# Post ts_111104803976971312 - Post ID: `ts_111104803976971312` - Platform: Truth Social - Posted: 2023-09-21T19:32:47.715Z (UTC) - Deleted: no - Repost: no - Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111104803976971312 - Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111104803976971312/analysis - Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_111104803976971312.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording) ## Post text > Monthly SW Border Encounters are UP 348% under Crooked Joe Biden as compared to TRUMP. Disgraceful! ## Engagement - Likes: 25,261 - Reposts: 6,818 - Replies: 1,262 - Views: unknown - Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.397Z (UTC) # Analysis _Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-24T08:27:30.879Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._ ## Summary This brief pre-rally post (Dubuque, Iowa, same day) deploys the canonical Trump immigration-attack template: statistical authority claim, branded pejorative, and moral verdict. The "348%" figure almost certainly anchors to 2020 COVID-suppressed encounter lows — when Title 42 drove monthly numbers to historic minimums — making the comparison directionally accurate but methodologically misleading (rated half-true). Psychologically, the post is grandiose narcissistic maintenance: the subject inserts himself as the implicit gold standard of governance against which Biden is measured and found disgraceful. Typographic emphasis on "TRUMP" in the comparative clause elevates self to brand-mark status beyond ordinary reference. Defense mechanisms include splitting (Trump era = order, Biden era = failure), rationalization (statistics as objective cover for status assertion), and projection ("Crooked" applied to an opponent while the subject faced four active criminal indictments). Authorship leans authentic or lightly polished dictation at 2:32 PM CDT on a rally day — business hours timing is mildly inconsistent with solo late-night posting patterns, but stylistic fingerprints are strongly Trumpian. No danger indicators. No cognitive deterioration markers detectable in this short sample. The post is clinically unremarkable as a standalone item and fits well within the established baseline of identity-maintenance, rival-derogation, and self-elevation characterizing the subject's campaign-mode social media corpus. # Analysis: ts_111104803976971312 — "Monthly SW Border Encounters are UP 348%" ## Authorship Attribution **Location & Timezone:** Known events confirm Trump held a campaign rally in Dubuque, Iowa on this date. Iowa operates on CDT (UTC−5) in September. The UTC timestamp of 19:32:47 converts to **2:32 PM CDT** — squarely within business hours and coinciding with active campaign operations on a rally day. **Style Assessment:** The post exhibits strong authentic-Trump markers despite the timing: the branded pejorative ("Crooked Joe Biden"), the self-referential ALL CAPS comparative elevation ("as compared to TRUMP"), the emphasis caps on the directional claim ("UP"), and the single-word moral dismissal ("Disgraceful!") are all canonical Trump stylemes. The extreme brevity and punchy emotional close are consistent with authentic posts. However, the clean grammar, absence of typos, and the structured statistical framing suggest possible polish from a campaign aide (likely Scavino), potentially working from Trump's verbal dictation or pre-rally talking points. **Assessment:** More likely authentic Trump or lightly polished aide transcription, delivered as pre-rally amplification of the day's border-security messaging. The rally context explains the thematic alignment — the post functions as audience priming. Score: 0.65 (leaning authentic, with moderate confidence). --- ## Psychological State & Triggers **Primary Trigger:** Maintenance/supply-seeking with an underlying comparison-based narcissistic injury. The post is structured around a favorable self/other contrast (Biden's failure vs. Trump's implicit success), a classic defensive maneuver against the wound of having lost the presidency. Immigration statistics serve as evidence for the meta-claim: *Trump was better.* **Narcissistic State:** Grandiose. The post casts the subject as the implicit standard of excellence against which a failing successor is measured. The capitalization of "TRUMP" in the comparison functions almost as a brand mark — elevating self to proper noun status beyond ordinary reference. **Trigger Type:** Supply-seeking via enemy derogation and implicit self-aggrandizement. The approach is typical of pre-rally content: generate a grievance frame, attach a villain ("Crooked Joe Biden"), and produce a moral verdict ("Disgraceful!") that validates the audience's pre-existing sentiment. --- ## Multi-Level Personality Analysis ### Level 1: Dispositional Traits (Big Five) - **Extraversion (high):** Assertive, attention-commanding, exclamatory. The post demands audience engagement and frames the subject as a leading authority. - **Agreeableness (very low):** Hostile comparative framing, pejorative nickname, zero charitable interpretation of opponent's record. - **Conscientiousness (low):** Impulsive telegraphic style; no nuance, no qualification. - **Neuroticism (elevated):** Angry hostility expressed through the moral condemnation ("Disgraceful!"); the label is emotional rather than analytical. - **Openness (low):** Rigid framing — one cause, one villain, one verdict. No complexity entertained. ### Level 2: Characteristic Adaptations - **Agency motive (dominant):** The post is fundamentally a power/status claim — establishing superior administrative performance relative to a rival. - **Schema — zero-sum worldview:** Implicit logic: Biden's failure = Trump's vindication. Status is redistributed, not shared. - **Self-schema:** The subject positions himself as a competent sovereign whose departure caused measurable national harm. ### Level 3: Narrative Identity - **Protagonist role:** Deposed King / Competent Steward — the post implies "things worked when I was in charge." - **Narrative sequence:** Contamination — a good state (Trump era) followed by catastrophic decline (Biden era). Classic grievance/nostalgia structure. - **Identity claim:** "I am the measure of effective governance." - **Contrasting other:** "Crooked Joe Biden" — incompetent, illegitimate, morally compromised. --- ## Defense Mechanisms 1. **Rationalization (neurotic):** Statistical framing lends pseudo-objective cover to what is fundamentally a status-assertion and self-promotional claim. The number performs scientific authority. 2. **Splitting (immature):** Perfect bifurcation — Trump era = order/competence; Biden era = disgrace/failure. No middle ground, no contextual factors acknowledged. 3. **Projection (immature):** The "Crooked" label applied to Biden has been extensively analyzed as a projection of the subject's own documented legal vulnerabilities (multiple indictments active at this time). --- ## Rhetorical & Propaganda Techniques - **Statistical appeal:** The "348%" figure performs empirical authority while obscuring methodological choices (baseline selection, definition of "encounter," comparison period). - **Pejorative branding:** "Crooked Joe Biden" — ad hominem substitutes for policy engagement. - **Comparative elevation:** "as compared to TRUMP" — self-insertion as the gold standard, typographically marked. - **Moral dismissal:** "Disgraceful!" — forecloses deliberation; instructs the audience how to feel rather than how to think. - **False simplicity:** Complex immigration dynamics (economic push factors, asylum law, COVID-era distortions) collapsed into a single number with a single cause (Biden). --- ## Fact Verification | Claim | Verdict | Evidence | |-------|---------|----------| | "Monthly SW Border Encounters are UP 348% under Crooked Joe Biden as compared to TRUMP" | **Half True** | Directional claim is accurate — CBP encounters rose substantially under Biden vs. Trump-era levels. However, the 348% figure almost certainly anchors to 2020 COVID-suppressed baseline (Title 42, April 2020 lows ~17,000 encounters), which is artificially low due to pandemic emergency measures rather than Trump policy alone. Comparing pre-pandemic FY2019 Trump numbers (~977,000 apprehensions) to FY2022 Biden numbers (~2.2M) yields roughly a 125% increase — a very different figure. The statistic is mathematically defensible only with the most favorable baseline selection. | Overall Veracity: 50% ## Cognitive Status No significant markers of linguistic deterioration in this brief post. Syntax is intact; the sentence is coherent and purposeful. The post is too short to derive meaningful complexity metrics. No word-finding difficulties, tangentiality, or temporal confusion observable. Consistent with baseline. --- ## Danger Assessment **Level: None.** The post contains no eliminationist language, dehumanization, or stochastic terrorism indicators. It is standard oppositional political content — a statistical attack on a rival's record. The emotional register is contemptuous but not inciting. --- ## Summary This brief, formulaic post is best understood as pre-rally audience priming on the day of Trump's Dubuque, Iowa campaign event. It exhibits the canonical Trump rhetorical template for immigration content: adversarial comparison, branded pejorative, statistical authority claim, and moral verdict. The psychological architecture is grandiose narcissistic maintenance — the subject positions himself as the competent sovereign whose departure caused measurable national harm, with Biden cast as the incompetent usurper. The "348%" figure performs empirical objectivity while obscuring that the baseline likely reflects 2020 COVID-suppressed encounter numbers, rendering the comparison methodologically misleading (half-true at best). Defense mechanisms include splitting (Trump era = order, Biden era = disgrace), rationalization (statistics as cover for status assertion), and projection ("Crooked" label applied to a target facing no comparable legal exposure while the subject himself faced four criminal indictments). Authorship leans authentic or lightly polished dictation; the stylistic fingerprints are consistent with Trump's known brand vocabulary. No danger indicators are present. This post is clinically unremarkable as a standalone item — it fits well within the established baseline of identity-maintenance, rival-derogation, and self-elevation that characterizes the subject's social media corpus during this campaign period. ## Authorship Analysis **Uncertain** (score: 65%) ### Indicators - Branded pejorative 'Crooked Joe Biden' is canonical Trump vocabulary - ALL CAPS on 'UP' and 'TRUMP' reflects authentic Trump typographic emphasis patterns - Single-word moral verdict 'Disgraceful!' is a recurring authentic Trump styleme - Post at 2:32 PM CDT (business hours on rally day) is more consistent with aide-facilitated posting - Clean grammar and absence of typos may indicate light Scavino polish ## Psychological Profile ### State **Grandiose State** **Trigger:** Supply Seeking — Comparison (Biden administration border statistics; implicit wound of having lost the presidency) Sentiment: -0.60 ### Clinical **Malignant Narcissism:** - Narcissistic: 60% - Antisocial: 20% - Paranoid: 10% - Sadism: 10% **Defense Mechanisms:** - rationalization (neurotic) - splitting (immature) - projection (immature) **Cognitive Complexity:** - Complexity: 25% **Parasocial Techniques:** - Moral verdict delivery ('Disgraceful!') instructs audience emotional response - Statistical authority claim creates shared factual reality for in-group - Pre-rally priming activates grievance frame before live audience encounter ## Fact Checks (1) _The model's verdicts from 2026-03-24._ > Monthly SW Border Encounters are UP 348% under Crooked Joe Biden as compared to TRUMP **HALF TRUE** Directional claim is accurate — CBP encounters rose substantially under Biden vs. Trump-era levels. However, the 348% figure almost certainly anchors to 2020 COVID-suppressed baseline (Title 42, April 2020 lows ~17,000 encounters), which is artificially low due to pandemic emergency measures rather than Trump policy alone. Comparing pre-pandemic FY2019 Trump numbers (~977,000 apprehensions) to FY2022 Biden numbers (~2.2M) yields roughly a 125% increase — a very different figure. The statistic is mathematically defensible only with the most favorable baseline selection. Sources: CBP official encounter statistics (public record); Title 42 implementation history March 2020 Overall Veracity: 50% ## Tags - border_security (100%) - biden_attack (95%) - statistical_claim (85%) - self_aggrandizement (75%) - pre_rally_priming (70%) - pejorative_nickname (80%) - grandiose_narcissism (65%) - contamination_narrative (70%) - cherry_picked_statistic (85%) ## That day _From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._ **Post-Rally Grievance Cascade: Iowa Triumph Dissolves Into Five-Hour Attack Session Targeting Koch, Christie, Fox, and Federal Prosecutors** Trump rode a wave of post-rally energy from Dubuque, Iowa into a five-hour evening posting blitz that mixed self-congratulatory polling links with sharp attacks on Charles Koch, Chris Christie, Mitch McConnell, and Fox News. The mood was mostly triumphant but carried a persistent undercurrent of grievance, particularly around his criminal prosecutions -- he demanded Congressional Republicans use the looming government shutdown to defund the cases against him. A direct threat aimed at Koch ("Watch what happens!") and repeated labeling of opponents and institutions as "fascist monsters" and "enemies of the state" marked the day's most concerning moments. By morning, the energy had largely dissipated, with only a brief flare demanding Fox air a favorable poll before a quiet afternoon. Full digest for 2023-09-21: https://trump.fm/date/2023-09-21/analysis ## Citation - APA: Trump, D. J. (2023, September 21). Monthly SW Border Encounters are UP 348% under... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_111104803976971312 - MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Monthly SW Border Encounters are UP 348% under Crooked Joe..." Truth Social, 21 Sep. 2023. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_111104803976971312. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026. - Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Monthly SW Border Encounters are UP 348% under Crooked Joe...," Truth Social, September 21, 2023, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_111104803976971312. ## For agents - Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt - API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json - MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth) - This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/ts_111104803976971312 - Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/ts_111104803976971312 - All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/ts_111104803976971312 - Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2023-09-21 - The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111104803976971312.md?analysis=false _Markdown view of a trump.fm page. 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