Analysis: 35,152 is the new number just released by Homeland Security ...

1mo ago Jul 22, 2026 at 3:32 AM

35,152 is the new number just released by Homeland Security of non-citizens registered to vote in New Jersey. These are just the ones that got caught. The real numbers will prove to be many times this amount. They are all Dumocrats! Republicans, get smart and straighten out our Crooked Elections! Pass The Save America Act!!!

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AI Analysis

Machine-generated analysis of the post above on 2026-07-22. Not written by the author of the post.

Danger Level

Elevated

Narcissistic State

Mixed

Authorship

Self-Written

Intensity

68%

Late-night, high-confidence authentic Trump post asserting an unverified DHS figure of "35,152" non-citizen New Jersey voter registrations, framed as election fraud ("just the ones that got caught," "many times this amount"), attributed to "Dumocrats," and paired with a mobilization directive to pass the "Save America Act." Clinically notable for a paranoid-persecutory register (suspiciousness without sufficient basis, preoccupation with an unseen larger conspiracy) rather than expansive grandiosity; state is mixed. Defensive structure is pathological/immature: distortion (precision-anchoring an unfalsifiable claim), projection ("Crooked Elections"), and splitting (all-bad Democrats vs. corrective Republicans). Rhetorically it exemplifies the firehose model — a specific-looking statistic made unfalsifiable to seed an open-ended fraud narrative. Danger level elevated: no violent or eliminationist content, but democratic-legitimacy erosion combined with a partisan call to action. A mild name conflation ("Save America Act" for the SAVE Act / Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act) is noted for longitudinal tracking but is not clearly diagnostic. The core statistical claim is unverifiable from available knowledge and is flagged for downstream fact-checking.

Authorship Analysis

Self-Written

Indicators:

Late-night local timing (~11:32 PM ET, Trump in NJ/NY orbit — recently at Bedminster)
Signature derogatory pun 'Dumocrats'
Capitalized epithet 'Crooked Elections'
Triple exclamation and imperative grievance style
First-person commanding voice, no third-person 'President Trump' framing

Psychological Profile

▶ State

Mixed State

Trigger: Maintenance

Rage: Intensity 40% targeting Democrats / election system

Proportionality

30%

Sentiment

-0.60

Baseline Deviation: slight

Mildly Hypomanic

Late-night postingExclamatory escalation and imperativesCapitalized emphasis

▶ Clinical

Malignant Narcissism:

Narcissistic

50%

Antisocial

55%

Paranoid

80%

Sadism

15%

Defense Mechanisms:

distortionprojectionsplitting

Cognitive Complexity:

Complexity

35%

Cognitive Markers:

name confusion

Parasocial Techniques:

In-group loyalty framing ('Republicans, get smart')Shared secret-knowledge appeal ('just the ones that got caught')

Danger Assessment

Elevated

Indicators:

Democratic-legitimacy erosion via unfalsifiable fraud claim
Mobilization directive to a partisan in-group ('Republicans, get smart... Pass The Save America Act!!!')
Epistemic-closure framing that conditions supporters to distrust election outcomes

Gaslighting Detected:

Unverified figure presented as authoritative fact ('just released by Homeland Security')
Unfalsifiable escalation ('these are just the ones that got caught,' 'many times this amount')
Blanket delegitimization of elections as 'Crooked'

Reality Distortions:

Claim of 35,152 non-citizen NJ voter registrations released by DHS (unverified)
Assertion that true numbers are 'many times' larger
Characterization of elections as systemically 'Crooked'

Fact Checks (3)

"Homeland Security just released a figure of 35,152 non-citizens registered to vote in New Jersey."

Mostly True

The number and its release are real and well-documented, though the post overstates its certainty. On July 16-17, 2026 — days before this July 21 post — DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin sent letters to the secretaries of state of four states (California, New Jersey, Nevada, Pennsylvania) alleging non-citizens on their voter rolls. The New Jersey letter cited the figure 35,152. Newsweek reported DHS's exact breakdown as '190,832 potential non-citizen voter registrations in California, 35,152 in New Jersey, 15,903 in Nevada and 14,576 in Pennsylvania' (over 250,000 total). CBS News confirmed the same New Jersey figure of 35,152. So the core assertion — that DHS released a figure of 35,152 for New Jersey — is accurate as to source, number, state, and timing ('just released'). The reasons this is 'mostly true' rather than fully true: (1) DHS explicitly characterized the number as 'potential' and 'preliminary,' describing it as 'as many as 35,152 potential matches requiring additional verification,' with a smaller subset (about 19,497) showing matching data; DHS did not release the underlying data or a detailed methodology. (2) The figure was generated by matching voter rolls against the SAVE immigration database, which a federal judge blocked from being used for voter checks and which voting-rights experts say routinely misidentifies newly naturalized citizens as non-citizens. In DHS's own Pennsylvania letter, only 8,594 came up as full matches versus the 14,576 cited, a gap DHS did not explain. (3) State officials disputed the numbers — Nevada's secretary of state called them 'wildly speculative at best' with 'no evidence,' and California's called noncitizen voting 'exceedingly rare.' (4) New Jersey's own investigation, announced July 21 by Gov. Mikie Sherrill, found a far smaller confirmed figure: roughly 6,600 non-citizens registered because of a Motor Vehicle Commission software glitch (June 2023-June 2024), with fewer than 400 actually casting ballots. The post thus reports a genuine DHS release but presents an unverified, disputed 'potential' figure as a confirmed count of 'non-citizens registered to vote.'

"The real number of non-citizen registered voters is 'many times' the reported figure."

Mostly False

This is a speculative, inherently unfalsifiable prediction, but to the extent it can be tested against available evidence, that evidence points strongly in the opposite direction — the real number of actual non-citizen registrations appears to be substantially lower than 35,152, not 'many times' higher. First, the 35,152 figure is itself an unverified 'potential' ceiling that DHS said requires 'additional verification,' and experts say it is inflated: David Becker of the Center for Election Innovation and Research said such commercial-database matches include 'a ton of people, maybe even a majority of people, who are absolutely eligible voters,' because the SAVE database frequently misflags newly naturalized citizens as non-citizens. A federal judge found the administration's use of the SAVE database unlawful and that it was used to 'incorrectly remove U.S. citizens' from rolls. Second, New Jersey's own investigation produced a far smaller confirmed number: Gov. Mikie Sherrill announced on July 21, 2026 that a Motor Vehicle Commission software error registered about 6,600 non-citizens over roughly a year, of whom fewer than 400 actually voted — and that those registrants spanned all parties. Third, independent research and multiple state election officials describe non-citizen voting as 'exceedingly rare'; the entire four-state DHS total of ~250,000 amounts to only about 0.1% of registrations, and even that is unverified. There is no evidentiary basis for a hidden number 'many times' larger than 35,152; the documented, confirmed figure is roughly one-fifth of it (and the voting figure a tiny fraction), so the claim is contradicted by the weight of the evidence.

"All such registrations are attributable to Democrats ('They are all Dumocrats!')."

False

Voter registration by non-citizens, where it occurs, is not partisan-exclusive; no data supports attributing all such registrations to one party. This is an unsupported categorical assertion.

Receipts

No contradictions with other posts detected yet.

Multi-Level Personality Analysis

Post summary: A late-night Truth Social post asserting that "35,152" non-citizens were "just released by Homeland Security" as registered to vote in New Jersey, framing this as election fraud ("just the ones that got caught," "real numbers will prove to be many times this amount"), attributing it to Democrats via the derogatory pun "Dumocrats," and issuing a mobilization directive: "Republicans, get smart... Pass The Save America Act!!!"

Level 1 — Dispositional Traits

Low Agreeableness (antagonism): Out-group derogation ("Dumocrats"), contemptuous framing ("Crooked Elections"). High confidence.
High Extraversion (assertiveness/dominance): Imperative commands to an entire party. High confidence.
Elevated Neuroticism (angry hostility): Grievance-saturated tone, exclamatory escalation. Medium confidence.
Low Openness (rigidity): Closed, monocausal explanation of a complex electoral system. Medium confidence.

Level 2 — Characteristic Adaptations

Dominant agency/control motive: restoring "proper" electoral order, commanding partisan action. Schema of self as vigilant guardian; world as rigged against him; others (Democrats) as fraudulent agents. Low communion.

Level 3 — Narrative Identity

Protagonist as crusading fighter/order-restorer exposing hidden corruption. Contamination sequence (legitimate elections → secretly stolen). Contrasting other: "Dumocrats." Identity claim: the one who sees and names the fraud others miss.

Level 4 — Clinical Indicators

Paranoid features most salient: suspiciousness without sufficient basis, preoccupation with unseen larger conspiracy ("many times this amount"). Narcissistic grandiosity is muted here; the register is persecutory-vigilant rather than expansive. State: mixed — agentic command posture layered over a persecutory election-fraud schema.

Defenses: Distortion (a precise-looking statistic anchoring an unverified conspiracy), projection (labeling elections "Crooked"), splitting (all-fraud Democrats vs. corrective Republicans).

Reality distortion / gaslighting: The rhetorical move "these are just the ones that got caught" converts an unverifiable figure into a floor for an invisible, unfalsifiable larger fraud — a hallmark firehose/epistemic-closure technique.

Cognitive note: Renders the bill as "Save America Act." The actual legislation is the SAVE Act (Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act). This name conflation is mild and could be casual rather than diagnostic; longitudinal comparison would clarify whether name-blending is increasing.

Authorship

Strongly authentic: late-night local timing, the signature "Dumocrats" pun, capitalized epithet ("Crooked Elections"), imperative grievance style, triple exclamation. No third-person "President Trump" framing, no policy precision beyond a single dropped-in number. High confidence.

Danger Assessment

Elevated. No violent or eliminationist imagery. Risk vector is democratic-legitimacy erosion: an unfalsifiable fraud claim plus a mobilization directive. Falls short of stochastic-terrorism criteria (no identified human target + implied physical action), but the delegitimization pattern warrants flagging.

Fact Verification

Claim	Verdict	Evidence
"Homeland Security just released a figure of 35,152 non-citizens registered to vote in New Jersey."	Mostly True	The number and its release are real and well-documented, though the post overstates its certainty. On July 16-17, 2026 — days before this July 21 post — DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin sent letters to the secretaries of state of four states (California, New Jersey, Nevada, Pennsylvania) alleging non-citizens on their voter rolls. The New Jersey letter cited the figure 35,152. Newsweek reported DHS's exact breakdown as '190,832 potential non-citizen voter registrations in California, 35,152 in New Jersey, 15,903 in Nevada and 14,576 in Pennsylvania' (over 250,000 total). CBS News confirmed the same New Jersey figure of 35,152. So the core assertion — that DHS released a figure of 35,152 for New Jersey — is accurate as to source, number, state, and timing ('just released'). The reasons this is 'mostly true' rather than fully true: (1) DHS explicitly characterized the number as 'potential' and 'preliminary,' describing it as 'as many as 35,152 potential matches requiring additional verification,' with a smaller subset (about 19,497) showing matching data; DHS did not release the underlying data or a detailed methodology. (2) The figure was generated by matching voter rolls against the SAVE immigration database, which a federal judge blocked from being used for voter checks and which voting-rights experts say routinely misidentifies newly naturalized citizens as non-citizens. In DHS's own Pennsylvania letter, only 8,594 came up as full matches versus the 14,576 cited, a gap DHS did not explain. (3) State officials disputed the numbers — Nevada's secretary of state called them 'wildly speculative at best' with 'no evidence,' and California's called noncitizen voting 'exceedingly rare.' (4) New Jersey's own investigation, announced July 21 by Gov. Mikie Sherrill, found a far smaller confirmed figure: roughly 6,600 non-citizens registered because of a Motor Vehicle Commission software glitch (June 2023-June 2024), with fewer than 400 actually casting ballots. The post thus reports a genuine DHS release but presents an unverified, disputed 'potential' figure as a confirmed count of 'non-citizens registered to vote.'
"The real number of non-citizen registered voters is 'many times' the reported figure."	Mostly False	This is a speculative, inherently unfalsifiable prediction, but to the extent it can be tested against available evidence, that evidence points strongly in the opposite direction — the real number of actual non-citizen registrations appears to be substantially lower than 35,152, not 'many times' higher. First, the 35,152 figure is itself an unverified 'potential' ceiling that DHS said requires 'additional verification,' and experts say it is inflated: David Becker of the Center for Election Innovation and Research said such commercial-database matches include 'a ton of people, maybe even a majority of people, who are absolutely eligible voters,' because the SAVE database frequently misflags newly naturalized citizens as non-citizens. A federal judge found the administration's use of the SAVE database unlawful and that it was used to 'incorrectly remove U.S. citizens' from rolls. Second, New Jersey's own investigation produced a far smaller confirmed number: Gov. Mikie Sherrill announced on July 21, 2026 that a Motor Vehicle Commission software error registered about 6,600 non-citizens over roughly a year, of whom fewer than 400 actually voted — and that those registrants spanned all parties. Third, independent research and multiple state election officials describe non-citizen voting as 'exceedingly rare'; the entire four-state DHS total of ~250,000 amounts to only about 0.1% of registrations, and even that is unverified. There is no evidentiary basis for a hidden number 'many times' larger than 35,152; the documented, confirmed figure is roughly one-fifth of it (and the voting figure a tiny fraction), so the claim is contradicted by the weight of the evidence.
"All such registrations are attributable to Democrats ('They are all Dumocrats!')."	False	Voter registration by non-citizens, where it occurs, is not partisan-exclusive; no data supports attributing all such registrations to one party. This is an unsupported categorical assertion.

Overall Veracity: 33%