# Post ts_115811936714151078

- Post ID: `ts_115811936714151078`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2025-12-31T02:58:33.307Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_115811936714151078
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_115811936714151078/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_115811936714151078.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> The polls are rigged even more than the writers. The real number is 64%, and why not, our Country is "hotter" than ever before. Isn't it nice to have a STRONG BORDER, No Inflation, a powerful Military, and great Economy??? Happy New Year!

## Media

- image: https://static-assets-1.truthsocial.com/tmtg:prime-ts-assets/media_attachments/files/115/811/936/473/467/126/original/21bbfd571bae886f.jpg

## Engagement

- Likes: 28,754
- Reposts: 6,973
- Replies: 4,486
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.287Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-22T06:39:08.917Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: New Year's Eve Post (2025-12-31)

Trump was at Mar-a-Lago (EST, UTC-5), making this posted at ~9:58 PM local time — evening but not late night. The post references an attached poll image showing approval ratings, which he disputes as too low.

### Personality Framework

**Level 1 (Traits):** High extraversion (assertive, positive affect), low agreeableness (dismissive of pollsters), high neuroticism facet of angry hostility (calling polls "rigged"). Grandiosity prominent — claiming 64% approval as "the real number."

**Level 2 (Motives):** Pure supply-seeking. Lists accomplishments (border, inflation, military, economy) as validation demands. The rhetorical question "Isn't it nice...?" is a parasocial intimacy technique — inviting followers to share in his grandiosity.

**Level 3 (Narrative):** Protagonist as successful leader whose greatness is suppressed by dishonest measurement. The "rigged polls" frame positions him as perpetually undervalued — a contamination sequence where genuine success is tainted by unfair reporting.

### Clinical Indicators

The assertion that polls are "rigged even more than the writers" is characteristic distortion — dismissing unfavorable data by attacking the source. The claim of 64% is fabricated or cherry-picked without citation. The factual claims (no inflation, strong border) are contestable but serve grandiose self-image maintenance.

### Rhetorical Techniques

Classic year-end supply-seeking: list of claimed achievements followed by holiday greeting. The "Happy New Year!" softens the combative opening, creating a grandiose-then-generous arc typical of his posting pattern.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Real approval number is 64%" | **False** | No credible national poll showed Trump at 64% approval at any point during 2025. Multiple polling aggregators and individual polls from late December 2025 consistently placed his approval far below that figure:

- Gallup: 36% approval
- Marist: 38% approval
- Reuters/Ipsos: 39% approval
- Economist/YouGov (Dec 26-29): 39% approval
- Quinnipiac: 40% approval
- Emerson College (Dec 14-15): 41% approval
- Silver Bulletin/NYT average: 42% approval
- RealClearPolitics average: 43% approval
- Decision Desk HQ average: 44-45% approval
- Trafalgar Group (Dec 26-27): 50% approval (the highest individual poll found)
- Rasmussen Reports: net approval of -10 points in late December

The 64% figure has no identifiable legitimate source. One possible origin: Morning Consult's state-level tracking showed Wyoming (Trump's most popular state) at approximately 64% approval, but Trump presented the number as his national approval rating.

This fits a documented pattern. In February 2025, Trump similarly claimed approval ratings of 71% and 69%, which were also unsupported by any publicly available polling data. Multiple news organizations (The Hill, MSNBC, Newsweek) and CNN's fact-check team characterized these claims as fabricated. As the MSNBC analysis noted, "the grand total of publicly available national polls, conducted at any time in 2025, which showed Trump with a 64% approval rating is zero." |
| "No Inflation" | **Mostly False** | Inflation persisted through 2025 though at reduced rates from 2022-23 peaks; claiming zero inflation is inaccurate |
| "Strong border" | **Half True** | Border encounters decreased under Trump's policies but 'strong' is subjective characterization |

Overall Veracity: 23%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 70%)

### Indicators

- Evening timing at Mar-a-Lago (9:58 PM EST)
- Emotional reactivity about polls
- ALL CAPS usage (STRONG BORDER)
- Quotation marks around 'hotter' — characteristic Trumpian emphasis
- Stream-of-consciousness transition from grievance to boasting to holiday greeting

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking — Criticism (Approval poll showing number lower than desired)

Sentiment: +0.40

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 70%
- Antisocial: 20%
- Paranoid: 30%
- Sadism: 5%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- distortion (pathological)
- denial (pathological)
- projection (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 40%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Rhetorical question inviting shared experience ('Isn't it nice...?')
- Holiday greeting creating pseudo-intimate relationship
- Use of 'our Country' creating in-group belonging

## Danger Assessment

**NONE**

### Gaslighting

- Dismissing legitimate polling as 'rigged'
- Substituting fabricated number for documented data
- Asserting 'No Inflation' contrary to economic data

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-22; a recheck of the unverifiable ones last ran 2026-03-29._

> Real approval number is 64%

**FALSE**

No credible national poll showed Trump at 64% approval at any point during 2025. Multiple polling aggregators and individual polls from late December 2025 consistently placed his approval far below that figure:

- Gallup: 36% approval
- Marist: 38% approval
- Reuters/Ipsos: 39% approval
- Economist/YouGov (Dec 26-29): 39% approval
- Quinnipiac: 40% approval
- Emerson College (Dec 14-15): 41% approval
- Silver Bulletin/NYT average: 42% approval
- RealClearPolitics average: 43% approval
- Decision Desk HQ average: 44-45% approval
- Trafalgar Group (Dec 26-27): 50% approval (the highest individual poll found)
- Rasmussen Reports: net approval of -10 points in late December

The 64% figure has no identifiable legitimate source. One possible origin: Morning Consult's state-level tracking showed Wyoming (Trump's most popular state) at approximately 64% approval, but Trump presented the number as his national approval rating.

This fits a documented pattern. In February 2025, Trump similarly claimed approval ratings of 71% and 69%, which were also unsupported by any publicly available polling data. Multiple news organizations (The Hill, MSNBC, Newsweek) and CNN's fact-check team characterized these claims as fabricated. As the MSNBC analysis noted, "the grand total of publicly available national polls, conducted at any time in 2025, which showed Trump with a 64% approval rating is zero."

Sources: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5667894-donald-trump-claims-approval-rating-higher/; https://www.ms.now/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/this-holiday-season-trump-gave-himself-a-gift-a-generous-made-up-approval-rating; https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-approval-rating-final-2025-polls-11291540; https://emersoncollegepolling.com/december-2025-national-poll-trumps-approval-flips-since-start-of-the-year/; https://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx; https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating; https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin; https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration_second_term/trump_approval_index_history_second_term; https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/donald-trump-approval-rating-by-state; https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/31/politics/poll-numbers-trump-fact-check; https://www.mediaite.com/media/news/trumps-bizarre-claim-of-a-71-approval-rating-zonked-by-data-from-even-his-friendliest-pollsters/; https://news.gallup.com/poll/700241/americans-end-year-gloomy-mood.aspx

> No Inflation

**MOSTLY FALSE**

Inflation persisted through 2025 though at reduced rates from 2022-23 peaks; claiming zero inflation is inaccurate

> Strong border

**HALF TRUE**

Border encounters decreased under Trump's policies but 'strong' is subjective characterization

Overall Veracity: 23%

## Tags

- supply-seeking (80%)
- reality-distortion (70%)
- holiday-post (50%)
- poll-grievance (60%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**From 'Happy New Year' to 'Rot in Hell': A Holiday Consumed by Fraud Obsession and Ethnic Scapegoating**

Trump's New Year's Eve started with a cheerful holiday greeting boasting about the economy and border, but the mood shifted sharply by mid-morning into a long stretch of grievance and fury. The most alarming escalation came when general fraud allegations gave way to targeting a specific congresswoman and the Somali-American community with dehumanizing language and calls for deportation. He posted a near-identical defense of jailed election-fraud advocate Tina Peters twice, hours apart, and at least half the day's 17 posts centered on election fraud or attacks on Democratic officials. By late afternoon, the rage had cooled to routine boasting and a parting shot at the Clooneys, but the holiday was thoroughly overtaken by persecution narratives.

Full digest for 2025-12-31: https://trump.fm/date/2025-12-31/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2025, December 31). The polls are rigged even more than the writers.... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_115811936714151078
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "The polls are rigged even more than the writers. The real..." Truth Social, 31 Dec. 2025. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_115811936714151078. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "The polls are rigged even more than the writers. The real...," Truth Social, December 31, 2025, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_115811936714151078.

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