# Post ts_117435892060051892

- Post ID: `ts_117435892060051892`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2026-10-13T22:11:45.310Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117435892060051892
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117435892060051892/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_117435892060051892.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Why would black people vote for Mohammed El-Sayed when he openly scorns them, mocks them, and disrespects them? THEY WON’T! President DJT

## Engagement

- Likes: 11,378
- Reposts: 3,177
- Replies: 1,009
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-10-15T19:00:50.327Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-10-13T22:35:48.630Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

A two-sentence wedge post aimed at Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan's Democratic Senate nominee, whom Trump renames "Mohammed." It builds on a real primary-season gap, since El-Sayed lost Wayne County and most Black primary voters, and adds an undocumented charge that he "openly scorns them, mocks them, and disrespects them." That charge projects onto an opponent the accusation of racial contempt Trump has long faced himself, and "THEY WON'T!" announces a group's decision for it. The name substitution foregrounds religious identity the way "Barack Hussein Obama" did. It reads more as deliberate othering than as a retrieval error, though one post can't settle that. This is the third same-day post to open with an asserting question against a Democrat who is Black, Muslim, or both (after Omar and Letitia James), and it is the mildest of them: it asks nothing of its readers, which keeps it at insinuation and short of mobilization. The sign-off "President DJT" and the self-answering capitals point to his own composition.

## A wedge question aimed at Detroit's Black electorate

The post is two sentences and a signature: a rhetorical question ("Why would black people vote for Mohammed El-Sayed when he openly scorns them, mocks them, and disrespects them?") and its own answer in capitals ("THEY WON'T!"). The target is Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic Senate nominee in Michigan. He won the August primary while losing Wayne County, and Haley Stevens took more than two-thirds of Black primary voters there. That weakness was already a running theme in conservative commentary by early October. The post doesn't invent the fault line. It presses on one that exists and adds a charge (active contempt) for which no public record exists. In his own recent remarks, El-Sayed called Black voters' mistrust "valid" and urged Black-Arab unity.

**The name.** Trump writes "Mohammed" where the candidate's name is Abdul. Two readings fit. The first is deliberate religious othering: putting the Prophet's name on a Muslim candidate has the same effect as the long-standing "Barack Hussein Obama" usage, which foregrounds Muslim identity for an audience the post claims to address. The second is a plain retrieval error, an 80-year-old reaching for a generic Arab-Muslim name. The text can't settle which. Nothing else in the post is garbled, the syntax is intact, and the substitution has a clear rhetorical payoff, so on this post alone the deliberate reading is somewhat stronger (low-medium confidence). It is logged as a possible name confusion rather than a confirmed cognitive marker. If he repeats the misnaming in unscripted speech, that would separate the two readings.

**Projection and the triplet.** "Scorns them, mocks them, and disrespects them" is three near-synonyms stacked for cadence. That is classic Trump amplification, and it carries no specific incident: nothing El-Sayed said or did is quoted or pointed to, so the reader has nothing to check the charge against. Attributing contempt for Black voters to an opponent is a projective move. Trump has faced that accusation steadily for a decade, and the post hands it to someone else. Splitting operates at the group level. Black voters are cast as a bloc whose loyalty is already decided ("THEY WON'T!"), and the speaker gets to announce that decision on their behalf. That paternalistic certainty, speaking for a group's choice before it is made, is the post's most characteristic feature.

## Fourth in a same-day run against minority Democratic figures

The post sits in a burst of combative posts on the same day: Ilhan Omar ("Why did Ilhan Omar report..."), Letitia James ("How can 'New York State Attorney General,' Letitia James..."), and now El-Sayed ("Why would black people..."). All three open with an interrogative frame that asserts while appearing to ask, and all three target a Democrat who is Black, Muslim, or both. The Omar post insinuates theft and the James post calls her "DIRTY AND DISGUSTING". By comparison this one is restrained. The misnaming is its only insult, and it asks readers to do nothing, which keeps it at insinuation and short of mobilization. The interleaved Alaska rally posts ("threesomes always make it hard to win") show the same afternoon running between grievance and campaign logistics. Here the motive reads as strategic and agentic (peeling Black turnout off a Democrat in a close Senate race) more than as a reaction to an injury. Nothing in the record shows El-Sayed provoking him that day, so the trigger is best classed as preemptive attack on a midterm threat.

## Who wrote it

The post went out at 22:11 UTC, 6:11 PM Eastern. The same day's "Heading to Alaska" post puts him at or near departure, possibly airborne, which makes the local hour uncertain (2:11 PM in Alaska). The timing is not decisive. The "President DJT" sign-off is the marker he uses for posts he composes or dictates himself. The lowercase "black," the stacked verbs, and the self-answering capitals fit his voice. Staff-written posts tend toward polished framing and third-person "President Trump." The grammar is clean, but that alone doesn't point to an aide.

## Archetype and order

This is the Trickster in a narrow register: crossing a coalition boundary and claiming to speak for a constituency that has historically voted against him. The shadow being projected is racial contempt. On the order/chaos axis the post neither defends nor attacks an institution. It tries to restructure an electoral hierarchy by moving a group's allegiance with a single assertion.

## Claims

The central factual charge, that El-Sayed "openly" scorns and mocks Black people, has no documented statement behind it, and his public remarks run the other way. The forecast "THEY WON'T!" can't be graded on the post date (the election is November 3). Primary data show real Black-voter reluctance toward El-Sayed against a fellow Democrat, which is a different contest from a general election against a Republican. The name is wrong.

Sources: [WDET, El-Sayed urges unity between Black and Arab communities](https://dev.wdet.org/?p=250545); [Fox News opinion, El-Sayed's Black vote problem](https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/morning-glory-el-sayed-problem-black-vote-michigan); [Hot Air, Oct. 8, 2026](https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2026/10/08/el-sayed-you-know-whose-health-care-policy-stunk-and-gave-us-trump-right-n3819739); [Free Beacon, El-Sayed's Black voter problem](https://freebeacon.com/?p=2154223)

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Mohammed El-Sayed openly scorns, mocks, and disrespects Black people" | **Mostly False** | The searched coverage contains no documented statement by Abdul El-Sayed scorning or mocking Black voters. In recent radio remarks he called Black voters' mistrust valid, attributed it to historic Black-Arab tensions, and urged unity. Conservative commentary describes a Black-voter problem, meaning weak primary support in Wayne County, which is not the same as expressed contempt. |
| "The candidate's name is Mohammed El-Sayed" | **False** | The Michigan Democratic Senate nominee is Abdul El-Sayed. |
| "Black voters won't vote for El-Sayed" | **Mostly False** | This is a forecast about the Nov. 3, 2026 general election, so the outcome can't be graded on the post date (Oct. 13, 2026). Since the analysis is the same day, there's no hindsight. But the claim can be tested against every poll available that day, and they all contradict it. Each general-election survey with a racial breakdown shows El-Sayed winning Black voters by a wide margin over Republican Mike Rogers.

General-election polling of Black voters:
- Fox News (Aug. 6-10): 75% to 22% for El-Sayed among Black voters.
- AARP (Aug. 9-11): El-Sayed up 41 points among Black voters, per Newsweek.
- Washington Post-Schar School (Sept. 10-14, 803 likely voters): 67% of Black likely voters backed El-Sayed, while 83% wanted Democrats to control the Senate. Hugh Hewitt's Fox column, Slate and the Daily Wire all cite this gap.
- Mitchell Research (Oct. 1, likely voters): 71% to 9% among Black voters, per WWMT.
- Wedgewood (Oct. 8-9, 607 likely voters): 90% among Black respondents, per Newsweek. Sources disagree on this poll's dates and pollster, so it's the weakest of the set.
- Fox News (Sept. 24-28): Black voters were named among El-Sayed's best groups. No percentage was published in the coverage.

The kernel of truth is real but narrow:
- In the August primary he lost Wayne County to Haley Stevens (about 51% to 45%) and lost Detroit by about 28 points (Slate). Stevens took more than two-thirds of Black primary voters (Hewitt, Fox News opinion).
- In general-election polling he trails Kamala Harris's 2024 Michigan showing with Black voters (87% to 11% in the CNN exit poll). Coverage from Fox, Newsweek, the Washington Examiner and Slate describes softer enthusiasm, and a Wayne County focus group of Stevens primary voters (MS NOW, amplified by the RNC and Legal Insurrection) voiced skepticism.

That is a gap in margin and turnout risk, not a refusal. Even the weakest poll has two-thirds of Black likely voters supporting him, and Rogers polls in single digits to the low 20s with this group. El-Sayed also has the Congressional Black Caucus endorsement (per Slate), the Council of Baptist Pastors of Detroit, and Black state legislators and county executives. Barack Obama is set to campaign with him in Detroit on Oct. 24. Analysts quoted before the primary (Christopher Towler in The New Republic) expected Black voters to back the Democratic nominee in November whoever won.

The categorical "THEY WON'T!" is contradicted by all the data in force on the post date. It's rated mostly false rather than false only because it's a prediction and the underperformance it plays on is real. |

Overall Veracity: 13%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 75%)

### Indicators

- "President DJT" sign-off, the marker he uses on posts he composes or dictates himself
- Self-answered rhetorical question with capitalized reply: "THEY WON'T!"
- Triple near-synonym amplification: "scorns them, mocks them, and disrespects them"
- Lowercase "black" and the misnaming "Mohammed" fit unedited composition
- Same interrogative template as the same-day Omar and James posts

## Psychological Profile

### Traits

**Big Five:**
- Extraversion: 75%
- Agreeableness: 15%
- Conscientiousness: 40%
- Neuroticism: 45%
- Openness: 20%

Strongest facet: Low agreeableness (low trust, low tender-mindedness toward opponents)

**Motives:**
- Agency: 85%
- Communion: 20%

Primary drive: power

### Narrative

- **Role:** Spokesman for Black voters' true interests
- **Arc:** neutral
- **Contrasting:** Abdul El-Sayed, cast as contemptuous of Black voters and renamed "Mohammed"

**Identity Claims:**
- Knows how Black voters will decide ("THEY WON'T!")

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Preemptive Attack (Competitive Michigan Senate race; El-Sayed's documented weakness with Black primary voters)

Sentiment: -0.60

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- Part of a same-day run of attack posts (Omar, James, El-Sayed) interleaved with Alaska rally posts

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 45%
- Antisocial: 35%
- Paranoid: 15%
- Sadism: 10%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- projection (immature)
- splitting (immature)
- devaluation (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 30%

Cognitive Markers:
- name confusion

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Speaking on behalf of a group's intentions: "THEY WON'T!"
- Rhetorical question inviting the reader to supply the conclusion

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-10-13._

> Mohammed El-Sayed openly scorns, mocks, and disrespects Black people

**MOSTLY FALSE**

The searched coverage contains no documented statement by Abdul El-Sayed scorning or mocking Black voters. In recent radio remarks he called Black voters' mistrust valid, attributed it to historic Black-Arab tensions, and urged unity. Conservative commentary describes a Black-voter problem, meaning weak primary support in Wayne County, which is not the same as expressed contempt.

Sources: https://dev.wdet.org/?p=250545; https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/morning-glory-el-sayed-problem-black-vote-michigan; https://freebeacon.com/?p=2154223

> The candidate's name is Mohammed El-Sayed

**FALSE**

The Michigan Democratic Senate nominee is Abdul El-Sayed.

Sources: https://dev.wdet.org/?p=250545

> Black voters won't vote for El-Sayed

**MOSTLY FALSE**

This is a forecast about the Nov. 3, 2026 general election, so the outcome can't be graded on the post date (Oct. 13, 2026). Since the analysis is the same day, there's no hindsight. But the claim can be tested against every poll available that day, and they all contradict it. Each general-election survey with a racial breakdown shows El-Sayed winning Black voters by a wide margin over Republican Mike Rogers.

General-election polling of Black voters:
- Fox News (Aug. 6-10): 75% to 22% for El-Sayed among Black voters.
- AARP (Aug. 9-11): El-Sayed up 41 points among Black voters, per Newsweek.
- Washington Post-Schar School (Sept. 10-14, 803 likely voters): 67% of Black likely voters backed El-Sayed, while 83% wanted Democrats to control the Senate. Hugh Hewitt's Fox column, Slate and the Daily Wire all cite this gap.
- Mitchell Research (Oct. 1, likely voters): 71% to 9% among Black voters, per WWMT.
- Wedgewood (Oct. 8-9, 607 likely voters): 90% among Black respondents, per Newsweek. Sources disagree on this poll's dates and pollster, so it's the weakest of the set.
- Fox News (Sept. 24-28): Black voters were named among El-Sayed's best groups. No percentage was published in the coverage.

The kernel of truth is real but narrow:
- In the August primary he lost Wayne County to Haley Stevens (about 51% to 45%) and lost Detroit by about 28 points (Slate). Stevens took more than two-thirds of Black primary voters (Hewitt, Fox News opinion).
- In general-election polling he trails Kamala Harris's 2024 Michigan showing with Black voters (87% to 11% in the CNN exit poll). Coverage from Fox, Newsweek, the Washington Examiner and Slate describes softer enthusiasm, and a Wayne County focus group of Stevens primary voters (MS NOW, amplified by the RNC and Legal Insurrection) voiced skepticism.

That is a gap in margin and turnout risk, not a refusal. Even the weakest poll has two-thirds of Black likely voters supporting him, and Rogers polls in single digits to the low 20s with this group. El-Sayed also has the Congressional Black Caucus endorsement (per Slate), the Council of Baptist Pastors of Detroit, and Black state legislators and county executives. Barack Obama is set to campaign with him in Detroit on Oct. 24. Analysts quoted before the primary (Christopher Towler in The New Republic) expected Black voters to back the Democratic nominee in November whoever won.

The categorical "THEY WON'T!" is contradicted by all the data in force on the post date. It's rated mostly false rather than false only because it's a prediction and the underperformance it plays on is real.

Sources: https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/morning-glory-el-sayed-problem-black-vote-michigan; https://wwmt.com/news/michigan-politics/mitchell-poll-michigan-us-senate-election-abdul-el-sayed-mike-rogers-politics-government-vote-polls-state; https://www.cbsnews.com/detroit/news/michigan-voter-poll-abdul-el-sayed-mike-rogers/; https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2026/10/abdul-el-sayed-michigan-democrats.html; https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-michigan-voters-split-between-el-sayed-rogers.print; https://www.newsweek.com/abdul-el-sayeds-chances-of-winning-michigan-senate-race-fox-news-poll-12321339; https://www.newsweek.com/republicans-dealt-quadruple-polling-blow-race-against-abdul-el-sayed-12352792; https://www.newsweek.com/katie-zacharia-abdul-el-sayed-radical-michigan-polls-12550572; https://www.dailywire.com/news/michigan-poll-finds-nearly-half-wouldnt-consider-a-muslim-president; https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/?p=4696370; https://newrepublic.com/post/213925/michigan-el-sayed-stevens-black-voters; https://legalinsurrection.com/2026/10/black-michigan-voters-push-back-against-el-sayed-im-like-no/; https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2026/10/08/el-sayed-you-know-whose-health-care-policy-stunk-and-gave-us-trump-right-n3819739; https://www.wxyz.com/news/national-politics/america-votes/obama-to-appear-with-el-sayed-in-detroit-as-the-ex-president-gets-more-involved-in-the-midterms; https://thegrio.com/2026/10/06/barack-obama-detroit-rally-el-sayed-benson/; https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2026/michigan/rogers-vs-el-sayed; https://www.pollsmax.com/senate/michigan/

Overall Veracity: 13%

## Tags

- Abdul El-Sayed (100%)
- Michigan Senate race (90%)
- Black voters (90%)
- religious othering (70%)
- projection (60%)
- 2026 midterms (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Trump tells the Houthis he'll "be there after the Elections," putting a midterm date on retaliation**

Trump spent the day between an Ohio rally and a flight to Alaska, and most of what he posted was campaign material: TV clips praising his work ethic, endorsements, and footage of crowds lining up for his Alaska rally. The moment that stood out came around noon. A Navy birthday message bragging about the Hormuz blockade was followed minutes later by a promise to deal with the Houthis "after the Elections," which tied a military threat to the midterm calendar. Late in the afternoon he went after three Democrats in a row, Ilhan Omar, Letitia James and Abdul El-Sayed. He mostly used loaded questions that suggested crimes or contempt without saying so outright. The anger peaked with the attack on James and faded within half an hour into rally logistics, and a full night's break from posting shows no sign of lost sleep.

Full digest for 2026-10-13: https://trump.fm/date/2026-10-13/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, October 13). Why would black people vote for Mohammed El-Sayed... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_117435892060051892
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Why would black people vote for Mohammed El-Sayed when he..." Truth Social, 13 Oct. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117435892060051892. Accessed 15 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Why would black people vote for Mohammed El-Sayed when he...," Truth Social, October 13, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117435892060051892.

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