# Post ts_109540309161610845

- Post ID: `ts_109540309161610845`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2022-12-19T12:21:11.342Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109540309161610845
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109540309161610845/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_109540309161610845.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> The horrendous Southern Border situation, which just two years ago was the strongest and safest, by far, in our Country’s history, will become exponentially worse than it is now with the dangerous ending of Title 42. Ten million people a year, plus. What the Democrats are doing is not even believable. Don’t end Title 42!

## Engagement

- Likes: 23,497
- Reposts: 6,422
- Replies: 851
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.425Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-20T01:12:34.156Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Psychological Analysis: Title 42 / Border Post (2022-12-19)

### Context
Posted at 12:21 UTC on Dec 19, 2022. Trump was likely at Mar-a-Lago (EST, UTC-5), making this ~7:21 AM — early morning but within normal waking hours. This falls during a period of significant threat: the Jan. 6 Committee had just voted to refer him for criminal prosecution. The border post may serve as displacement from that more threatening topic.

### Authorship
The post has a mixed quality — relatively coherent structure suggesting possible aide involvement, but contains Trumpian markers: hyperbole ("ten million people a year, plus"), superlatives ("strongest and safest, by far"), emotional escalation, and the imperative closing ("Don't end Title 42!"). The "by far" parenthetical and stream-of-consciousness quality lean authentic.

### Psychological Dynamics
This post arrives amid the Jan. 6 criminal referral — the most legally threatening event of the period. Rather than addressing it directly, Trump pivots to immigration, a reliable supply-generating topic. This represents **displacement** — redirecting anxiety about legal exposure onto a safer, crowd-pleasing grievance.

The nostalgic self-comparison ("just two years ago was the strongest and safest") is classic narcissistic supply-seeking: reminding followers of his greatness. The catastrophizing ("exponentially worse") and the vague "ten million people a year, plus" reflect characteristic distortion and hyperbole.

### Rhetorical Analysis
- Appeal to fear and catastrophizing ("exponentially worse")
- Nostalgic contrast (golden past under Trump vs. dangerous present)
- False precision masking vagueness ("ten million people a year, plus")
- Direct imperative call to action
- In-group/out-group framing ("what the Democrats are doing")

### Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Ten million people a year crossing the border" | **False** | CBP recorded ~2.4 million encounters in FY2022. Even including gotaways, estimates don't approach 10 million. |
| "Border was 'strongest and safest, by far, in our Country's history' two years ago" | **Mostly False** | Border crossings were lower in 2020-2021 primarily due to Title 42 pandemic restrictions and reduced migration during COVID, not unprecedented structural security improvements. |

Overall Veracity: 10%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 70%)

### Indicators

- Hyperbolic language ('by far', 'exponentially worse')
- Parenthetical asides characteristic of Trump's style
- Imperative closing ('Don't end Title 42!')
- Relatively coherent paragraph structure suggesting possible editing
- Early morning timing (7:21 AM EST)

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Narcissistic Injury — Exposure (Jan. 6 Committee criminal referral (indirect); Democratic border policy (direct))

Sentiment: -0.60

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 60%
- Antisocial: 30%
- Paranoid: 20%
- Sadism: 10%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- displacement (neurotic)
- idealization (immature)
- distortion (pathological)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 40%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- Nostalgic appeal to shared golden age
- Direct imperative creating sense of shared mission

## Danger Assessment

**NONE**

### Gaslighting

- Grossly inflated border crossing figures presented as fact
- Rewriting pandemic-era low crossings as personal achievement

## Fact Checks (2)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-20._

> Ten million people a year crossing the border

**FALSE**

CBP recorded ~2.4 million encounters in FY2022. Even including gotaways, estimates don't approach 10 million.

Sources: CBP enforcement statistics FY2022

> Border was 'strongest and safest, by far, in our Country's history' two years ago

**MOSTLY FALSE**

Border crossings were lower in 2020-2021 primarily due to Title 42 pandemic restrictions and reduced migration during COVID, not unprecedented structural security improvements.

Sources: CBP historical data

Overall Veracity: 10%

## Tags

- immigration (100%)
- title-42 (90%)
- displacement (70%)
- self-aggrandizement (60%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Historic Criminal Referral Triggers Sustained Multi-Front Defensive Campaign**

Trump spent the day responding to the Jan. 6 Committee's unprecedented vote to criminally refer him to the Justice Department on four charges. The evening before and the evening of saw the most intense posting clusters, with sharp attacks on the committee, the FBI, and individual members like Adam Schiff and Liz Cheney. He also mounted a preemptive defense of his tax returns ahead of their expected release by Congress. Late-night posts after 2 AM suggest disrupted sleep, and the day ended with a rapid-fire burst of six posts in just over an hour that grew increasingly agitated.

Full digest for 2022-12-19: https://trump.fm/date/2022-12-19/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2022, December 19). The horrendous Southern Border situation, which... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_109540309161610845
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "The horrendous Southern Border situation, which just two..." Truth Social, 19 Dec. 2022. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109540309161610845. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "The horrendous Southern Border situation, which just two...," Truth Social, December 19, 2022, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109540309161610845.

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