"). The repetition turns it into an epithet rather than a description. The list of groups El-Sayed supposedly hates is meant to set Black and Jewish voters, two blocs Democrats need in Michigan, against him. Putting "TRUMP" at the end of a list of peoples is the clearest sign of self-object merger in the post: hating Trump is ranked with hating Americans. The device is splitting: El-Sayed is all bad, Rogers "will never let you down!" There is projection in "arrogant", a word that sits oddly beside "I won Michigan, BIG."

The danger rests on the label, not on any instruction. The post names a target and gives grievances (religion recast as terrorism, hatred of named groups). The only action it asks for is "VOTE FOR MIKE ROGERS!" The line "his reputation will only get worse as more information is revealed - And there's plenty" hints at damaging material without producing any, which keeps the target in view for followers. Calling a Muslim candidate a jihadist puts him in a category that, in public discourse, invites hostility toward his person and not just his politics. No call to mobilize or act is present. That is why the post falls short of a stochastic pattern while still carrying elevated risk.

## The credential attack and a possible garble

"Fake Doctor" draws on a real dispute from the primary. El-Sayed holds an MD from Columbia and an Oxford DPhil, and Politico reported that he has never held a medical license in Michigan or New York. He is a credentialed doctor who never practiced as a licensed physician. That makes "fake" an exaggeration with a factual seed. "Runs what is considered to be the WORST CLINIC IN AMERICA" has no basis in anything found: there is no record of El-Sayed running a clinic. The nearest source is his own 2022 joke about being "the worst doctor on the team" during a sub-internship. The phrase may be that line, or the licensing story, turned into an institutional claim. The vague attribution "considered to be" is his usual way of passing off an assertion as consensus. One unsourced fusion like this is ordinary for his attack rhetoric, and it does not show a cognitive change. It would matter only if similar fabricated specifics about real people became more frequent.

## The Michigan record

"I won Michigan, BIG" overstates a margin of about 1.4 points in 2024. "Brought back the Car Industry" and "more jobs than ever before" are the round, unsourced boasts he favors. Michigan's labor market weakened through 2025, and auto employment did not return in the way he claims. "The Air Force Base" refers to Selfridge Air National Guard Base, which the administration gave a new F-15EX fighter mission in 2025 after its A-10s were retired. That is a real deliverable, offered without its name.

## Defenses and archetype

Trump plays the King restoring order to Michigan: car industry, base, jobs. Shadow material is pushed onto the rival: arrogance, foreignness ("Open Borders"), fraud ("Fake Doctor"). The post builds no grievance against Trump himself. The state is grandiose, with the wound contained in Obama's visibility. Rage is moderate and comes out as contempt, not as a sense of persecution.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Obama paid off Iran with $Billions" | **Half True** | Under the 2015 nuclear deal, Iran regained access to its own frozen assets, and in 2016 the US paid $1.7 billion (a $400 million principal plus interest) to settle a decades-old arms-sale claim at the Hague tribunal, timed with a prisoner release. The sums were real, but they were Iran's assets and a legal settlement, not a payoff. |
| "Obama gave Iran a road to a nuclear weapon" | **Mostly False** | The JCPOA capped enrichment and stockpiles under IAEA inspection. Critics argued its sunset clauses would eventually ease limits, but Iran's major enrichment expansion followed the US withdrawal in 2018. |
| "Obama campaigned hard for Hillary Clinton and she lost in all directions and ways" | **Half True** | Obama campaigned extensively for Clinton and predicted her win, and she lost the Electoral College. She won the national popular vote by about 2.9 million, so 'lost in all directions and ways' is false. |
| "Obama campaigned for Kamala Harris and she lost" | **True** | Obama held rallies for Harris in 2024, and she lost to Trump in both the Electoral College and the popular vote. |
| "Obama is now campaigning for El-Sayed" | **True** | Obama announced he would be in Detroit on October 24 to campaign for Jocelyn Benson, Abdul El-Sayed, and Democrats down the ballot. El-Sayed had won the August Democratic primary over Rep. Haley Stevens. |
| "El-Sayed is a Muslim Brotherhood jihadist who hates Jews, Blacks, and Americans" | **False** | No evidence links El-Sayed, a former Detroit health director and Democratic nominee, to the Muslim Brotherhood or to jihadism, and no statement of his supports the claimed hatreds. The label attaches to his religion. |
| "El-Sayed is a fake doctor" | **Mostly False** | El-Sayed earned an MD from Columbia and a DPhil from Oxford. Politico reported that Michigan and New York records show he never held a physician's license, and his clinical experience was a short sub-internship. He is a credentialed doctor who never practiced as a licensed physician, so 'fake' overstates a real dispute. |
| "El-Sayed runs what is considered to be the worst clinic in America" | **False** | Coverage of El-Sayed's medical credentials, including the licensing dispute, shows no clinic he runs or has run. The closest source is his own 2022 podcast joke about being 'the worst doctor on the team' during a sub-internship. |
| "I won Michigan, BIG" | **Mostly False** | Trump carried Michigan in 2024 by about 1.4 points (roughly 80,000 votes). He won, but it was a narrow margin, not a big one. |
| "Trump brought back the Air Force Base" | **Mostly True** | In 2025 the administration announced a new F-15EX fighter mission for Selfridge Air National Guard Base, filling the gap left by retiring its A-10s. The base was not closing, but the fighter mission was secured. |
| "Trump brought back the car industry in Michigan" | **Mostly False** | Some automakers announced US investments in response to tariffs, but Michigan auto employment did not recover in any broad way, and tariffs raised parts costs for domestic producers. |
| "More jobs than ever before in Michigan" | **Mostly False** | Michigan's unemployment rate rose through 2025 to among the highest in the nation, and the state's labor market weakened rather than reaching a record. |

Overall Veracity: 40%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 85%)

### Indicators

- Posted 12:42 a.m. Eastern, hours after Obama's scheduled Detroit rally
- Three-stage drift from Obama to El-Sayed to own Michigan record before the endorsement
- Loose clause construction: 'and he is going to lose, also', 'lost in all directions and ways'
- Self-insertion into a list of groups: 'hates Jews and Blacks and AMERICANS and TRUMP'
- Unnamed referent 'the Air Force Base' where an aide would name Selfridge

## Psychological Profile

### Traits

**Big Five:**
- Extraversion: 80%
- Agreeableness: 10%
- Conscientiousness: 40%
- Neuroticism: 60%
- Openness: 20%

Strongest facet: Low agreeableness (antagonism/contempt) with high assertiveness

**Motives:**
- Agency: 90%
- Communion: 15%

Primary drive: power

### Narrative

- **Role:** Winner and restorer of Michigan, contrasted with Obama as the serial loser
- **Arc:** contamination
- **Contrasting:** Barack Obama and Abdul El-Sayed

**Identity Claims:**
- I won Michigan, BIG
- have brought back the Car Industry, the Air Force Base, and everything else
- more jobs than ever before

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Preemptive Attack — Comparison (Obama's scheduled Oct 24 Detroit rally for El-Sayed and Benson in a race polling near even)

**Rage:** Intensity 50% targeting Abdul El-Sayed and Barack Obama
- Proportionality: 20%

Sentiment: -0.70

Baseline Deviation: slight

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 70%
- Antisocial: 45%
- Paranoid: 35%
- Sadism: 30%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- splitting (immature)
- devaluation (immature)
- distortion (pathological)
- projection (immature)
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 40%

Cognitive Markers:
- confabulation
- word finding difficulty

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct address to Michigan voters as an aggrieved collective ('Michigan doesn't want...')
- Promise of withheld damaging material ('And there's plenty')
- Personal guarantee of the endorsee ('He will never let you down!')

## Danger Assessment

**ELEVATED**

### Indicators

- Terrorism label ('Jihadist', 'Muslim Brotherhood') attached to a named Muslim Senate nominee
- Claim that the target 'hates Jews and Blacks and AMERICANS', setting groups against him
- Innuendo of further revelations keeping the target in view ('And there's plenty')

### Gaslighting

- 2016 recast as a loss 'in all directions and ways' despite Clinton's popular-vote win
- Invented institutional claim ('WORST CLINIC IN AMERICA') presented as consensus via 'considered to be'

## Fact Checks (12)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-10-25._

> Obama paid off Iran with $Billions

**HALF TRUE**

Under the 2015 nuclear deal, Iran regained access to its own frozen assets, and in 2016 the US paid $1.7 billion (a $400 million principal plus interest) to settle a decades-old arms-sale claim at the Hague tribunal, timed with a prisoner release. The sums were real, but they were Iran's assets and a legal settlement, not a payoff.

> Obama gave Iran a road to a nuclear weapon

**MOSTLY FALSE**

The JCPOA capped enrichment and stockpiles under IAEA inspection. Critics argued its sunset clauses would eventually ease limits, but Iran's major enrichment expansion followed the US withdrawal in 2018.

> Obama campaigned hard for Hillary Clinton and she lost in all directions and ways

**HALF TRUE**

Obama campaigned extensively for Clinton and predicted her win, and she lost the Electoral College. She won the national popular vote by about 2.9 million, so 'lost in all directions and ways' is false.

> Obama campaigned for Kamala Harris and she lost

**TRUE**

Obama held rallies for Harris in 2024, and she lost to Trump in both the Electoral College and the popular vote.

> Obama is now campaigning for El-Sayed

**TRUE**

Obama announced he would be in Detroit on October 24 to campaign for Jocelyn Benson, Abdul El-Sayed, and Democrats down the ballot. El-Sayed had won the August Democratic primary over Rep. Haley Stevens.

Sources: https://www.newsweek.com/obama-to-make-michigan-midterm-push-with-abdul-el-sayed-campaign-event-12526536; https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/el-sayed-spoke-with-obama-as-michigan-democrats-look-to-unite-after-a-bitter-senate-primary

> El-Sayed is a Muslim Brotherhood jihadist who hates Jews, Blacks, and Americans

**FALSE**

No evidence links El-Sayed, a former Detroit health director and Democratic nominee, to the Muslim Brotherhood or to jihadism, and no statement of his supports the claimed hatreds. The label attaches to his religion.

> El-Sayed is a fake doctor

**MOSTLY FALSE**

El-Sayed earned an MD from Columbia and a DPhil from Oxford. Politico reported that Michigan and New York records show he never held a physician's license, and his clinical experience was a short sub-internship. He is a credentialed doctor who never practiced as a licensed physician, so 'fake' overstates a real dispute.

Sources: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4565560/abdul-el-sayed-physician-license-michigan-senate/; https://lifestyle.deadlinedetroit.com/articles/34569/politico_abdul_el-sayed_says_he_s_a_physician_but_has_no_experience_as_a_licensed_medical_doctor

> El-Sayed runs what is considered to be the worst clinic in America

**FALSE**

Coverage of El-Sayed's medical credentials, including the licensing dispute, shows no clinic he runs or has run. The closest source is his own 2022 podcast joke about being 'the worst doctor on the team' during a sub-internship.

Sources: https://hoodline.com/2026/05/detroit-doc-drama-el-sayed-s-physician-claim-roils-senate-race/

> I won Michigan, BIG

**MOSTLY FALSE**

Trump carried Michigan in 2024 by about 1.4 points (roughly 80,000 votes). He won, but it was a narrow margin, not a big one.

> Trump brought back the Air Force Base

**MOSTLY TRUE**

In 2025 the administration announced a new F-15EX fighter mission for Selfridge Air National Guard Base, filling the gap left by retiring its A-10s. The base was not closing, but the fighter mission was secured.

> Trump brought back the car industry in Michigan

**MOSTLY FALSE**

Some automakers announced US investments in response to tariffs, but Michigan auto employment did not recover in any broad way, and tariffs raised parts costs for domestic producers.

> More jobs than ever before in Michigan

**MOSTLY FALSE**

Michigan's unemployment rate rose through 2025 to among the highest in the nation, and the state's labor market weakened rather than reaching a record.

Overall Veracity: 40%

## Tags

- Michigan Senate 2026 (90%)
- Abdul El-Sayed (90%)
- Barack Obama (70%)
- Mike Rogers endorsement (70%)
- Islamophobic framing (80%)
- Iran deal (30%)
- splitting (70%)

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, October 25). Obama was a grossly incompetent President! He... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_117499714815544938
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Obama was a grossly incompetent President! He paid off Iran..." Truth Social, 25 Oct. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117499714815544938. Accessed 25 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Obama was a grossly incompetent President! He paid off Iran...," Truth Social, October 25, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117499714815544938.

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