# Post ts_113609367609031101

- Post ID: `ts_113609367609031101`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2024-12-07T03:16:15.870Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_113609367609031101
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_113609367609031101/analysis

## Post text

> https://nypost.com/2024/11/25/us-news/how-elites-got-the-election-wrong-and-ignored-those-predicting-donald-trumps-win/

## Engagement

- Likes: 13,556
- Reposts: 3,022
- Replies: 323
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.326Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-21T18:52:48.226Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

Posted at 4:16 AM Paris local time during Trump's Notre Dame visit, this bare-URL share exhibits low-intensity narcissistic supply-seeking behavior. The curated article — headlined around elite forecasting failure and Trump's vindication — performs all rhetorical work without requiring original language. The post functions within a sustained post-election grandiose state (day 29 post-victory): a systematic revisitation of prior slights — elite dismissal, skeptical forecasts — now reframed as evidence of Trump's unique correctness against an incompetent establishment. The splitting mechanism is outsourced entirely to the article's binary framing (elites wrong / Trump predictors right), insulating Trump from direct boastfulness while delivering equivalent validation. The 4 AM timing during an international trip is the clinically notable element: it suggests compulsive media consumption during sleeplessness or an unusually strong emotional pull toward vindication content even amid high-stimulation international engagement. Authorship confidence is medium — timing favors authentic Trump, but zero-text URL posts are also a documented aide pattern. No language markers are available for cognitive assessment. Danger level is nil; the post is entirely backward-looking and self-congratulatory with no targeting, threat language, or mobilization cues.

# Psychological Analysis: ts_113609367609031101
**Platform:** Truth Social | **Date:** 2024-12-07 | **Age:** 78 | **Local Time:** ~04:16 AM CET (Paris)

---

## Overview

This post consists entirely of a URL — no added text, no commentary — linking to a New York Post article (originally published November 25, 2024) titled "How elites got the election wrong and ignored those predicting Donald Trump's win." The psychological signal resides entirely in the act of curation at 4 AM during an international trip.

---

## Authorship Attribution (Medium Confidence: ~0.6 authentic)

Trump was in **Paris** for the Notre Dame Cathedral reopening ceremony on December 7, making his local timezone **UTC+1 (CET)**. The UTC timestamp of 03:16 converts to **04:16 AM Paris local time** — firmly within his documented late-night/early-morning posting window. This is the primary authenticity indicator.

However, bare-URL posts with zero added text represent an ambiguous authorship signal. On one hand, impulsive link-sharing during late-night browsing is consistent with his known behavioral patterns. On the other hand, the same-day posts with clear authentic voice (the perfume promotion at "Fight, Fight, Fight"; the Hegseth defense) demonstrate he was actively composting text-heavy posts, making the zero-text anomaly more notable. Aide curation — especially of article links — is documented during business hours, but this timing undercuts that hypothesis. **Tentative assessment: authentic, with moderate confidence.**

---

## Level 1: Dispositional Traits

With no original language to analyze, trait assessment is confined to behavioral inference:

- **Extraversion (assertiveness):** Implied — even at 4 AM in a foreign capital, engagement with self-validating media continues. Excitement-seeking facet active.
- **Neuroticism (angry hostility):** Absent in this post; the grandiose post-election state appears to have displaced vulnerability.
- **Agreeableness:** Low baseline; the article's "elites vs. everyone else" framing aligns with his habitual low-agreeableness schema.
- **Openness:** Low; the article reinforces existing beliefs rather than introducing new frameworks.

---

## Level 2: Characteristic Adaptations (Goals & Motives)

**Dominant motive: Status/Agency.** The article's premise — that institutional elites failed where others succeeded in predicting Trump — directly services the core motivational schema: Trump as uniquely perceptive figure, validated against an incompetent establishment.

**Supply-seeking trigger:** This is post-victory narcissistic supply maintenance. The election (November 5) is 32 days past; the article was published 12 days prior to posting. The delayed share of a 12-day-old article at 4 AM during international travel suggests either compulsive nighttime media consumption or a strong emotional pull toward vindication content that overrode normal curation timing.

**Schemas activated:**
- Self-schema: Correct, unrecognized, ultimately vindicated
- Other-schema (elite): Arrogant, blind, wrong
- World-schema: Rigged by incompetent establishments; natural order now restored

---

## Level 3: Narrative Identity

**Protagonist role:** The Vindicated Outsider. Trump does not need to claim victory explicitly — the article's title claims it for him. He is cast (by proxy) as the figure the elites failed to understand, whose supporters were ignored.

**Narrative sequence: Redemption.** The structural arc is: elites dismiss → Trump wins → elites exposed. This is a canonical redemption sequence in his self-narrative, recycled throughout his political career but given fresh energy by the 2024 result.

**Identity claims (implicit):**
- *I was right when the credentialed class was wrong*
- *My voters were invisible to elite perception*
- *Establishment incompetence validated by outcome*

**Contrasting other:** "Elites" — a deliberately broad category encompassing media, academia, pollsters, and political establishment, unified by their failure to perceive Trump's coalition.

---

## Level 4: Clinical Indicators

### Malignant Narcissism Assessment
- **Narcissistic features:** Moderate expression (0.5/1.0). Passive grandiosity via curated third-party validation. No direct boastfulness present, but the selection mechanism is transparently self-aggrandizing.
- **Antisocial features:** Absent (0.0).
- **Paranoid features:** Minimal (0.1). The "ignored those predicting" framing implies suppression of truth, but this is low-intensity.
- **Sadism:** Absent (0.0). No pleasure in others' suffering is evident — this is straightforward vindication, not humiliation of specific individuals.

### Narcissistic Dynamics
**State:** Grandiose. This is consistent with the sustained post-election expansive state observable across December posts. The grandiose-vulnerable oscillation that characterizes the pre-election period appears suppressed in favor of stable grandiosity during the victory lap phase.

**Trigger:** Supply-seeking / post-injury repair. The "elites who ignored" framing references prior narcissistic injuries (dismissal, unfavorable comparisons, skeptical forecasts) now converted into evidence of his singular correctness.

**Rage:** Absent. The tone is triumphant, not angry — the injuries are healed by outcome, not reopened.

### Defense Mechanisms
1. **Splitting (Immature):** Clean binary encoded in the article title — elites (bad, wrong) vs. Trump predictors (good, right). No complexity admitted.
2. **Idealization (Immature):** Those who predicted Trump's win are implicitly cast as perceptive, correct, superior to the establishment.
3. **Borrowed Prestige:** Outsourcing the self-aggrandizing claim to a mainstream outlet (NY Post) and a headline insulates from direct boastfulness while preserving the emotional payload.

---

## Rhetorical & Propaganda Analysis

**Primary technique: Curated authority.** By selecting the NY Post rather than a partisan outlet, the post weaponizes mainstream credibility. The mastheads' imprimatur does credibility work; the headline does emotional work. Trump's name is absent from the URL post itself — the article title speaks for him.

**Elite scapegoating:** "Elites" functions as a grievance anchor — a class defined by exclusion of the poster's base, whose failure becomes structural proof of the base's wisdom.

**Implicit superlative:** The article constructs Trump as the figure whose victory embarrassed the entire expert class — a subtler version of his standard "nobody knows more than me" formulation.

**Propaganda technique:** This fits the RAND Firehose model's supply maintenance function — not a volume/inconsistency play, but steady reinforcement of the elite-failure narrative across the post-election period.

---

## Cognitive Status

**Non-assessable.** Zero original language present. No vocabulary, syntax, or coherence data available. The 4 AM posting time during international travel could indicate circadian disruption, but this is speculative and not unique to cognitive decline. Insufficient evidence to deviate from baseline.

---

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Elites got the 2024 election wrong and ignored predictors of Trump's win" | **Mostly True** | Many mainstream pollsters, media forecasters, and institutional analysts underestimated Trump's 2024 margin and the breadth of his coalition. However, several non-elite forecasters and some polling aggregators did project a competitive or Trump-leaning outcome, making the 'ignored' framing partially accurate. The binary elite/correct split overstates the uniformity of forecaster error. |

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Danger Assessment

**Level: None.** This post contains no targeting language, no dehumanization, no violent imagery, and no mobilization cues. It is a backward-looking vindication share with no actionable implications.

---

## Longitudinal Context

This post fits the established December 2024 pattern: sustained grandiose state, systematic revisitation of pre-election dismissals, curation of validating content, and high posting frequency across a range of themes (Hegseth defense, commercial promotion, article shares). The bare-URL format with zero commentary is slightly atypical relative to his text-heavy shares but not diagnostically significant. The 4 AM Paris timing is the post's most clinically interesting feature — suggesting that even during a historically significant international trip (first overseas visit as President-elect, engagement with multiple heads of state), the compulsion toward self-validating media consumption persists into the small hours.

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 60%)

### Indicators

- Post time is 04:16 AM Paris local time (UTC+1), consistent with Trump's documented late-night/early-morning posting behavior
- Trump was in Paris for Notre Dame reopening — unusual travel context may suppress text commentary
- Bare URL with zero added text is ambiguous: could be authentic impulsive share or aide curation
- No typos or emotional markers present, but absence of text makes this criterion non-applicable
- The article aligns strongly with Trump's known psychological preoccupations (elite validation, winning), suggesting personal selection

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking — Comparison (New York Post article validating Trump's election win against elite predictions)

Sentiment: +0.45

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 0%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- idealization (immature)
- splitting (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 0%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Vicarious validation — followers share in the vindication narrative without needing to process the article's content

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-21._

> Elites got the 2024 election wrong and ignored predictors of Trump's win

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Many mainstream pollsters, media forecasters, and institutional analysts underestimated Trump's 2024 margin and the breadth of his coalition. However, several non-elite forecasters and some polling aggregators did project a competitive or Trump-leaning outcome, making the 'ignored' framing partially accurate. The binary elite/correct split overstates the uniformity of forecaster error.

Sources: General training knowledge on 2024 election polling landscape

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Tags

- supply_seeking (80%)
- elite_scapegoating (70%)
- post_victory_vindication (80%)
- bare_url_post (60%)
- early_morning_international (60%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Paris at 4 AM: Victory Lap Abroad Masks a Quiet Blueprint for Unchecked Power**

Trump spent the day in Paris for the Notre Dame Cathedral reopening, his first international trip since winning the election. The mood was triumphant and self-congratulatory throughout, with early-morning product promotions, a geopolitical riff on Syria, and a steady stream of flattering press clips. The most notable stretch came in the evening, when a rapid-fire batch of shared articles mixed victory-lap coverage with a darker undercurrent: pieces arguing for near-unlimited presidential power, accusing Democrats of counting illegal ballots, and framing American politics as two irreconcilable countries. It was a day of low anger but high grandiosity, with the commercial and the constitutional blurring together seamlessly.

Full digest for 2024-12-07: https://trump.fm/date/2024-12-07/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2024, December 7). https://nypost.com/2024/11/25/us-news/how-elites-g... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_113609367609031101
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "https://nypost.com/2024/11/25/us-news/how-elites-got-the-ele..." Truth Social, 7 Dec. 2024. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_113609367609031101. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "https://nypost.com/2024/11/25/us-news/how-elites-got-the-ele...," Truth Social, December 7, 2024, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_113609367609031101.

## For agents

- Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt
- API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json
- MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth)
- This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/ts_113609367609031101
- Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/ts_113609367609031101
- All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/ts_113609367609031101
- Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2024-12-07
- The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_113609367609031101.md?analysis=false

_Markdown view of a trump.fm page. Post, analysis, date, feed, contradictions, search and about pages answer in markdown at their URL with `.md` appended (`/index.md` for the home page), or when sent `Accept: text/markdown`._