# Post ts_109576218225565552

- Post ID: `ts_109576218225565552`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2022-12-25T20:33:20.178Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109576218225565552
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109576218225565552/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_109576218225565552.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> “PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS 233-22 IN THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS. HE IS ALSO LEADING, BY A LOT, ALL REPUBLICANS, AND BIDEN, IN ALMOST EVERY POLL.” This, despite the horrendous and never ending FAKE NEWS - Incredible statistics that people just don’t want to talk about!

## Engagement

- Likes: 34,353
- Reposts: 7,411
- Replies: 1,271
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.425Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-20T01:12:45.593Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Psychological Analysis: Post ts_109576218225565552

### Context
Christmas Day 2022, posted at 3:33 PM EST (Trump at Mar-a-Lago). This post quotes a third-party statement about his midterm record and poll numbers, then adds personal commentary. This comes amid the Jan 6 committee criminal referrals and imminent tax return release—significant narcissistic injuries.

### Authorship
Afternoon timing and the quoting structure suggest possible aide involvement, but the emotional editorializing ("FAKE NEWS," "Incredible statistics that people just don't want to talk about!") is characteristically Trump. The mixed format—quoted block plus personal commentary—is a common Trump pattern on Truth Social. Likely authentic or lightly assisted.

### Psychological Analysis
The post is classic supply-seeking behavior on a day when Trump faces multiple institutional threats (criminal referrals, tax exposure). Rather than addressing these directly, he retreats to favorable statistics—a grandiose self-reinforcement pattern. The "233-22" midterm record is a cherry-picked framing (counting endorsements in safe races). The claim of leading "BY A LOT" in polls serves as narcissistic maintenance.

The phrase "people just don't want to talk about" reveals persecutory ideation—the belief that favorable information is being suppressed. This is consistent with the paranoid features visible across the Christmas Day posting cluster.

### Longitudinal Note
This post fits the Christmas 2022 pattern of alternating between grievance, grandiosity, and victimhood. All five posts from this period show elevated intensity relative to the holiday context, consistent with narcissistic destabilization from the Jan 6 referrals.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Trump was 233-22 in midterm endorsements" | **Half True** | Trump endorsed candidates in many safe races, inflating his win count. His endorsees lost key competitive Senate and gubernatorial races (PA, AZ, GA, MI, WI). The 233-22 figure counts all endorsements including uncontested or heavily favored races. |
| "Leading all Republicans and Biden in almost every poll" | **Mostly True** | In late 2022, Trump generally led Republican primary polls after his November 2022 announcement. Some polls showed DeSantis competitive. Trump led Biden in some early hypothetical matchups though results were mixed. |

Overall Veracity: 65%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 70%)

### Indicators

- Afternoon posting (3:33 PM EST)
- Quote-plus-commentary format common on Truth Social
- Emotional editorializing (FAKE NEWS, exclamation points)
- ALL CAPS passages characteristic of authentic Trump

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking — Exposure (Jan 6 criminal referrals and tax return release creating narcissistic injury; seeks compensatory validation through favorable statistics)

Sentiment: +0.30

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- grandiose self-assessment
- rapid posting cadence on Christmas Day

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 80%
- Antisocial: 20%
- Paranoid: 50%
- Sadism: 10%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- rationalization (neurotic)
- denial (pathological)
- projection (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 35%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- sharing flattering statistics as proof of mandate
- positioning self as underdog against media conspiracy

## Danger Assessment

**NONE**

### Gaslighting

- Framing midterms as overwhelming personal success despite significant losses in competitive races
- Implying media conspiracy to suppress favorable information

## Fact Checks (2)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-20._

> Trump was 233-22 in midterm endorsements

**HALF TRUE**

Trump endorsed candidates in many safe races, inflating his win count. His endorsees lost key competitive Senate and gubernatorial races (PA, AZ, GA, MI, WI). The 233-22 figure counts all endorsements including uncontested or heavily favored races.

Sources: Ballotpedia Trump endorsement tracking; FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterm analysis

> Leading all Republicans and Biden in almost every poll

**MOSTLY TRUE**

In late 2022, Trump generally led Republican primary polls after his November 2022 announcement. Some polls showed DeSantis competitive. Trump led Biden in some early hypothetical matchups though results were mixed.

Sources: RealClearPolitics polling averages December 2022

Overall Veracity: 65%

## Tags

- supply-seeking (80%)
- cherry-picked-statistics (70%)
- persecution-narrative (60%)
- midterm-elections (70%)
- media-attack (50%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Christmas Day Consumed by Grievance as Criminal Referrals Loom**

Trump spent Christmas Day posting a steady stream of grievances from Mar-a-Lago, never once acknowledging the holiday in a celebratory way. The morning opened with border security attacks and a nostalgic recitation of supposed presidential achievements, then the afternoon brought an escalating burst of posts attacking Democrats, the justice system, and election integrity — all clearly driven by the Jan 6 committee's criminal referrals issued days earlier. The day's most striking moment was a two-word all-caps post — "SAVE AMERICA!" — that condensed hours of grievance into a raw emotional appeal. The inability to step away from political combat even on Christmas stood out as the defining feature of the day.

Full digest for 2022-12-25: https://trump.fm/date/2022-12-25/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2022, December 25). “PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS 233-22 IN THE MIDTERM... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_109576218225565552
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "“PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS 233-22 IN THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS. HE IS..." Truth Social, 25 Dec. 2022. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109576218225565552. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "“PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS 233-22 IN THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS. HE IS...," Truth Social, December 25, 2022, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109576218225565552.

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