# Post ts_109060603220768212

- Post ID: `ts_109060603220768212`
- Platform: Truth Social
- Posted: 2022-09-25T19:05:39.574Z (UTC)
- Deleted: no
- Repost: no
- Canonical URL: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109060603220768212
- Analysis page: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109060603220768212/analysis

## Post text

> https://www.dailywire.com/news/if-hes-elected-the-stock-market-will-crash-trumps-2020-warning-about-biden-comes-true

## Engagement

- Likes: 24,777
- Reposts: 6,878
- Replies: 1,286
- Views: unknown
- Metrics collected: 2026-02-01T01:19:51.434Z (UTC)

# Analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-03-19T23:12:18.196Z (UTC): a model's reading of this post, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

## Analysis: Link-Only Post — "I Told You So" on Stock Market

This post is a bare URL share of a Daily Wire article validating Trump's 2020 campaign prediction that the stock market would crash under Biden. No original commentary is added. The headline itself serves as the message: vindication of a prior claim.

### Context
By late September 2022, markets had declined significantly (S&P 500 down ~24% YTD, entering bear market territory). Trump faces simultaneous legal pressures — the NY AG fraud lawsuit and 11th Circuit ruling on classified documents. This post is part of a rapid-fire series on September 25, all sharing favorable media links.

### Authorship
Sunday afternoon, ~3:05 PM ET. The post is a bare URL with no commentary — consistent with either Trump or an aide. The lack of editorializing ("I told you so!" or "I SAID THIS WOULD HAPPEN!") slightly favors aide curation, though Trump does share bare links. The volume of posts this day (6+ link shares) suggests a coordinated content push.

### Psychological Function
This post functions as **narcissistic supply maintenance** — curating evidence of prophetic accuracy. Amid significant legal threats, the pivot to "I was right about the economy" serves as a **displacement** defense, redirecting attention from legal vulnerability to a domain of perceived strength.

### Fact Verification

| Claim | Verdict | Evidence |
|-------|---------|----------|
| "Trump warned in 2020 that the stock market would crash under Biden" | **Mostly True** | Trump made repeated claims during 2020 campaign that markets would crash if Biden won. By September 2022, markets were in bear territory (S&P down ~24% YTD). However, attributing market performance to a single president oversimplifies; factors include Fed rate hikes, inflation, post-COVID normalization, and Russia-Ukraine war. |

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Authorship Analysis

**Aide-Written** (score: 30%)

### Indicators

- Bare URL with no commentary
- Sunday afternoon posting (~3 PM ET)
- Part of rapid-fire link-sharing series
- No typos, caps, or emotional editorializing to assess

## Psychological Profile

### State

**Grandiose State**

**Trigger:** Supply Seeking (Market decline validating prior prediction)

Sentiment: +0.40

### Clinical

**Malignant Narcissism:**
- Narcissistic: 50%
- Antisocial: 10%
- Paranoid: 10%
- Sadism: 0%

**Defense Mechanisms:**
- displacement (neurotic)
- rationalization (neurotic)

**Cognitive Complexity:**
- Complexity: 10%

**Parasocial Techniques:**
- prophetic authority
- vindication narrative

## Fact Checks (1)

_The model's verdicts from 2026-03-19._

> Trump warned in 2020 that the stock market would crash under Biden

**MOSTLY TRUE**

Trump made repeated claims during 2020 campaign that markets would crash if Biden won. By September 2022, markets were in bear territory (S&P down ~24% YTD). However, attributing market performance to a single president oversimplifies; factors include Fed rate hikes, inflation, post-COVID normalization, and Russia-Ukraine war.

Sources: 2020 campaign speeches; S&P 500 2022 performance data

Overall Veracity: 80%

## Tags

- vindication (80%)
- economy (70%)
- link-share (90%)
- supply-seeking (60%)

## That day

_From trump.fm's machine-generated digest of the day, not his words._

**Morning Grievance Gives Way to Afternoon Validation Blitz as Legal Walls Close In**

Trump started the day with a bitter repost about the "Greatest Witch Hunt," framing his mounting legal troubles as a coordinated conspiracy. After a five-hour silence, he fired off seven posts in three minutes — mostly links to articles validating his worldview, from FBI whistleblowers to Zuckerberg's falling net worth to his own stock market predictions. The overall mood was self-reinforcing: gathering allies, claiming vindication, and ignoring the world beyond his legal battles. Notably absent was any mention of major global events like Russia's sham referendums in Ukraine or the Iran protests.

Full digest for 2022-09-25: https://trump.fm/date/2022-09-25/analysis

## Citation

- APA: Trump, D. J. (2022, September 25). https://www.dailywire.com/news/if-hes-elected-the-... [Social media post]. Truth Social. trump.fm. https://trump.fm/post/ts_109060603220768212
- MLA: Trump, Donald J. "https://www.dailywire.com/news/if-hes-elected-the-stock-mark..." Truth Social, 25 Sep. 2022. trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109060603220768212. Accessed 9 Oct. 2026.
- Chicago: Donald J. Trump, "https://www.dailywire.com/news/if-hes-elected-the-stock-mark...," Truth Social, September 25, 2022, archived at trump.fm, https://trump.fm/post/ts_109060603220768212.

## For agents

- Site overview: https://trump.fm/llms.txt
- API specification: https://trump.fm/openapi.json
- MCP server: https://trump.fm/mcp (search and fetch tools, no auth)
- This post as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/posts/ts_109060603220768212
- Analysis as JSON: https://trump.fm/api/analysis/ts_109060603220768212
- All citation formats: https://trump.fm/api/cite/ts_109060603220768212
- Same day: https://trump.fm/date/2022-09-25
- The record alone, without the analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_109060603220768212.md?analysis=false

_Markdown view of a trump.fm page. Post, analysis, date, feed, contradictions, search and about pages answer in markdown at their URL with `.md` appended (`/index.md` for the home page), or when sent `Accept: text/markdown`._