# Posts from Friday, December 15, 2023

19 posts on 2023-12-15.

## Day analysis

Day analysis page: https://trump.fm/date/2023-12-15/analysis

_Machine-generated by trump.fm on 2026-04-12T09:21:55.156Z (UTC): a model's reading of the day's posts, not his words. Its psychological terms describe the language, not a clinical assessment of him._

**Legal Siege Meets Supply Machine: A Day of Systematic Threat Conversion**

Trump's day was dominated by a familiar pattern: brief morning anger about the Jack Smith prosecution and a personal attack on Chris Christie, followed by hours of staff-curated links showcasing favorable polls, endorsements, and legal allies fighting on his behalf. The afternoon featured a rapid-fire dump of over a dozen articles reinforcing his narrative, capped by the launch of a "Mugshot Edition" digital trading card series -- turning his criminal arraignment photo into a product. The overall mood was confident and promotional, with legal anxiety visible only in flashes before being buried under a wall of positive coverage.

- Posts analyzed: 17
- Dominant state: grandiose
- Narrative arc: mixed
- Aggregate rage level: 0.14
- Max danger level: elevated
- Claims: 28 (7 false)
- Era: Indictments Period

# Daily Digest: December 15, 2023

## Location & Timezone Context

Trump was likely at Mar-a-Lago on this date, having appeared at an Iowa rally the previous day (referenced in the AP article shared at 01:11 UTC / 8:11 PM ET Dec 14). All local time references below use Eastern Time (ET). The day's posting activity in local time spans from approximately 8:11 PM ET on December 14 through 3:38 PM ET on December 15, with a clean overnight gap consistent with normal sleep.

## Posting Cadence & Structure

The 17 posts organize into three distinct clusters:

**Cluster 1 — Evening Link Shares (8:11–8:13 PM ET, Dec 14):** Three rapid-fire article shares (ts_111581771525077922, ts_111581774012057950, ts_111581778411083891) within two minutes. All favorable coverage: AP rally recap, Breitbart poll showing trust advantage over Biden, Breitbart piece on 10-point lead. Low intensity (0.12–0.15), low authorship probability (0.15–0.42). Classic aide-managed evening media round-up.

**Cluster 2 — Morning Activation (7:27–8:08 AM ET, Dec 15):** Three posts across 41 minutes. This is where authentic Trump voice emerges. The Jack Smith post (ts_111584427027463031, authorship 0.90) at 7:27 AM shows genuine emotional activation — early morning, characteristic verbal patterns, escalating caps. The Christie attack (ts_111584505148063019, authorship 0.92) at 7:47 AM maintains elevated arousal but channels it into competitive dominance display. The LIV Golf announcement (ts_111584588355405636) at 8:08 AM serves as a psychological off-ramp, transitioning from threat-processing to business grandiosity.

**Cluster 3 — Afternoon Media Dump (2:58–3:38 PM ET, Dec 15):** Eleven posts in 40 minutes, overwhelmingly aide-curated URL shares (authorship 0.10–0.25 for most). This compressed burst represents the communications team's afternoon content queue. The trading card promotion (ts_111586358217413542) at 3:38 PM closes the day with a hybrid-authored commercial post.

## Psychological State Analysis

### Dominant State: Grandiose
Fourteen of seventeen posts register as grandiose, one as vulnerable, one as mixed, and one (Christie) as grandiose-with-rage. The grandiose state is not merely frequent but structurally dominant — it bookends the day and constitutes the default operating mode.

### State Transition: Grandiose → Vulnerable → Grandiose
The sole vulnerable-state post (ts_111584427027463031) arrives at 7:27 AM ET and represents the day's psychological nadir. The trigger is Jack Smith's December 11 petition for expedited Supreme Court review of Trump's presidential immunity claim — a direct threat to the legal delay strategy that is arguably the most consequential tactical variable in Trump's 2024 calculus.

The DARVO mechanism in this post is structurally complete: the prosecution is recast as the crime ("ELECTION INTERFERENCE"), temporal framing is deployed to suggest malicious timing ("3 years ago" — factually incoherent since the alleged crimes hadn't occurred), and Trump positions himself as victim rather than defendant. The "Deranged Jack Smith" pejorative and ALL CAPS escalation reflect genuine affective discharge rather than strategic messaging.

Recovery is rapid. Within 20 minutes, the Christie post (ts_111584505148063019) channels residual activation into dominance-hierarchy enforcement. By 8:08 AM, the LIV Golf post completes the return to baseline grandiosity.

### Transition Trigger Analysis
The morning vulnerability is overdetermined by converging legal stressors:
- Jack Smith's expedited SCOTUS petition (Dec 11)
- Ongoing NY civil fraud trial
- Giuliani's $48M defamation judgment (active event, Dec 15)
- The accumulated weight of the immunity question's existential stakes

The commentary on ts_111584427027463031 correctly identifies this as part of a "multi-day activation cluster" — the legal threats are not isolated incidents but a sustained siege.

## Escalation Assessment

**No sustained escalation detected.** The morning activation (rage 0.60 → 0.55 → 0.00 across three posts over 41 minutes) represents a brief spike followed by rapid de-escalation, not a rage spiral. The afternoon posts maintain uniformly low intensity (0.04–0.28), confirming the spike was contained.

The rage in the morning posts, while notable (0.60 on the Jack Smith post is the day's peak), is proportionate to the objective severity of the trigger — an expedited Supreme Court review that could eliminate Trump's primary legal defense. This is activated processing of a genuine existential threat, not disproportionate reaction.

## Theme Analysis

### Dominant Themes (by frequency):

1. **Narcissistic Supply Amplification** (8 posts): Favorable polls, endorsements, "only Trump can save the West," John Daly's "Daddy Trump" endorsement. This is the day's predominant activity by volume and represents systematic self-schema reinforcement.

2. **Legal Persecution / Election Interference Narrative** (3–4 posts): Jack Smith post, Stefanik judicial complaint, FBI agent sentencing, AZ ballot irregularities. These posts construct a coherent counter-narrative: the justice system is corrupt, Trump is its target, and the real election interference comes from prosecutors and judges.

3. **Brand/Business Promotion** (2 posts): LIV Golf championship announcement, Mugshot Edition trading cards. Both serve dual functions — commercial activity and identity reinforcement.

4. **Political Rival Devaluation** (1 post): Christie attack. Classic dominance-hierarchy maintenance.

5. **Election Integrity / Voter Roll Concerns** (2 posts): AZ ballot story, voter roll data story. These maintain the 2020 stolen-election narrative infrastructure.

### Theme Evolution
The day's thematic arc is notable for its deliberate construction. Morning posts process genuine threats (legal, political rivals). Afternoon posts systematically counterbalance with supply material. The doubling of the John Daly story (ts_111586208347756722, ts_111586208943521719 — same story via two outlets) is flagged in commentary as "heightened editorial demand for positive content on a day saturated with legal threat." This doubling is a behavioral signature of narcissistic supply amplification under stress.

### Obsession Assessment
No single-topic obsession detected. Themes are varied and strategically distributed, suggesting editorial management rather than compulsive fixation.

## Contradiction Analysis

No direct factual contradictions between posts were identified. However, two structural tensions merit noting:

1. **Temporal incoherence in the Jack Smith post:** The claim that prosecutors should have filed "3 years ago" is factually impossible — the January 6 events occurred less than three years prior, and the alleged crimes hadn't yet occurred at the implied filing date. This is not a contradiction between posts but an internal logical failure within ts_111584427027463031, likely driven by rhetorical momentum rather than cognitive deficit.

2. **Systemic trust paradox:** Trump simultaneously amplifies favorable polls from mainstream outlets (AP, NBC, WSJ-derived data) while sharing content that delegitimizes the same institutional ecosystem (judicial misconduct complaints, election fraud allegations, FBI corruption). The implicit message — trust polls that favor me, distrust institutions that threaten me — is not a logical contradiction Trump would recognize, as it operates through motivated reasoning rather than principled epistemology.

## Hypomanic Indicators

- **Post count:** 17 (moderate; not suggestive of hypomanic episode)
- **Time span (local):** 8:11 PM ET (Dec 14) to 3:38 PM ET (Dec 15)
- **Active posting hours:** 8:11–8:13 PM, then 7:27–8:08 AM, then 2:58–3:38 PM
- **Overnight gap:** ~11 hours (8:13 PM to 7:27 AM) — consistent with normal sleep
- **Earliest post (Dec 15):** 7:27 AM ET — unremarkable
- **Latest post:** 3:38 PM ET — well within normal hours
- **Post clustering:** The 11-post afternoon dump in 40 minutes is notable but consistent with aide-managed content queuing rather than personal hypomanic output (authorship scores 0.10–0.25 for most)

**Assessment: No evidence of sleep deprivation or hypomanic episode.** The posting pattern is consistent with a managed communications operation with brief windows of authentic personal engagement.

## Narrative Arc: Mixed

The day does not follow a clean redemption or contamination arc. Instead, it presents a **managed siege narrative** — legal threats are acknowledged (morning), contextualized within a persecution framework (afternoon legal content), and counterbalanced by supply material (polls, endorsements, business wins). The trading card launch provides the day's narrative capstone: the mugshot, ultimate symbol of legal jeopardy, is literally converted into a commercial product.

This persecution-to-profit conversion is the day's most psychologically significant narrative move. It is not spontaneous but represents a consolidated adaptive strategy — the second trading card series, confirming pattern rather than novelty. The mugshot that should signify shame is metabolized into revenue, identity marker, and psychological insulation.

## Event Correlation

| Event | Response Posts | Reaction Type |
|-------|---------------|---------------|
| Jack Smith SCOTUS petition (Dec 11) | ts_111584427027463031 | Defensive (DARVO, victim framing) |
| Christie NH campaign | ts_111584505148063019 | Offensive (dominance hierarchy enforcement) |
| Giuliani $48M judgment | ts_111586202686159083 (indirect — Stefanik complaint) | Defensive (proxy aggression via allied institutional action) |
| Favorable swing state polls | ts_111581774012057950, ts_111581778411083891, ts_111586201120221064 | Amplifying |
| Ukraine aid stall in Congress | No direct response | — |
| Gaza humanitarian crisis | No direct response | — |

The absence of any response to the Ukraine aid stall or Gaza crisis is itself noteworthy — both are major geopolitical events with domestic political implications, but neither serves the day's psychological agenda of legal-threat processing and supply amplification.

## Danger Assessment

### Maximum Danger Level: Elevated
Three posts reach elevated danger: ts_111584427027463031 (Jack Smith), ts_111584505148063019 (Christie), and ts_111586202686159083 (Stefanik/Judge Howell).

### Stochastic Terrorism Pattern: Not Present as Pattern
The Stefanik/Judge Howell post (ts_111586202686159083) meets partial stochastic terrorism criteria — named judicial target, articulated grievance framework, amplification to millions — but lacks an explicit call to action and functions through institutional proxy (congressional ethics complaint) rather than crowd mobilization. The Christie "Sloppy RINO Dog" dehumanization is tracked as mild but does not reach eliminationist rhetoric.

No post crosses into high or critical danger territory. The day's danger profile reflects systematic institutional delegitimization rather than acute incitement — a chronic rather than acute risk pattern.

## Cognitive Assessment

### Observable Markers
- **Jack Smith post (ts_111584427027463031):** The temporal claim ("3 years ago") is factually incoherent but rhetorically functional. Commentary attributes this to motivated reasoning rather than cognitive deficit, a distinction supported by the rest of the post's structural coherence.
- **Christie post (ts_111584505148063019):** Parenthetical parallel structure ("Christie abandoned NJ / like DeSantis abandoned FL") reflects intact working memory. Multi-sentence narrative with chronological sequencing is fluent and organized.
- **Trading card post (ts_111586358217413542):** Coherent promotional language with appropriate punctuation and structure.

### Complexity Trend: Stable
No markers of cognitive decline relative to established baseline. The morning posts demonstrate intact executive function (complex argumentation, historical recall, parallel construction). The afternoon posts are largely aide-authored and thus not assessable for personal cognitive status.

### Cognitive Concerns
Minimal. The "3 years ago" temporal distortion is the only notable marker, and it is more consistent with motivated reasoning under emotional activation than with organic cognitive issues.

## Supply Regulation Pattern

The day's most clinically interesting feature is the visible architecture of narcissistic supply management. The posting pattern reveals a deliberate (likely aide-managed) system:

1. **Morning threat processing** — authentic emotional engagement with legal stressors (7:27–7:47 AM)
2. **Transitional business grandiosity** — LIV Golf as psychological off-ramp (8:08 AM)
3. **Afternoon supply infusion** — compressed dump of 11 articles across polls, endorsements, allied institutional action, geopolitical savior framing, celebrity validation, and election integrity narratives (2:58–3:12 PM)
4. **Commercial conversion** — mugshot trading cards transform legal threat energy into brand energy (3:38 PM)

The doubling of the John Daly "Daddy Trump" story through two outlets within the same posting session is a particularly clear behavioral signal of heightened supply demand on a day of legal pressure. The commentary's identification of "systematic supply cycling as a psychological management tool" is well-supported by the data.

## Authorship Distribution

Authentic Trump voice (authorship ≥ 0.80): 2 posts (Jack Smith, Christie) — both the day's most psychologically revealing content
Hybrid authorship (0.30–0.50): 2 posts (Breitbart economy poll, trading cards)
Aide-authored (authorship ≤ 0.25): 13 posts — the bulk of the day's volume

This distribution confirms that Trump's personal psychological engagement was concentrated in the morning threat-processing window, while the afternoon's supply architecture was managed by communications staff operating within established content strategies.

### Narrative

The day follows a managed siege pattern: morning vulnerability around legal threats is rapidly converted to grandiose supply-seeking by afternoon, culminating in the commercial conversion of the mugshot into a branded product. Legal anxiety is visible only in flashes before being systematically buried under favorable coverage and business promotion.

### Dominant themes

- Narcissistic supply amplification (favorable polls, endorsements, celebrity validation) (1 post)
- Legal persecution / election interference narrative (1 post)
- Brand and business promotion (LIV Golf, trading cards) (1 post)
- Election integrity / voter roll concerns (1 post)
- Political rival devaluation (1 post)

### Cognitive concerns

- Temporal distortion in Jack Smith post ('3 years ago' claim is factually incoherent — alleged crimes had not yet occurred), though more consistent with motivated reasoning under emotional activation than organic cognitive deficit
- Mild dehumanizing language toward Christie ('Sloppy RINO Dog') reflects affective discharge but is within established rhetorical baseline

## Posts

### [ts_111586358217413542](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586358217413542)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T20:38:22.289Z (UTC) · 1 media attachment

> Due to the great Excitement and Success of my previous TRUMP DIGITAL TRADING CARDS, we’re doing it again - The MugShot Edition, available RIGHT NOW!Get yours today, and go to: https://collecttrumpcards.com/

**Video transcript** (2:22), transcribed automatically, so names and numbers may be wrong. Speakers aren't identified, so a voice in it may not be his:

> Hi everyone, this is your favorite president, Donald J. Trump, with some very exciting news. My last two Trump digital trading card collections sold out in just hours. And now I'm back with my latest series called the Mug Shot Edition. I wonder where that came from, the Mug Shot Edition. 47 all-new stunning cards, and here is the best part. I'm doing two important things for my Trump collectors. For the first time, we're creating a real physical Trump card, purchase 47 digital cards, and we'll mail you a beautiful trading card. It is an authentic piece of the suit I wore when I took that now-famous Mug Shot. And it was a great suit, believe me, a really good suit. It's all cut up, and you're gonna get a piece of it. I'll be autographing some of them, a true collector's item. This is something to give to your family, to your kids and grandchildren. The purchase of 47 of the Trump digital trading cards. You will also be invited to join me for a gala dinner at my beautiful Mar-a-Lago. My home in Florida, you've perhaps heard of it, it's become a pretty famous place. We just had our first dinner for my collectors, and we had a lot of fun together. That was a great evening. That was a f… (full transcript: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586358217413542)

12,328 likes · 3,121 reposts · 1,665 replies · unknown views

Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_111586358217413542.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586358217413542/analysis

---

### [ts_111586257721013389](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586257721013389)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T20:12:48.834Z (UTC) · 1 media attachment

9,519 likes · 2,238 reposts · 683 replies · unknown views

---

### [ts_111586256614688633](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586256614688633)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T20:12:31.958Z (UTC)

> https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/voter-rolls-group-personal-data-politically-driven-organizations

7,498 likes · 2,381 reposts · 265 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586256614688633/analysis

---

### [ts_111586208943521719](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586208943521719)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T20:00:24.557Z (UTC)

> https://www.mediaite.com/sports/we-all-want-daddy-trump-back-golf-great-john-daly-tells-tucker-carlson-that-his-fellow-golfers-are-clamoring-for-a-second-term/

9,825 likes · 2,364 reposts · 299 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586208943521719/analysis

---

### [ts_111586208347756722](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586208347756722)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T20:00:15.460Z (UTC)

> https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/12/golf-legend-john-daly-says-us-tours-want/

8,948 likes · 1,965 reposts · 164 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586208347756722/analysis

---

### [ts_111586206610106134](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586206610106134)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T19:59:48.945Z (UTC)

> https://thenationalpulse.com/2023/12/14/top-natsec-reporter-admits-only-trump-can-save-the-west-now/

8,765 likes · 2,306 reposts · 201 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586206610106134/analysis

---

### [ts_111586204682581038](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586204682581038)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T19:59:19.531Z (UTC)

> https://humanevents.com/2023/12/13/kenny-cody-trumps-southern-path-to-victory-arizona-unlocks-the-electoral-map

8,534 likes · 2,061 reposts · 180 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586204682581038/analysis

---

### [ts_111586203810331985](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586203810331985)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T19:59:06.224Z (UTC)

> https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/least-5600-federal-only-ballots-cast-az-2020-general-election-without-us

7,655 likes · 2,688 reposts · 232 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586203810331985/analysis

---

### [ts_111586203231807603](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586203231807603)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T19:58:57.396Z (UTC)

> https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/4361053-former-top-fbi-agent-sentenced-aiding-russian-oligarch/

9,126 likes · 2,800 reposts · 397 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586203231807603/analysis

---

### [ts_111586202686159083](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586202686159083)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T19:58:49.069Z (UTC)

> https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/elise-stefanik-files-complaint-judge-ruled-jan-6-trump-cases-rcna129878

9,163 likes · 2,445 reposts · 190 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586202686159083/analysis

---

### [ts_111586201849388376](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586201849388376)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T19:58:36.301Z (UTC)

> https://thenationalpulse.com/2023/12/15/watch-beaming-melania-trump-gives-speech-on-responsibility-of-becoming-a-u-s-citizen/

11,148 likes · 3,137 reposts · 516 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586201849388376/analysis

---

### [ts_111586201120221064](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586201120221064)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T19:58:25.184Z (UTC)

> https://headlineusa.com/dem-voters-now-like-trump-more-than-biden/

8,373 likes · 2,119 reposts · 247 replies · unknown views

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111586201120221064/analysis

---

### [ts_111584588355405636](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111584588355405636)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T13:08:16.342Z (UTC)

> TRUMP NATIONAL DORAL, in Miami, has just signed with LIV GOLF to host a Championship Tournament in April, 2024. The event they had at Doral in October was a major success!

17,820 likes · 3,599 reposts · 941 replies · unknown views

Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_111584588355405636.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111584588355405636/analysis

---

### [ts_111584505148063019](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111584505148063019)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T12:47:06.698Z (UTC)

> Sloppy Chris Christie did so poorly in the Great State of New Hampshire in 2016 that immediately after the votes were counted, he dropped out and endorsed me. He then went back to New Jersey, which he had effectively abandoned to campaign (much like DeSanctimonious in Florida!), to an approval rating of 9%. New Hampshire doesn’t like that Sloppy RINO Dog, and they don’t like Ron, who is in 5th place, either. MAGA!

15,082 likes · 3,466 reposts · 879 replies · unknown views

Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_111584505148063019.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111584505148063019/analysis

---

### [ts_111584427027463031](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111584427027463031)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T12:27:14.673Z (UTC)

> Why didn’t the Deranged Jack Smith “Team” file their lawsuit 3 years ago? Because they wanted to file it right in the middle of my campaign, that’s why. Now, all of a sudden, they want to RUSH. ELECTION INTERFERENCE!

17,087 likes · 4,616 reposts · 1,116 replies · unknown views

Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_111584427027463031.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111584427027463031/analysis

---

### [ts_111581804829968615](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111581804829968615)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T01:20:23.109Z (UTC) · 1 media attachment

15,463 likes · 3,715 reposts · 746 replies · unknown views

---

### [ts_111581778411083891](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111581778411083891)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T01:13:39.990Z (UTC)

> “Trump Surges to Ten-Point Lead over Biden” https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2023/12/14/nolte-trump-surges-to-ten-point-lead-over-biden/

15,568 likes · 3,649 reposts · 776 replies · unknown views

Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_111581778411083891.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111581778411083891/analysis

---

### [ts_111581774012057950](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111581774012057950)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T01:12:32.866Z (UTC)

> “Majority of Voters Trust Trump over Biden to Boost Economy, Top 2024 Issue” https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2023/12/14/poll-majority-voters-trust-trump-over-biden-boost-economy-top-2024-issue/

14,619 likes · 3,241 reposts · 540 replies · unknown views

Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_111581774012057950.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111581774012057950/analysis

---

### [ts_111581771525077922](https://trump.fm/post/ts_111581771525077922)

Truth Social · 2023-12-15T01:11:54.917Z (UTC)

> “Trump rails against opponents while urging Iowans to ‘put big numbers up’ in caucuses next month” https://apnews.com/article/trump-iowa-2024-presidential-election-e15775f86b720bd4eae5e09967eb66f9

11,763 likes · 2,514 reposts · 196 replies · unknown views

Audio narration: https://static.trump.fm/audio/ts_111581771525077922.mp3 (a synthesized voice reading the post text, not a recording)

Analysis: https://trump.fm/post/ts_111581771525077922/analysis

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