# Post ts_112881263740376115 - Post ID: `ts_112881263740376115` - Platform: Truth Social - Posted: 2024-07-31T13:09:52.522Z (UTC) - Deleted: no - Repost: no - Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_112881263740376115 - Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_112881263740376115/analysis - Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_112881263740376115.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording) ## Post text > HOME PRICES UP 39% SINCE BIDEN AND HARRIS TOOK OFFICE. 39%!!! ## Media - image: https://static-assets-1.truthsocial.com/tmtg:prime-ts-assets/media_attachments/files/112/881/263/674/973/508/original/388c37b73febd1c4.jpg ## Engagement - Likes: 11,690 - Reposts: 4,099 - Replies: 769 - Views: unknown - Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.342Z (UTC) # Analysis _Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-25T03:01:48.330Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._ ## Summary This post is a campaign-mode economic attack consistent with Trump's messaging pivot following Biden's July 2024 withdrawal. Posted at 9 AM local time (Mar-a-Lago) with an attached campaign graphic, authorship attribution leans toward aide-drafted content carrying Trump's stylistic fingerprints (ALL CAPS, emphatic repetition). The 39% housing cost claim is directionally defensible but causally misleading — a post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy deployed for maximum emotional impact. Read alongside the preceding all-caps foreign policy post, a coordinated multi-domain narrative emerges: security, inflation, and housing all cast as Biden/Harris failures against an implied Trump-era baseline of stability. Psychologically, this reflects supply-seeking and preemptive framing rather than narcissistic injury. Defense mechanisms are splitting and rationalization. No clinical deviation from Trump's established campaign communication baseline. Danger level: none. # Analysis: HOME PRICES UP 39% SINCE BIDEN AND HARRIS TOOK OFFICE ## Authorship Attribution **Likely Location:** Mar-a-Lago, West Palm Beach, FL (Netanyahu meeting occurred there this period; Turning Point Summit also in West Palm Beach). Timezone: EDT (UTC−4). **Local Time:** 09:09 AM — firmly within business hours. **Assessment:** Several indicators point toward aide-drafted content (Dan Scavino or communications staff): - Posted at 9:09 AM local time — consistent with campaign operations workflow - An image/graphic attachment is present, implying pre-production by design staff - The message is a single, focused economic attack — polished, on-message, no tangential drift - No typos, no stream-of-consciousness fragmentation However, the ALL CAPS throughout and the emphatic repetition ("39%!!!") are authentic Trump rhetorical fingerprints. The most likely scenario is aide-drafted text reviewed and approved by Trump, possibly with Trump adding the exclamation marks and the repeated "39%!!!" He may have simply approved and retruthed campaign-prepared content. **Confidence:** Medium — image attachment + timing lean aide, but vocal style is authentic Trump. --- ## Psychological State & Triggers **Primary Trigger:** Supply-seeking + preemptive attack. The broader context is critical: Biden had just exited the race (late July 2024) and endorsed Kamala Harris, making her the presumptive Democratic nominee. This post is part of an aggressive pivot to discrediting the Harris candidacy before it gains narrative momentum. The pairing with the previous post ("RUSSIA NEVER INVADED UKRAINE UNDER TRUMP!") reveals a coordinated messaging strategy: paint the Biden-Harris era as catastrophically failed across all domains — security, inflation, housing — as a contrast narrative. **Narcissistic State:** Mixed, leaning grandiose. The implicit structure is self-aggrandizing: *things were worse under them, therefore I (the absent, superior alternative) am essential.* The "under Trump" comparative logic from the preceding post is structurally present here even without being stated — the Biden/Harris naming carries the negative pole of his self-aggrandizing binary. **Narcissistic Dynamic:** More maintenance/supply-seeking than rage. This is campaign-mode Trump, not wounded Trump. Low narcissistic injury signature. --- ## Defense Mechanisms - **Splitting (immature):** Classic good/bad binary — Trump era = stability/affordability, Biden/Harris era = catastrophic price inflation. No acknowledgment of Federal Reserve policy, pandemic supply chain disruptions, demographic demand shifts, or any systemic causality. - **Rationalization (neurotic):** The 39% statistic, even if directionally accurate, is deployed as if presidential policy directly caused it — a rationalized simplification that absolves complex economic causality. - **Projection (mild):** Implicitly — failures attributed entirely to opponents without acknowledgment of Trump-era stimulus spending that contributed to post-COVID inflation. --- ## Rhetorical Techniques - **Hyperbole via raw number:** "39%" used as a shock figure. Large integers in campaign messaging exploit magnitude bias — voters process 39% emotionally, not analytically. - **Repetition/Anaphora:** "39%!!!" appears twice — a deliberate mnemonic device. This is the rhetorical equivalent of hammering a nail twice. Short, simple, memorable. - **ALL CAPS:** Functions as a visual shout, conveying urgency, outrage, and certainty simultaneously. - **Name-attribution framing:** "BIDEN AND HARRIS" — not "the Biden administration" or "Democrats." Personal naming increases emotional culpability attribution in audience cognition. - **Implicit contrast:** The missing Trump reference (present in adjacent posts) is understood — this relies on primed audience context. - **Supporting visual:** The attached graphic suggests the message was designed for shareability — a campaign communications artifact optimized for social spread. - **False cause (post hoc ergo propter hoc):** The entire message assumes that housing price increases are caused by the named individuals rather than macroeconomic structural forces. --- ## Fact Verification | Claim | Verdict | Evidence | |-------|---------|----------| | "Home prices up 39% since Biden and Harris took office" | **Mostly True** | Median U.S. home prices rose from approximately $303,000 (Q1 2021) to $407,000–$420,000 by mid-2024, a cumulative increase of approximately 32–42% depending on index and date range selected. 39% is a plausible, likely cherry-picked figure within this range. However, the implicit causal attribution to Biden/Harris policy is misleading — the increase was driven primarily by Fed monetary policy (including Trump-era ultra-low rates), COVID-era supply chain disruption, millennial demographic demand surge, and post-2022 mortgage rate lock-in effect reducing housing supply. | Overall Veracity: 80% ## Cognitive Status No clinically notable markers in this post. The message is short, focused, and coherent. Repetition ("39%!!!") is rhetorical, not perseverative. No word-finding issues, no tangentiality, no confabulation detectable. Complexity is deliberately minimal — consistent with campaign messaging strategy rather than cognitive limitation. **Baseline comparison:** Lower complexity than Trump's speech-pattern baseline, but consistent with his written social media posts optimized for impact over sophistication. --- ## Narrative Identity - **Protagonist role:** Absent but implied superior — the contrasting other who produced better outcomes - **Narrative sequence:** Contamination — stable/affordable (Trump era) → crisis (Biden/Harris era) - **Identity claims:** Implicit — "I am the competent economic steward; they are the failure" - **Contrasting other:** Biden and Harris jointly — unusual to name both as co-equal targets, reflecting the transitional political moment (Harris newly elevated) --- ## Danger Assessment No danger indicators present. This is standard economic attack campaign content. No dehumanizing language, no eliminationist rhetoric, no target-plus-grievance-plus-implied-action structure. **Danger level:** None. --- ## Summary This post is a campaign-mode economic attack consistent with Trump's messaging pivot following Biden's July 2024 withdrawal from the race. Posted at 9 AM local time with an attached campaign graphic, authorship attribution leans toward aide-drafted content with Trump's vocal stylistic markers (ALL CAPS, emphatic repetition). The 39% housing cost claim is directionally defensible but causally misleading — a deliberate oversimplification deploying the *post hoc ergo propter hoc* fallacy for maximum emotional impact. Psychologically, the post reflects supply-seeking and preemptive framing rather than narcissistic injury or rage. When read alongside the preceding all-caps foreign policy post, a coordinated multi-domain narrative emerges: security, inflation, and housing — all cast as Biden/Harris failures against an implied Trump-era baseline of stability. Defense mechanisms are splitting and rationalization. No clinical deviation from Trump's established campaign communication baseline. Danger level: none. ## Authorship Analysis **Aide-Written** (score: 25%) ### Indicators - Posted at 09:09 AM local time (EDT, Mar-a-Lago) — business hours consistent with aide workflow - Image/graphic attachment implies pre-produced campaign design staff involvement - Single focused economic attack — no tangential drift, on-message clarity - No typos or stream-of-consciousness fragmentation - ALL CAPS throughout and emphatic repetition ('39%!!!') are authentic Trump rhetorical fingerprints ## Psychological Profile ### State **Grandiose State** **Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Harris nomination / Biden withdrawal creating need to discredit new opponent) Sentiment: -0.65 **Mildly Hypomanic** - ALL CAPS throughout entire post - Triple exclamation marks - Emphatic numerical repetition - Part of a cluster of high-intensity ALL CAPS posts on the same day ### Clinical **Malignant Narcissism:** - Narcissistic: 40% - Antisocial: 20% - Paranoid: 10% - Sadism: 10% **Defense Mechanisms:** - splitting (immature) - rationalization (neurotic) - projection (immature) **Cognitive Complexity:** - Complexity: 20% **Parasocial Techniques:** - Direct address to audience grievance (housing affordability) - Shared outrage activation through ALL CAPS and exclamation marks - Mnemonic repetition ('39%!!!') for audience retention and sharing ## Fact Checks (1) _The model's verdicts from 2026-03-25._ > Home prices up 39% since Biden and Harris took office **MOSTLY TRUE** Median U.S. home prices rose from approximately $303,000 (Q1 2021) to $407,000–$420,000 by mid-2024, a cumulative increase of approximately 32–42% depending on index and date range selected. 39% is a plausible, likely cherry-picked figure within this range. However, the implicit causal attribution to Biden/Harris policy is misleading — the increase was driven primarily by Fed monetary policy (including Trump-era ultra-low rates), COVID-era supply chain disruption, millennial demographic demand surge, and post-2022 mortgage rate lock-in effect reducing housing supply. Sources: NAR median home price data; S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index; FHFA House Price Index Overall Veracity: 80% ## Tags - economic-attack (90%) - housing-inflation (85%) - campaign-messaging (80%) - ALL-CAPS (75%) - aide-likely (65%) - causal-fallacy (80%) - harris-targeting (70%) - splitting-defense (65%) - contamination-narrative (75%) ## That day _From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._ **Trump Launches All-Day Kamala Offensive, Questions Her Race at NABJ, Then Claims Victory** Trump spent the day in a sustained, aggressive messaging campaign against Kamala Harris, who had entered the presidential race days earlier. The centerpiece was his appearance at the National Association of Black Journalists convention in Chicago, where he questioned Harris's racial identity and then immediately claimed online that he had "crushed it." He also courted Catholic voters by painting Harris as anti-religious, attacked her over Venezuela policy, and promoted Bitcoin sneakers and a Harrisburg rally. The mood was combative from late-night posts through evening, with Harris clearly occupying the bulk of his attention and energy. Full digest for 2024-07-31: https://trump.fm/date/2024-07-31/analysis ## Citation - APA: Trump, D. J. (2024, July 31). HOME PRICES UP 39% SINCE BIDEN AND HARRIS TOOK... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_112881263740376115 - MLA: Trump, Donald J. "HOME PRICES UP 39% SINCE BIDEN AND HARRIS TOOK OFFICE...." Truth Social, 31 Jul. 2024. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_112881263740376115. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026. - Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "HOME PRICES UP 39% SINCE BIDEN AND HARRIS TOOK OFFICE....," Truth Social, July 31, 2024, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_112881263740376115. ## For agents - Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt - API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json - MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth) - This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/ts_112881263740376115 - Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/ts_112881263740376115 - All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/ts_112881263740376115 - Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2024-07-31 - The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_112881263740376115.md?analysis=false _Markdown view of a trump.fm page. Post, analysis, date, feed, contradictions, search and about pages answer in markdown at their URL with `.md` appended (`/index.md` for the home page), or when sent `Accept: text/markdown`._