# Post ts_114741169404332184

- Post ID: `ts_114741169404332184`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2025-06-25T00:28:20.808Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_114741169404332184
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_114741169404332184/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_114741169404332184.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Steve Witkoff on the 12 Day War ceasefire: "The proof is in the pudding, no one's shooting at each other. It's over.”

## What the media says

**Video transcript** (0:41), transcribed automatically, so names and numbers may be wrong. Speakers aren't identified, so a voice in it may not be his:

> Iran, throughout, since this conflict began, we've been talking to them about having some sort of peaceful settlement. And Iran's one caveat has always been that Israel had to stop its campaign. And once Israel fulfilled its objective, which they did, and once the United States fulfilled its objective, which it did, the total destruction of the enrichment capacity of the Iranian state, then the president was able to go to both parties and get a ceasefire done. And by the way, the proof is in the pudding. No one's shooting at each other. It's over.

## Media

- video: https://static-assets-1.truthsocial.com/tmtg:prime-ts-assets/media_attachments/files/114/741/169/119/831/604/original/451f3afc38e57bbc.mp4

## Engagement

- Likes: 4,823
- Reposts: 1,094
- Replies: 228
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.307Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-22T02:18:41.124Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Steve Witkoff Ceasefire Quote Post (2025-06-25)

### Context
This post shares a video of Steve Witkoff (Trump's special envoy) declaring a "12 Day War" ceasefire successful. Posted at 00:28 UTC on June 25, which is approximately 8:28 PM ET on June 24 — evening hours, likely from Mar-a-Lago or D.C. given the Iran crisis period.

The post follows U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities (June 21-22), Iranian retaliatory strikes on U.S. bases (June 23), and now apparently a ceasefire. Trump is framing this as a rapid, successful resolution — a 12-day war bookended by decisive action and diplomatic victory.

### Authorship
The post is minimally edited — just a quote attribution with a video. The clean formatting and lack of editorializing suggest aide involvement, though the evening timing is ambiguous. The absence of Trump's characteristic commentary (no "GREAT!", no attack on critics, no self-congratulation beyond the implicit framing) leans toward aide-drafted or at minimum aide-polished.

### Psychological Analysis
This is a **supply-seeking/maintenance** post. By letting Witkoff deliver the victory message, Trump uses third-party validation — a classic narcissistic supply technique where others testify to one's greatness. The choice to quote rather than self-proclaim is strategically sophisticated.

The framing of "12 Day War" is notable — it names the conflict in a way that implies brevity and decisiveness (echoing Israel's Six Day War), embedding the narrative that Trump resolved a major geopolitical crisis swiftly.

### Rhetorical Techniques
- **Third-party testimonial**: Letting an envoy declare victory rather than self-declaring
- **Historical framing**: "12 Day War" as a branded, minimizing label
- **Appeal to results**: "The proof is in the pudding" — pragmatic, folksy authority

### Defense Mechanisms
Minimal defensiveness visible. This is a victory-lap post, not a reactive one. The absence of any acknowledgment of casualties (224 killed per reports), criticism from MTG, or declining approval ratings represents **selective attention/denial** of negative aspects.

### Danger Assessment
Low. This post signals de-escalation framing.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "A ceasefire was achieved in the '12 Day War'" | **Mostly True** | Context confirms US strikes on June 21-22, Iranian retaliation June 23, and apparent ceasefire by June 24-25. The '12 Day War' label and permanence of ceasefire are unverifiable at this point. |
| "No one's shooting at each other" | **Unverifiable** | Witkoff's claim of complete cessation of hostilities cannot be independently verified from available context. Ceasefire announcements do not always reflect ground reality. |

Overall Veracity: 65%

## Receipts (2)

### major — iran (12 months later)

> "No one's shooting at each other"

**vs.**

> "Iran conducted a drone attack on Indian ships leaving the Hormuz Strait that was 'totally rebuffed'"

The source flatly declares 'no one's shooting at each other. It's over.' This candidate asserts Iran conducted a drone attack (on Indian ships leaving the Hormuz Strait) approximately a year later. Even accounting for the time gap, 'no one's shooting at each other' is a factual claim directly refuted by Iran actively launching drones at ships. The target being Indian rather than US/Israeli forces reduces confidence slightly, but Iran is unambiguously firing at someone.

[View contradicting post →](/post/ts_116737418354503074)

---

### moderate — iran (12 months later)

> "No one's shooting at each other"

**vs.**

> "Discussions with Iran have been approved at the highest level of Iranian leadership"

This candidate (dated 2026-06-11, ~12 months after the source) reveals that the US had 'scheduled strikes and bombings against Iran' that evening — only cancelled because of a new deal. The fact that a fresh round of planned airstrikes against Iran had to be cancelled proves the 2025 ceasefire did not make things permanently 'over.' However, the ~1-year gap and the 'circumstances actually changed' caveat mean this is changed circumstances rather than a flat reversal, so severity is moderate rather than major.

[View contradicting post →](/post/ts_116732652997120164)

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 30%)

### Indicators

- Clean formatting with proper quotation
- No ALL CAPS or emotional editorializing
- Evening timing (8:28 PM ET) is ambiguous zone
- Video share with attribution — standard aide format
- Lacks Trump's characteristic self-congratulatory additions

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Iran ceasefire as validation of military/diplomatic success)

Sentiment: +0.70

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 20%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- denial (pathological)
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 20%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- third-party validation
- victory narrative construction

## Fact Checks (2)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-22._

> A ceasefire was achieved in the '12 Day War'

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Context confirms US strikes on June 21-22, Iranian retaliation June 23, and apparent ceasefire by June 24-25. The '12 Day War' label and permanence of ceasefire are unverifiable at this point.

Sources: provided event context

> No one's shooting at each other

**UNVERIFIABLE**

Witkoff's claim of complete cessation of hostilities cannot be independently verified from available context. Ceasefire announcements do not always reflect ground reality.

Overall Veracity: 65%

## Receipts (2)

### major — iran (12 months later)

> No one's shooting at each other

_Jun 25, 2025_

vs.

> Iran conducted a drone attack on Indian ships leaving the Hormuz Strait that was 'totally rebuffed'

_Jun 12, 2026_

The source flatly declares 'no one's shooting at each other. It's over.' This candidate asserts Iran conducted a drone attack (on Indian ships leaving the Hormuz Strait) approximately a year later. Even accounting for the time gap, 'no one's shooting at each other' is a factual claim directly refuted by Iran actively launching drones at ships. The target being Indian rather than US/Israeli forces reduces confidence slightly, but Iran is unambiguously firing at someone.

[View contradicting post](/post/ts_116737418354503074)

---

### moderate — iran (12 months later)

> No one's shooting at each other

_Jun 25, 2025_

vs.

> Discussions with Iran have been approved at the highest level of Iranian leadership

_Jun 11, 2026_

This candidate (dated 2026-06-11, ~12 months after the source) reveals that the US had 'scheduled strikes and bombings against Iran' that evening — only cancelled because of a new deal. The fact that a fresh round of planned airstrikes against Iran had to be cancelled proves the 2025 ceasefire did not make things permanently 'over.' However, the ~1-year gap and the 'circumstances actually changed' caveat mean this is changed circumstances rather than a flat reversal, so severity is moderate rather than major.

[View contradicting post](/post/ts_116732652997120164)

## Tags

- foreign_policy (100%)
- victory_lap (90%)
- proxy_validation (80%)
- iran (90%)
- ceasefire (100%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Obsessive "OBLITERATION" Narrative Consumes NATO Summit Day as Rage Escalates Against Media Scrutiny**

Trump spent the day at a NATO summit in the Netherlands but was almost entirely consumed by defending his Iran strike narrative. He obsessively repeated the word "OBLITERATION" across more than a dozen posts, marshaling quotes from officials, allies, and Israeli sources to validate the strikes' success. As media skepticism from CNN and the New York Times mounted through the afternoon, his tone escalated sharply — culminating in a vicious personal attack on a CNN reporter and a call to shut down Voice of America. He closed the night by projecting his own legal grievances onto Netanyahu, demanding Israel drop corruption charges against its prime minister.

Full digest for 2025-06-25: https://trump.fm/date/2025-06-25/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2025, June 25). Steve Witkoff on the 12 Day War ceasefire: "The... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_114741169404332184
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Steve Witkoff on the 12 Day War ceasefire: "The proof is in..." Truth Social, 25 Jun. 2025. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_114741169404332184. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Steve Witkoff on the 12 Day War ceasefire: "The proof is in...," Truth Social, June 25, 2025, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_114741169404332184.

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