# Post ts_109338692565945822

- Post ID: `ts_109338692565945822`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2022-11-13T21:47:26.232Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109338692565945822
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109338692565945822/analysis

## Post text

> https://bigleaguepolitics.com/new-poll-shows-trump-crushing-desantis-with-50-point-lead-in-national-republican-primary-poll/

## Engagement

- Likes: 25,999
- Reposts: 6,378
- Replies: 2,747
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.429Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-20T00:16:55.295Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Link-Only Post Sharing Poll Showing Trump Leading DeSantis by 50 Points

### Context
This post shares a Big League Politics article about a poll showing Trump with a massive lead over DeSantis in a hypothetical 2024 Republican primary. This is posted just one day after DeSantis's landslide Florida gubernatorial victory (19-point margin), which generated widespread media framing of DeSantis as a viable Trump rival. Trump is days away from his November 15 presidential announcement.

### Authorship
Posted at 4:47 PM ET (Trump at Mar-a-Lago for Tiffany's wedding weekend). Business hours, link-only format with no personal commentary — consistent with aide posting, though Trump himself could have directed it. The choice of a favorable-but-fringe outlet (Big League Politics rather than a mainstream poll) suggests Trump's editorial direction even if an aide posted it.

### Psychological Significance
The timing is key: DeSantis's massive victory threatened Trump's dominance narrative. This post is a counter-move — reasserting dominance via polling data. The 50-point lead claim serves as narcissistic supply and a preemptive strike against DeSantis-as-rival framing. It's a relatively restrained expression of what the McConnell posts reveal more explicitly: anxiety about losing control of the party narrative post-midterms.

### Rhetorical Note
Sharing a poll from a sympathetic outlet rather than attacking DeSantis directly represents an indirect dominance assertion — letting the numbers "speak for themselves" while selectively curating favorable data.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Trump leads DeSantis by 50 points in national Republican primary poll" | **Mostly False** | While some polls showed Trump leading DeSantis, a 50-point lead was far outside mainstream polling averages at this time. Most credible polls in November 2022 showed Trump leading DeSantis by 15-30 points, not 50. Big League Politics is a fringe outlet that may have cherry-picked or misrepresented polling data. |

Overall Veracity: 20%

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 30%)

### Indicators

- Business hours posting (4:47 PM ET)
- Link-only format with no commentary
- Clean URL share, no typos or emotional language
- But editorial selection of pro-Trump fringe outlet suggests Trump direction

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Preemptive Attack — Comparison (DeSantis rising as 2024 rival after midterm landslide)

Sentiment: +0.50

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 60%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 20%
- Sadism: 10%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- denial (pathological)
- idealization (immature)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 10%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- selective data sharing
- implicit authority claim

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-20._

> Trump leads DeSantis by 50 points in national Republican primary poll

**MOSTLY FALSE**

While some polls showed Trump leading DeSantis, a 50-point lead was far outside mainstream polling averages at this time. Most credible polls in November 2022 showed Trump leading DeSantis by 15-30 points, not 50. Big League Politics is a fringe outlet that may have cherry-picked or misrepresented polling data.

Sources: General knowledge of 2022-2023 GOP primary polling

Overall Veracity: 20%

## Tags

- DeSantis rivalry (80%)
- supply-seeking (70%)
- selective evidence (60%)
- 2024 campaign (50%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Mar-a-Lago Wedding Day Fails to Suppress McConnell Blame Campaign**

A relatively quiet day by Trump's standards, with only six posts from mid-morning through early evening. The dominant mood was blame -- two heated posts attacked Mitch McConnell for Republican midterm losses, including a racial slur directed at McConnell's wife Elaine Chao. Between the grievances, Trump shared feel-good links about his daughter Tiffany's wedding rehearsal, a favorable poll against DeSantis, and a Jon Voight endorsement. The anger cooled noticeably as the day went on, suggesting the morning venting served its purpose.

Full digest for 2022-11-13: https://trump.fm/date/2022-11-13/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2022, November 13). https://bigleaguepolitics.com/new-poll-shows-trump... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_109338692565945822
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "https://bigleaguepolitics.com/new-poll-shows-trump-crushing-..." Truth Social, 13 Nov. 2022. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109338692565945822. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "https://bigleaguepolitics.com/new-poll-shows-trump-crushing-...," Truth Social, November 13, 2022, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109338692565945822.

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