# Post ts_117419344133655598 - Post ID: `ts_117419344133655598` - Platform: Truth Social - Posted: 2026-10-11T00:03:23.994Z (UTC) - Deleted: no - Repost: no - Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117419344133655598 - Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117419344133655598/analysis ## Post text _No text of its own. The post is its media, below._ ## What the media says **Video transcript** (0:43), transcribed automatically, so names and numbers may be wrong. Speakers aren't identified, so a voice in it may not be his: > Okay, MAGA GOP on Trump, in the 2024 election versus Kamala Harris, he got 99% of the MAGA GOP vote. Perhaps surprisingly, I might have thought it'd be 100%, but it was 99%. Compare that to his approval rating now with the MAGA GOP. It's 98%. That is, there's been no real decline in MAGA support. These folks say that they're going to vote for congressional Republicans come the midterm elections. Again, that's the 99% that Trump got against Kamala Harris. Look now, in terms of the congressional vote, 98% of them say they're going to be voting for House Republican candidates. So that support is actually really holding up strong. It's really, really strong when it comes to MAGA GOP and Republicans holding on to that vote. ## Media - video: https://static-assets-1.truthsocial.com/tmtg:prime-ts-assets/media_attachments/files/117/419/342/791/940/073/original/27f14134757a9f34.mp4 ## Engagement - Likes: 12,998 - Reposts: 3,158 - Replies: 468 - Views: unknown - Metrics collected: 2026-10-12T02:49:21.117Z (UTC) # Analysis _Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-10-11T00:32:53.885Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._ ## A loyalty poll offered as a popularity poll The clip is a polling segment spoken by an analyst, not by Trump. It reports that Trump took "99% of the MAGA GOP vote" against Kamala Harris, that his current approval in the same group is "98%," and that 98% of them plan to vote for House Republicans. The speaker concludes that "there's been no real decline in MAGA support" and that it is "really, really strong." Trump added no words of his own. Context explains the choice. Earlier the same day he wrote that Democrats and the media "are trying to create the false narrative that, Donald Trump is so 'unpopular,' the Republicans are going to lose," and answered it himself: "I'm so 'popular,' that the Republicans are going to WIN." He also called the pollster Doug Schoen a "TRUMP DERANGED, STONE COLD LOSER." This video went up that evening, around the time of the Tennessee rally he had said he was flying into. Read in that order, it is the exhibit for the earlier claim, with someone else's numbers in a broadcast voice offered as proof. The numbers don't support the claim they are used for. The subgroup is defined by people calling themselves MAGA, so near-unanimous approval inside it is close to true by definition: voters who sour on Trump tend to drop the label. A 98% figure among the most loyal slice of one party tells you nothing about the independents and marginal voters who decide a midterm, and that is where the "unpopular" story he was rebutting comes from. The post's real move is to answer a question about the electorate with data about his base. The 99% and 98% figures are the speaker's. I did not trace their source, and they are left out of the fact-check list because Trump never stated them. ## Reassurance after the anger The trigger was the claim that he is a drag on the ticket, which is an injury by unfavorable comparison. The day's posts split the response in two. The Schoen post carries the anger, and this clip carries the soothing evidence. On the surface the state is grandiose, since the clip says his standing is intact. But he keeps producing proof of popularity three weeks before the November midterms, and that points to an exposed spot: the forecast that Republicans could lose because of him. Two defenses are at work, at different levels. The text post earlier that day shows denial: "Actually, it's just the opposite" waves away the unpopularity reading entirely. This clip works as rationalization for that denial, since it treats a narrow loyalty measure as if it showed his general standing. Splitting shows up across the day ("Lots of love" for the Tennessee crowd, "LOSER" for Schoen) but not in the clip itself. The clip also speaks to a second audience. A segment saying 98% of MAGA voters will back "House Republican candidates" tells Republican candidates that his base is their turnout. It discourages them from distancing themselves from him before the election. In terms of hierarchy, this is a party leader showing that the party's voters are still his. The persuasion techniques are borrowed authority (a neutral-sounding analyst rather than a campaign ad), cherry-picking the subgroup, and bandwagon framing ("holding up strong"). In archetype terms, it is the King showing his followers are still loyal. The contrasting other is the media-and-Democrat coalition he says invented the unpopularity story. ## Who chose the clip The post went up at 00:03 UTC, which is 8:03 pm Eastern or 7:03 pm Central depending on where in Tennessee the rally was. That is a rally evening, when wordless clips are often posted by his social media staff. Sharing a flattering polling segment also fits his long habit of reposting TV praise, and it matches the argument he made in his own words hours earlier. The attribution concerns who picked and posted the clip, since nobody wrote anything. The timing evidence leans toward staff, but only slightly. There is no hostile content in the clip. It names no opponent and makes no call to act. Its only political claim is electoral loyalty, so the danger reading is none. His language can't be assessed for cognition here because the only speech in the post is someone else's. ## Authorship Analysis **Uncertain** (score: 35%) ### Indicators - No written text; the attribution concerns who selected and published the clip - Posted 00:03 UTC, about 8 pm Eastern / 7 pm Central on a Tennessee rally evening, when staff often post clips - Wordless video repost matches staff clip-posting habits - Content backs up Trump's own text claim from earlier that day ('I'm so popular'), which fits personal selection ## Psychological Profile ### Traits **Big Five:** - Extraversion: 70% - Agreeableness: 30% - Conscientiousness: 50% - Neuroticism: 50% - Openness: 25% Strongest facet: Extraversion: assertiveness through status display **Motives:** - Agency: 75% - Communion: 20% Primary drive: status ### Narrative - **Role:** Beloved leader whose base has not moved - **Arc:** neutral - **Contrasting:** Media and Democrats pushing the 'unpopular' narrative **Identity Claims:** - His support is unchanged since 2024 - His popularity is an asset to Republican candidates ### State **Mixed State** **Trigger:** Narcissistic Injury — Comparison (Media and Democratic framing that Trump's unpopularity will cost Republicans the midterms; Doug Schoen's commentary) Sentiment: +0.45 ### Clinical **Malignant Narcissism:** - Narcissistic: 50% - Antisocial: 10% - Paranoid: 20% - Sadism: 0% **Defense Mechanisms:** - rationalization (neurotic) - denial (pathological) **Cognitive Complexity:** - Complexity: 0% **Parasocial Techniques:** - Reassuring the base that its loyalty is intact and visible - Third-party broadcast validation presented to followers as neutral proof ## Tags - popularity-defense (90%) - midterms-2026 (80%) - polling (80%) - base-loyalty (70%) - media-repost (60%) - cherry-picking (60%) ## That day _From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._ **Trump thanks Karoline Leavitt and hands the press podium to Katie Zacharia, starting Columbus Day** Trump spent Sunday making announcements. He declared an "energy ceasefire" between Russia and Ukraine that he said both sides had accepted, said goodbye to press secretary Karoline Leavitt, and named Katie Zacharia to replace her the next day. In between he relied on other people to praise him, sharing poll clips, applause, a fan meme and a Nashville speaker who called the press "public enemy number one." The mood was upbeat and pleased with itself, with no outbursts, though a Columbus Day greeting posted a day early turned into a swipe at "Dumocrats" who tore down statues. He closed the evening by endorsing Michael Whatley for Senate with an attack on Roy Cooper that reused the old Willie Horton playbook and got its main example wrong, after a full night off in which he posted nothing between Saturday night and mid-morning Sunday. Full digest for 2026-10-11: https://trump.fm/date/2026-10-11/analysis ## Citation - APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, October 11). [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_117419344133655598 - MLA: Trump, Donald J. "" Truth Social, 11 Oct. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117419344133655598. Accessed 12 Oct. 2026. - Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "," Truth Social, October 11, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117419344133655598. ## For agents - Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt - API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json - MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth) - This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/ts_117419344133655598 - Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/ts_117419344133655598 - All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/ts_117419344133655598 - Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2026-10-11 - The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117419344133655598.md?analysis=false _Markdown view of a trump.fm page. 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