# Post ts_117352093333913680

- Post ID: `ts_117352093333913680`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2026-09-29T03:00:38.226Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117352093333913680
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_117352093333913680/analysis

## Post text

_No text of its own. The post is its media, below._

## What the media says

**Video transcript** (0:43), transcribed automatically, so names and numbers may be wrong. Speakers aren't identified, so a voice in it may not be his:

> Okay, MAGA GOP on Trump, in the 2024 election versus Kamala Harris, he got 99% of the MAGA GOP vote. Perhaps surprisingly, I might have thought it'd be 100%, but it was 99%. Compare that to his approval rating now with the MAGA GOP. It's 98%. That is, there's been no real decline in MAGA support. These folks say that they're going to vote for congressional Republicans come the midterm elections. Again, that's the 99% that Trump got against Kamala Harris. Look now, in terms of the congressional vote, 98% of them say they're going to be voting for House Republican candidates. So that support is actually really holding up strong. It's really, really strong when it comes to MAGA GOP and Republicans holding on to that vote.

## Media

- video: https://static-assets-1.truthsocial.com/tmtg:prime-ts-assets/media_attachments/files/117/352/092/101/697/812/original/66f041dc08298d35.mp4

## Engagement

- Likes: 19,234
- Reposts: 5,143
- Replies: 1,870
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-10-06T20:02:26.447Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-09-29T03:07:42.482Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## A base-only poll, posted at 11 p.m. against a week of bad numbers

The clip is a data-analyst segment, in the delivery and "MAGA GOP" framing of a cable-news polling explainer. The speaker walks through three figures: 99% of self-identified MAGA Republicans voted for Trump against Kamala Harris, 98% approve of him now, and 98% say they will vote for House Republicans. The conclusion drawn on air is that "there's been no real decline in MAGA support" and that the support "is actually really holding up strong." Trump attached no words of his own.

What makes the choice readable is the subgroup. Approval among voters who call themselves MAGA Republicans is close to true by definition: the label selects for people who back him. A 98% figure inside that group says almost nothing about the electorate, and the historian notes place this week amid "record-low approval polling." Faced with toplines he disputes, he posts the one cut of the data where the number looks nearly unanimous. The broadcaster's own hedge ("I might have thought it'd be 100%") shows how little room that metric had to move.

The post belongs to a thread running through the preceding hours. Earlier on 28 September he praised Kevin Roberts for a Fox appearance on "Fake Polls and how well the Republicans are going to do in the upcoming Midterms," and urged, "MAGA, pretend I am on the ballot." The clip reads as supporting evidence for that exhortation: the base is intact, the congressional vote will follow. The same late-evening run includes ratings attacks on Bill Maher and Joe Scarborough and a denial of an Axios Iran story as a "HOAX." Set beside those, this post is the calmer register of the same project: dispute unfavorable measurement where it can be attacked, and put up favorable measurement where it can be found.

### What the selection protects

The defense at work is rationalization carried out through choice of evidence. The broader picture (falling general approval, the "Retribution will be through success" video posted days earlier amid weak numbers) is never engaged; a narrower true statement stands in for it. This stops short of denial, since the segment's figures are plausible for that subgroup and Trump makes no false claim himself. The move amounts to swapping in a different question: "has my base left me?" in place of "am I popular?" The broadcaster answers the first question, and the post invites viewers to treat that as the answer to the second.

The trigger is most likely the week's polling coverage, which he had called "Fake Polls" hours earlier. The state on display is grandiose-maintenance rather than wounded: no one is attacked in this post, and the affect is reassurance directed at followers. Put a different way, it is supply-seeking through proxy, with a third party certifying loyalty so he doesn't have to claim it himself. If the clip comes from a network he regularly calls fake news, which the analyst's style suggests but the transcript doesn't confirm, the borrowed credibility would be part of the appeal: a hostile outlet conceding strength counts for more with his audience than an ally saying it.

### Rhetoric and archetype

The rhetorical device is appeal to in-group solidarity through statistics. "99%," "98%," "really, really strong" put a number on belonging and invite each follower to count themselves in the near-unanimous bloc, which suits a midterm push where he has told supporters to behave as if he were on the ballot. The King archetype applies in its benign register here: the ruler whose people remain loyal. On the order/chaos axis the post sits with order restoration. No contrasting other is named. That absence is itself informative, since the adjacent posts supply the enemies (Axios, MSNOW, Maher) and this one supplies the reward for staying loyal.

### Timing and what can't be read

Posted at 03:00 UTC, 11:00 p.m. Eastern. Nothing places him away from Washington after the Presidents Cup at Medinah on 27 September, so Eastern time is the working assumption. The hour fits his personal late-evening posting window and falls in the same cluster as the Maher and Scarborough posts. With no text of his own, language production gives no basis for cognitive observations, and the speaker's fluent delivery says nothing about Trump.

There is no violent content, no target, and no mobilization beyond ordinary get-out-the-vote framing. Trump himself asserts nothing here that could be fact-checked. The segment's claims (99% of MAGA Republicans voting for Trump in 2024, 98% approval, 98% congressional vote intention) belong to the broadcaster and the underlying poll. They are plausible for a self-selected subgroup, and they are not a measure of his overall standing.

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 60%)

### Indicators

- Posted 11:00 p.m. Eastern, inside his habitual late-evening window
- Falls in a same-evening cluster with first-person posts on polls, Maher, Scarborough and Axios
- Topic continues his own earlier post about 'Fake Polls' and the midterms
- No written text, so no stylometric evidence either way

## Psychological Profile

### Traits

**Big Five:**
- Extraversion: 60%
- Agreeableness: 40%
- Conscientiousness: 40%
- Neuroticism: 40%
- Openness: 20%

Strongest facet: Assertiveness (status maintenance through displayed loyalty)

**Motives:**
- Agency: 80%
- Communion: 30%

Primary drive: validation

### Narrative

- **Role:** Leader whose base remains unshaken
- **Arc:** neutral
- **Contrasting:** Unnamed pollsters and media reporting low approval (named in adjacent posts)

**Identity Claims:**
- Commands near-total loyalty from his movement
- His standing is stronger than published polls suggest

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking — Defeat (Week of unfavorable approval polling he had labeled 'Fake Polls' hours earlier)

Sentiment: +0.50

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 35%
- Antisocial: 5%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- rationalization (neurotic)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 0%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Inviting followers to count themselves in the near-unanimous 98%
- Loyalty affirmation as reward within a midterm mobilization thread

## Tags

- polling (90%)
- midterms (70%)
- base-loyalty (80%)
- media-only (60%)
- cherry-picking (60%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Victory in the "Battle of Hormuz" arrives as a screenshot of someone else's tweet**

A calm, upbeat day at the White House, with no insults and no one at home singled out for blame. Late Monday night he cheered a Senate vote on a college sports bill and shared a poll clip saying his base hasn't budged. On Tuesday he posted the seating chart for a White House lunch on "super intelligence" and, late in the day, the text of an AI safety accord, both without a word of comment. In between, he declared that Iran "has lost control of the Strait" by passing along other people's posts announcing a U.S. win in a "Battle of Hormuz." Most of the day was pictures, clips and screenshots, and the government funding deadline due the next day went unmentioned.

Full digest for 2026-09-29: https://trump.fm/date/2026-09-29/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, September 29).  [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_117352093333913680
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "" Truth Social, 29 Sep. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117352093333913680. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "," Truth Social, September 29, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_117352093333913680.

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