# Post ts_109657016707983017

- Post ID: `ts_109657016707983017`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2023-01-09T03:01:27.174Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109657016707983017
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109657016707983017/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_109657016707983017.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> Remember when the lightweight and perennially wrong Failing New York Times Columnist Paul Krugman predicted that the Stock Markets and U.S. Economy would CRASH while I was in office. Well, he was 100% wrong, again. But it did later crash, as Inflation lifted it’s ugly head, after I was out - Self inflicted wounds all! If you sold the day I left, you would have made a “fortune!” Next time, when I leave, SELL…And don’t listen to dopey Paul Krugman.

## Engagement

- Likes: 29,705
- Reposts: 6,574
- Replies: 1,167
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.424Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-20T01:24:34.738Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

# Analysis: Trump Post ts_109657016707983017 (2023-01-09)

## Authorship: Authentic Trump (High Confidence)
Posted 10:01 PM EST from Mar-a-Lago. Possessive error ("it's" for "its"), characteristic nicknames, stream-of-consciousness structure, and emotional tone all confirm authentic authorship.

## Psychological Profile
A supply-seeking post built around vindication of a years-old grievance against Paul Krugman. The narcissistic economy is grandiose: Trump positions himself as the singular variable determining market health. The closing line "Next time, when I leave, SELL" serves triple duty—humor, omnipotence display, and implicit 2024 campaign signal.

Defense mechanisms are primarily immature (devaluation of Krugman via "lightweight," "dopey"; projection of wrongness) with pathological distortion of economic causation to fit self-serving narrative.

## Rhetorical Analysis
Standard grievance-vindication template: (1) invoke critic, (2) deploy nicknames, (3) claim total vindication, (4) rewrite history, (5) position self as authority. The false causation—attributing all post-2021 market behavior to Biden while claiming all prior gains—is characteristic reality distortion.

## Reality Distortion
The central claim that selling on inauguration day 2021 would have yielded a "fortune" is factually incorrect. The S&P 500 rose substantially through 2021 before the 2022 correction, ending roughly flat by this post date. The inflation attribution ignores bipartisan pandemic stimulus and global factors.

## Longitudinal Note
Consistent with baseline pattern of revisiting old critics for vindication. Intensity and content are unremarkable relative to established norms.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Paul Krugman predicted stock markets and economy would crash during Trump's presidency" | **Mostly True** | Krugman wrote in Nov 2016 that markets would 'never' recover from Trump's election, a prediction he later acknowledged was wrong |
| "If you sold the day Trump left you would have made a fortune" | **Mostly False** | S&P500 was ~3,800 on Jan 20, 2021. It rose to ~4,800 by end of 2021 before declining in 2022. By Jan 9, 2023 it was ~3,900 - roughly even, not a 'fortune' either way. Selling on inauguration day would have missed 25%+ gains before the 2022 correction. |
| "Economy crashed after Trump left due to inflation ('self inflicted wounds')" | **Half True** | Inflation did rise significantly in 2021-2022 and markets declined in 2022. However causes include pandemic stimulus (signed by both Trump and Biden), supply chain disruptions, and Fed monetary policy. Attribution solely to Biden is misleading. |

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Authorship Analysis

**Self-Written** (score: 90%)

### Indicators

- 10pm EST posting time (late evening)
- Stream-of-consciousness with parenthetical asides
- Characteristic nicknames ('lightweight', 'dopey')
- Grammar error ('it's' for 'its')
- Emotional reactivity and personal grievance tone

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking — Criticism (Paul Krugman / media vindication seeking)

Sentiment: -0.30

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- Grandiose self-assessment as market-determining force
- Playful closing advice ('SELL') suggesting elevated mood

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 60%
- Antisocial: 20%
- Paranoid: 20%
- Sadism: 30%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- projection (immature)
- distortion (pathological)
- devaluation (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 45%

Cognitive Markers:
- perseveration

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Direct address ('Remember when')
- Investment advice framing creates intimacy
- Insider knowledge positioning

## Danger Assessment

**NONE**

### Gaslighting

- Oversimplified causation attributing all post-2021 market decline to Biden while claiming all prior gains as personal
- Implies selling on Jan 20 2021 would have been profitable - ignores that S&P500 continued rising significantly through late 2021

## Fact Checks (3)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-20._

> Paul Krugman predicted stock markets and economy would crash during Trump's presidency

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Krugman wrote in Nov 2016 that markets would 'never' recover from Trump's election, a prediction he later acknowledged was wrong

Sources: Krugman NYT column Nov 2016; Krugman subsequent corrections

> If you sold the day Trump left you would have made a fortune

**MOSTLY FALSE**

S&P500 was ~3,800 on Jan 20, 2021. It rose to ~4,800 by end of 2021 before declining in 2022. By Jan 9, 2023 it was ~3,900 - roughly even, not a 'fortune' either way. Selling on inauguration day would have missed 25%+ gains before the 2022 correction.

Sources: S&P 500 historical data

> Economy crashed after Trump left due to inflation ('self inflicted wounds')

**HALF TRUE**

Inflation did rise significantly in 2021-2022 and markets declined in 2022. However causes include pandemic stimulus (signed by both Trump and Biden), supply chain disruptions, and Fed monetary policy. Attribution solely to Biden is misleading.

Overall Veracity: 50%

## Tags

- economic_vindication (90%)
- media_attack (70%)
- campaign_signal (40%)
- reality_distortion (60%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**McCarthy Victory Lap Gives Way to Racial Attacks on McConnell's Wife and Evening Legal Anxiety**

Trump spent the day claiming credit for Kevin McCarthy's House speakership and launching racially charged attacks against Mitch McConnell and former Cabinet secretary Elaine Chao, whom he repeatedly mocked with ethnic slurs. He pushed Republicans toward aggressive debt ceiling brinkmanship, calling potential economic disruption "a beautiful and joyous thing to watch." The mood shifted in the evening toward self-defense as he recycled his "perfect phone call" script for the Georgia investigation and jumped on the newly breaking Biden classified documents story to cry foul over his own FBI raid. Overall a combative day with a notable undercurrent of racial hostility and a late pivot from offense to legal anxiety.

Full digest for 2023-01-09: https://trump.fm/date/2023-01-09/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2023, January 9). Remember when the lightweight and perennially... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_109657016707983017
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "Remember when the lightweight and perennially wrong Failing..." Truth Social, 9 Jan. 2023. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109657016707983017. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "Remember when the lightweight and perennially wrong Failing...," Truth Social, January 9, 2023, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109657016707983017.

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