# Post ts_115989916560112535

- Post ID: `ts_115989916560112535`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2026-01-31T13:21:10.167Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_115989916560112535
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_115989916560112535/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_115989916560112535.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> The Theft and Fraud in Minnesota is far greater than the 19 Billion Dollars originally projected. The Biden Administration knew this FRAUD was happening, and did absolutely nothing about it. "Scammer" Illhan Omar and her absolutely terrible friends from Somalia should all be in jail right now or, far worse, send them back to Somalia. "Governor" Waltz is either the most CORRUPT government official in history, or the most INCOMPETENT. Even a very low IQ person, of which there are many,  should have known what was going on in Minnesota!!! President DJT

## Engagement

- Likes: 24,612
- Reposts: 7,654
- Replies: 3,809
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T15:45:43.067Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-22T07:19:32.237Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

This post exhibits a clinically significant stochastic terrorism pattern. Trump names a specific target (Rep. Ilhan Omar), associates her with criminality ("Scammer"), calls for imprisonment "or far worse," and demands ethnic deportation ("send them back to Somalia"). This occurs in the immediate context of Omar being physically assaulted at a town hall (vinegar spraying), making the rhetoric particularly dangerous as it validates and potentially escalates violence against an already-targeted individual.

The psychological architecture is narcissistic rage channeled through ethnic scapegoating. The false dichotomy applied to Walz (CORRUPT or INCOMPETENT—no other option), the delegitimization through scare quotes, and the gratuitous IQ insult reveal immature defense mechanisms operating at high intensity. The phrase "far worse" than jail is deliberately ambiguous, allowing audience projection of extreme punishments.

Factually, the $19 billion fraud claim appears to inflate actual Minnesota fraud figures by roughly 75x. The claim that Biden "did nothing" contradicts the FBI investigation and convictions that occurred during his administration. These reality distortions serve the narrative function of justifying disproportionate rage.

The post's danger level is elevated due to the convergence of named target, ethnic group targeting, implied action beyond legal punishment, and real-world violence already occurring against the named target. This pattern is consistent with stochastic terrorism as defined in the literature.

## Psychological Analysis: Minnesota Fraud / Ilhan Omar Post (2026-01-31)

### Authorship
Posted at 13:21 UTC. Trump likely at Mar-a-Lago (EST = 8:21 AM). Early morning but not late-night. However, the post is clearly authentic Trump: emotional reactivity, ALL CAPS emphasis, stream-of-consciousness, personal sign-off "President DJT," misspelling of "Walz" as "Waltz," insult-laden, impulsive quality.

### Psychological State
This post is driven by **narcissistic rage** in response to perceived institutional failure and political enemies. The Minnesota welfare fraud scandal provides a vehicle for attacking multiple targets simultaneously: Biden, Omar, Walz, and Somali immigrants. The rage is disproportionate to the triggering event—calling for imprisonment and deportation, invoking "far worse" than jail.

### Key Observations

**Misspelling:** "Waltz" for "Walz" — a recurring error suggesting either carelessness or subtle devaluation through name distortion.

**"Scammer" in quotes:** Deployed as a branding nickname (classic Trump rhetorical device), attempting to permanently associate Omar with fraud.

**"Governor" in scare quotes:** Delegitimization — denying Walz the validity of his office.

**Escalation pattern:** The post escalates from fraud allegations → imprisonment → deportation ("send them back to Somalia") → broad insult ("very low IQ person, of which there are many"). The "of which there are many" parenthetical is gratuitous cruelty directed at a vague out-group.

**"far worse" than jail:** This phrase is deliberately ambiguous and ominous, leaving the audience to fill in what punishment exceeds imprisonment.

### Dehumanization and Danger
The call to "send them back to Somalia" targeting a sitting U.S. congresswoman and "her friends from Somalia" constitutes ethnic targeting of naturalized citizens. Combined with the vinegar assault on Omar noted in the events, this rhetoric occurs in a context of escalating physical threats against the target.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Theft and fraud in Minnesota is far greater than 19 Billion Dollars" | **False** | This claim has no evidentiary support from any federal or state agency, and multiple independent fact-checkers have rated it false or unsubstantiated.

Confirmed and prosecuted fraud amounts: The Minnesota Star Tribune tallied $217.7 million in total state criminal social services fraud charges since September 2022. The three largest prosecuted schemes combined total approximately $822 million: Feeding Our Future (~$300 million, the largest pandemic-era fraud in U.S. history), Housing Stabilization Program (~$302 million in payouts over 4.5 years from a program budgeted at $12 million), and autism services fraud (~$220 million estimated). Acting U.S. Attorney Joseph Thompson stated in mid-2025 that ongoing investigations exceeded $1 billion.

The highest preliminary estimate: In December 2025, Thompson estimated that "half or more" of $18 billion billed since 2018 across 14 high-risk Medicaid programs could be fraudulent, yielding a ~$9 billion figure. However, Thompson himself called this "an early estimate rather than a firm number," not a finalized audit. Governor Walz called it "sensationalized." Thompson subsequently resigned from the U.S. Attorney's office in January 2026.

Origin of the $19 billion figure: The number appears to conflate total annual Medicaid spending in Minnesota (~$19 billion) with fraud. The Minnesota Department of Human Services called it "not a real number, it's a political one," stating that "no federal or state agency has produced evidence, data sets, or provider-level documentation to support numbers anywhere close to that magnitude." The White House's own January 2026 release on Minnesota fraud did not cite or substantiate the $19 billion figure.

The post's claim that fraud is "far greater than" $19 billion would imply fraud significantly exceeding Minnesota's entire annual Medicaid budget. Even the most aggressive, disputed preliminary estimate ($9 billion) is less than half of $19 billion. PolitiFact rated related Trump fraud claims as "False." KTTC's fact-check stated the $19 billion figure "lacks evidence" and "far exceeds estimates from the U.S. Department of Justice." The Star Tribune reported the figure was presented "without clear evidence, foundation or context."

To be clear, there is real and significant fraud in Minnesota that has resulted in dozens of convictions. But the documented fraud ($250M-$822M confirmed, up to $9B in disputed preliminary estimates) is vastly below $19 billion, and the claim that actual fraud is "far greater" than even that inflated figure has no basis in any available evidence. |
| "Biden Administration knew this FRAUD was happening and did nothing" | **Mostly False** | The FBI investigation into Feeding Our Future began during the Biden administration and resulted in dozens of convictions, contradicting the claim of inaction. |
| "Waltz is either the most CORRUPT or most INCOMPETENT government official in history" | **False** | Hyperbolic claim with no factual basis for 'in history' superlative. Name also misspelled. |

Overall Veracity: 7%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 95%)

### Indicators

- Misspelling 'Waltz' for 'Walz'
- ALL CAPS emotional emphasis throughout
- Stream-of-consciousness escalation
- Personal sign-off 'President DJT'
- Scare quotes as delegitimization device

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Narcissistic Injury — Exposure (Minnesota fraud scandal as perceived institutional failure under political enemies)

**Rage:** Intensity 80% targeting Ilhan Omar, Tim Walz, Biden administration, Somali immigrants
- Proportionality: 30%

Sentiment: -0.85

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- High volume of posts on same day covering multiple unrelated topics
- Grandiose certainty
- Pressured quality to writing

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 80%
- Antisocial: 70%
- Paranoid: 50%
- Sadism: 70%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- projection (immature)
- splitting (immature)
- devaluation (immature)
- acting out (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 35%

Cognitive Markers:
- perseveration
- name confusion

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- positioning as protector against fraud
- shared outrage cultivation
- enemy identification for audience

## Danger Assessment

**ELEVATED**

**Stochastic Terrorism Pattern Detected**

### Indicators

- Call to deport sitting U.S. congresswoman based on ethnicity
- 'far worse' than jail - ambiguous threat escalation
- Ethnic group targeting ('friends from Somalia')
- Occurs in context of recent physical assault on Omar (vinegar spraying)
- Stochastic terrorism pattern: named target + grievance + implied action

### Gaslighting

- Claim fraud is 'far greater than 19 Billion' without evidence
- Assertion Biden 'knew' fraud was happening as established fact

**Dehumanizing Language Present**

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-22; a recheck of the unverifiable ones last ran 2026-03-29._

> Theft and fraud in Minnesota is far greater than 19 Billion Dollars

**FALSE**

This claim has no evidentiary support from any federal or state agency, and multiple independent fact-checkers have rated it false or unsubstantiated.

Confirmed and prosecuted fraud amounts: The Minnesota Star Tribune tallied $217.7 million in total state criminal social services fraud charges since September 2022. The three largest prosecuted schemes combined total approximately $822 million: Feeding Our Future (~$300 million, the largest pandemic-era fraud in U.S. history), Housing Stabilization Program (~$302 million in payouts over 4.5 years from a program budgeted at $12 million), and autism services fraud (~$220 million estimated). Acting U.S. Attorney Joseph Thompson stated in mid-2025 that ongoing investigations exceeded $1 billion.

The highest preliminary estimate: In December 2025, Thompson estimated that "half or more" of $18 billion billed since 2018 across 14 high-risk Medicaid programs could be fraudulent, yielding a ~$9 billion figure. However, Thompson himself called this "an early estimate rather than a firm number," not a finalized audit. Governor Walz called it "sensationalized." Thompson subsequently resigned from the U.S. Attorney's office in January 2026.

Origin of the $19 billion figure: The number appears to conflate total annual Medicaid spending in Minnesota (~$19 billion) with fraud. The Minnesota Department of Human Services called it "not a real number, it's a political one," stating that "no federal or state agency has produced evidence, data sets, or provider-level documentation to support numbers anywhere close to that magnitude." The White House's own January 2026 release on Minnesota fraud did not cite or substantiate the $19 billion figure.

The post's claim that fraud is "far greater than" $19 billion would imply fraud significantly exceeding Minnesota's entire annual Medicaid budget. Even the most aggressive, disputed preliminary estimate ($9 billion) is less than half of $19 billion. PolitiFact rated related Trump fraud claims as "False." KTTC's fact-check stated the $19 billion figure "lacks evidence" and "far exceeds estimates from the U.S. Department of Justice." The Star Tribune reported the figure was presented "without clear evidence, foundation or context."

To be clear, there is real and significant fraud in Minnesota that has resulted in dozens of convictions. But the documented fraud ($250M-$822M confirmed, up to $9B in disputed preliminary estimates) is vastly below $19 billion, and the claim that actual fraud is "far greater" than even that inflated figure has no basis in any available evidence.

Sources: https://www.startribune.com/trump-repeats-claim-of-19-billion-in-minnesota-fraud-heres-what-the-numbers-show/601588451; https://mn.gov/dhs/program-integrity/factcheck/; https://www.kttc.com/2026/02/25/fact-check-trumps-unproven-claim-fraud-minnesota-during-sotu/; https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2026/jan/13/donald-trump/fraud-budget-deficit-detroit-minnesota/; https://www.fox9.com/news/fraud-minnesota-detailing-nearly-1-billion-schemes; https://www.cbsnews.com/news/minnesota-fraud-schemes-what-we-know/; https://komonews.com/news/nation-world/fact-check-team-exploring-the-billions-of-alleged-fraud-in-minnesota; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020s_Minnesota_fraud_scandals; https://www.cato.org/blog/minnesota-fraud-update; https://minnesotareformer.com/2025/12/18/u-s-attorney-fraud-likely-exceeds-9-billion-in-minnesota-run-medicaid-services/; https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2026/01/heres-what-the-trump-administration-is-doing-to-crush-minnesotas-fraud-epidemic/; https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-pardon-fraud-minnesota-somali/

> Biden Administration knew this FRAUD was happening and did nothing

**MOSTLY FALSE**

The FBI investigation into Feeding Our Future began during the Biden administration and resulted in dozens of convictions, contradicting the claim of inaction.

Sources: DOJ press releases on Feeding Our Future convictions

> Waltz is either the most CORRUPT or most INCOMPETENT government official in history

**FALSE**

Hyperbolic claim with no factual basis for 'in history' superlative. Name also misspelled.

Overall Veracity: 7%

## Tags

- stochastic_terrorism (85%)
- ethnic_scapegoating (90%)
- narcissistic_rage (80%)
- reality_distortion (80%)
- target_identification (85%)
- delegitimization (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Half the day's 22 posts landed in a seven-minute burst — and the shutdown that started at midnight never got a mention.**

He posted 22 times, but the day was less busy than that number suggests: eleven of those posts arrived in a single seven-minute midday dump of videos and self-reposts, mostly recycled clips about immigration and 2020 election fraud. Between routine items — a Melania documentary plug, a labor-statistics nomination, two get-out-the-vote pushes for a Texas special election — he had three sharp flashes of anger, all about immigration enforcement and the protests against it. The harshest named Rep. Ilhan Omar directly, said she and "friends from Somalia" should be in jail "or far worse," and came days after she was physically attacked at a public event. He closed the afternoon with a statement telling Democratic mayors that federal help for unrest would come only if they asked for it — using the word "PLEASE" — while promising "equal, or more, consequence" for anyone who touched federal buildings. He slept a normal ten hours overnight, never mentioned the partial government shutdown that began that morning, and stopped posting hours before the Texas seat he'd campaigned for flipped to a Democrat by thirty points.

Full digest for 2026-01-31: https://trump.fm/date/2026-01-31/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2026, January 31). The Theft and Fraud in Minnesota is far greater... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_115989916560112535
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "The Theft and Fraud in Minnesota is far greater than the 19..." Truth Social, 31 Jan. 2026. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_115989916560112535. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "The Theft and Fraud in Minnesota is far greater than the 19...," Truth Social, January 31, 2026, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_115989916560112535.

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