# Post ts_117470368203080253

- Post ID: `ts_117470368203080253`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2026-10-20T00:19:29.505Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117470368203080253
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117470368203080253/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_117470368203080253.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> 15 days from now, the People of Kansas are going to RE-ELECT the great ROGER MARSHALL to the United States Senate, elect Ty Masterson as your next Governor, and we are going to WIN a Republican House and a Republican Senate! In this Election, I am asking you to pretend I’m on the Ballot. When I’m on the Ballot, 48% more people show up. Please pretend I’m on the ballot. Early Voting in Kansas is available in many areas RIGHT NOW, and across the State on October 27th. The deadline to request a Mail-In Ballot is also October 27th, and return it by Election Day, November 3rd.  Whatever you do, GET OUT AND VOTE! President DONALD J. TRUMP

## Engagement

- Likes: 7,097
- Reposts: 1,837
- Replies: 179
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-10-21T15:00:20.575Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-10-20T00:37:19.363Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## A Kansas copy of the get-out-the-vote template

The post went up at 00:19 UTC on October 20, which is 8:19 PM Eastern on Monday, October 19. His exact location that evening isn't established, but the recent schedule (Washington, plus an RNC event in Palm Beach on October 16) keeps him in Eastern time either way. So it landed in the early evening, not in the late-night window where his own unedited writing tends to show up.

It belongs to a batch. The same day brought near-identical state posts for Texas and Nevada ("🚨 TEXAS!", "🚨 NEVADA!"), and this one follows the same order: a countdown, the endorsed candidates, the deadlines, the call to vote, and the formal sign-off "President DONALD J. TRUMP." The procedural details read like staff work: "across the State on October 27th," "The deadline to request a Mail-In Ballot is also October 27th, and return it by Election Day, November 3rd." Those are date-checked lines, not the round numbers and loose attribution he uses when he writes freely. What sounds like him is the middle section: "I am asking you to pretend I'm on the Ballot... Please pretend I'm on the ballot." That line has run through his rally speeches and tele-rallies since the 2025 off-year races, and a staffer could easily paste it in. The capitalization slips ("Ballot" twice, then "ballot") and the double space after "November 3rd" look like edits to a template, not a stream of thought. The text never drifts, interrupts itself, or turns to a grievance.

## The self as the turnout engine

The one psychologically loaded claim is "When I'm on the Ballot, 48% more people show up." It turns an ordinary feature of American elections, that presidential years draw far more voters than midterms, into a personal power: a crowd that exists because he does. Behind it is a status-and-validation motive. The races are about Marshall and Masterson, but the reason given for voting is him. The request to "pretend I'm on the Ballot" goes further and asks voters to treat a midterm, where he isn't a candidate, as a vote on him.

The timing makes that a defensive move. The historian log has a Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos poll on October 18 putting his approval at 33%, with Democrats holding a clear midterm edge. A politician reading that number would usually keep his own name off the ballot. This post puts it front and center and claims his presence adds voters. That is consistent with denial of an unfavorable signal, holding onto a grandiose self-image ("When I'm on the Ballot") against outside evidence that he is currently a drag. The confidence is moderate: the line predates the poll, so it may be habit, not a reaction. On that evidence the post is mainly supply-seeking and campaign maintenance, not a reaction to a specific injury.

The candidates get his usual idealizing label, "the great ROGER MARSHALL." The forecast "we are going to WIN a Republican House and a Republican Senate!" is stated as certain, which is normal campaign bravado but with nothing to support it against the polling environment.

## What the Kansas version leaves out

Compared with the Texas and Nevada posts from the same afternoon, this one drops the line that Republicans must "SWAMP the Radical Left Dumocrats." There is no opponent anywhere in it. That matters because a day earlier he shared a New York Post story accusing the Democratic Senate nominee, Adam Hamilton, of shielding a "child predator." The attack on Hamilton went out separately as a link-share, and the endorsement text stayed clean. That split suggests a staff template sent in parallel with his own amplification of opposition material, not one emotional thread running through both. With no named enemy, the post offers no target to mobilize against. The only mobilization is the call to "GET OUT AND VOTE!"

## Rhetoric and archetype

The devices are standard for him: capitalization for urgency ("RE-ELECT," "WIN," "RIGHT NOW," "GET OUT AND VOTE"), the countdown ("15 days from now") as a scarcity cue, repeating the "pretend" request, and a statistic about himself presented with false precision. The archetype is the Hero or King lending his presence to subordinates. It isn't the Warrior pose of the attack posts. On the order and chaos axis the post sits squarely on the order side: deadlines, procedures, and lawful voting methods, including mail ballots, which he has attacked in other settings. Endorsing mail voting procedures here, after spending a week threatening election workers with jail over noncitizen ballots, fits his pattern of saying different things to different audiences. That contradiction is between posts. This post is internally consistent.

## Language

The sentences are complete and clear, and the dates and names are all correct. Saying the "pretend" line twice is deliberate emphasis taken from his speeches, not perseveration. Because so much of the text is template, it gives little evidence about his spontaneous language production.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "15 days from now (October 19) is Election Day" | **True** | The 2026 general election is Tuesday, November 3, which is 15 days after October 19. |
| "When I'm on the Ballot, 48% more people show up" | **Mostly False** | Presidential-year elections always draw far more voters than midterms, whoever is running. National raw votes went from roughly 107 million in the 2022 House races to about 156 million in 2024, an increase of about 46%, and the 2018-to-2020 jump was similar in size. The arithmetic is roughly in that range, but crediting the surge to him personally isn't supported. It is the normal gap between presidential and midterm turnout, and it also occurred in years when he wasn't a candidate. |
| "The deadline to request a mail-in ballot in Kansas is October 27th, and it must be returned by Election Day, November 3rd" | **True** | Kansas sets the application deadline for advance mail ballots on the Tuesday before the election (October 27, 2026). The 2025 law that ended the three-day grace period requires mail ballots to arrive by the close of polls on Election Day. |
| "Roger Marshall is up for re-election to the U.S. Senate from Kansas" | **True** | Marshall won the seat in 2020, and his term ends in January 2027, so it is on the 2026 ballot. |

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 25%)

### Indicators

- Early-evening Eastern posting time (8:19 PM), outside the late-night window
- Same structure as the Texas and Nevada get-out-the-vote posts from the same day
- Exact procedural dates and deadlines (October 27th, November 3rd)
- Formal sign-off 'President DONALD J. TRUMP'
- Signature phrase 'pretend I'm on the Ballot' and the '48% more people' boast are his verbal tics, easy to insert

## Psychological Profile

### Traits

**Big Five:**
- Extraversion: 70%
- Agreeableness: 45%
- Conscientiousness: 55%
- Neuroticism: 20%
- Openness: 20%

Strongest facet: assertiveness

**Motives:**
- Agency: 75%
- Communion: 30%

Primary drive: status

### Narrative

- **Role:** kingmaker whose presence draws the crowd
- **Arc:** neutral
- **Contrasting:** None named in this post

**Identity Claims:**
- His candidacy raises turnout by 48%
- The midterm is about him even though he isn't on the ballot

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Midterm get-out-the-vote cycle; possibly the October 18 poll showing 33% approval)

Sentiment: +0.55

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 45%
- Antisocial: 5%
- Paranoid: 0%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- denial (pathological)
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 40%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct personal request: 'I am asking you'
- Asking voters to imagine his presence on the ballot
- Framing the vote as a personal favor to him

## Fact Checks (4)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-10-20._

> 15 days from now (October 19) is Election Day

**TRUE**

The 2026 general election is Tuesday, November 3, which is 15 days after October 19.

Sources: Federal election calendar (first Tuesday after the first Monday in November)

> When I'm on the Ballot, 48% more people show up

**MOSTLY FALSE**

Presidential-year elections always draw far more voters than midterms, whoever is running. National raw votes went from roughly 107 million in the 2022 House races to about 156 million in 2024, an increase of about 46%, and the 2018-to-2020 jump was similar in size. The arithmetic is roughly in that range, but crediting the surge to him personally isn't supported. It is the normal gap between presidential and midterm turnout, and it also occurred in years when he wasn't a candidate.

Sources: U.S. Elections Project turnout data; Clerk of the House election statistics

> The deadline to request a mail-in ballot in Kansas is October 27th, and it must be returned by Election Day, November 3rd

**TRUE**

Kansas sets the application deadline for advance mail ballots on the Tuesday before the election (October 27, 2026). The 2025 law that ended the three-day grace period requires mail ballots to arrive by the close of polls on Election Day.

Sources: Kansas Secretary of State; Kansas SB 4 (2025)

> Roger Marshall is up for re-election to the U.S. Senate from Kansas

**TRUE**

Marshall won the seat in 2020, and his term ends in January 2027, so it is on the 2026 ballot.

Sources: U.S. Senate class II roster

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Tags

- get-out-the-vote (90%)
- endorsement (80%)
- 2026-midterms (90%)
- kansas (80%)
- pretend-im-on-the-ballot (70%)
- self-aggrandizement (50%)
- aide-template (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Back from Kansas, Trump spends the hour after midnight reposting other accounts' screenshots of his own claim that France is being "burned to the ground"**

Monday night's Kansas rally for Senator Roger Marshall dominated the start of the day. Pieces of the speech went up on his account while he was still on stage, from a promised $5,000 "Trump Dividend" to a long passage describing France as being "burned to the ground" by migrants and claiming Democrats want the same for America. After midnight he reposted a fast stream of screenshots from friendly outlets, party accounts and supporters quoting that France line back to him, mixed in with praise for the size of the crowd. In the same late hour he went after the federal judge in his Washington golf-course lawsuit and posted photos "for the Judge to study." Tuesday was quieter and mostly routine (early-voting reminders, news links about a women's health order, and an announcement he tied to France), and every call to action all day was a call to vote.

Full digest for 2026-10-20: https://trump.fm/date/2026-10-20/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, October 20). 15 days from now, the People of Kansas are going... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_117470368203080253
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "15 days from now, the People of Kansas are going to..." Truth Social, 20 Oct. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117470368203080253. Accessed 21 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "15 days from now, the People of Kansas are going to...," Truth Social, October 20, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117470368203080253.

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