# Post ts_109215230518715343

- Post ID: `ts_109215230518715343`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2022-10-23T02:29:24.902Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109215230518715343
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109215230518715343/analysis
- Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_109215230518715343.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

## Post text

> “TRUMP PREDICTS ‘TEXAS-SIZED LANDSLIDE’ ON ELECTION DAY” https://www.rsbnetwork.com/news/trump-predicts-texas-sized-landslide-on-election-day/

## Engagement

- Likes: 15,995
- Reposts: 3,299
- Replies: 229
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.431Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-19T23:53:45.553Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: "TRUMP PREDICTS 'TEXAS-SIZED LANDSLIDE' ON ELECTION DAY"

This post shares a Right Side Broadcasting Network article amplifying Trump's own prediction of a massive Republican victory in the 2022 midterms, made during or shortly after his Robstown, Texas rally on October 22.

### Timing & Authorship
Post at 2:29 AM UTC = 10:29 PM EDT. Trump was in or returning from Robstown, Texas (CDT = 9:29 PM local). Given the rally context and late evening timing, this is plausibly authentic or posted by a traveling aide (Scavino) immediately post-rally. The format—headline in quotes plus link—is a common Scavino pattern, but the late timing and rally-adjacent content make it ambiguous.

### Psychological Analysis
This is a straightforward supply-seeking/maintenance post. Sharing a headline that quotes himself is a narcissistic feedback loop: generating news by making a prediction, then amplifying the news coverage of that prediction. The "TEXAS-SIZED LANDSLIDE" framing is classic grandiose hyperbole.

### Rhetorical Techniques
- Self-quotation as news (creating and then amplifying one's own narrative)
- Hyperbole ("Texas-sized landslide")
- Bandwagon effect (implying inevitable victory to energize supporters)

### Context
This follows the J6 committee subpoena and Bannon sentencing—notable that Trump is focused on projecting strength and electoral dominance rather than addressing legal pressures, consistent with denial/avoidance of threatening material.

## Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "A 'Texas-sized landslide' will occur on Election Day 2022" | **Mostly False** | The 2022 midterms resulted in a narrow Republican House majority and Democratic Senate gains—far from a landslide by any measure |

Overall Veracity: 20%

## Authorship Analysis

**Uncertain** (score: 40%)

### Indicators

- Late evening local time (9:29 PM CDT) - ambiguous zone
- Headline-plus-link format typical of aide posts
- But rally-adjacent timing suggests possible authentic posting
- RSB Network is a preferred Trump media outlet

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Post-rally high, amplifying own media coverage)

Sentiment: +0.60

**Mildly Hypomanic**
- Post-rally grandiose prediction sharing

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 60%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- denial (pathological)
- distortion (pathological)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 10%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- bandwagon effect
- inevitability framing

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-19._

> A 'Texas-sized landslide' will occur on Election Day 2022

**MOSTLY FALSE**

The 2022 midterms resulted in a narrow Republican House majority and Democratic Senate gains—far from a landslide by any measure

Sources: 2022 midterm election results

Overall Veracity: 20%

## Tags

- self-promotion (80%)
- grandiosity (60%)
- midterm-campaigning (70%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Post-Rally Grandiosity Gives Way to J6 Subpoena Anxiety as Day Ends in Defensive Victimhood**

Trump spent most of the day basking in the glow of his Texas rally the night before, sharing favorable coverage and polling numbers for midterm candidates. The mood was celebratory and self-congratulatory through the afternoon, with a burst of link-sharing touting Republican momentum ahead of the midterms. By evening, however, the looming January 6 Committee subpoena broke through, producing the day's most intense posts -- one warning that anyone who crosses him enters "Trump Quicksand," and a closing post reframing January 6 as a "tremendous protest" while deflecting blame onto Pelosi and alleging voter fraud.

Full digest for 2022-10-23: https://trump.fm/date/2022-10-23/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2022, October 23). “TRUMP PREDICTS ‘TEXAS-SIZED LANDSLIDE’ ON... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_109215230518715343
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "“TRUMP PREDICTS ‘TEXAS-SIZED LANDSLIDE’ ON ELECTION DAY”..." Truth Social, 23 Oct. 2022. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109215230518715343. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "“TRUMP PREDICTS ‘TEXAS-SIZED LANDSLIDE’ ON ELECTION DAY”...," Truth Social, October 23, 2022, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109215230518715343.

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