# Post ts_110884162179001946

- Post ID: `ts_110884162179001946`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2023-08-13T20:20:41.111Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_110884162179001946
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_110884162179001946/analysis

## Post text

> https://leesmith.locals.com/post/4394862/obama-s-jan-5-conspiracy

## Engagement

- Likes: 6,932
- Reposts: 2,364
- Replies: 242
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.402Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-20T07:11:40.720Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Summary

A bare URL share, almost certainly aide-authored, posted at 4:20 PM EDT on August 13, 2023 — approximately 18 hours before the Georgia RICO indictment. The linked content (Lee Smith on "Obama's Jan 5 conspiracy") functions as preemptive DARVO: establishing Obama as a conspiratorial actor around January 5, 2021, before the indictment reanchors public attention on Trump's conduct around January 6. Primary defenses are projection (attributing conspiratorial manipulation to Obama) and pathological distortion (inverting the evidentiary record). The post is embedded in a coordinated August 13 content cluster — DeSantis attacks, DOJ attacks, conspiracy amplification — consistent with a managed communications operation rather than authentic impulsive posting. Cognitive assessment is not possible from a bare URL. Danger level is elevated within the longitudinal pattern of named-adversary conspiracy amplification; no direct incitement language appears. The post's psychological significance lies primarily in its timing and its role as one node in a sustained pre-indictment reality-distortion campaign designed to preemptively invert victim/offender roles before the Georgia grand jury returned its findings.

## Analysis: ts_110884162179001946 — August 13, 2023

### Post Overview

This post consists entirely of a single URL — no appended text, no commentary, no superlatives. The URL slug `obama-s-jan-5-conspiracy` links to Lee Smith's Locals page (a paid subscription platform for conservative commentary). The post is notable not for its content but for its **timing and narrative function**: it was published approximately 18–20 hours before the Fulton County, Georgia grand jury returned its RICO indictment against Trump on August 14, 2023.

---

### Authorship Attribution

UTC timestamp 20:20:41 converts to approximately **4:20 PM EDT** (Trump was almost certainly at Bedminster, NJ, his summer residence in August). Mid-to-late afternoon falls squarely in **business hours**. The post contains zero original text — a strong Scavino/aide indicator. Authentic Trump posts in this era typically include even minimal injected commentary ("READ!", "VERY INTERESTING!", "WITCH HUNT!"). The complete absence of any verbal fingerprint, combined with business-hours timing, strongly suggests **aide-authored amplification**, likely as part of a coordinated pre-indictment narrative-seeding campaign.

The surrounding posts on August 13 show a coherent, thematically unified pattern: multiple links attacking DeSantis (donor ties, crowd-size comparisons), one attacking DOJ, then this Obama conspiracy link. The sequenced, multi-topic output reads as a managed social media operation, not impulsive overnight posting.

---

### Psychological Context and Trigger

**Trigger type: Preemptive narcissistic injury mitigation.** The Georgia indictment was publicly anticipated; reporting on imminent grand jury action had circulated for days. This link share functions as **counter-narrative pre-positioning** — establishing a competing conspiracy frame (Obama orchestrated something nefarious on January 5) before the expected news cycle reanchors public attention on Trump's alleged conduct around January 6.

The specific mechanism is **DARVO** (Deny, Attack, Reverse Victim and Offender): by amplifying an "Obama's January 5 conspiracy" narrative, the post inverts the dominant frame. Trump is not the orchestrator of January 6; Obama was the orchestrator of January 5. The victim/offender roles are swapped before the indictment even drops.

**Lee Smith** is the author of *The Plot Against the President* (2019), focused on alleged Obama-era FBI/intelligence surveillance of Trump. His audience is already primed for deep-state narratives. Sharing his content — without comment — implicitly signals: *the real conspiracy is theirs, not mine.*

---

### Narrative Identity (McAdams Level 3)

Even in its minimal form, this post advances a consistent narrative identity:
- **Protagonist role**: Innocent target of a coordinated Obama-era deep state operation
- **Contamination sequence**: January 6 (in Trump's telling, a legitimate protest) has been weaponized; but the *real* contamination originates from Obama's alleged January 5 machinations
- **Contrasting other**: Barack Obama — the shadow figure in Trump's narrative, representing the "corrupt establishment"
- **Identity claim**: By implication — *I am the one they conspired against*

---

### Defense Mechanisms

1. **Projection (immature, Level 2)**: Attributes conspiratorial political manipulation to Obama — a charge structurally identical to what federal and state prosecutors were leveling at Trump.

2. **Distortion (pathological, Level 1)**: Reframing the January 6 investigative architecture as downstream of an Obama January 5 conspiracy requires grossly reshaping documented reality to meet inner psychological needs.

3. **Denial (pathological, Level 1)**: Implicit framing — if Obama is the conspirator, Trump's prosecution is persecution rather than legitimate accountability.

---

### Rhetorical and Propaganda Techniques

- **Firehose (volume)**: One of at least five link shares on August 13; the volume creates ambient information saturation.
- **Whataboutism**: The Obama conspiracy frame deflects from Trump's legal exposure by inserting a counter-accusation.
- **Appeal to authority (inverted)**: Lee Smith functions as a credentialed validator — his book-author status lends apparent epistemic weight.
- **Epistemic closure reinforcement**: Directing followers to a paywalled platform (Locals) that is ideologically homogeneous deepens in-group information segregation.
- **False equivalence (implied)**: "Obama had a January 5 conspiracy" implies structural symmetry with January 6 prosecution.

---

### Cognitive Status

No language production is assessable from a bare URL share. Cognitive markers cannot be scored. This is a methodological limitation of the post format, not an indicator of cognitive status in either direction.

---

### Gaslighting and Reality Distortion

The post advances **collective gaslighting** directed at Trump's audience: the investigative apparatus pursuing Trump is reframed as the product of the same conspiratorial network (Obama-era deep state) that has always been the villain. Followers are implicitly asked to adopt this interpretive frame as a group loyalty test — a hallmark of the shared-psychosis dynamic.

---

### Danger Assessment

Individually, a bare URL share rates **elevated** rather than high or critical. However, within the longitudinal context of escalating pre-indictment posting, the post contributes to a **stochastic terrorism-adjacent pattern**: identify a specific named adversary (Obama), attribute to them criminal conspiracy, repeat across a large audience. No explicit call to action appears; the accumulation across months is the operative mechanism.

---

### Summary

A bare URL share, almost certainly aide-authored, posted at 4:20 PM EDT on August 13, 2023 — approximately 18 hours before the Georgia RICO indictment. The linked content (Lee Smith on "Obama's Jan 5 conspiracy") functions as preemptive DARVO: establishing Obama as a conspiratorial actor around January 5, 2021, before the indictment reanchors public attention on Trump's conduct around January 6. Primary defenses are projection and pathological distortion. The post is embedded in a coordinated August 13 content cluster consistent with a managed communications operation rather than authentic impulsive posting. Cognitive assessment is not possible. Danger level is elevated within the longitudinal pattern of named-adversary conspiracy amplification.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Obama had a 'January 5 conspiracy' (implied by URL amplification)" | **False** | Multiple independent investigations (House Select Committee, DOJ, Senate Judiciary Committee) found no credible evidence of Obama playing any operative role around January 5–6, 2021. The framing inverts the documented record in which planning and inaction are traced to Trump's orbit. |

Overall Veracity: 0%

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 15%)

### Indicators

- Business hours posting (4:20 PM EDT at Bedminster NJ)
- Zero original text — no appended commentary, capitalization, or exclamatory markers
- Part of sequenced multi-topic link-share cluster suggesting managed social media operation
- No spelling errors or stream-of-consciousness markers possible to assess (no text present)
- Lee Smith's Locals content is a curated ideological amplification choice consistent with staff curation rather than impulsive self-posting

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Vulnerable State**

**Trigger:** Preemptive Attack — Exposure (Anticipated Georgia RICO indictment (dropped August 14, 2023))

Sentiment: -0.45

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 55%
- Antisocial: 30%
- Paranoid: 65%
- Sadism: 10%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- projection (immature)
- distortion (pathological)
- denial (pathological)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 0%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Epistemic closure reinforcement via paywalled ideological platform (Locals)
- Implicit loyalty test: accepting the Obama conspiracy frame as in-group membership signal
- Counter-narrative pre-positioning before anticipated indictment news cycle

## Danger Assessment

**ELEVATED**

### Indicators

- Named adversary (Obama) paired with criminal conspiracy framing amplified to large audience
- Part of escalating pre-indictment content cluster consistent with adversary-targeting pattern
- Contribution to cumulative stochastic terrorism dynamic through repeated named-adversary grievance amplification

### Gaslighting

- Inverts the January 6 narrative by inserting Obama as a January 5 conspirator
- Routes followers to paywalled in-group platform to reinforce alternative reality frame
- Implicit loyalty test: accepting the Obama conspiracy frame as group membership requirement

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-20._

> Obama had a 'January 5 conspiracy' (implied by URL amplification)

**FALSE**

Multiple independent investigations (House Select Committee, DOJ, Senate Judiciary Committee) found no credible evidence of Obama playing any operative role around January 5–6, 2021. The framing inverts the documented record in which planning and inaction are traced to Trump's orbit.

Sources: House Select Committee Final Report (2022); DOJ January 6 prosecutorial record

Overall Veracity: 0%

## Tags

- obama-conspiracy (90%)
- january-6-counter-narrative (85%)
- pre-indictment-darvo (90%)
- aide-authored (85%)
- deep-state-mythology (80%)
- epistemic-closure (75%)
- link-share-no-comment (100%)
- coordinated-content-cluster (80%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Eve of Indictment: Legal Siege Fractures Campaign Triumphalism as Willis Becomes Target**

Trump spent the day swinging between campaign celebration and legal dread as the Georgia RICO indictment loomed less than 24 hours away. The morning brought a burst of raw emotion — personal attacks on prosecutor Fani Willis, "Rigged Election" grievances, and apocalyptic warnings about the country dying — before the mood shifted to golf hospitality at his Bedminster club. The afternoon featured a rapid-fire dump of over a dozen defensive news links targeting prosecutors, rivals, and the media, almost certainly queued by staff. The day closed with a crowd-size boast aimed at DeSantis. Notably absent from all 28 posts: any mention of the Maui wildfires that had just killed over 100 Americans.

Full digest for 2023-08-13: https://trump.fm/date/2023-08-13/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2023, August 13). https://leesmith.locals.com/post/4394862/obama-s-j... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_110884162179001946
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "https://leesmith.locals.com/post/4394862/obama-s-jan-5-consp..." Truth Social, 13 Aug. 2023. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_110884162179001946. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "https://leesmith.locals.com/post/4394862/obama-s-jan-5-consp...," Truth Social, August 13, 2023, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_110884162179001946.

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